• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.191-192
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• 2017

In response to the economic depression, the demand for fixed rent income has increased according to the easing construction regulations. it caused indiscriminated investment to stakeholders. This leads to oversupply in the multi-family Housing market and increases unsold housing and vacancy rates except specific area such as Gangnam-gu.In order to solve this issue, although studies on the optimization price of apartment houses has been conducted, the study is insufficient regarding on residential officetel. Therefore, the objective is to suggest a basic study on optimal price estimation model development by using probabilistic forecasting method in planning phase. To achieve the objective, first, variables are defined such as expenses, financial costs, income, etc. Second, causal loop diagram is suggested. Third, basic optimization prices estimation model is developed. In the future, this study can be used as one of decision making tools in planning phase of officetel development projects.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.121-143
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• 2016

The purpose of this study to analyze the effect of Mindfulness on the Therapeutic Relationship using System Dynamics. The biggest factor in psychotherapy's treatment outcome is the Therapeutic Relationship including the quality of the therapist (empathy, therapeutic presence) and therapy alliance. Mindfulness practice can facilitate the therapeutic relationship. In order to analyze the therapeutic relationship, I measure FFMQ(Five Facet Mindfulness Questionnaire), Empathy, Therapeutic presence and Therapy alliance. Participants consist of 55 mental health professionals (doctor, psychologist, psychiatrist, counselor, social worker). The result of the study will be explained. First, with the causal loop diagram research, I analyze how mindfulness can influence the quality of therapist and therapy alliance. The result of literature research indicate that mindfulness increase therapist's empathy, congruence, therapeutic presence, flow, therapy alliance. And then mindfulness reinforces the ability of therapeutic relationship. Secondly, through the real data research and simulation analysis, mindfulness practicing period (year and hour a day) of therapist is studied. The result of the therapist experiencing mindfulness practice period is over 5 years and the daily hours of practice is 2 - 2.5 hours in order to enhance the therapeutic relationship. After reviewing the result of the research it is important to understand the practicing period and daily practice of mindfulness. With daily practice and time, the level of mindfulness will increase and influence positively the therapeutic relationship between therapist and client.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2019년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.42-43
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• 2019

In-situ production of PC (precast concrete) members can reduce costs by about 14.5% -21.6% compared to in-plant production due to the reduction of transportation costs, factory profits and overhead costs. However, in-situ production of PC members presents a variety of risks, including member production and yard area securing, and lead time for production within the installation period. To solve this, it is necessary be able to analyze and control and monitor the risk factors that influence in-situ production for PC member. The purpose of this study is to develop a dynamic simulation model for in-situ production and erection integrated management for PC members. For this study, risk factor identification, causal loop diagram, and dynamic simulation model construction were performed sequentially. The results of this study will be used as a basis for developing a risk management model for PC in-situ production.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.311-331
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• 2021

Climate change with extreme hydrological events has become a significant concern for agricultural water systems. Climate change affects not only irrigation availability but also agricultural water requirement. In response, adaptation strategies with soft and hard options have been considered to mitigate the impacts from climate change. However, their implementation has become progressively challenging and complex due to the interconnected impacts of climate change with socio-economic change in agricultural circumstances, and this can generate more uncertainty and complexity in the adaptive management of the agricultural water systems. This study was carried out for the agricultural water supply system in Seongju dam watershed in Seonju-gun, Gyeongbuk in South Korea. The first step is to identify system disturbances. Climate variation and socio-economic components with historical and forecast data were investigated Then, as the second step, problematic trends of the critical performance were identified for the historical and future climate scenarios. As the third step, a system structure was built with a dynamic hypothesis (causal loop diagram) to understand Seongju water system features and interactions with multiple feedbacks across system components in water, agriculture, and socio-economic sectors related to the case study water system. Then, as the fourth step, a mathematical SD (system dynamics) model was developed based on the dynamic hypothesis, including sub-models related to dam reservoir, irrigation channel, irrigation demand, farming income, and labor force, and the fidelity of the SD model to the Seongju water system was checked.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.431-431
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• 2023

In recent decades, the socio-hydrology community has developed several socio-hydrological frameworks to understand the complexity of the coupled human-water system. Although there have been efforts to relate sociology and hydrology, there still have been some insights that remain debatable. As for this study, the Value-belief-norm theory was used to represent the human behavior in order to connect the human-water system. The theoretical framework of values, beliefs and norms was developed to understand the human culture towards the environment. In addition to the theory, norms are legislation of human behavior in the society while the values are the guiding principle to motivate beliefs and norms. The overview of this study implied on developing a socio-hydrological model consisting of the four systems defined as hydrology, socio-economy, technology and institutional. The interconnectors between the four systems are the key variables and parameters representing a module namely the causal loop diagram. Moreover, water quality, size of population, infrastructure capacity and norms are the key variables to connect the four systems. The developed model will be applied to Han River to represent the coevolutionary of the dynamics of human-water systems.

• 대한간호학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.280-292
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• 2015

Purpose: In this study a system dynamics methodology was used to identify correlation and nonlinear feedback structure among factors affecting unplanned extubation (UE) of ICU patients and to construct and verify a simulation model. Methods: Factors affecting UE were identified through a theoretical background established by reviewing literature and preceding studies and referencing various statistical data. Related variables were decided through verification of content validity by an expert group. A causal loop diagram (CLD) was made based on the variables. Stock & Flow modeling using Vensim PLE Plus Version 6.0b was performed to establish a model for UE. Results: Based on the literature review and expert verification, 18 variables associated with UE were identified and CLD was prepared. From the prepared CLD, a model was developed by converting to the Stock & Flow Diagram. Results of the simulation showed that patient stress, patient in an agitated state, restraint application, patient movability, and individual intensive nursing were variables giving the greatest effect to UE probability. To verify agreement of the UE model with real situations, simulation with 5 cases was performed. Equation check and sensitivity analysis on TIME STEP were executed to validate model integrity. Conclusion: Results show that identification of a proper model enables prediction of UE probability. This prediction allows for adjustment of related factors, and provides basic data do develop nursing interventions to decrease UE.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.25-49
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• 2013

As global competition for green car, that is environmentally friendly car, is getting tougher, the governments and the related industries are putting their core efforts in its diffusion. However, the green car sales are disappointing so far. To overcome the gridlock, it is necessary to develop concrete analytical framework to understand the diffusion process. Based on causal loop analysis from the previous work, we have identified main variables and relationships of them in the diffusion process and developed a stock-flow diagram and mathematical formula for the main components. The model would be applied for further quantitative simulation on the diffusion process of green car and other innovative goods as well. Also, we have suggested constructive insights for the policy makers and for the related industries. First, it is important to increase consumers' willingness to consider through marketing and word of mouth to accelerate the diffusion process. Second, in the perspective of the industry, the market share of green car should be increased at the earliest possible stage and this could be done by enhancing each components of green car attractiveness(e.g. price, driving range, social infra). Third, companies should develop a balanced investment between consumer and technology sector through a flexible financial policy. Fourth, the government continuously has the role of investing in the related R&D and social infra building. We expect the green car diffusion model and related formula from the research can provide meaningful tools to analyze the diffusion process of other new and innovative goods based on its deep researched literature review.

• 대한간호학회지
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• 제49권4호
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• pp.398-410
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• 2019

Purpose: This study used a system dynamics methodology to identify correlation and nonlinear feedback structures among factors affecting adolescent cyberbullying victims (CV) in Korea and to construct and verify a simulation model. Methods: Factors affecting CV were identified by reviewing a theoretical background in existing literature and referencing various statistical data. Related variables were identified through content validity verification by an expert group, after which a causal loop diagram (CLD) was constructed based on the variables. A stock-flow diagram (SFD) using Vensim Professional 7.3 was used to establish a CV model. Results: Based on the literature review and expert verification, 22 variables associated with CV were identified and the CLD was prepared. Next, a model was developed by converting the CLD to an SFD. The simulation results showed that the variables such as negative emotions, stress levels, high levels of conflict in schools, parental monitoring, and time spent using new media had the strongest effects on CV. The model's validity was verified using equation check, sensitivity analysis for timestep and simulation with 4 CV adolescent. Conclusion: The system dynamics model constructed in this study can be used to develop intervention strategies in schools that are focused on counseling that can prevent cyberbullying and assist in the victims' recovery by formulating a feedback structure and capturing the dynamic changes observed in CV. To prevent cyberbullying, it is necessary to develop more effective strategies such as prevention education, counseling and treatment that considers factors pertaining to the individual, family, school, and media.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.144-155
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• 2005

1950년대 이후 주택수요의 급격한 증가와 낮은 주택투자로 인한 만성적 주택부족 사태는 정부 주도의 주택공급정책에 의존해 오고 있다. 주택시장이 수요와 공급에 의한 자율적 가격결정구조를 가지지 못하고 정부 정책에 따라 인위적으로 움직임으로써 주택가격은 폭등과 폭락을 반복하고, 아파트 미분양 등에 의한 건설사의 수익성 악화나 중소건설업체의 부도와 같은 문제점들이 발생하고 있다. 이는 건설기업이 주택시장의 구조적 문제점을 파악하고 정부의 정책에 시기 적절히 대처하지 못함으로써 주택시장적응력을 상실한 결과라 할 수 있다. 또한 정부도 주택시장의 가격에 의존한 단기적 정책 효과만을 의존함으로써 주택시장의 가격결정시스템을 약화시키는 결과를 초래한 것이다. 즉, 주택시장의 동태적 환경시스템이라는 숱을 보지 못하고 정부 정책에 의한 단기적 영향요인이라는 나무만을 봄으로써 나타난 결과라 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 주택 시장을 주택수요 영향변수와 주택공급 영향변수 그리고 그에 영향을 미치는 거시 환경적 영향변수들을 분류하고, 이들 간의 상호작용을 시스템 사고와 전통적 소비자 선택이론에 입각하여 연결함으로써 이에 의해 구성되는 인과순환구조를 구축하도록 한다. 이를 통해 주택시장이 가지는 동태성의 장기적인 형태를 피드백 루프의 존재를 통해 확인해 줌으로써 주택시장의 역동적 변화 원인을 규명하고자 한다.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제43권6호
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• pp.86-97
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• 2015

'자연마당 조성사업'은 도시 내 생태휴식공간이자 생활문화공간 창출을 위해 추진되는 환경부의 사업이다. 경상남도 밀양시 내일동 아북산 일대는 훼손된 상태로 오랜 기간 방치되면서 생태복원이 필요한 장소로 인식되어 올해 자연마당 조성사업의 대상지가 되었다. 본 연구의 목적은 시스템 다이내믹스를 활용하여 아북산 일대의 생태복원을 위한 설계전략을 도출하는 것이다. 사업대상지의 핵심 복원 공간으로써 국궁장, 구덩이, 경작지 부지는 각각의 문제점을 안고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점 해결을 위해 인과지도를 작성하여 현황을 파악하고 핵심 전략을 도출하였으며 전략을 토대로 설계안을 마련하였다. 첫째, 국궁장 부지의 경우 토양 산성화와 녹지축 단절의 문제 해결을 위한 전략으로 녹비식물과 후글컬쳐 방식을 도출하여 실제 설계안에 도입하였고, 둘째, 구덩이 부지의 경우 구덩이 하단부에 우수가 집수되어 습윤성 식생이 출현한 점에서 인공 습지 조성 가능성을 타진하고 생태 문화적 이점을 파악하여 인공 습지 조성의 설계안을 마련하였다. 셋째, 두 곳으로 분리되는 경작지 부지는 토양 산성화와 토양 침식, 녹지축 단절의 문제 해결을 위해 토양 개량 작업 후 한 곳은 자생종을 식재하여 산림을 복원하는 전략 도출을 통해 녹지축을 연결하는 설계안을 완성하였고 다른 한 곳은 초지로 복원하되 일부 공간에 건습지를 조성하는 설계안을 세웠다. 본 연구는 생태복원 설계 시 생태계 시스템의 피드백 루프 내에서 문제점을 파악하여 전략을 도출한 것으로써 일반적인 설계 과정에 없던 시스템 사고의 방식을 시도했다는 것에 의의가 있다.