• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.182-186
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• 2011

Early cost estimates are important to decision-making for a construction project. Moreover, the possibility of reducing the project cost is getting less as the project is progressed. Case-based reasoning (CBR), which can be viewed as an effective method for early cost estimating, is widely utilized recently. Early cost estimates using CBR have advantages over the traditional ones as they produce reasonable outputs and self-studying is possible by simply adding new cases. Case-based reasoning is composed of a cycle of retrieve, reuse, revise, and retain process. However, in the majority of research cases, they are focused on how to retrieve the similar cases, instead of revising the cases which is expected to increase accuracy results of cost estimation. This research suggests a method of revising retrieved similar cases in a GA-CBR cost model which is widely studied and utilized for early cost estimating recently. To validate the proposed method, case study is conducted based on Korean public apartment projects.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회논문집
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• pp.832-835
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• 2002

This paper presents a new approach integrated Case-Based Reasoning with Self. Organization Map(SOM) in diagnosis systems. The causes of faults are obtained by case-base trained from SOM. When the vibration problem of rotating machinery occurs, this provides an exact diagnosis method that shows the fault cause of vibration problem. In order to verify the performance of algorithm, we applied it to diagnose the fault cause of the electric motor.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지능시스템학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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• pp.283-286
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• 2007

This paper proposes a genetic algorithm (GA) approach to instance selection in case-based reasoning (CBR) for the prediction of Korea Stock Price Index (KOSPI). CBR has been widely used in various areas because of its convenience and strength in complex problem solving. Nonetheless, compared to other machine learning techniques, CBR has been criticized because of its low prediction accuracy. Generally, in order to obtain successful results from CBR, effective retrieval of useful prior cases for the given problem is essential. However, designing a good matching and retrieval mechanism for CBR systems is still a controversial research issue. In this paper, the GA optimizes simultaneously feature weights and a selection task for relevant instances for achieving good matching and retrieval in a CBR system. This study applies the proposed model to stock market analysis. Experimental results show that the GA approach is a promising method for instance selection in CBR.

• 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지능정보시스템학회 2001년도 춘계정기학술대회
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• pp.399-408
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• 2001

This paper presents a simultaneous optimization approach of case-based reasoning (CBR) using a genetic algorithm(GA) for the prediction of stock price index. Prior research suggested many hybrid models of CBR and the GA for selecting a relevant feature subset or optimizing feature weights. Most studies, however, used the GA for improving only a part of architectural factors for the CBR system. However, the performance of CBR may be enhanced when these factors are simultaneously considered. In this study, the GA simultaneously optimizes multiple factors of the CBR system. Experimental results show that a GA approach to simultaneous optimization of CBR outperforms other conventional approaches for the prediction of stock price index.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제16권 제2호
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• pp.285-288
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• 2006

Most previous studies on improving the effectiveness of CBR have focused on the similarity function aspect or optimization of case features and their weights. However, according to some of the prior research, finding the optimal k parameter for the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) is also crucial for improving the performance of the CBR system. Nonetheless, there have been few attempts to optimize the number of neighbors, especially using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. In this study, we introduce a genetic algorithm (GA) to optimize the number of neighbors that combine, as well as the weight of each feature. The new model is applied to the real-world case of a major telecommunication company in Korea in order to build the prediction model for the customer profitability level. Experimental results show that our GA-optimized CBR approach outperforms other AI techniques for this mulriclass classification problem.

• 정보보호학회논문지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.135-141
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• 2008

사이버 침해사고와 해킹의 위험성이 증대되고 있다. 이를 해결하기 위하여 정보보호기술중에서 보안위험분석 분야의 연구가 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 하지만 평가를 위해서는 적지 않은 평가비용, 수개월의 평가기간, 평가 참여인원, 평가후의 보안대책비용, 보안관리비용에 대한 부담이 클 수밖에 없다. 이에 따라, 본 논문에서는 정량평가 형태의 위험분석평가를 프로젝트단위로 관리하며, 평가기간 및 적정 평가자 선정을 위한 사례기반추론알고리즘을 이용한 위험분석방법론 제안한다.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.63-90
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• 2017

Purpose This study proposes a novel system trading model using case-based reasoning (CBR) based on absolute similarity threshold. The proposed model is designed to optimize the absolute similarity threshold, feature selection, and instance selection of CBR by using genetic algorithm (GA). With these mechanisms, it enables us to yield higher returns from stock market trading. Design/Methodology/Approach The proposed CBR model uses the absolute similarity threshold varying from 0 to 1, which serves as a criterion for selecting appropriate neighbors in the nearest neighbor (NN) algorithm. Since it determines the nearest neighbors on an absolute basis, it fails to select the appropriate neighbors from time to time. In system trading, it is interpreted as the signal of 'hold'. That is, the system trading model proposed in this study makes trading decisions such as 'buy' or 'sell' only if the model produces a clear signal for stock market prediction. Also, in order to improve the prediction accuracy and the rate of return, the proposed model adopts optimal feature selection and instance selection, which are known to be very effective in enhancing the performance of CBR. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we applied it to the index trading of KOSPI200 from 2009 to 2016. Findings Experimental results showed that the proposed model with optimal feature or instance selection could yield higher returns compared to the benchmark as well as the various comparison models (including logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, artificial neural network, support vector machine, and traditional CBR). In particular, the proposed model with optimal instance selection showed the best rate of return among all the models. This implies that the application of CBR with the absolute similarity threshold as well as the optimal instance selection may be effective in system trading from the perspective of returns.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.42-52
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• 2013

본 연구는 기존의 선형적인 공사비 예측방법의 한계를 극복하고 사례기반추론 (Case Based Reasoning, CBR)기법을 통해 기획단계의 실적정보를 활용하여 신뢰도 높은 공사비 예측 모델을 제시하는 것이 목적이다. 이를 위하여 사례기반추론 기법과 유전자알고리즘 (Genetic Algorithm, GA)의 선택연산을 복합적으로 활용한 스프레드시트 기반의 교량공사비 추론모델을 제시하였다. 추론모델의 검증을 위하여 국내 교량공사 시공사례 4건을 적용하였으며, 적용 결과 평균 8.69%의 오차율로 나타나 교량공사비의 예측 정확도가 타 분석방법과 비교하여 상대적으로 높은 것으로 파악하였다. 연구에서 제시된 교량공사비 예측모델은 초기 설계단계에서 상세제원에 대한 정보를 획득할 수 없을 경우에, 교량의 대표적 제원정보 만으로 공사비 선택범위를 최소화된 오차율로 예측할 수 있으므로, 개선된 보정 방법으로서 교량공사의 합리적인 개략공사비 산정에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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• pp.143-147
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• 2010

Due to the diversification and complication of construction projects, controlling risks from the early design-planning phase gives huge impact on success of the construction project. As a part of managing uncertainties it is also important to estimate the project cost several times. Especially, estimating project cost in the early stage gives effects on making a budget for projects. This study estimated the apartment project cost using case-based reasoning(CBR), which is the process of solving new problems based on the past problems. For this, we deduced the apartment cost influence factors which can be gathered in the early stage of project. Based on the factors we established the database for apartment project and calculated the attribute value, attribute similarity and case similarity. Although we retrieve the most similar case from the database, it is very hard to utilize it directly due to the uniqueness of each project. So, Genetic Algorithm(GA) was applied in revising the cost of the retrieved-case. Therefore, the accuracy of the prediction was improved by GA optimization.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제35권12B호
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• pp.1219-1226
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• 2010

적조 현상에 대한 판별, 예측 분석을 위한 시스템은 현재 개발이 아주 미흡한 상태이고 현재의 적조원인에 대한 연구는 화학 및 생물학적 원인의 규명에 대해 그 초점이 맞추어져 있어 지능적인 의사 결정 알고리즘을 갖는 시스템 구현이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 사례 기반 추론 기법을 이용하여 적조 현상에 관한 사례를 지식 베이스로 구축하고 추론하는 시스템을 설계하였다. 가장 유사한 사례 추천을 위해 KNN 알고리즘을 이용하였고 적조 사례 베이스를 구축하기 위하여 375 건의 데이터를 입력 받아 실험하였다. 학습 데이터로부터의 영향을 최소화하고 신뢰성을 확보하기 위해 10-Fold 교차검증을 수행한 결과 적조 사례에 대한 평균 정확도는 약 84.2%를 나타냈고 유사도 분류 k 개수가 5인 경우에 최적의 수행 결과를 나타냈다. 또한, 추론된 결과를 이용하여 적조 모니터링 시스템을 구현하였다.