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Estimation of ESP Probability considering Weather Outlook (기상예보를 고려한 ESP 유출 확률 산정)

  • Ahn, Jung Min;Lee, Sang Jin;Kim, Jeong Kon;Kim, Joo Cheol;Maeng, Seung Jin;Woo, Dong Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to develop a model for predicting long-term runoff in a basin using the ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) technique and review its reliability. To achieve the objective, this study improved not only the ESP technique based on the ensemble scenario analysis of historical rainfall data but also conventional ESP techniques used in conjunction with qualitative climate forecasting information, and analyzed and assessed their improvement effects. The model was applied to the Geum River basin. To undertake runoff forecasting, this study tried three cases (case 1: Climate Outlook + ESP, case 2: ESP probability through monthly measured discharge, case 3: Season ESP probability of case 2) according to techniques used to calculate ESP probabilities. As a result, the mean absolute error of runoff forecasts for case 1 proposed by this study was calculated as 295.8 MCM. This suggests that case 1 showed higher reliability in runoff forecasting than case 2 (324 MCM) and case 3 (473.1 MCM). In a discrepancy-ratio accuracy analysis, the Climate Outlook + ESP technique displayed 50.0%. This suggests that runoff forecasting using the Climate Outlook +ESP technique with the lowest absolute error was more reliable than other two cases.

A Study on the Discharge System of Thermal Waste Water (온배수 방류시스템에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Kwak, Ki-Su;Jeon, Yong-Ho;Kim, Heon-Tae;Ryu, Cheong-Ro;Lee, Kyung-Seon
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2007
  • This study used POM (Princeton ocean model) improved for applying to coastal area in order to predict the distribution of thermal waste water. This model was applied to the coastal circulation and the effect of thermal waste water of Cheonsu-Bay. So this study compared the discharge of thermal waste water with each layer and section. The tidal current was about 1.5 m/sec at surface level and 0.9 m/sec on bottom level at flood tide; tidal current was about 1.3 m/sec on surface level and 0.8 m/sec on bottom level at ebb tide. The method discharging the thermal waste water in the nearshore region (case 1) accelerates the diffusion of the thermal waste water in the north-south direction(longshore direction). However, the method discharge the thermal waster water in the offshore region (case 2) reduced the diffusion of the thermal waste water over the coastal region. According th the diffusion region of the thermal waste water with case 1 and case 2 at three different layers (surface, middle, bottom), the diffusion region by case 1 discharge method generally influenced wider region (twice) than the one by case 2 discharge method with lower temperature between $1^{\circ}C\;and\;2^{\circ}C$, whereas the case 2 discharge method influenced the deeper region (middle and botton layers) with higher change of the water temperature ($1{\sim}3^{\circ}C$).

The Study on Methods for Setting of Water Quality Goal and Estimation of Allocation Loads on TMDL System Using a Dynamic Water Quality Model (동적모델을 이용한 수질오염총량제 목표수질 설정 및 할당부하량 산정방안 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Jung;Park, Bae-Kyung;Shin, Dong-Suk;Kim, Yong-Seok;Rhew, Doug-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.36 no.9
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    • pp.629-640
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the applicability of dynamic water quality model to TMDL system was examined, methods for setting of water quality goal and estimation of allocation loads were suggested and results of applying these methods were analyzed. HSPF model was applied for Miho stream basin as a dynamic water quality model. The model was calibrated using measurement data obtained in 2009~2010 and showed satisfactory performance in predicting daily variations of flow rate and BOD concentration. Methods for TMDL application were categorized into 3 cases; water quality management (1) considering low flow condition(Case I), (2) considering entire period of the year (Case II) and (3) considering the worst water quality condition (Case III). BOD water quality goals at the end of Miho stream watershed increased in the order of Case IICase I>Case III. If further researches on base precipitation and method for model input of nonpoint source pollutant were carried out, water quality could be managed more reasonably and scientifically by applying dynamic water quality model to TMDL. The result of this study is expected to be used as primary data for TMDL using dynamic water quality model.

A Study on Comparative Analysis of Energy Performance of Hybrid Heat Pump Systems Using Ground Heat Source and Water Heat Source (지열원과 수열원을 이용한 하이브리드 히트펌프 시스템의 에너지 성능 비교 분석 연구)

  • Park, Sihun;Kim, Jonghyun;Min, Joonki
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the performance of the single heat source system and the hybrid system was comparatively analyzed. Case 1 is a ground heat source system, and Case 2 is a water heat source system. Case 3, a hybrid system, reduced the capacity of the ground heat source and applied a water heat source as an auxiliary heat source, and Case 4 was composed of a system that applied a water heat source as an auxiliary heat source to the ground heat source system. As a result of the simulation, in case 3, energy consumption was reduced by up to 2.67% compared to ground sources for cooling. In Case 4, COP was improved by up to 10.02% compared to ground sources during cooling, and EST was calculated to be 2.42℃ lower. During heating, 0.83% was improved compared to the water heat source. At this time, the EST was calculated to be 2.25℃ higher than the water heat source.

Assessment of Drainage Discharge and Nitrate-Nitrogen Loads According to Subsurface Drainage Design in Corn Cultivated Agricultural Land in Illinois, USA (미국 일리노이주 옥수수 재배 농경지 내 암거배수 시설 설계에 따른 배수량 및 질산성질소 배출 평가)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Jeong, Hanseok;Bhattarai, Rabin
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2024
  • Subsurface drainage improves crop productivity in poorly drained soils but may also substantially contribute impairment of surface water quality due to excess leaching losses of nutrients like Nitrate-Nitrogen (NO3-N). This research presents preliminary findings from a 3-years tile depth and spacing study in Illinois state that includes three drain spacings implemented in 2 plots. We found that the plot with the narrower subsurface drainage (Case 1) exported more drainage water compared to the plot with the narrower subsurface drainage system (Case 2). The total drainage water from Case 1 plot showed 57% more compared to Case 2 plot. Whereas we observed that the plot with narrower drain spacing (Case 1) exported only 9% more NO3-N leaching losses compared to the wider plot (Case 2). The average corn yield was observed higher in plot Case 1 compared to Case 2. Especially, we observed about 7% higher corn yield in plot Case 1 compared to Case 2 plot in the relatively dried year (2022). The preliminary findings for this study suggest that subsurface drainage systems can be optimized to reduce nutrient losses while improving the crop productivity.

Evaluation of Supplying Instream Flow by Operation Rule Curve for Heightening Irrigation Reservoir (이수관리곡선에 의한 증고저수지의 하천유지유량 공급 가능성 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Nam;Noh, Jae-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.481-490
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    • 2010
  • Baekgog reservoir is located in Jincheon county, Chungbuk province, of which full water levels will be heightened from EL. 100.1 m to EL. 102.1 m, and total storages from 21.75 $Mm^3$ to 26.67 $Mm^3$. The simulation for reservoir inflow was conducted by DAWAST model. The annual average irrigation water was estimated to 33.19 $Mm^3$ supplied to 2,975 ha and the instream flows could be allocated with 0.14 mm/d from October to April with annual average of 2.52 $Mm^3$. The operation rule curve was drawn using inflow, irrigation, and instream flow requirements data. The reservoir water storage was simulated on a daily basis in case of both normal and withdrawal limit operation. In case of normal operation, the annual average irrigation water supply increased from 31.95 $Mm^3$ to 33.32 $Mm^3$, the instream water supply from 2.40 $Mm^3$ to 2.44 $Mm^3$, the water storages from 15.74 $Mm^3$ to 19.88 $Mm^3$, and the water supply reliability from 77.3 % to 81.6 %. In case of operation with withdrawal limit, the amount of instream water supply was 2.52 $Mm^3$ from reservoir regardless of the condition while the water storage increased from 16.77 $Mm^3$ to 20.65 $Mm^3$. The irrigation water supply capacity was appropriate for the case of normal operation with 2 m heightened condition. The present instream water supply capacity was 35,000 $m^3$/d (6.86 $Mm^3$/y) while 42,000 $m^3$/d (8.36 $Mm^3$/y) in 2 m heightened condition in case of withdrawal limit operation.

Analysis of Steady Flow by Main Pipe Arrangement in the Water Distributing Pipe Network (배수관망(配水管網)의 간선배치(幹線配置)에 따른 정류(定流)흐름 해석(解析))

  • Lee, Jeung Seok;Park, Ro Sam;Kim, Jee Hak;Choi, Yun Young;Ahn, Seung Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the optimal analysis for pipe network is performed for the combined ideal pipe network system(CASE 1, CASE 2 and CASE 3) which is composed of 25 nodes, 41 elements, and 1 fixed nodal head with evaluating pressure variation distribution of main and branch in grid composed drainage pipe network. The linear analysis technique used as the analysis method in this study, the KYPIPE being used extensively as the linear technique to design and analysis of pipe network is applied. Firstly, in the analysis of pipe network, the CASE 2 and CASE 3 supply same thing(value) in the result of considering the total flow provided each pipeline, but in the general intension in the case of CASE 2, relative width of supply is more large than CASE 1 and CASE 3. Secondly, in the analysis technique of pipe network, CASE 3 is analysed largest as a result of comparing with same heads, and in the order of their size CASE 2 and CASE 1 were determined but the difference doesn't appear to be obvious. Thirdly, as the result of determining main factor, pressure in the design and analysis of net work. CASE 3 is from Node 3 to 25 than CASE 1 and CASE 2 and it is determined in the order of their size, CASE 2 and CASE 1. Finally, in this study, discharge flow distribution is evaluated in the same condition with 3-type CASE in the case of branch position for designing optimal composed drainage pipe network. As the result of that, branch pipe perform. Therefore, it is thought that the efficient and reasonable management of water supply and sewerage design will be possible if it give all our energies to study at the pipe system design in and out of country in the future.

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The Analysis of Runoff Characteristics by Alterations of SCS-CN Value using LID Method (LID 기법 적용에 의한 SCS-CN값 변화가 강우유출특성에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kwon, Jun-Hee;Park, In-Hyeok;Ha, Sung-Ryoung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2010
  • The objective of the research is to analyze changing trend of water discharge in precipitation, according to changing land use, through an environment-friendly urban development method called LID. The study chose S1 basin (Separated Sewer districts) in Cheongju region for survey. Among LID methods, relatively more applicable methods of green rooftop space and parking lot with permeable material were selected to construct plausible scenarios. Curve Number (CN) value was calculated due to land use patterns in each scenario, and SWMM model simulation were conducted during 2008 for comparative analysis. For Case 1, only parking lot with permeable material was applied to the scenario. Green rooftop space I and II were applied to Case 2 and 3 respectively. For Case 4 and 5, green rooftop space I and II were applied, in addition to parking lot with permeable material, Calculation of CN value showed that for S1 basin, the value was 88.1 (prior to scenario application), 86.5 (Case 1), 81.9 (Case 2), 68.5 (Case 3), 80.4 (Case 4) and 67.2 (Case 5). Changing pattern of rain water discharge was analyzed for each scenario. For Case 1, the change was not remarkable before and after application of scenario. In Case 2 and 4, the impact of rain water discharge as source of pollutant fell to 20~30%. The rate dropped to 30~50% in Case 3 and 5 respectively. The result demonstrates that the amount of rain water discharge, amount and frequency of sewer overflow, frequency of rain water discharge, and pollution load decreased in accordance with declining CN value in each scenario. In installing green rooftop space, the effect was twice greater when rain water discharge was directly infiltrated into soil.

Simulation of Water Movement in Rockwool Slab as Soil-less Cultivation Using HYDRUS (HYDRUS를 이용한 작물재배용 암면배지에서의 수분 이동 시뮬레이션)

  • Dong-Hyun Kim;Jong-Soon Kim;Soon-Hong Kwon;Jong-Min Park;Won-Sik Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2023
  • It is important to determine water movement at the growing substrate used in soil-less cultivation for better management of water supply. Numerical simulation is a fast and versatile approach to evaluate highly accurate water distribution. The objective of this study is to simulate the water movement in rockwool as a soil-less medium using HYDRUS-2D. HYDRUS-2D was used to simulate the spatial and temporal water movement in two types of rockwool slabs (Floriculture (FL), high density; Expert (EP), low density). The simulation was performed at two pulse conditions: 10 min ON and 50 min OFF (case A), 20 min ON and 40 min OFF (case B). The total irrigation amounts were the same at both cases. In case A, during the irrigation ON, the water contents at FL increased 1.93-fold faster than the values at EP. Whereas, during the irrigation OFF, the decreasing rate of water contents at FL was almost the same as one at EP. At case B, these values were not changed much from case A. However, the duration of optimum water content (50% - 80%) was 15.0 min and 23.5 min at case A and case B, respectively. Thus, FL and 20 min ON and 40 min OFF (case B) could supply water to rockwool much faster and longer than EP. Once qualitatively validated, this simulation of water movement in rockwool could be used to design an effective optimum irrigation method for vegetables.

SWAT model calibration/validation using SWAT-CUP II: analysis for uncertainties of simulation run/iteration number (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 SWAT 모형 검·보정 II: 모의 실행 및 반복 횟수에 따른 불확실성 분석)

  • Yu, Jisoo;Noh, Joonwoo;Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2020
  • The main objective of the study is to propose the most efficient SWAT model calibration method using SWAT-CUP with less computing time and high performance. In order to achieve the goal, Case1-3 (250, 500, and 1,000 simulation runs) and Case4 (1,000 simulation runs in the first iteration and then 500 simulation runs for the following iterations) were defined to compare the results. When evaluating the values of the objective function, Case2 and Case3 reached the same value after the fourth iteration, and Case1 reached the closed value of Case2-3 after the eighth iteration. However, the final estimates of the parameters had different ranges in Cases1-3, and only the results of Case3 and Case4 converged similarly. Thus, it can be considered that the parameter calibration results are highly affected by the initial number of simulation runs. On the other hand, SWAT simulation results did not show the significant difference after the first iteration, unlike the parameter ranges. From the analysis results, we can conclude that the most suitable and effective method was to repeat one or two times of iterations with a sufficient number of simulation runs, as in Case4.