• Title/Summary/Keyword: Capital Market Risk

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Korean Housing Cycle: Implications for Risk Management (Factor-augmented VAR Approach)

  • KWON, HYUCK-SHIN;BANG, DOO WON;KIM, MYEONG HYEON
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes an integrated risk-management framework that includes 1) measuring the risk of credit portfolios, 2) implementing a (macro) stress test, and 3) setting risk limits using the estimated systematic latent factor specific to capture the housing market cycle. To this end, we extract information from a set of real-estate market variables based on the FAVAR methodology proposed by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005). Then, we show the method by which the estimated systematic factor is applied to risk management in the housing market in an integrated manner within the Vasicek one-factor credit model. The proposed methodology is well fitted to analyze the risk of slow-moving and low-defaultable forms of capital, such as alternative investments.

The Tests of Free Cash Flows Hypothesis about Stock Repurchase (자사주매입에 관한 잉여현금흐름가설 검정)

  • Shin, Min-Shik;Lee, Jung-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.59-83
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we test empirically free cash flows hypothesis about stock repurchase. The main results of this study can be summarized as follows. First, repurchasing firms do not experience a growth in profitability relative to their peer firms. Second, repurchasing firms experience a contraction in their investment opportunity, and so capital expenditures and cash reserves decline after the repurchase. Third, repurchasing firms experience a decline in systematic risk and investments and in their cost of capital. Fourth, the reduction in profitability and cost of capital are sources of the positive market reaction to the repurchase announcement. And the market reaction to stock repurchase announcements is stronger among those firms that are more likely to overinvest. Conclusively, these results support free cash flows hypothesis. When firms experience a decline in profitability, capital expenditures and cash reserves, systematic risk and cost of capital, they decide to repurchase stocks to reduce free cash flows.

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Factors Affecting Corporate Investment Decision: Evidence from Vietnamese Economic Groups

  • PHAN, Duong Thuy;NGUYEN, Ha Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes factors affecting corporate investment decisions in economic groups listed on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of the research sample includes 39 economic groups listed on the Vietnam stock market from 2009 to 2019. The Generalized Least Square (GLS) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, the investment rate is a dependent variable. Cash-flow (CF), Investment opportunities (ROA), Fixed capital intensity (FCI), Leverage (LEV), Sales growth (GR), Size (SZ), Business risk (RISK) are independent variables in the study. The model results show that cash flow and sales growth have the same impact on investment decisions of economic groups in Vietnam. In addition, investment opportunities have a negative impact on the capital investment decisions of economic groups. The remaining factors include fixed capital intensity, leverage, firm size, and business risks that have a weak and insignificant impact on capital investment decisions of economic groups in Vietnam. The findings of this article are useful for business administrators, and helping business managers make the right financial decisions. Besides, the research results are also meaningful to money management agencies. The authors recommend that the State Bank of Vietnam should maintain a sustainable monetary policy.

A Study on the Role of Capital Regulation in Capital Market Law preventing Investment Bank Business Risks (자본시장법상 자기자본규제의 미래 투자은행(IB) 위험예방 가능성 연구)

  • Chang, Kyung-Chun;Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.161-189
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    • 2009
  • The sub-prime crisis led to the collapse of US investment banks which were considered highly competitive during the Asian Financial Crisis. The event gave us a lesson on importance of the financial supervision. Additionally concerns rise over the fact that the role model of the Capital Market Law, created for the purpose of developing the capital market, is the US investment banks. This paper investigates if the prudential regulations, among them especially the capital regulation, are able to prevent the risk the arises from Korean financial firms operating investment bank business. The current capital requirement regulation, Net Capital Ratio(NCR), is not sufficient, because it's nature of being a ratio makes the NCR ineffective when assets and liabilities are concurrently rising. We also verified the internal model which measured the market risk, by comparing the US investment and Korean banks' diversification effect. The result of the test is that it is difficult to conclude the internal model has a critical defect. This paper's contribution is that it is not sufficient use only the capital regulation in supervising financial markets.

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A Study on Measuring the Integrated Risk of Domestic Banks Using the Copula Function (코플라 함수를 이용한 국내 시중은행의 통합위험 측정)

  • Chang, Kyung-Chun;Lee, Sang-Heon;Kim, Hyun-Seok
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.359-383
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    • 2011
  • One of the representative prudential regulations is the capital regulation. The current regulation and international criteria are just simply adding up the market risk and credit risk. According to the portfolio theory due to diversification effect the total risk is less than the summation of market and credit risk. This paper investigates to verify the existence of diversification effect in measuring the integrated risk of financial firm by the copula function, which is combine the different distribution maintain their propriety. The result of the test shows that in measuring the integrated risk not only the correlation and but also the proprieties of market and credit risk distribution are very important. And the tail of risk distribution is important when measuring the economic capital, especially the external impact to the financial market. This paper's contribution is that the empirical evidence in considering the relationship between market and credit risk the integrated risk is less than sum of them.

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A Study on the Cost of Capital of Islamic Enterprise (이슬람기업의 자본조달비용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Tae-Yeong
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.505-523
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    • 2009
  • We study the cost of capital of Islamic enterprise using the Capital Asset Pricing Model(CAPM). When there exists no risk-free interest rate, the security market line(SML) of Islamic enterprise shows an upward slope starting from the origin. The slope is bigger than that of SML with risk-free interest rate. This is because the cost of capital of Islamic enterprise is higher than that of western firms for the same level of systematic risk. When the effect of zakat is considered, the risk-free interest rate is replaced by minimum required rate of return. The SML of Islamic enterprise reveals an upward slope but it does not pass through the origin. This is because Islamic enterprise cannot invest on risk-free asset. In order to overcome the theoretic limits of CAPM, we propose to use multi-factor approach such as arbitrage pricing model instead of single-factor model for future study.

Return Premium of Financial Distress and Negative Book Value: Emerging Market Case

  • KAKINUMA, Yosuke
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine a financial distress premium in the emerging market. A risk-return trade-off of negative book equity (NBE) and distress firms is empirically analyzed using data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand. This research employs Ohlson's (1980) bankruptcy model as a measurement of distress risk. The results indicate that distress firms outperform solvent firms in the Thai market and deny distress anomaly often found in the developed market. Fama-Frech (1993) three-factor model and Carhart (1997) four-factor model verify the existence of a distress premium in the Thai capital market. Risk-seeking investors demand greater compensation for bearing risks of distress firms' going concern. This paper provides fresh evidence that default risk is a significant explanatory factor in pricing stocks in the emerging market. Also, this study sheds light on the role of NBE firms in asset pricing. Most studies eliminate NBE firms from their sample. However, NBE firms yield superior average cross-sectional returns, albeit with higher volatility. Investors are rewarded with distress risks associated with NBE firms. The outperformance of NBE firms is statistically significant when compared to the overall market. The NBE premium disappears when factoring size, value, and momentum in time-series analysis.

Factors Affecting Financial Risk: Evidence from Listed Enterprises in Vietnam

  • DANG, Hang Thu;PHAN, Duong Thuy;NGUYEN, Ha Thi;HOANG, Le Hong Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes factors affecting enterprise's financial risk listed on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of research sample includes 524 non-financial listed enterprises on the Vietnam stock market for a period of eleven years, from 2009 to 2019. The Generalized Least Square (GLS) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, financial risk is measured by the Alexander Bathory model. Debt structure, Solvency, Profitability, Operational ability, Capital structure are independent variables in the study. Firm Size, firm age, growth rate are control variables. The model results show that in order to prevent and limit financial risk for enterprises listed on the Vietnam Stock Market, attention should be paid to variables reflecting Liability structure ratio, Quick Ratio, Return on Assets, Total asset turnover, Accounts receivable turnover, Net assets ratio and Fixed assets ratio. The empirical results show that there are differences in the impact of these factors on the financial risk in state-owned enterprises and non-state enterprises listed on the Vietnam stock market. The findings of this article are useful for business administrators, helping business managers make the right financial decisions to improve the efficiency of financial risk management in enterprises.

Estimation of Economic Risk Capital of Insurance Company using the Extreme Value Theory (극단치이론을 이용한 보험사 위험자본의 추정)

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil;Chang, Dong-Han;Lee, Byung-Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.291-311
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    • 2007
  • With a series of unexpected huge losses in the financial markets around the world recently, especially in the insurance market with extreme loss cases such as catastrophes, there is an increasing demand for risk management for extreme loss exposures due to high unpredictability of those risks. For extreme risk management, to make a maximum use of the information concerning the tail part of a loss distribution, EVT(Extreme Value Theory) modelling nay be the best to analyze extreme values. The Extreme Value Theory is widely used in practice and, especially in financal markets, EVT modelling is getting popular to analyBe the effects of extreme risks. This study is to review the significance of the Extreme Value Theory in risk management and, focusing on analyzing insurer's risk capital, extreme risk is measured using the real fire loss data and insurer's specific amount of risk capital is figured out to buffer the extreme risk.

An Empirical Study on the Relationship among Firm Characteristics, Human Resources and Investment Strategies of Korean Private Venture Capitals (한국 벤처캐피탈의 조직상황적 특성, 인적자원 특성 및 투자전략 간의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2007
  • There are many different types of risk capital competing for deals in the korean entrepreneurial capital market. In the past, even though korean private venture capitalists did not have their distinctive competitive advantages, due to government support and subsidies, they could be survived in the market. However, the government controlled area has changed to a market driven area which emphasizes market forces and competition rather than support and protection. In order to be competitive, Korean private venture capital firms need to recruit high calibre professionals and build required financial skills for wise entrepreneurial investments. The purpose of this article is to analyze the relationships among firm characteristics, human resources, and investment strategies of korean venture capital firms. We can find that the asset size of venture capital firms has a positive effect on the size of their human resources. However, we can not find any relationship between firm characteristics and investment strategies of venture capitals. Even though we find some evidences among some variables, we need to interpret the results very carefully. Further research would be needed to carried out to clarify the disputable interpretations and our understanding of this area.

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