• Title/Summary/Keyword: Business period

Search Result 2,325, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Lunar Effect on Stock Returns and Volatility: An Empirical Study of Islamic Countries

  • MOHAMED YOUSOP, Nur Liyana;WAN ZAKARIA, Wan Mohd Farid;AHMAD, Zuraidah;RAMDHAN, Nur'Asyiqin;MOHD HASAN ABDULLAH, Norhasniza;RUSGIANTO, Sulistya
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.533-542
    • /
    • 2021
  • The main objective of this article is to investigate the existence of the lunar effect during the full moon period (FM period) and the new moon period (NM period) on the selected Islamic stock market returns and volatilities. For this purpose, the Ordinary Least Squares model, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model, Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-in-Mean model are employed using the mean daily returns data between January 2010 and December 2019. Next, the log-likelihood, Akaike Information Criterion and Schwarz Information Criterion value are analyzed to determine the best models for explaining the returns and volatility of returns. The empirical results have deduced that, during the NM period, excluding Malaysia, the total mean daily returns for all of the selected countries have increased mean daily returns in contrast to the mean daily returns during the FM period. The volatility shocks are intense and conditional volatility is persistent in all countries. Subsequently, the volatility behavior tends to have lower volatility during the FM period and NM period in the Islamic stock market, except Malaysia. This article also concluded that the ARCH (1) model is the preferred model for stock returns whereas GARCH-M (1, 1) is preferred for the volatility of returns.

Statistical Tests for the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Stock Price and the Business Indicator

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Sung-Duck;Cho, Joong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-50
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study attempts to test the lead-lag relationship between the stock price and the business indicator in the multivariate context. It additionally investigates the short and long-run dynamic relationships among the four market variables. The hypothesis that the stock price leads the business indicator is found to be rejected for the whole study period. When structural change is considered, the statistical result appears to reflect the reality. The causal relationships among the variables in the former period are simpler than those in the latter period, and the stock price significantly appears to lead the business indicator. On the other hand, the relationship between the stock price and the business indicator in the latter period appears to prove the recent hypothesis of their coincidence.

  • PDF

Stock Market Response during COVID-19 Lockdown Period in India: An Event Study

  • ALAM, Mohammad Noor;ALAM, Md. Shabbir;CHAVALI, Kavita
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.7 no.7
    • /
    • pp.131-137
    • /
    • 2020
  • The research investigates the impact of the lockdown period caused by the COVID-19 to the stock market of India. The study examines the extent of the influence of the lockdown on the Indian stock market and whether the market reaction would be the same in pre- and post-lockdown period caused by COVID-19. Market Model Event study methodology is used. A sample of 31 companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) are selected at random for the purpose of the study. The sample period taken for the study is 35 days (24 February-17 April, 2020). An event window of 35 days was taken with 20 days prior to the event and 15 days during the event. The event (t1) being the official announcement of the lockdown. The results indicate that the market reacted positively with significantly positive Average Abnormal Returns during the present lockdown period, and investors anticipated the lockdown and reacted positively, whereas in the pre-lockdown period investors panicked and it was reflected in negative AAR. The study finds evidence of a positive AR around the present lockdown period and confirms that lockdown had a positive impact on the stock market performance of stocks till the situation improves in the Indian context.

A Study on the Impact of Holding Period on BHAR(CAR) in IPO Process: Focus on Business Relationship (기업공개과정에서 보유기간과 보유기간 수익률간의 상관관계 연구: 주간사와 거래관계 기관투자자를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Jai-Woong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-95
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of holding period of IPOs on BHAR(CAR) of IPOs in IPO process, especially focused on business relationship of underwriters and institutional investors. Design/methodology/approach - This paper collected monthly IPO fund data in KOSDAQ during 2004 to 2012 and OLS(Ordinary Least Square) was hired to analyze the data. Findings - Underwriters do allocate IPOs with high BHAR(CAR) to business-related institutional investors holding IPOs longer to make the price of IPOs stable (market-making) for underewriters. Research implications or Originality - This paper finds the impact of holding period of IPOs on BHAR(CAR) of IPOs in IPO process, especially focused on business relationship of underwriters and institutional investors in Korea.

A Study on the Business Investment and Operation of O2O (Online-To-Offline) Combined Services by Industry (산업별 O2O 결합 서비스의 비즈니스 투자 및 운영에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Byoungho;Joo, Hyungkun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.93-110
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore business investment and operation of O2O (Online-To-Offline) combined service. The study will analyze the necessary factors for growing the business by dividing the O2O service by industry. The Online-to-Offline is a method of inducing purchases of products and services by connecting between online and offline This research methodology organized the four stages of the analysis process. The analysis of all stages was performed with association rules in big data techniques. It is divided into the start-up period, growth period, maturity period, and decline period, and analysis is conducted on the business investment, expenditure cost, business operation, and conflict factors. As the research result, the first analysis has shown commonality with government subsidies, bank loans, and personal funds in all industries. The second analysis showed a lot of expenditure on labor costs of internal employees, marketing/sales, facility facilities, equipment, and equipment purchase costs. The third analysis showed difficulty in raising the investment resources necessary for business operations in all industries. The last analysis showed conflicts in the industry, businesses license, legal systems, and small business owners in all industries. This study contributed to the abundance and diversity of research methodologies in management information systems using association rules. In addition, the description of organizational development theory was updated while explaining the business investment and operation of O2O combined services. In practical implication, the O2O services include environmental factors that cause convergence between industries. Accordingly, this is required for new O2O services through new laws and systems and reorganization of existing laws and regulations.

A Study on Fisheries Business Trends during the Period of Japanese Colonial Rule in Tongyeong based on Fisheries Status, Catches and Issues (통영지역의 일제강점기 수산관련 주요 동향에 대한 분석 -어업현황, 어획고, 주요 이슈 등을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Dong-Ho
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.46 no.2
    • /
    • pp.75-92
    • /
    • 2015
  • Generally, the outcomes of the historical study in some domain would be a most fundamental and basic reference for understanding the essential and core component of them. Specially in case of social science, the importance of historical research much more emphasized that would be divided into independent academic field. In Korean history including fisheries business and industry, the most remarkable historic event would be the period of Japanese colonial rule that one of the most obstacle should overcome. Though the fisheries business and industry of Korea have considerable own history, the research and study of that not so much have been performed or investigated including the period of Japanese colonial rule. Most of the existing research of fisheries history have merely focused on partial topics like 'Fishermen's Association', 'Fisheries Industry Despoliation'. And the historical study of fisheries business and industry's overall status and trend in local area except Pusan also not enough. The aims of this study are exploring the fisheries trends and status during the period of Japanese colonial rule in Tongyeong and finding out the overall major fisheries business issues that would be a better understanding the Korean fisheries industry. Achieving that Objectives, over 800 articles of media, the Japanese government-general of Korea, and other historical data were gathered, refined and analyzed. This paper focused on of major fisheries topics and issues that including overall fisheries status, trends, fisheries catches, local fisheries cooperatives and fisheries exhibition during the period of Japanese colonial rule in Tongyeong. The result of this study shows that the status of fisheries in Korea had been deteriorated for exploitation of Japanese imperialism and Japanese fisheries capitalist during that period. Though the level of Tongyeong in fisheries was very high in terms of catches ratio and population of fisherman, the distribution networks of fishermen's association was not good enough. And the Tongyeong fisheries exhibition in 1922 has positive aspects for considering both composition of organization and educational activity. Even though the results and findings would be a helpful guidelines for understanding the fisheries business trends and status under the rule of Japanese imperialism, more research and study of that should be accomplished.

Research about Competitive Power High Position of Food-Service Industry - Laying Stress on Eating Out Company Interior Factor - (외식기업의 경쟁력 강화 요인에 관한 연구 - 외식기업 내부요인을 중심으로 -)

  • 유택용;박면애
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.83-96
    • /
    • 2004
  • According to construction of global administration environment, all over the world was ended up in infinite competition period. Because eating out company also competes with another company, it must enjoy competitive power high position to secure high position continuously, classified by formation constituent's individuation and two aspects of organic special quality by the factor. Individuation classified by formation constituent's business ability, personal relations, age factors of Information Technology, and organic special quality classifies by factor of formation culture and result that analyze eating out company's business condition competitive power reinforcement effect factor is same as following. First, was construed by company culture, personal relations, business ability period of ten days with family Restaurant, and Information Technology showed that do not influence. Competitive power reinforcement effect factor with special restaurant was construed by company culture, personal relations, business ability period of ten days, and fast food company culture and Information Technology factor with hotel restaurant company culture by competitive power reinforcement effect factor construe.

  • PDF

The Synchronization of ASEAN +3 Business Cycles: Prerequisites for Common Currency Union

  • RIYANTO, Feri Dwi;ERLANDO, Angga;HARYANTO, Tri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.781-791
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to analyze the relationship between the business cycles of the ASEAN +3 countries. In addition, the effects of the spillover value on the coincident indicators are determined. This study employs secondary data and uses multivariate time series of five ASEAN countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines. The proxy was the real gross domestic product (GDP) collected annually from the CEIC, the IMF, and the World Bank for the period from 1964 to 2016. The data was plotted against two time periods, 1964-1998 as the pre-crisis period, and 1999-2016 as the post-crisis period. The index data was changed to the base year 2010. The data was subsequently separated from the trends and the cyclic components. The cyclic components were obtained by using Hondrick-Prescott filter, and them were further analyzed. The analytical method used was Contemporaneous and Cross-Correlation tools. The results showed that, before and after the crisis, the value of the business cycle correlation between ASEAN +3 countries was stronger and moved together at the same level of lag value. The implication of this research was an initial finding of the ASEAN +3 countries' prerequisites for the formation of a common currency.

A Study of Business Cycle Index Using Dynamic Factor Model (동태적 요인모형을 이용한 경기동행지수 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Na, In-Gang;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.903-924
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper examines the alternative method to measure the state of overall economic activity. The macroeconomic variables, used for business cycle, take more than a month after a period for collection and aggregation. The electricity generation data is compiled in mechanical ways just after the period. Based on this fact, we develop the two stage estimation method for coincident economic indicators in order to detect the business cycle in an earlier period, using Stock-Watson's Dynamic Factor Model. Using monthly data from 1970 to 1999, it is found that the experimental coincidence economic indicators are well-fitted to data and also that the estimates of two stage estimation method have good explanatory power, equivalent to the experimental coincidence economic indicators. While the RMSE of coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.27%, that of the experimental coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.31% and that of the two stage estimation method is around 1.44%. If we take consideration into the fact that it measures the business cycle in one month earlier, we come to the conclusion that the two stage estimation is of great use.

  • PDF

Effective Demand Lifting through Pre-Launch Movie Marketing Activities

  • Song, Tae Ho;Yoo, Shijin;Lee, Janghyuk
    • Asia Marketing Journal
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-18
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine empirically how to balance advertising expenditure before and after launch with regard to the direction of word of mouth in the motion picture industry. The vector auto-regression model is applied to assess the dynamic impact of advertising and word of mouth on sales. Empirical data, including advertising, word of mouth, and sales (the number of entries) of 83 movies are used for analysis. The research results show that for a movie having more positive word of mouth in the pre- and post-launch periods, it is worthwhile to spend the advertising budget in the pre-launch period only and to spare it in post-launch period. However, it is worthwhile to spare the advertising budget in the pre-launch period for movies having less positive word of mouth before and after launch, and to concentrate spending in post-launch period instead. Mangers who handle products and services facing shortened lifecycles, such as games, eBooks, and digital music contents, need to check the quality of pre-launch word of mouth for their advertising budget decisions in the pre- and post-launch periods and spend more of the advertising budget in the post- (pre-) launch period if pre-launch word of mouth is negative (positive). For products and services with a shortened lifecycle, it is recommended to spend more of the advertising budget in the post- (pre-) launch period if pre-launch word of mouth is negative (positive).