• Title/Summary/Keyword: Budget Deficit

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Development of Optimal Reservoir System Operation Model for Water Supply by Applying MIP Technique and Reappraisal of Water Supply Capability of Nakdong River Basin (MIP에 의한 댐군연계운영 최적화모형 개발과 개발 모형에 의한 낙동강수계 용수공급능력 재평가)

  • Choe, Yeong-Song;An, Gyeong-Su;Park, Myeong-Gi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.447-459
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    • 2000
  • Since the development of water resources is getting more difficult than ever before because of human-sociological condition, it would be necessary to develop a practically applicable technique for the management of water resources based on demand-side concept that could reduce unusable release for more effective and appropriate allocation of limited water resources. The objective of the study is to develop an optimal reservoir system operation model for water supply and energy augmentation by the combination of water budget analysis method in downstream area by MIP technique. The applicable study of the developed model was carried out and water supply capability of Nakdong river basin was re-evaluated by the developed model. The model has been found successful to guarantee appropriate water supply to the basin by means of deficit-supply management method and also turned out to be more practical tool for an optimal reservoir system operation model than other existing models.

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An Energy Budget Algorithm for a Snowpack-Snowmelt Calculation (스노우팩-융설 계산을 위한 에너지수지 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hoon;Ko, Kyung-Seok
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2011
  • Understanding snowmelt movement to the watershed is crucial for both climate change and hydrological studies because the snowmelt is a significant component of groundwater and surface runoff in temperature area. In this work, a new energy balance budget algorithm has been developed for melting snow from a snowpack at the Central Sierra Snow Laboratory (CSSL) in California, US. Using two sets of experiments, artificial rain-on-snow experiments and observations of diel variations, carried out in the winter of 2002 and 2003, we investigate how to calculate the amount of snowmelt from the snowpack using radiation energy and air temperature. To address the effect of air temperature, we calculate the integrated daily solar radiation energy input, and the integrated discharge of snowmelt under the snowpack and the energy required to generate such an amount of meltwater. The difference between the two is the excess (or deficit) energy input and we compare this energy to the average daily temperature. The resulting empirical relationship is used to calculate the instantaneous snowmelt rate in the model used by Lee et al. (2008a; 2010), in addition to the net-short radiation. If for a given 10 minute interval, the energy obtained by the melt calculation is negative, then no melt is generated. The input energy from the sun is considered to be used to increase the temperature of the snowpack. Positive energy is used for melting snow for the 10-minute interval. Using this energy budget algorithm, we optimize the intrinsic permeability of the snowpack for the two sets of experiments using one-dimensional water percolation model, which are $52.5{\times}10^{-10}m^2$ and $75{\times}10^{-10}m^2$ for the artificial rain-on-snow experiments and observations of diel variation, respectively.

Prediction of the number of public bicycle rental in Seoul using Boosted Decision Tree Regression Algorithm

  • KIM, Hyun-Jun;KIM, Hyun-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2022
  • The demand for public bicycles operated by the Seoul Metropolitan Government is increasing every year. The size of the Seoul public bicycle project, which first started with about 5,600 units, increased to 3,7500 units as of September 2021, and the number of members is also increasing every year. However, as the size of the project grows, excessive budget spending and deficit problems are emerging for public bicycle projects, and new bicycles, rental office costs, and bicycle maintenance costs are blamed for the deficit. In this paper, the Azure Machine Learning Studio program and the Boosted Decision Tree Regression technique are used to predict the number of public bicycle rental over environmental factors and time. Predicted results it was confirmed that the demand for public bicycles was high in the season except for winter, and the demand for public bicycles was the highest at 6 p.m. In addition, in this paper compare four additional regression algorithms in addition to the Boosted Decision Tree Regression algorithm to measure algorithm performance. The results showed high accuracy in the order of the First Boosted Decision Tree Regression Algorithm (0.878802), second Decision Forest Regression (0.838232), third Poison Regression (0.62699), and fourth Linear Regression (0.618773). Based on these predictions, it is expected that more public bicycles will be placed at rental stations near public transportation to meet the growing demand for commuting hours and that more bicycles will be placed in rental stations in summer than winter and the life of bicycles can be extended in winter.

Development of a Monitoring Technique of Dryness and Wetness in Watershed using Climatic Water Budget (기후학적 물수지에 의한 유역의 건조 및 습윤 상황 감시 기법 개발)

  • Shin, Sha-Chul;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2008
  • Climatic water balance has been applied to obtain quantity of various hydrologic components. Hydrologic information is estimated by comparison between rainfall and evapotranspiration under complex terrain condition. Water deficit is defined as that subtraction of actual supply from climatic demand. The water deficit will occur, when monthly evapotranspiration exceed monthly rainfall. Contrary water surplus is defined as that surplus water after meeting the demand by plants. The water surplus will be occurred when monthly rainfall exceeds monthly evapotranspiration. Finally, the discrete moisture indices were calculated and mapped for the whole watershed to estimate dryness and wetness status using the climatic water balance approach. The result of this study can properly interpret the real drought and non drought. Based upon the results, it can be concluded that the climatic water balance model is useful to monitor water conditions for the watershed.

Analysis of Household Income and Expenditure of Households with a Negative Cash Flow Across Income Groups in 2000, 2005, and 2010 (소득계층별 적자가계의 소비 지출 분석: 2000, 2005, 2010년의 가계를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Jonghee;Yang, Sejeong
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.125-143
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study was to gain a better understanding of households with a negative cash flow. The Household Budget Survey conducted in 2000, 2005, and 2010 by the Bureau of Statistics in South Korea were used for this study. The households used in this study were divided into four groups according to their income levels; they were categorized the lowest, low, middle, and high income groups. This study made several findings regarding households with a negative/positive cash flow. Firstly, the demographic and economic characteristics were different between those who have a negative cash flow and those with a positive cash flow. A female household head, a household head age 65 and older, a household head with a lower educational attainment, an unemployed household head, and the presence of a child/children in schools were related with the household deficit. Secondly, the households with a positive cash flow had a higher income level compared to the households with a negative cash flow, while the households with a negative cash flow had a much higher consumption level compared to the households with a positive cash flow. Thirdly, the household deficit to total income ratio of the lowest income group was higher when compared to any other income group. Lastly, the multivariate statistics showed that households including a child/children in schools are more likely to be a household with a negative cash flow. Especially, the expenditures on education and transportation were related with the likelihood of a household deficit.

Evapotranspiration Measurements using an Eddy Covariance Technique in the Seolmacheon Catchment (에디 공분산으로 관측된 설마천 산림 유역의 증발산)

  • Kwon, Hyou-Jung;Kim, Joon;Lee, Jung-Hoon;Jung, Sung-Won;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1112-1116
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    • 2009
  • The importance of securing water resources and their efficient management has attracted more attention recently due to water deficit. In water budget analysis, however, evapotranspiration (${\lambda}E$) has been approximated as the residual in the water balance equation or estimated from empirical equations and assumptions. To minimize the uncertainties in these estimates, it is necessary to directly measure ${\lambda}E$. In this study, using the eddy covariance technique, we have measured ${\lambda}E$ in a mixed forest in the Seolmacheon catchment in Korea from September 2007 to December 2008. During the growing season (May - July), ${\lambda}E$ in this mixed forest averaged about 2.2 mm $d^{-1}$, whereas it was on average 0.5 mm $d^{-1}$ during the non-growing season in winter. The annual total ${\lambda}E$ in 2008 was 581 mm $y^{-1}$, which is about 1/3 of the annual precipitation of 1997 mm. Despite the differences in the amount and frequency of precipitation, the accumulated ${\lambda}E$ during the overlapping period (i.e., September to December) for 2007 and 2008 was both ${\sim}$ 110 mm, showing virtually no difference. The omega factor, which is a measure of decoupling between forest and the atmosphere, was on average 0.5, indicating that the contributions of equilibrium ${\lambda}E$ and imposed ${\lambda}E$ to the total ${\lambda}E$ were about the same. The results suggest that ${\lambda}E$in this mixed forest was controlled by various factors such as net radiation, vapor pressure deficit, and canopy conductance. In this study, based on the direct measurements of ${\lambda}E$, we have quantified the relative contribution of ${\lambda}E$in the water balance of a mixed forest in the Seolmacheon catchment. In combination with runoff data, the information on ${\lambda}E$ would greatly enhance the reliability of water budget analysis in this catchment.

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The Limited Investigation of the Cyber-police and the Reinforcement of its Investigative Ability (사이버경찰의 수사한계와 수사력 강화방안)

  • Choi, Eung-Ryul;Hwang, Young-Gu
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.8
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    • pp.379-407
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    • 2004
  • The cyber-crime is one of the results occurring from the increased dependency toward information-telecommunication devices. Currently, the Korean National Police Agency and many other related law enforcement agencies have made efforts to respond against the cyber-crimes. However, the number of cyber-crime is increasing steadily. The worse problem is that the arresting rate for the cyber-crime has been decreased than before. The reasons of decreasing arresting rate come from many different kinds of cyber-crime methods with the developed computer and network technology, Also, the easy concealment of the cyber-crime by the violater and the difficulty of specification against the data objected to search and seizure make the crackdown difficult. The other difficulties come from the lack of professionally trained investigators, the lack of high-technological investigation devices, and the failure of the technology development for the search and seizure of evidences because of the budget deficit. That is to say, these phenomenon show the comprehensive problem of the cyber-police system. Accordingly, to respond against newly changed cyber-crime activities and to investigate effectively, the cyber-police has to take consideration into the professional reorganization of the cyber-police, the development of the investigation technology, and the adjustment of current cyber-crime laws. Most importantly, the cyber-police needs the high-technological investigation devices, the development of the investigation methods, and the training for the professional human resources with the enough budget support.J

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Determinants of Healthcare Expenditures in GCC Countries: A Panel Data Analysis

  • ALI, Abdelaziz Abdelmegid;SAYED, Mohamed Noureldin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.705-714
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the main factors that affected the government health expenditures in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Oman, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait), during the period from 2005 to 2019. The study employs a panel data technique in order to monitor the pooled determinant variables of healthcare expenditures in these countries. The study's results indicate, by using FMOLS approach for panel data, that the average healthcare expenditures per capita in GCC countries have a positive and a significant relationship with the government revenues, the size of the population, and the governments' public debt. The positive and the significant relationships of governments' public debt may be explained even if the governments of the GCC countries suffer from a budget deficit; the GCC countries continue to increase the healthcare expenditure. The study suggests that the policymakers of the GCC countries must take into consideration those variables when they develop their healthcare policies. Also, the GCC countries urgently need to have high levels of foreign exchange reserves to maintain the expected level of spending on the healthcare sector, because their public revenues depend mainly on the oil revenues, which are fluctuating continuously.

Intake Valve Temperature Effect on the Mixture Preparation in a SI Engine During Warm-up

  • 신영기
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.51-66
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    • 1997
  • A heat transfer model of the intake valve in a spark ignition engine is presented, which is calibrated with a number of the valve temperature profiles measured during engine warm-up for the gaseous fuel(propane). The valve is divided into four identical elements for which the assumption of lumped thermal mass is applied. The calibration is made so that the difference between the measued and simulated valve temperatures becomes minimal. Then the model is applied to the cases of the liquid fuel(indolene) to estimate the amount of the liquid fuel vaporized from the intake valve by assuming that fuel evaporation accounts for the deficit of the heat balance budget. The results of the model show quantitative contribution of each heat transfer source to the heat balance. The behavior of the calculated mass fraction of the fuel vaporized from the intake valve explains how the liquid fuel evaporate during engine warm-up. The mass fraction at warmed-up condition is closely related with the fraction directly targeted on the valve back by the fuel spray geometry.

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Reliability evaluation plan of Rocket motor system (고체 추진기관 시스템의 신뢰성 평가 방안)

  • Kwon, Tag-Man;Jung, Ji-Sun;Shim, Hang-Geun;Jang, Ju-Su
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.399-407
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    • 2011
  • Reliability evaluation of One-Shot system which flies at speed of Mach must be evaluated as the result of many firing tests. But many firing tests are impossible because of budget deficit. Consequently the reliability prediction which substitutes firing tests is used. The accuracy of reliability prediction is decided according to a quantity of accumulated test data. If the test data is insufficient, the direction of prediction can not be set. So we propose the reliability prediction method which applies MIL-HDBK-217 Plus. MIL-HDBK-217 Plus is described about reliability prediction method without sufficient test data. So we apply MIL-HDBK-217 Plus to the rocket motor system, and we accomplish a modeling and a reliability prediction about the system.