• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bid Data

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A Study on the Time Series Analysis of the Actual Unit Cost based on the Bid Prices (시계열을 이용한 실적단가 예측방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Won-Young;Seo, Jong-Won;Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Choi, Bong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2009
  • The Korea Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of Cost estimate of public construction projects is failed to reflect the fluctuation of current construction cost. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004 and to reduce the use of Korean Standard of Estimate. This paper presents a series of process and the methodology for computing Actual Cost and analyzing the fluctuation patterns based on not only previous contract prices which made a successful bid but also all of the other bid prices. Also, this paper mainly handles a device for extracting strategic bid price such as low price bid for assuring reliable data and for predicting the construction cost which is built by Wavelet Analysis of Time series Analysis data and Neural Network. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

Reserve Price Recommendation Methods for Auction Systems Based on Time Series Analysis (경매 시스템에서 시계열 분석에 기반한 낙찰 예정가 추천 방법)

  • Ko Min Jung;Lee Yong Kyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2005
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory and the moving average of time series analysis. However, one problem of the previous approaches is that the recent trend of auction prices is not well reflected on the generated reserve prices, because it simply provides the bid price of the most similar item or an average price of some similar items using the past auction data. In this paper. in order to overcome the problem. we propose a method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average. the exponential smoothing, and the least square of time series analysis. Through performance experiments. we show that the successful bid rate of the new method can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices compared with the previous methods.

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The Prediction of Bidding Price using Deep Learning in the Electronic Bidding (전자입찰에서 딥러닝을 이용한 입찰 가격예측)

  • Hwang, Dae-Hyeon;Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2020
  • The bidding program uses statistical analysis method of the collected bidding information and the accumulated bidding results from the public/private sector; however, it is not easy to predict the accurate bidding price by winning the bid method through multiple lottery. Therefore, this paper analyzes the accuracy of the current state data of the electric construction bid from January 2015 to August 2019 acquired from the electric net, which is an electronic bidding site, We use MLP and RNN method, and proposes a technique to predict the bidding amount necessary for the winning bid by predicting the amount between the first and the lowest bidder.

Automatic Reserve Price Generation for an Internet Auction System Using Moving Average (이동 평균을 이용한 인터넷 경매 시스템의 낙찰 예정가 자동생성)

  • 고민정;이용규
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2004
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory. However, one of its drawbacks is that the recent trend of auction prices is not reflected in the generated reserve prices, because it suggests the bid price of the most similar item from the past auction data. In this paper, in order to overcome the problem, we propose a new method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average of time series analysis, in which more weight is provided to the recent bid prices. Through performance experiments, we show that the successful bid rate can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices.

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A Development of Court Auction Information System using Time Series Forecasting (시계열 예측을 이용한 법원경매 정보제공 시스템 개발)

  • Oh, Kab-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a development of court auction information system using time series forecasting. The system forecast a highest bid price for claim analysis, and it is designed to offer an quota information by the bid price. For this realization, we implemented input interface of object data and web interface of information support. Input interface can be input, update and delete function and web interface is support some information of court auction object. We propose a forecasting method of a highest bid price for auto-claim analysis with real time information support and the results are verified the feasibility of the proposed method by experiment.

CRITICAL DRIVING FORCE FOR CONTRACTOR'S OPPORTUNISTIC BIDDING BEHAVIOR IN PUBLIC WORKS

  • Min-Ren Yan ;Wei Lo ;Chien-Liang Lin
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.417-423
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    • 2005
  • Contractor's opportunistic bidding behavior refers to contractor's deliberate low-bid, which cannot accord with the cost, and expectation for beyond-contractual reward (BCR), the compensation earned through cutting corners or claims after undertaking the construction project. This research applies System Dynamics to develop a model of contractor's pricing with consideration for dimensions of "cost", "market competition", and "BCR". Iterative computer simulations were performed to analyze the effects of contractor's pricing on the market price. The results were then examined by statistical analysis on data collected from 44 highway projects in Taiwan. It is found that the critical force driving the contractors to bid opportunistically is their excessive expectations in BCR under the current environment. Within the price competition mechanism, if the problem of BCR exists, even if the bidding system is further improved, contractors would still prefer opportunistic bidding behavior, and eventually make the whole construction industry operate ineffectively. Therefore, it is crucial to remedy the aforementioned BCR problem by more effective management policy.

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Effects of Glutamine Deprivation and Serum Starvation on the Growth of Human Umbilical Vein Endothelial Cells (재대정맥 내피세포의 증식에 미치는 글루타민 및 혈청 결핍의 영향)

  • Jeong, Jin-Woo;Lee, Hye Hyeon;Park, Cheol;Kim, Wun-Jae;Choi, Yung Hyun
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.926-932
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    • 2013
  • Glutamine and serum are essential for cell survival and proliferation in vitro, yet the signaling pathways that sense glutamine and serum levels in endothelial cells remain uninvestigated. In this study, we examined the effects of glutamine deprivation and serum starvation on the fate of endothelial cells using a human umbilical vein endothelial cell (HUVEC) model. Our data indicated that glutamine deprivation and serum starvation trigger a progressive reduction in cell viability through apoptosis induction in HUVECs as determined by DAPI staining and flow cytometry analysis. Although the apoptotic effects were more predominant in the glutamine deprivation condition, both apoptotic actions were associated with an increase in the Bax/Bcl-2 (or Bcl-xL) ratio, down-regulation of the inhibitor of apoptosis protein (IAP) family proteins, activation of caspase activities, and concomitant degradation of poly (ADP-ribose) polymerases. Moreover, down-regulation of the expression of Bid or up-regulation of truncated Bid (tBid) were observed in cells grown under the same conditions, indicating that glutamine deprivation and serum starvation induce the apoptosis of HUVECs through a signaling cascade involving death-receptor-mediated extrinsic pathways, as well as mitochondria-mediated intrinsic caspase pathways. However, apoptosis was not induced in cells grown in glutamine- and serum-free media when compared with cells exposed to glutamine deprivation or serum starvation alone. Taken together, our data indicate that glutamine deprivation and serum starvation suppress cell viability without apoptosis induction in HUVECs.

An Empirical Study on the Detection of Phantom Transaction in Online Auction (온라인 경매에의 카드깡 탐지요인에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Chae Myeong-Sin;Jo Hyeong-Jun;Lee Byeong-Chae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.68-98
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    • 2004
  • Although the internet is useful for transferring information, Internet auction environments make fraud more attractive to offenders because the chance of detection and punishment are decreased. One of fraud is phantom transaction which is a colluding transaction by the buyer and seller to commit illegal discounting of credit card. They pretend to fulfill the transaction paid by credit card, without actual selling products, and the seller receives cash from credit card corporations. Then seller lends it out buyer with quite high interest rate whose credit score is so bad that he cannot borrow money from anywhere. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the factors to detect of the phantom transaction in online auction. Based up on the studies that explored behaviors of buyers and sellers in online auction, bidding numbers, bid increments, sellers' credit, auction length, and starting bids were suggested as independent variables. We developed an Internet-based data collection software agent and collect data on transactions of notebook computers each of which winning bid was over 1,000,000 won. Data analysis with logistic regression model revealed that starting bids, sellers' credit, and auction length were significant in detecting the phantom transaction.

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An Empirical Study on the Detection of Phantom Transaction in Online Auction (온라인 경매에서의 신용카드 허위거래 탐지 요인에 대한 실증 연구)

  • Chae Myungsin;Cho Hyungjun;Lee Byungtae
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2004
  • Although the Internet is useful for transferring information, Internet auction environments make fraud more attractive to offenders, because the chance of detection and punishment is decreased. One of these frauds is the phantom transaction, which is a colluding transaction by the buyer and seller to commit the illegal discounting of a credit card. They pretend to fulfill the transaction paid by credit card, without actually selling products, and the seller receives cash from the credit card corporations. Then the seller lends it out with quite a high interest rate to the buyer, whose credit rating is so poor that he cannot borrow money from anywhere else. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the factors necessary to detect phantom transactions in an online auction. Based upon studies that have explored the behaviors of buyers and sellers in online auctions, the following have been suggested as independent variables: bidding numbers, bid increments, sellers' credit, auction lengths, and starting bids. In this study. we developed Internet-based data collection software and collected data on transactions of notebook computers, each of which had a winning bid of over W one million. Data analysis with a logistic regression model revealed that starting bids, sellers' credit, and auction length were significant in detecting the phantom transactions.

Project Performance Comparison Based on Different Types of Project Delivery System (사례연구 분석을 통한 발주방식별 성과비교)

  • Lee, Soo-Kyong;Jung, Young-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.207-209
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    • 2011
  • Numerous reports show that alternative project delivery systems (PDSs) such as design-build (DB), construction management at risk (CMR), and design-build-maintain (DBM) are increasingly used in many countries. This study compared characteristics of each PDS (design-bid-build (DBB), DB, CMR, or DBM) by analyzing quantitative data from 9 research articles. In order to compare characteristics between DBB and alternative PDSs, the study is based on principal 3 factors - Time, Cost, and Quality. DB shows the best performance in the time part and also the cost performance depending on facility type and project size. The performance of quality has minor difference among different PDSs. These results support the fact that using an appropriate PDS by the characteristic of a project makes high value of efficiency and productivity.

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