• Title/Summary/Keyword: Biases

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Effects of Cognitive Heuristics on the Decisions of Actual Judges and Mock Jury Groups for Simulated Trial Issues (가상적인 재판 쟁점에서의 현역판사의 판단과 모의배심의 집단판단에 대한 인지적 방략의 효과)

  • Kwang B. Park;Sang Joon Kim;Mi Young Han
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.59-84
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    • 2005
  • Three studies were conducted to examine the degree to which three common heuristics, anchoring heuristic, framing effect and representative-ness heuristic, influence the decision-making precesses of actual judges and 5-persons mock juries. With scenarios regarding various issues that are commonly raised in actual criminal and civil trials, study 1 examined the 158 actual judges' decisions. In study 2, the decisions of 80 mock jury groups that consisted of college students were examined with similar scenarios. And individual decisions were examined in study 3 to compare with the group decisions in study 2. The decision processes of the actual judges and the mock jury groups alike were found to be influenced by "anchors". But the biases by the anchoring heuristic were more pronounced in the group decisions than in the decisions of the actual judges. With respect to framing effect, the actual judges were found to be resistant, while a small effect was found in the decisions of mock jury groups. Representative-ness biases weren't found in the decisions of both the actual judges and mock juries. The implications of the results for judicial systems were discussed.

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A study of the Sampling Bias Correction on Joint Data from 1D Survey Line (1D 측선에 의한 절리 자료에 대한 편향 보정 기법에 관한 연구)

  • 엄정기
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.344-352
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    • 2003
  • The procedures to correct sampling biases for discontinuity data obtained from 1D survey line(borehole or scanline) is addressed. The Probability of intersection between the survey line and a circular discontinuity is considered, and a correction far orientation bias is developed assuming discontinuities as equivalent circular disks. The correction incorporates the effect of the angle between the direction of survey line and each discontinuity plane belonging to the discontinuity cluster, size of each discontinuity and length of the survey line. A procedure is provided to estimate unbiased discontinuity spacing parameters using the discontinuity spacing data based on the measurements carried out on a finite length of the survey line.

Effect of Bias on the Pearson Chi-squared Test for Two Population Homogeneity Test

  • Heo, Sunyeong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 2012
  • Categorical data collected based on complex sample design is not proper for the standard Pearson multinomial-based chi-squared test because the observations are not independent and identically distributed. This study investigates effects of bias of point estimator of population proportion and its variance estimator to the standard Pearson chi-squared test statistics when the sample is collected based on complex sampling scheme. This study examines the effect under two population homogeneity test. The standard Pearson test statistic can be partitioned into two parts; the first part is the weighted sum of ${\chi}^2_1$ with eigenvalues of design matrix as their weights, and the additional second part which is added due to the biases of the point estimator and its variance estimator. Our empirical analysis shows that even though the bias of point estimator is small, Pearson test statistic is very much inflated due to underestimate the variance of point estimator. In the connection of design-based variance estimator and its design matrix, the bigger the average of eigenvalues of design matrix is, the larger relative size of which the first component part to Pearson test statistic is taking.

Multi-GNSS Standard Point Positioning using GPS, GLONASS, BeiDou and QZSS Measurements Recorded at MKPO Reference Station in South Korea

  • Choi, Byung-Kyu;Cho, Chang-Hyun;Cho, Jung Ho;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2015
  • The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is undergoing dramatic changes. Nowadays, much more satellites are transmitting navigation data at more frequencies. A multi-GNSS analysis is performed to improve the positioning accuracy by processing combined observations from different GNSS. The multi-GNSS technique can improve significantly the positioning accuracy. In this paper, we present a combined Global Positioning System (GPS), the GLObal NAvigation Satellite System (GLONASS), the China Satellite Navigation System (BeiDou), and the Quasi-Zenith Satellite System (QZSS) standard point positioning (SPP) method to exploit all currently available GNSS observations at Mokpo (MKPO) station in South Korea. We also investigate the multi-GNSS data recorded at MKPO reference station. The positioning accuracy is compared with several combinations of the satellite systems. Because of the different frequencies and signal structure of the different GNSS, intersystem biases (ISB) parameters for code observations have to be estimated together with receiver clocks in multi-GNSS SPP. We also present GPS/GLONASS and GPS/BeiDou ISB values estimated by the daily average.

Implications of PSR J0737-3039B for the Galactic NS-NS Binary Merger Rate

  • Kim, Chunglee;Perera, Benetge Bhakthi Pranama;McLaughlin, Maura A.
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.88.4-89
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    • 2015
  • The Double Pulsar (PSR J0737-3039) is the only neutron star-neutron star (NS-NS) binary in which both NSs have been detectable as radio pulsars. The Double Pulsar has been assumed to dominate the Galactic NS-NS binary merger rate $R_g$ among all known systems, solely based on the properties of the first-born, recycled pulsar (PSR J0737-3039A, or A) with an assumption for the beaming correction factor of 6. In this work, we carefully correct observational biases for the second-born, non-recycled pulsar (PSR J0737-0737B, or B) and estimate the contribution from the Double Pulsar on $R_g$ using constraints available from both A and B. Observational constraints from the B pulsar favour a small beaming correction factor for A (~2), which is consistent with a bipolar model. Considering known NS-NS binaries with the best observational constraints, including both A and B, we obtain $R_g=21_{-14}{^+28}$ per Myr at 95 per cent confidence from our reference model. We expect the detection rate of gravitational waves from NS-NS inspirals for the advanced ground-based gravitational-wave detectors is to be $8_{-5}{^+10}$ per yr at 95 per cent confidence. We discuss prospects of gravitational-wave detection based on our results. Implications of PSR J1906+0746, which is likely to be another tight NS-NS binary in the Galactic disc supported by recent observation, are also remarked.

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Reduced Error Model for Integrated Navigation of Unmanned Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (무인자율수중운동체의 보정항법을 위한 축소된 오차 모델)

  • Park, Yong-Gonjong;Kang, Chulwoo;Lee, Dal Ho;Park, Chan Gook
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.584-591
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a novel aided navigation method for AUV (Autonomous Underwater Vehicles). The navigation system for AUV includes several sensors such as IMU (Inertial Measurement Unit), DVL (Doppler Velocity Log) and depth sensor. In general, the $13^{th}$ order INS error model, which includes depth error, velocity error, attitude error, and the accelerometer and gyroscope biases as state variables is used with measurements from DVL and depth sensors. However, the model may degrade the estimation performance of the heading state. Therefore, the $11^{th}$ INS error model is proposed. Its validity is verified by using a degree of observability and analyzing steady state error. The performance of the proposed model is shown by the computer simulation. The results show that the performance of the reduced $11^{th}$ order error model is better than that of the conventional $13^{th}$ order error model.

Simulations of Proposed Shallow Trench Isolation using TCAD Tool (TCAD 툴을 이용한 제안된 얕은 트랜치 격리의 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, YongJae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the proposed shallow trench isolation structures for high threshold voltage for very large scale and ultra high voltage integrated circuits MOSFET were simulated. Physically based models of hot-carrier stress and dielectric enhanced field of thermal damage have been incorporated into a TCAD tool with the aim of investigating the electrical degradation in integrated devices over an extended range of stress biases and ambient temperatures. As a simulation results, shallow trench structure were intended to be electric functions of passive, as device dimensions shrink, the electrical characteristics influence of proposed STI structures on the transistor applications become stronger the potential difference electric field and saturation threshold voltage.

Placebo Effects and Clinical Trials of Neuropsychiatric Drugs (위약효과와 신경정신약물의 임상시험)

  • Kim, Sung-Wan;Jang, Ji-Eun;Yoon, Jin-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Biological Psychiatry
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.164-171
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    • 2012
  • The placebo effect, a response observed during the placebo arm of a clinical trial, is produced by the psychobiological action of the placebo as well as by other potential contributors to symptom amelioration such as spontaneous improvement, regression to the mean, biases, concurrent treatments, and study design. From a psychological viewpoint, there are many mechanisms that contribute to placebo effects, including expectations, conditioning, learning, and anxiety reduction. Placebo responses are also mediated by opioid and non-opioid mechanisms including dopamine, serotonin, cholecystokinin, and immune mediators. During recent years, a trend towards increased placebo effects in clinical trials of neuropsychiatric drugs has been noted. Indeed, the placebo effects observed in clinical trials constitute an increasing problem and interfere with signal-detection analyses of potential treatments. Several potential factors including protocol/study design and conduct related factors may account for the placebo effect observed in clinical trials. This paper reviews key issues related to this problem and aims to identify potential solutions.

A Comparison of Broadcast and Final Orbits on GPS Delays in GPS-VLBI Hybrid Observation

  • Kwak, Younghee;Cho, Jungho;Kondo, Tetsuro;Takiguchi, Hiroshi;Amagai, Jun;Gotoh, Tadahiro;Sekido, Mamoru;Ichikawa, Ryuichi;Kim, Tuhwan;Sasao, Tetsuo
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2012
  • We carry out an error analysis of 24-hour global positioning system (GPS)-very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) (GV) hybrid observation data. In this paper, we focus on the impacts of broadcast and final orbits on the GPS delays of the GV hybrid observation by analyzing the residuals, observed - calculated (O-C) values. The residuals show apparent and consistent biases for L1 and L2 signals, respectively. The scatters of the residuals are around a few nanoseconds. The main cause of those observation errors is the absence of the GPS phase and delay calibration system. Most of the satellites show that the differences between the delays, to which broadcast and final orbits are applied, are about 100 times smaller than the current GV hybrid observation errors. We conclude that GPS delays are not greatly affected by orbit accuracies.

Does Social Exclusion Influence Consumers' Pseudodiagnosticity Biases towards Distribution Brands?

  • HAN, Woong-Hee
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study explores how cognitive impairment caused by social exclusion experience can be explained through cognitive narrowing and how it influences consumer's judgment and reasoning and results pseudodiagnosticity bias towards distribution brands. This study examines the characteristics of cognitive narrowing, which is one of the strategies for overcoming the negative emotions resulting from social exclusion, and how cognitive errors called pseudodiagnosticity bias occur due to cognitive narrowing in the evaluation of distribution brands. Research design, data and methodology: Present study was performed with 77 college students in Seoul. Participants were randomly assigned to the group who experienced social exclusion and the group who did not experience social exclusion. The analysis has been made of how the degree of bias of pseudodiagnosticity differs according to the experience of social exclusion by t-test. Results: The group who experienced social exclusion had a higher level of pseudodiagnosticity bias towards distribution brands than the group who did not experience social exclusion. Conclusions: This study confirmed what characteristics of cognitive narrowing, which is one of the strategies for overcoming the negative emotions resulting from social exclusion, and how cognitive errors called pseudodiagnosticity bias occur due to cognitive narrowing. Implications and future research directions were discussed and suggested.