• 제목/요약/키워드: Bhopal

검색결과 26건 처리시간 0.019초

What is the Most Suitable Time Period to Assess the Time Trends in Cancer Incidence Rates to Make Valid Predictions - an Empirical Approach

  • Ramnath, Takiar;Shah, Varsha Premchandbhai;Krishnan, Sathish Kumar
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권8호
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    • pp.3097-3100
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    • 2015
  • Projections of cancer cases are particularly useful in developing countries to plan and prioritize both diagnostic and treatment facilities. In the prediction of cancer cases for the future period say after 5 years or after 10 years, it is imperative to use the knowledge of past time trends in incidence rates as well as in population at risk. In most of the recently published studies the duration for which the time trend was assessed was more than 10 years while in few studies the duration was between 5-7 years. This raises the question as to what is the optimum time period which should be used for assessment of time trends and projections. Thus, the present paper explores the suitability of different time periods to predict the future rates so that the valid projections of cancer burden can be done for India. The cancer incidence data of selected cancer sites of Bangalore, Bhopal, Chennai, Delhi and Mumbai PBCR for the period of 1991-2009 was utilized. The three time periods were selected namely 1991-2005; 1996-2005, 1999-2005 to assess the time trends and projections. For the five selected sites, each for males and females and for each registry, the time trend was assessed and the linear regression equation was obtained to give prediction for the years 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009. These predictions were compared with actual incidence data. The time period giving the least error in prediction was adjudged as the best. The result of the current analysis suggested that for projections of cancer cases, the 10 years duration data are most appropriate as compared to 7 year or 15 year incidence data.

A Model Approach to Calculate Cancer Prevalence from 5 Years Survival Data for Selected Cancer Sites in India - Part II

  • Takiar, Ramnath;Krishnan, Sathish Kumar;Shah, Varsha Premchandbhai
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권14호
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    • pp.5681-5684
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    • 2014
  • Objective: Prevalence is a statistic of primary interest in public health. In the absence of good follow-up facilities, it is often difficult to assess the complete prevalence of cancer for a given registry area. An attempt is made to arrive at the complete prevalence including limited duration prevalence with respect of selected sites of cancer for India by fitting appropriate models to 1, 3 and 5 year cancer survival data available for selected registries of India. Methodology: Cancer survival data, available for the registries of Bhopal, Chennai, Karunagappally, and Mumbai was pooled to generate survival for the selected cancer sites. With the available data on survival for 1, 3 and 5 years, a model was fitted and the survival curve was extended beyond 5 years (up to 30 years) for each of the selected sites. This helped in generation of survival proportions by single year and thereby survival of cancer cases. With the help of estimated survived cases available year wise and the incidence, the prevalence figures were arrived for selected cancer sites and for selected periods. In our previous paper, we have dealt with the cancer sites of breast, cervix, ovary, lung, stomach and mouth (Takiar and Jayant, 2013). Results: The prevalence to incidence ratio (PI ratio) was calculated for 30 years duration for all the selected cancer sites using the model approach showing that from the knowledge of incidence and P/I ratio, the prevalence can be calculated. The validity of the approach was shown in our previous paper (Takiar and Jayant, 2013). The P/I ratios for the cancer sites of lip, tongue, oral cavity, hypopharynx, oesophagus, larynx, nhl, colon, prostate, lymphoid leukemia, myeloid leukemia were observed to be 10.26, 4.15, 5.89, 2.81, 1.87, 5.43, 5.48, 5.24, 4.61, 3.42 and 2.65, respectively. Conclusion: Cancer prevalence can be readily estimated with use of survival and incidence data.

Retrieval of Legal Information Through Discovery Layers: A Case Study Related to Indian Law Libraries

  • Kushwah, Shivpal Singh;Singh, Ritu
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 2016
  • Purpose. The purpose of this paper is to analyze and evaluate discovery layer search tools for retrieval of legal information in Indian law libraries. This paper covers current practices in legal information retrieval with special reference to Indian academic law libraries, and analyses its importance in the domain of law.Design/Methodology/Approach. A web survey and observational study method are used to collect the data. Data related to the discovery tools were collected using email and further discussion held with the discovery layer/ tool /product developers and their representatives.Findings. Results show that most of the Indian law libraries are subscribing to bundles of legal information resources such as Hein Online, JSTOR, LexisNexis Academic, Manupatra, Westlaw India, SCC web, AIR Online (CDROM), and so on. International legal and academic resources are compatible with discovery tools because they support various standards related to online publishing and dissemination such as OAI/PMH, Open URL, MARC21, and Z39.50, but Indian legal resources such as Manupatra, Air, and SCC are not compatible with the discovery layers. The central index is one of the important components in a discovery search interface, and discovery layer services/tools could be useful for Indian law libraries also if they can include multiple legal and academic resources in their central index. But present practices and observations reveal that discovery layers are not providing facility to cover legal information resources. Therefore, in the present form, discovery tools are not very useful; they are an incomplete and half solution for Indian libraries because all available Indian legal resources available in the law libraries are not covered.Originality/Value. Very limited research or published literature is available in the area of discovery layers and their compatibility with legal information resources.

Functional Outcomes of Subaxial Spine Injuries Managed With 2-Level Anterior Cervical Corpectomy and Fusion: A Prospective Study

  • Jain, Vaibhav;Madan, Ankit;Thakur, Manoj;Thakur, Amit
    • Neurospine
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.368-375
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    • 2018
  • Objective: To evaluate the results of operative management of subaxial spine injuries managed with 2-level anterior cervical corpectomy and fusion with a cervical locking plate and autologous bone-filled titanium mesh cage. Methods: This study included 23 patients with a subaxial spine injury who matched the inclusion criteria, underwent 2-level anterior cervical corpectomy and fusion at our institution between 2013 and 2016, and were followed up for neurological recovery, axial pain, fusion, pseudarthrosis, and implant failure. Results: According to Allen and Ferguson classification, there were 9 cases of distractive extension; 4 of compressive extension; 3 each of compressive flexion, vertical compression, and distractive flexion; and 1 of lateral flexion. Sixteen patients had a score of 6 on the Subaxial Injury Classification system, and the rest had a score of more than 6. The mean follow-up period was 19 months (range, 12-48 months). Neurological recovery was observed in most of the patients (78.21%). All patients experienced relief of axial pain. None of the patients received a blood transfusion. Twenty-one patients (91.3%) showed solid fusion and 2 (8.69%) showed possible pseudarthrosis, with no complications related to the cage or plate. Conclusion: Two-level anterior cervical corpectomy and fusion, along with stabilization with a cervical locking plate and autologous bone graft-filled titanium mesh cage, can be considered a feasible and safe method for treating specific subaxial spine injuries, with the benefits of high primary stability, anatomical reduction, and direct decompression of the spinal cord.

화학물질 누출에 의한 대량재해 - Methyl Isocyanate 누출을 중심으로 - (Chemical Disaster of Methyl Isocyanate Leakage)

  • 양혁준;최중명;유동준
    • 한국응급구조학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 1999
  • Background : We are in the edge of some human made disasters such as hazardous materials and air pollution, for example, the world news reported that the city of Bhopal, India had serious victims related with a leaking out of the chemical materials, Methyl Isocyanate and many people in India were killed by. These situations many people who live in this world are world are worrying about are not others, but just ours and people consider about that kind of the disasters are the possible situation to happen to all the people. Therefore, we performed this basic study to recognize the risk of Methyl Isocyanate leak accident and to prepare local disaster plan with EMS system. Method : Trace 8.0, a simulation software made by the U.S. company Safer System was used as a tool to estimate the diffusion distance, area and its victims at the concentrations of 0.02ppm, 0.2ppm 5ppm respectively for an assumed B-city of 2 hundred thousands population count in which was presumed 500kg Methyl Isocyanate gas to leak out. Results : 1. During 1 hour, maximum diffusion distances of 0.02ppm 0.2ppm and 5ppm were 5.41km, 1.61km and 0.29km respectively on the plume impact. 2. Maximum population counts influenced by Methyl Isocyanate gas at the concentrations of 0.02ppm 0.2ppm and 5ppm were 40838, 4346 and 222 on the plume impact, while those were 138238, 17261 and 1588 on the vulnerability impact, respectively. 3. Therefore, 17261 persons must put on respiratory device and 138283 persons must be evacuated to safety place within 1 hour. Conclusions : Only small amount leak of Methyl Isocyanate may cause tremendous chemical disaster in urban area, so its disaster plan must be prepared with an accident simulation program and Material Safety Data Sheets(MSDS). Especially, nearby emergency center of an industrial complex must have a strong position about preparation of chemical disaster plan and perform a disaster dill of hazardous material accident annually.

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Identifying Characteristics of Incidents at Hazardous Material Facilities

  • Kim, Geun-Young;Kim, Sang-Won;Won, Jai-Mu
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2009
  • 안전 및 품질 평가시스템은 유해물질 재난을 예방하기 위해 유해물질의 생산 저장 수송 취급에 매우 중요하다. 현재 유해물질은 플라스틱, 가정의 세척제, 비료 또는 석유관련제품으로 우리의 일상생활 어디에서든지 존재하고 있다. 그러나 유해물질은 인간이나 환경에 누출되었을 때 매우 위험한 물질이다. 유해물질은 석유기반 경제시대에 매우 폭넓게 사용되고 있다. 우리나라의 환경부는 전세계적으로 유해물질의 유형이 약 십만개가 넘을 것으로 추산하고 있다. 또한 매년 4백개 이상의 새로운 물질이 개발되고 있다. 따라서 유해물질 관리측면에서 우리는 유해물질 사고로부터 안전한가에 대해 의문이 제기될 수 있다. 1984년에 발생해 6,400명이 넘는 사망자와 3만명 이상의 부상자를 낸 인도 보팔사고는 이러한 우리의 유해물질 안전에 대한 불안을 증폭시키는 대표적인 사례이다. 우리나라는 최근 산업의 고도화로 각종 유해물질 사고가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 따라서 낙후된 유해물질 관리시스템을 자기관리가 가능한 안전시스템으로 전환하기 위한 위험평가시스템의 구축이 우리사회에 요구되고 있다. 본 연구는 유해물질 위험평가시스템 구축을 위한 기반을 제공하기 위해 지난 10년동안 유해물질 관련시설에서 발생한 사고사례들을 연구의 대상으로 하여 유해물질 시설사고의 특성을 빈도분석, 교차분석 등의 통계기법을 적용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 사고시설 유형과 연도, 계절, 발생지역, 사망자 발생간 관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다.