• Title/Summary/Keyword: Best Point Estimate

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Development of Reliability Analysis Procedures for Repairable Systems with Interval Failure Time Data and a Related Case Study (구간 고장 데이터가 주어진 수리가능 시스템의 신뢰도 분석절차 개발 및 사례연구)

  • Cho, Cha-Hyun;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.859-870
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop reliability analysis procedures for repairable systems with interval failure time data and apply the procedures for assessing the storage reliability of a subsystem of a certain type of guided missile. In the procedures, the interval failure time data are converted to pseudo failure times using the uniform random generation method, mid-point method or equispaced intervals method. Then, such analytic trend tests as Laplace, Lewis-Robinson, Pair-wise Comparison Nonparametric tests are used to determine whether the failure process follows a renewal or non-renewal process. Monte Carlo simulation experiments are conducted to compare the three conversion methods in terms of the statistical performance for each trend test when the underlying process is homogeneous Poisson, renewal, or non-homogeneous Poisson. The simulation results show that the uniform random generation method is best among the three. These results are applied to actual field data collected for a subsystem of a certain type of guided missile to identify its failure process and to estimate its mean time to failure and annual mean repair cost.

The analysis of groundwater table variations in Sylhet region, Bangladesh

  • Zafor, Md. Abu;Alam, Md. Jahir Bin;Rahman, Md. Azizur;Amin, Mohammad Nurul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2017
  • The trend analysis of the study was acquired by selecting multiyear monthly groundwater table data and monitors the wells in each sub-district under the study area. The intention of this research was to analyze the outcome of the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test at greater than the significance level which is 95% of groundwater level in Sylhet. The aptitude is effective at two conjunctures where the confidence bounds are 95% and it meets the estimate line of Sen's. To calculate and assess the spatial differences in the inanition of groundwater table, geostatistical methods was applied based on data from 27 groundwater wells during the period from January 1975 to December 2011 which were obtained from a secondary source, Bangladesh Water Development Board. The geographic information system was used to assess the spatial change in order to find the level of groundwater. Cross-validation errors were found within an advisable level in estimating the groundwater depth with different interpolation models of ordinary kriging methods. Finally, surface maps were generated with the best-fitted model. The southeast region was found highly vulnerable from groundwater level point of view. Northern region was detected highest hazard prone area for diverge groundwater using kriging method.

A Methodology of Implementing the Business Process-based Knowledge Management System and its Case Study (BPM 기반의 KMS 통합 구축 방안 및 적용사례: 'H'중공업 영업 및 견적업무 프로세스를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Tae-Chul;Jang, Gil-Sang
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.299-326
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    • 2009
  • R In today's competitive and global business management, Concern of an enterprise is to strengthen the core competency and improve it's internal business process. Therefore, Interest in BPM(Business Process Management) has grown rapidly. BPM is recognized as best solution to meet the needs of organizations that seek the cost down, integration of information, reducing of risk, improvement of productivity. In the past, the company have usually made huge investments in knowledge management systems which are based on repository keeping tacit knowledge. But this paper shows feasibility of implementation of business process-based knowledge management system that could link knowledge with business process. From an academic point of view, Although There could be several ways to build the business process-based KMS. In this paper, when BPM project and KMS project were started at the same time, the way of how to provide workers with task-related knowledge was discussed. As an case study, an estimate process of H company was analyzed and process modelling was carried out and conceptional architecture framework was depicted.

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Development of Main Steam Line Break Mass and Energy Release Analysis with RETRAN-3D Code

  • Park, Young-Chan;Kim, Yoo
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2003
  • An estimation methodology of the mass and energy (M/E) release due to the main steam line break (MSLB) has been developed with the RETRAN-3D code. In the case of equipment qualification (EQ), the over-estimated temperature would exceed the design limits of some cables or valves. In order to have a more flexible EQ profiles from the MSLB M/E release, the methodology with the best-estimated code was used. The major conditions affecting the MSLB M/E were found to be the initial SG level, heat transfer between primary and secondary sides, power level, operable protection system, main or auxiliary feedwater availability, and break conditions. The RETRAN-3D models were developed for the Kori unit 1 (KRN-1) which is typical two loop Westinghouse (WH) designed plant. Particularly, a detailed model of the steam generators was developed to estimate a more realistic two-phase heat transfer effect of the steam flow. After the modeling, the methodology has been developed through the sensitivity analyses. The M/E release data generated from the analyses have been used as the input to the inside containment pressure and temperature (P/T) analysis. According to the results at the point of view containment P/T, the Kori unit 1 can have more margin of 5∼15 ㎪ in pressure and 8∼15$^{\circ}C$ in temperature.

A Sonar-based Position Estimation Algorithm for Localization of Mobile Robots (초음파 센서를 이용한 이동로봇의 자기위치 파악 알고리즘)

  • Joe, Woong-Yeol;Oh, Sang-Rok;Yu, Bum-Jae;Park, Gwi-Tae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.11c
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    • pp.159-162
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a modified localization scheme of a mobile robot. When it navigates, the position error of a robot is increased and doesn't go to a goal point where the robot intends to go at the beginning. The objective of localization is to estimate the position of a robot precisely. Many algorithms were developed and still are being researched for localization of a mobile robot at present. Among them, a localization algorithm named continuous localization proposed by Schultz has some merits on real-time navigation and is easy to be implemented compared to other localization schemes. Continuous Localization (CL) is based on map-matching algorithm with global and local maps using only ultrasonic sensors for making grid maps. However, CL has some problems in the process of searching the best-scored-map, when it is applied to a mobile robot. We here propose fast and powerful map-matching algorithm for localization of a mobile robot by experiments.

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Simulation of Nitrogen Movement in the Rainfall Event at an Upland Agricultural Watershed (임야지에서 강우사상시 질소거동 모의에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Geon-Mok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2001
  • The propagation patterns of nitrogen during rainfall events are unsteady and heterogeneous due to the characteristics of generation and transport mechanisms. A simulation of non point source pollution was performed using GRASS-AGNPS to examine efficient management methods for diffusive pollution. Digital Elevation Model(DEM) was prepared to estimate the impact of topography on the transport pattern of diffusive pollutant Hanjaechon watershed on the Kyungbook province was selected as a study ares. Water quality samples were collected and analyzed for the calibration of the model. A heuristic approach was employed to improve the model performance. The model could successfully produce spatial distributions of nitrogen. The constructed map-layers may help to decision makers to determine the best management practices.

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Identification of the Sources of Nitrate using Stable Isotope Mass Ratio in Rural Watersheds (안정 동위원소비를 이용한 농촌하천유역 질산성 질소의 오염원 추정)

  • 홍영진;권순국;홍성구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 2001
  • Pollution sources and their environmental contributions were investigated to select the best management practices for the effective control of water quality. The nitrogen isotope mass ratio was determined to estimate the nitrate sources and their contribution. Sampling sites were chosen by calculating effluent loads at each watershed. Two liters each of the surface water samples were collected from four sites at Bokha river and two sites and Gwanri river. They were sequentially prepared through distillation method and analyzed using an isotope ratio mass spectrometer(IsoPrime EA). As revealed by the experimental values obtained the mass ratio values ($\delta$$^{5}$ N) of watersheds with a large amount of nonpoint sources were less than +5 an indication that the samples were influenced by chemical fertilizers. However watersheds with large amount of point sources were influenced not only by chemical fertilizers but also by animal and municipal wastes. The mass ratio values of samples generally decreased during rainy days. But during dry days the mass ratio values well-reflected the nitrate sources and the condition of watersheds. Through this study the nitrogen isotope mass ratio has been found to be useful for estimating nitrate sources and their contribution to the rural watersheds.

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A Study on State Estimation Algorithm in Power System Using Inverse Lemma (Inverse Lemma를 이용한 상태추정 알고리즘의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Y.H.;Park, J.D.;Park, J.K.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.182-185
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of slate estimation in power system is to estimate the best-fit Slate variables from the measurements contaminated by various kind of noise. But because the majority of state estimation modules in EMS lack the convergence characteristics, sometimes the desirable outputs can't be obtained. So, in this paper, the new algorithm using the load now output as initial values in the state estimation calculation is proposed to guarantee the convergence. And if the load now outputs were used as the initial values in the calculation, the change in each step would be small compared to the original method using the flat start point. And the Inverse Lemma is used in the algorithm to calculate the new stale in each iteration step for reducing the calculation time. The proposed algorithm was tested on the IEEE 14, 30, 118 bus systems. Eventually, we were able to verity that the differences between the results obtained by the original method and proposed method were relatively small, and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm increased when applied to the bigger systems.

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GIS AND WEB-BASED DSS FOR PRELIMINARY TMDL DEVELOPMENT

  • Choi, Jin-Yong;Bernard A. Engel;Yoon, Kwang-Sik
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2003
  • TMDL development and implementation have great potential fur use in efforts to improve water quality management, but the TMDL approach still has several difficulties to overcome in terms of cost, time requirements, and suitable methodologies. A well-defined prioritization approach for identifying watersheds of concern among several tar-get locations that would benefit from TMDL development and implementation, based on a simple screening approach, could be a major step in solving some of these difficulties. Therefore, a web-based decision support system (DSS) was developed to help identify areas within watersheds that might be priority areas for TMDL development. The DSS includes a graphical user interface based on the HTML protocol, hydrological models, databases, and geographic information system (GIS) capabilities. The DSS has a hydrological model that can estimate non-point source pollution loading based on over 30 years of daily direct runoff using the curve number method and pollutant event mean concentration data. The DSS provides comprehensive output analysis tools using charts and tables, and also provides probability analysis and best management practice cost estimation. In conclusion, the DSS is a simple, affordable tool for the preliminary study of TMDL development via the Internet, and the DSS web site can also be used as an information web server for education related to TMDL.

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Structural Vibration Control for Broadband Noise Attenuation in Enclosures

  • Krishnaswamy Kailash;Rajamani Rajesh;Woo Jong Jin;Cho Young Man
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.1414-1423
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    • 2005
  • This paper develops and evaluates several strategies for structural vibration control with the objective of attenuating broadband noise inside a rectangular enclosure. The strategies evaluated include model-independent collocated control, model-based feedback control and a new 'modal-estimate' feedback strategy. Collocated control requires no knowledge of model parameters and enjoys the advantage of robustness. However, effective broadband noise attenuation with colocated control requires a large number of sensor-actuator pairs. Model-based con-trollers, on the other hand, can be theoretically effective even with the use of a single actuator. However, they suffer from a lack of robustness and are unsuitable from a practical point of view for broadband structural vibration applications where the dynamic models are of large order and poorly known. A new control strategy is developed based on attenuating a few structural vibration modes that have the best coupling with the enclosure acoustics. Broadband attenuation of these important modes can be achieved using a single actuator, a limited number of accelerometers and limited knowledge of a few modal functions. Simulation results are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the developed strategy.