• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian networks

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A Study on the Improvement of Bayesian networks in e-Trade (전자무역의 베이지안 네트워크 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Boon-Do
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.305-320
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    • 2007
  • With expanded use of B2B(between enterprises), B2G(between enterprises and government) and EDI(Electronic Data Interchange), and increased amount of available network information and information protection threat, as it was judged that security can not be perfectly assured only with security technology such as electronic signature/authorization and access control, Bayesian networks have been developed for protection of information. Therefore, this study speculates Bayesian networks system, centering on ERP(Enterprise Resource Planning). The Bayesian networks system is one of the methods to resolve uncertainty in electronic data interchange and is applied to overcome uncertainty of abnormal invasion detection in ERP. Bayesian networks are applied to construct profiling for system call and network data, and simulate against abnormal invasion detection. The host-based abnormal invasion detection system in electronic trade analyses system call, applies Bayesian probability values, and constructs normal behavior profile to detect abnormal behaviors. This study assumes before and after of delivery behavior of the electronic document through Bayesian probability value and expresses before and after of the delivery behavior or events based on Bayesian networks. Therefore, profiling process using Bayesian networks can be applied for abnormal invasion detection based on host and network. In respect to transmission and reception of electronic documents, we need further studies on standards that classify abnormal invasion of various patterns in ERP and evaluate them by Bayesian probability values, and on classification of B2B invasion pattern genealogy to effectively detect deformed abnormal invasion patterns.

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Game Theoretic Modeling for Mobile Malicious Node Detection Problem in Static Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Ho, Jun-Won
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.238-242
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    • 2021
  • Game theory has been regarded as a useful theoretical tool for modeling the interactions between distinct entities and thus it has been harnessed in various research field. In particular, research attention has been shown to how to apply game theory to modeling the interactions between malign and benign entities in the field of wireless networks. Although various game theoretic modeling work have been proposed in the field of wireless networks, our proposed work is disparate to the existing work in the sense that we focus on mobile malign node detection problem in static wireless sensor networks. More specifically, we propose a Bayesian game theoretic modeling for mobile malign node detection problem in static wireless sensor networks. In our modeling, we formulate a two-player static Bayesian game with imperfect information such that player 1 is aware of the type of player 2, but player 2 is not aware of the type of player 1. We use four strategies in our static Bayesian game. We obtain Bayesian Nash Equilibria with pure strategies under certain conditions.

Automatic Construction of Hierarchical Bayesian Networks for Topic Inference of Conversational Agent (대화형 에이전트의 주제 추론을 위한 계층적 베이지안 네트워크의 자동 생성)

  • Lim, Sung-Soo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.877-885
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    • 2006
  • Recently it is proposed that the Bayesian networks used as conversational agent for topic inference is useful but the Bayesian networks require much time to model, and the Bayesian networks also have to be modified when the scripts, the database for conversation, are added or modified and this hinders the scalability of the agent. This paper presents a method to improve the scalability of the agent by constructing the Bayesian network from scripts automatically. The proposed method is to model the structure of Bayesian networks hierarchically and to utilize Noisy-OR gate to form the conditional probability distribution table (CPT). Experimental results with ten subjects confirm the usefulness of the proposed method.

Texture segmentation using Neural Networks and multi-scale Bayesian image segmentation technique (신경회로망과 다중스케일 Bayesian 영상 분할 기법을 이용한 결 분할)

  • Kim Tae-Hyung;Eom Il-Kyu;Kim Yoo-Shin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.4 s.304
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes novel texture segmentation method using Bayesian estimation method and neural networks. We use multi-scale wavelet coefficients and the context information of neighboring wavelets coefficients as the input of networks. The output of neural networks is modeled as a posterior probability. The context information is obtained by HMT(Hidden Markov Tree) model. This proposed segmentation method shows better performance than ML(Maximum Likelihood) segmentation using HMT model. And post-processed texture segmentation results as using multi-scale Bayesian image segmentation technique called HMTseg in each segmentation by HMT and the proposed method also show that the proposed method is superior to the method using HMT.

Quantitative Annotation of Edges, in Bayesian Networks with Condition-Specific Data (베이지안 망 연결 구조에 대한 데이터 군집별 기여도의 정량화 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Sung-Won;Lee, Do-Heon;Lee, Kwang-H.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.316-321
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    • 2007
  • We propose a quatitative annotation method for edges in Bayesian networks using given sets of condition-specific data. Bayesian network model has been used widely in various fields to infer probabilistic dependency relationships between entities in target systems. Besides the need for identifying dependency relationships, the annotation of edges in Bayesian networks is required to analyze the meaning of learned Bayesian networks. We assume the training data is composed of several condition-specific data sets. The contribution of each condition-specific data set to each edge in the learned Bayesian network is measured using the ratio of likelihoods between network structures of including and missing the specific edge. The proposed method can be a good approach to make quantitative annotation for learned Bayesian network structures while previous annotation approaches only give qualitative one.

Bayesian Statistical Modeling of System Energy Saving Effectiveness for MAC Protocols of Wireless Sensor Networks: The Case of Non-Informative Prior Knowledge

  • Kim, Myong-Hee;Park, Man-Gon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.890-900
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    • 2010
  • The Bayesian networks methods provide an efficient tool for performing information fusion and decision making under conditions of uncertainty. This paper proposes Bayes estimators for the system effectiveness in energy saving of the wireless sensor networks by use of the Bayesian method under the non-informative prior knowledge about means of active and sleep times based on time frames of sensor nodes in a wireless sensor network. And then, we conduct a case study on some Bayesian estimation models for the system energy saving effectiveness of a wireless sensor network, and evaluate and compare the performance of proposed Bayesian estimates of the system effectiveness in energy saving of the wireless sensor network. In the case study, we have recognized that the proposed Bayesian system energy saving effectiveness estimators are excellent to adapt in evaluation of energy efficiency using non-informative prior knowledge from previous experience with robustness according to given values of parameters.

Learning Predictive Models of Memory Landmarks based on Attributed Bayesian Networks Using Mobile Context Log (모바일 컨텍스트 로그를 사용한 속성별 베이지안 네트워크 기반의 랜드마크 예측 모델 학습)

  • Lee, Byung-Gil;Lim, Sung-Soo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.535-554
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    • 2009
  • Information collected on mobile devices might be utilized to support user's memory, but it is difficult to effectively retrieve them because of the enormous amount of information. In order to organize information as an episodic approach that mimics human memory for the effective search, it is required to detect important event like landmarks. For providing new services with users, in this paper, we propose the prediction model to find landmarks automatically from various context log information based on attributed Bayesian networks. The data are divided into daily and weekly ones, and are categorized into attributes according to the source, to learn the Bayesian networks for the improvement of landmark prediction. The experiments on the Nokia log data showed that the Bayesian method outperforms SVMs, and the proposed attributed Bayesian networks are superior to the Bayesian networks modelled daily and weekly.

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Inter-Factor Determinants of Return Reversal Effect with Dynamic Bayesian Network Analysis: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • HAQUE, Abdul;RAO, Marriam;QAMAR, Muhammad Ali Jibran
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2022
  • Bayesian Networks are multivariate probabilistic factor graphs that are used to assess underlying factor relationships. From January 2005 to December 2018, the study examines how Dynamic Bayesian Networks can be utilized to estimate portfolio risk and return as well as determine inter-factor relationships among reversal profit-generating components in Pakistan's emerging market (PSX). The goal of this article is to uncover the factors that cause reversal profits in the Pakistani stock market. In visual form, Bayesian networks can generate causal and inferential probabilistic relationships. Investors might update their stock return values in the network simultaneously with fresh market information, resulting in a dynamic shift in portfolio risk distribution across the networks. The findings show that investments in low net profit margin, low investment, and high volatility-based designed portfolios yield the biggest dynamical reversal profits. The main triggering aspects related to generation reversal profits in the Pakistan market, in the long run, are net profit margin, market risk premium, investment, size, and volatility factor. Investors should invest in and build portfolios with small companies that have a low price-to-earnings ratio, small earnings per share, and minimal volatility, according to the most likely explanation.

Anomaly Detection in Smart Homes Using Bayesian Networks

  • Saqaeeyan, Sasan;javadi, Hamid Haj Seyyed;Amirkhani, Hossein
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1796-1816
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    • 2020
  • The health and safety of elderly and disabled patients who cannot live alone is an important issue. Timely detection of sudden events is necessary to protect these people, and anomaly detection in smart homes is an efficient approach to extracting such information. In the real world, there is a causal relationship between an occupant's behaviour and the order in which appliances are used in the home. Bayesian networks are appropriate tools for assessing the probability of an effect due to the occurrence of its causes, and vice versa. This paper defines different subsets of random variables on the basis of sensory data from a smart home, and it presents an anomaly detection system based on various models of Bayesian networks and drawing upon these variables. We examine different models to obtain the best network, one that has higher assessment scores and a smaller size. Experimental evaluations of real datasets show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Application of Bayesian Networks for Flood Risk Analysis (베이지안 네트워크를 적용한 홍수 위험도 분석)

  • SunWoo, Woo-Yeon;Lee, Kil-Seong;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.467-467
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    • 2012
  • As the features of recent flood are spatially concentrated, loss of life and property increase by the impact of climate change. In addition to this the public interest in water control information is increased and socially reasonable justification of water control policy is needed. It is necessary to estimate the flood risk in order to let people know the status of flood control and establish flood control policy. For accurate flood risk analysis, we should consider inter-relation between causal factors of flood damage. Hence, flood risk analysis should be applied to interdependence of the factors selected. The Bayesian networks are ideally suited to assist decision-making in situations where there is uncertainty in the data and where the variables are highly interlinked. In this research, to provide more proper water control information the flood risk analysis is performed using the Bayesian networks to handle uncertainty and dependency among 13 specific proxy variables.

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