• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian model

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A novel computer vision-based vibration measurement and coarse-to-fine damage assessment method for truss bridges

  • Wen-Qiang Liu;En-Ze Rui;Lei Yuan;Si-Yi Chen;You-Liang Zheng;Yi-Qing Ni
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.393-407
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    • 2023
  • To assess structural condition in a non-destructive manner, computer vision-based structural health monitoring (SHM) has become a focus. Compared to traditional contact-type sensors, the advantages of computer vision-based measurement systems include lower installation costs and broader measurement areas. In this study, we propose a novel computer vision-based vibration measurement and coarse-to-fine damage assessment method for truss bridges. First, a deep learning model FairMOT is introduced to track the regions of interest (ROIs) that include joints to enhance the automation performance compared with traditional target tracking algorithms. To calculate the displacement of the tracked ROIs accurately, a normalized cross-correlation method is adopted to fine-tune the offset, while the Harris corner matching is utilized to correct the vibration displacement errors caused by the non-parallel between the truss plane and the image plane. Then, based on the advantages of the stochastic damage locating vector (SDLV) and Bayesian inference-based stochastic model updating (BI-SMU), they are combined to achieve the coarse-to-fine localization of the truss bridge's damaged elements. Finally, the severity quantification of the damaged components is performed by the BI-SMU. The experiment results show that the proposed method can accurately recognize the vibration displacement and evaluate the structural damage.

Prediction of skewness and kurtosis of pressure coefficients on a low-rise building by deep learning

  • Youqin Huang;Guanheng Ou;Jiyang Fu;Huifan Wu
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2023
  • Skewness and kurtosis are important higher-order statistics for simulating non-Gaussian wind pressure series on low-rise buildings, but their predictions are less studied in comparison with those of the low order statistics as mean and rms. The distribution gradients of skewness and kurtosis on roofs are evidently higher than those of mean and rms, which increases their prediction difficulty. The conventional artificial neural networks (ANNs) used for predicting mean and rms show unsatisfactory accuracy in predicting skewness and kurtosis owing to the limited capacity of shallow learning of ANNs. In this work, the deep neural networks (DNNs) model with the ability of deep learning is introduced to predict the skewness and kurtosis on a low-rise building. For obtaining the optimal generalization of the DNNs model, the hyper parameters are automatically determined by Bayesian Optimization (BO). Moreover, for providing a benchmark for future studies on predicting higher order statistics, the data sets for training and testing the DNNs model are extracted from the internationally open NIST-UWO database, and the prediction errors of all taps are comprehensively quantified by various error metrices. The results show that the prediction accuracy in this study is apparently better than that in the literature, since the correlation coefficient between the predicted and experimental results is 0.99 and 0.75 in this paper and the literature respectively. In the untrained cornering wind direction, the distributions of skewness and kurtosis are well captured by DNNs on the whole building including the roof corner with strong non-normality, and the correlation coefficients between the predicted and experimental results are 0.99 and 0.95 for skewness and kurtosis respectively.

Ensemble data assimilation using WRF-Hydro and DART (WRF-Hydro와 DART를 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 자료동화)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Hyeonjin;Kim, Bomi;Lee, Garim;Lee, Songhee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.392-392
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    • 2021
  • 자료동화(data assimilation) 기법은 관측 자료와 예측 모형의 정보를 동시에 활용, 모형의 상태량(state variables)이나 매개변수(model parameters)를 실시간으로 업데이트하는 Bayesian 필터링 이론에 근거한 방법으로, 최근 이를 활용한 수문 모의 정확도 향상 기술이 빠르게 발전하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 앙상블 자료동화의 정확성을 향상시키기 위한 세부 방법인 along-the-stream localization과 inflation 기법의 분포형 수문 모형에 대한 적용성을 대규모 지역 단위(regional-scale) 모의를 통해 검토한다. 분포형 수문모형과 자료동화 framework로는 WRF-Hydro(Weather Research and Forecasting Model Hydrological Modeling System)와 DART(Data Assimilation Research Testbed)를 각각 적용한다. WRF-Hydro는 미국의 전 대륙지역(CONUS; continental United States)에 대한 수문 모델링 framework인 National Water Model의 핵심엔진이고, DART는 미국 National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCAR) 연구소에서 개발한 범용 자료동화 도구이다. 본 연구에서는 지표수 수문모형의 자료동화를 위해 개발된 기법인 along-the-stream localization과 inflation 기법이 하도 추적에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. along-the stream localization 기법은 공간적 근접도 외에 하도의 수문학적 연관관계를 고려하는 localization 기법으로, 상대적으로 수문학적 상관도가 떨어지는 하도에 대한 과도한 자료동화를 줄여줄 수 있다. inflation 기법은 앙상블의 다양성을 증가시키는 기법으로, 칼만 필터(Kalman filter)에 의한 업데이트의 이전이나 이후 적용하여 앙상블 예측의 정확도를 추가적으로 향상시킬 수 있다. 본 고에서는 앙상블 자료동화 기법을 지표수 수문 모의에 적용할 경우 남아 있는 난제와 적용 가능한 방법에 대해 중점적으로 논의한다.

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A Comparative Study of Uncertainty Handling Methods in Knowledge-Based System (지식기반시스템에서 불확실성처리방법의 비교연구)

  • 송수섭
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.45-71
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    • 1997
  • There has been considerable research recently on uncertainty handling in the fields of artificial intelligence and knowledge-based system. Various numerical and non-numerical methods have been proposed for representing and propagating uncertainty in knowledge-based system. The Bayesian method, the Dempster-Shafer's Evidence Theory, the Certainty Factor model and the Fuzzy Set Theory are most frequently appeared in the knowledge-based system. Each of these four methods views uncertainty from a different perspective and propagates it differently. There is no single method which can handle uncertainty properly in all kinds of knowledge-based systems' domain. Therefore a knowledge-based system will work more effectively when the uncertainty handling method in the system fits to the system's environment. This paper proposed a framework for selecting proper uncertainty handling methods in knowledge-based system with respect to characteristics of problem domain and cognitive styles of experts. A schema with strategic/operational and unstructured/structured classification is employed to differenciate domain. And a schema with systematic/intuitive and preceptive/receptive classification is employed to differenciate experts' cognitive style. The characteristics of uncertainty handling methods are compared with characteristics of problem domains and cognitive styles respectively. Then a proper uncertainty handling method is proposed for each category.

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Prediction Model for Breast Cancer Diagnosis using Baysian Algorithm (베이지안 알고리즘을 이용한 유방암 진단 예측모델)

  • Jung, Yong-Gyu;Lee, Yeon-Joo;Won, Jae-Kang
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2012
  • Currently datamining sector is interested and applied in many areas. In other words, datamining is predicting the future to discover hidden correlations and make decisions. To interpret data on various aspects can be converted to real expectation. Analyzing the results even a simple can be found big difference. The properties associated with breast cancer by about applying bayesian theory is used to predict the probability. In the past patient data, doctors may be obtaining by applying evidence-based care for patients with the results of examination and By using the the past patient data.

Skin Pigment Recognition using Projective Hemoglobin- Melanin Coordinate Measurements

  • Yang, Liu;Lee, Suk-Hwan;Kwon, Seong-Geun;Song, Ha-Joo;Kwon, Ki-Ryong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1825-1838
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    • 2016
  • The detection of skin pigment is crucial in the diagnosis of skin diseases and in the evaluation of medical cosmetics and hairdressing. Accuracy in the detection is a basis for the prompt cure of skin diseases. This study presents a method to recognize and measure human skin pigment using Hemoglobin-Melanin (HM) coordinate. The proposed method extracts the skin area through a Gaussian skin-color model estimated from statistical analysis and decomposes the skin area into two pigments of hemoglobin and melanin using an Independent Component Analysis (ICA) algorithm. Then, we divide the two-dimensional (2D) HM coordinate into rectangular bins and compute the location histograms of hemoglobin and melanin for all the bins. We label the skin pigment of hemoglobin, melanin, and normal skin on all bins according to the Bayesian classifier. These bin-based HM projective histograms can quantify the skin pigment and compute the standard deviation on the total quantification of skin pigments surrounding normal skin. We tested our scheme using images taken under different illumination conditions. Several cosmetic coverings were used to test the performance of the proposed method. The experimental results show that the proposed method can detect skin pigments with more accuracy and evaluate cosmetic covering effects more effectively than conventional methods.

Security Clustering Algorithm Based on Integrated Trust Value for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Network

  • Zhou, Jingxian;Wang, Zengqi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1773-1795
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    • 2020
  • Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) network are a very vibrant research area nowadays. They have many military and civil applications. Limited bandwidth, the high mobility and secure communication of micro UAVs represent their three main problems. In this paper, we try to address these problems by means of secure clustering, and a security clustering algorithm based on integrated trust value for UAVs network is proposed. First, an improved the k-means++ algorithm is presented to determine the optimal number of clusters by the network bandwidth parameter, which ensures the optimal use of network bandwidth. Second, we considered variables representing the link expiration time to improve node clustering, and used the integrated trust value to rapidly detect malicious nodes and establish a head list. Node clustering reduce impact of high mobility and head list enhance the security of clustering algorithm. Finally, combined the remaining energy ratio, relative mobility, and the relative degrees of the nodes to select the best cluster head. The results of a simulation showed that the proposed clustering algorithm incurred a smaller computational load and higher network security.

Development of Multisite Spatio-Temporal Downscaling for Climate Change and Short-term Prediction (기후변화 및 단기예측을 시공간적 다지점 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il;Moon, Jang-Won;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.120-124
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    • 2009
  • 기후변화로 인한 사회, 경제, 자원, 환경, 수자원 등에 영향분석은 세계적인 연구 트렌드로 자리 잡고 있다. 다양한 모형들이 기후변화 영향을 효과적으로 평가하기 위해서 개발되고 있으나 주로 강우-유출 모형을 통한 유출의 변화 특성을 모의하는데 대부분의 연구가 초점을 맞추고 있다. 그러나 기본적으로 사용되는 강수량자료의 정확한 추정이 기후변화 연구에서 가장 중요하다고 해도 과언이 아니다. 이러한 관점에서 GCM 기후모형으로부터 유도된 기후변화 시나리오로부터 여러 단계로 가공하여 모형의 입력 자료로 사용하기 위한 강수량 자료를 생산하게 된다. 이러한 과정을 총칭해서 Downscaling이라고 한다. 본 연구에서는 기후모형으로 얻은 정보를 유역단위의 수문시나리오로 변환하기 위한 통계학적 Downscaling의 연구이론 변천 상황을 종합적으로 검토하고 각 모형이 갖는 장단점을 분석하고자 한다. 즉, Weather Generator, Single-site Nonstationary Markov Chain, Multi-site Nonstationary Markov Chain, Multi-site Weather State Based Markov Model 등 다양한 모델의 변화 및 진보 과정을 살펴보고 실제 국내 유역에 적용하여 모형의 타당성을 평가해보고자 한다. 이를 위해 IPCC 기후변화 시나리오를 활용하였으며 일강수량자료계열의 특성치, 극치수문량 변동특성 등 기후변화에 따른 영향분석을 일부 실시하여 분석하였다.

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Updating calibration of CIV-based single-epoch black hole mass estimators

  • Park, Daeseong;Barth, Aaron J.;Woo, Jong-Hak;Malkan, Matthew A.;Treu, Tommaso;Bennert, Vardha N.;Pancoast, Anna
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.61.1-61.1
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    • 2016
  • Black hole (BH) mass is a fundamental quantity to understand BH growth, galaxy evolution, and connection between them. Thus, obtaining accurate and precise BH mass estimates over cosmic time is of paramount importance. The rest-frame UV CIV ${\lambda}1549$ broad emission line is commonly used for BH mass estimates in high-redshift AGNs (i.e., $2{\leq}z{\leq}5$) when single-epoch (SE) optical spectra are available. Achieving correct and accurate calibration for CIV-based SE BH mass estimators against the most reliable reverberation-mapping based BH mass estimates is thus practically important and still useful. By performing multi-component spectral decomposition analysis to obtained high-quality HST UV spectra for the updated sample of local reverberation-mapped AGNs including new HST STIS observations, CIV emission line widths and continuum luminosities are consistently measured. Using a Bayesian hierarchical model with MCMC sampling based on Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm (Stan NUTS), we provide the most consistent and accurate calibration of CIV-based BH mass estimators for the three line width characterizations, i.e., full width at half maximum (FWHM), line dispersion (${\sigma}_{line}$), and mean absolute deviation (MAD), in the extended BH mass dynamic range of log $M_{BH}/M_{\odot}=6.5-9.1$.

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Cluster analysis with Korean weather data: Application of model-based Bayesian clustering method (한국 기상자료의 군집분석: 베이지안 모델기반 방법의 응용)

  • Joo, Yong-Sung;Jung, Hyung-Joo;Kim, Byung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, 30 main cities are clustered based on precipitation, temperature, wind speed, photo period, and humidity. We found that the resulting clusters has strong relationships with geographical locations. These results make sense because, although Korea is a small country, Korean weather is known to have strong locality. The largest number of clusters is found when wind speed is used as an interested variable for clustering and the smallest number of clusters is found when photo period is used. The large number of clusters based on wind speed indicates that wind speed is affected easily by local geography.

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