• Title/Summary/Keyword: Basic Probability Assignment

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A comprehensive evaluation method study for dam safety

  • Jia, Fan;Yang, Meng;Liu, Bingrui;Wang, Jianlei;Gao, Jiaorong;Su, Huaizhi;Zhao, Erfeng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.639-646
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    • 2017
  • According to the multi-index system of dam safety assessment and the standard of safety, a comprehensive evaluation model for dam safety based on a cloud model is established to determine the basic probability assignment of the Dempster-Shafer theory. The Dempster-Shafer theory is improved to solve the high conflict problems via fusion calculation. Compared with the traditional Dempster-Shafer theory, the application is more extensive and the result is more reasonable. The uncertainty model of dam safety multi-index comprehensive evaluation is applied according to the two theories above. The rationality and feasibility of the model are verified through application to the safety evaluation of a practical arch dam.

A novel evidence theory model and combination rule for reliability estimation of structures

  • Tao, Y.R.;Wang, Q.;Cao, L.;Duan, S.Y.;Huang, Z.H.H.;Cheng, G.Q.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2017
  • Due to the discontinuous nature of uncertainty quantification in conventional evidence theory(ET), the computational cost of reliability analysis based on ET model is very high. A novel ET model based on fuzzy distribution and the corresponding combination rule to synthesize the judgments of experts are put forward in this paper. The intersection and union of membership functions are defined as belief and plausible membership function respectively, and the Murfhy's average combination rule is adopted to combine the basic probability assignment for focal elements. Then the combined membership functions are transformed to the equivalent probability density function by a normalizing factor. Finally, a reliability analysis procedure for structures with the mixture of epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is presented, in which the equivalent normalization method is adopted to solve the upper and lower bound of reliability. The effectiveness of the procedure is demonstrated by a numerical example and an engineering example. The results also show that the reliability interval calculated by the suggested method is almost identical to that solved by conventional method. Moreover, the results indicate that the computational cost of the suggested procedure is much less than that of conventional method. The suggested ET model provides a new way to flexibly represent epistemic uncertainty, and provides an efficiency method to estimate the reliability of structures with the mixture of epistemic and aleatory uncertainties.

Comparison on the Quality and fatigue of hands-Only CPR According to the Presence or Absence of Verbal counting by Some Middle-aged Women (일부 중년 여성에서 구령 유무에 따른 가슴압박소생술의 질과 피로도 비교)

  • Kim, Geon-Nam;Choi, Sung-Soo;Choi, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1320-1329
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    • 2013
  • According to the comparing the quality and fatigue of Hands-only CPR with counting by middle-aged women who is most likely to witness the cardiac arrest. This paper wants to provide the basic data to establish a CPR education program for the role of the first responders. After conducted three hours of basic life support training, it divided into two 45-persons groups by assignment of probability. 2-minutes research conducted with dummy by dividing into Group-A that counting the number loudly during the Hands-Only CPR, And Group-B that does not counting the number during the Hands-Only CPR. Between the two groups, the quality of Hands-Only CPR does not showed its difference clearly and the downtime of Hands-Only CPR was reduced, Depending on the over time, the frequency that reduces the depth of Hands-Only CPR was also significantly lower. And after the Hands-Only CPR, the fatigability who felt themselves was also significantly lower.

Fault-Tolerant Event Detection in Wireless Sensor Networks using Evidence Theory

  • Liu, Kezhong;Yang, Tian;Ma, Jie;Cheng, Zhiming
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.3965-3982
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    • 2015
  • Event detection is one of the key issues in many wireless sensor network (WSN) applications. The uncertainties that are derived from the instability of sensor node, measurement noise and incomplete sampling would influence the performance of event detection to a large degree. Many of the present researches described the sensor readings with crisp values, which cannot adequately handle the uncertainties inhered in the imprecise sensor readings. In this paper, a fault-tolerant event detection algorithm is proposed based on Dempster-Shafer (D-S) theory (also called evidence theory). Instead of crisp values, all possible states of the event are represented by the Basic Probability Assignment (BPA) functions, with which the output of each sensor node are characterized as weighted evidences. The combination rule was subsequently applied on each sensor node to fuse the evidences gathered from the neighboring nodes to make the final decision on whether the event occurs. Simulation results show that even 20% nodes are faulty, the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is around 80% for event region detection. Moreover, 97% of the error readings have been corrected, and an improved detection capability at the boundary of the event region is gained by 75%. The proposed algorithm can enhance the detection accuracy of the event region even in high error-rate environment, which reflects good reliability and robustness. The proposed algorithm is also applicable to boundary detection as it performs well at the boundary of the event.

Efficient Channel Scheduling Technique Using Release Time Unscheduled Channel Algorithm in OBS WDM Networks (OBS WDM 망에서 비 할당된 채널 개방시간을 이용한 효율적인 채널 스케줄링 기법)

  • Cho Seok-man;Kim Sun-myeng;Choi Dug-kyoo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.10A
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    • pp.912-921
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    • 2005
  • Optical burst switching(OBS) is a promising solution for building terabit optical routers and realizing If over WDM. Channel scheduling Algorithm for reduce contention is one of the major challenges in OBS. We address the issue of how to provide basic burst channel scheduling in optical burst switched WDM networks with fiber delay lines(FDLs). In OBS networks the control and payload components or a burst are sent separately with a time gap. If CHP arrives to burst switch node, because using scheduling algorithm for data burst, reservation resources such as wavelength and transmit data burst without O/E/O conversion, because contention and void between burst are happened at channel scheduling process for data burst that happened the link utilization and bust drop probability Existent proposed methods are become much research to solve these problems. Propose channel scheduling algorithm that use Release Time of bust to emphasize clearance between data and data dissipation that is happened in data assignment in this treatise and maximize bust drop probability and the resources use rate (RTUC : Release Time Unscheduled Channel). As simulation results, Confirmed that is more superior in terms of data drop and link utilization than scheduling algorithm that is proposed existing. As simulation results, confirmed improved performance than scheduling algorithm that is proposed existing in terms of survival of burst, efficiency resource and delay. However, In case load were less, degradation confirmed than existent scheduling algorithm relatively, and confirmed that is superior in data drop aspect in case of load increased.