• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.243-264
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• 2018

Although the worldwide battery market is recently spurring the development of lithium secondary battery, lead acid batteries (rechargeable batteries) which have good-performance and can be reused are consumed in a wide range of industry fields. However, lead-acid batteries have a serious problem in that deterioration of a battery makes progress quickly in the presence of that degradation of only one cell among several cells which is packed in a battery begins. To overcome this problem, previous researches have attempted to identify the mechanism of deterioration of a battery in many ways. However, most of previous researches have used data obtained in a laboratory to analyze the mechanism of deterioration of a battery but not used data obtained in a real world. The usage of real data can increase the feasibility and the applicability of the findings of a research. Therefore, this study aims to develop a model which predicts the battery deterioration using data obtained in real world. To this end, we collected data which presents change of battery state by attaching sensors enabling to monitor the battery condition in real time to dozens of golf carts operated in the real golf field. As a result, total 16,883 samples were obtained. And then, we developed a model which predicts a precursor phenomenon representing deterioration of a battery by analyzing the data collected from the sensors using machine learning techniques. As initial independent variables, we used 1) inbound time of a cart, 2) outbound time of a cart, 3) duration(from outbound time to charge time), 4) charge amount, 5) used amount, 6) charge efficiency, 7) lowest temperature of battery cell 1 to 6, 8) lowest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, 9) highest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, 10) voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the beginning of operation, 11) voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the end of charge, 12) used amount of battery cell 1 to 6 during operation, 13) used amount of battery during operation(Max-Min), 14) duration of battery use, and 15) highest current during operation. Since the values of the independent variables, lowest temperature of battery cell 1 to 6, lowest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, highest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the beginning of operation, voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the end of charge, and used amount of battery cell 1 to 6 during operation are similar to that of each battery cell, we conducted principal component analysis using verimax orthogonal rotation in order to mitigate the multiple collinearity problem. According to the results, we made new variables by averaging the values of independent variables clustered together, and used them as final independent variables instead of origin variables, thereby reducing the dimension. We used decision tree, logistic regression, Bayesian network as algorithms for building prediction models. And also, we built prediction models using the bagging of each of them, the boosting of each of them, and RandomForest. Experimental results show that the prediction model using the bagging of decision tree yields the best accuracy of 89.3923%. This study has some limitations in that the additional variables which affect the deterioration of battery such as weather (temperature, humidity) and driving habits, did not considered, therefore, we would like to consider the them in the future research. However, the battery deterioration prediction model proposed in the present study is expected to enable effective and efficient management of battery used in the real filed by dramatically and to reduce the cost caused by not detecting battery deterioration accordingly.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2005.07b
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• pp.265-267
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• 2005

DNA 컴퓨팅은 분자 수준(molecular level)에서 연산을 수행한다. 따라서 일반적인 실리콘 기반의 컴퓨터에서와는 달리, 순차적인 연산 제어를 보장하기 어렵다는 특징이 있다. 그러나 DNA 컴퓨팅은 화학반응에 기초한 연산이기 때문에, 실험자가 의도한 연산을 많은 수의 분자에 동시에 적용할 수 있으므로 실리콘 기반의 컴퓨터와는 비교할 수 없는 병렬 연산을 구현할 수 있다. 병렬 연산을 구현하고자 할 때, 일반적으로 연산에 사용하는 모든 DNA 분자들을 대상으로 연산을 구현할 수도 있다. 그러나 전체가 아닌 일부의 분자들을 상대로 연산을 수행하는 것 역시 가능하며 이 때 자연스러운 방법으로 사용할 수 있는 방법이 배깅(Bagging)이나 부스팅(Boosting)과 같은 앙상블(ensemble) 계열의 학습 방법이다. 일반적인 부스팅과 달리 가중치를 부여하는 것이 아니라 특정 학습자(learner)를 나타내는 분자들을 증폭한다면 가중치를 분자의 양으로 표현하는 것이 가능하므로 분자 수준에서 앙상블 계열의 학습을 구현하는 것이 가능하다. 본 논문에서는 앙상블 계열의 학습 방법 중 특히 부스팅의 효과를 DNA 컴퓨팅에 응용하고자 할 때, 어떤 방법이 가능하며, 표현 과정에서 고려해야 할 사항은 어떠한 것들이 있는지 고려하고자 한다. 본 논문에서는 규모를 사전에 한정할 수 없는 진화 가능한 그래프 구조(evolutionary graph structure)를 학습할 수 있는 방법을 찾아보고자 한다. 진화 가능한 그래프 구조는 기존의 DNA 컴퓨팅 방법으로는 학습할 수 없는 문제이다. 그러나 조합 가능한 수를 사전에 정의할 수 없기 때문에 분자의 수에 상관없이 동일한 연산 시간에 문제를 해결할 수 있는 DNA 컴퓨팅의 장정을 가장 잘 발휘할 수 있는 문제이기도 하다.개별 태스크의 특성에 따른 성능 조절과 태스크의 변화에 따른 빠른 반응을 자랑으로 한다. 본 논문에선 TIB 알고리즘을 리눅스 커널에 구현하여 성능을 평가하였고 그 결과 리눅스에서 사용되는 기존 인터벌 기반의 알고리즘들에 비해 좋은 전력 절감 효과를 얻을 수 있었다.과는 한식 외식업체들이 고객들의 재구매 의도를 높이기 위해서는 한식 외식업체의 서비스요인, 식음료요인, 이벤트 요인 등을 강화함으로써 전반적인 종사원 서비스 품질과 식음료품질을 높이는 전략을 취해야 한다는 것을 시사해주고 있다. 본 연구는 대구 경북소재 한식 외식업체만을 대상으로 하여 연구를 실시하여 연구의 일반화와 한식 외식업체를 이용하는 이용 고객들이 한식 외식업체를 재방문하는 재구매 의도가 발생하는데 있어 발생하는 과정을 설명하는 종단적 연구를 실시하지 못한 한계점을 가지고 있다.아직 산업 디자인이 품질경쟁력에 크게 영향을 미치는 성숙단계에 이르지 못하였음을 의미한다. (2) 제품 디자인에게 영향을 끼치는 유의적인 변수는 연구개발력, 연구개발투자 수준, 혁신활동 수준(5S, TPM, 6Sigma 운동, QC 등)이며, 제품 디자인은 우선 품질경쟁력을 높여 간접적으로 고객만족과 고객 충성을 유발하는 것으로 추정되었다. 상기의 분석결과로부터, 본 연구는 다음과 같은 정책적 함의를 도출하였다. 첫째, 신상품 개발과 혁신을 위한 포괄적인 연구개발 프로젝트를 품질 경쟁력의 주요 결정요인(제품의 기본성능, 신뢰성, 수명(내구성) 및 제품 디자인)과 연계하여 추진해야 할 것이다. 둘째, 기업은 디자인 경영 마인드 제고와 디자인 전문인력 양성을, 대학은 디자인 현장 업무를 통하여 창의력 증진과 기획 및 마케팅 능력 교육을, 정부는 디자인 기술개발 및 디자인 교육지원의 강화를 통하여 각각 디자인 경쟁력$\righta

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.139-157
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• 2016

Bankruptcy involves considerable costs, so it can have significant effects on a country's economy. Thus, bankruptcy prediction is an important issue. Over the past several decades, many researchers have addressed topics associated with bankruptcy prediction. Early research on bankruptcy prediction employed conventional statistical methods such as univariate analysis, discriminant analysis, multiple regression, and logistic regression. Later on, many studies began utilizing artificial intelligence techniques such as inductive learning, neural networks, and case-based reasoning. Currently, ensemble models are being utilized to enhance the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction. Ensemble classification involves combining multiple classifiers to obtain more accurate predictions than those obtained using individual models. Ensemble learning techniques are known to be very useful for improving the generalization ability of the classifier. Base classifiers in the ensemble must be as accurate and diverse as possible in order to enhance the generalization ability of an ensemble model. Commonly used methods for constructing ensemble classifiers include bagging, boosting, and random subspace. The random subspace method selects a random feature subset for each classifier from the original feature space to diversify the base classifiers of an ensemble. Each ensemble member is trained by a randomly chosen feature subspace from the original feature set, and predictions from each ensemble member are combined by an aggregation method. The k-nearest neighbors (KNN) classifier is robust with respect to variations in the dataset but is very sensitive to changes in the feature space. For this reason, KNN is a good classifier for the random subspace method. The KNN random subspace ensemble model has been shown to be very effective for improving an individual KNN model. The k parameter of KNN base classifiers and selected feature subsets for base classifiers play an important role in determining the performance of the KNN ensemble model. However, few studies have focused on optimizing the k parameter and feature subsets of base classifiers in the ensemble. This study proposed a new ensemble method that improves upon the performance KNN ensemble model by optimizing both k parameters and feature subsets of base classifiers. A genetic algorithm was used to optimize the KNN ensemble model and improve the prediction accuracy of the ensemble model. The proposed model was applied to a bankruptcy prediction problem by using a real dataset from Korean companies. The research data included 1800 externally non-audited firms that filed for bankruptcy (900 cases) or non-bankruptcy (900 cases). Initially, the dataset consisted of 134 financial ratios. Prior to the experiments, 75 financial ratios were selected based on an independent sample t-test of each financial ratio as an input variable and bankruptcy or non-bankruptcy as an output variable. Of these, 24 financial ratios were selected by using a logistic regression backward feature selection method. The complete dataset was separated into two parts: training and validation. The training dataset was further divided into two portions: one for the training model and the other to avoid overfitting. The prediction accuracy against this dataset was used to determine the fitness value in order to avoid overfitting. The validation dataset was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the final model. A 10-fold cross-validation was implemented to compare the performances of the proposed model and other models. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed model, the classification accuracy of the proposed model was compared with that of other models. The Q-statistic values and average classification accuracies of base classifiers were investigated. The experimental results showed that the proposed model outperformed other models, such as the single model and random subspace ensemble model.