• Title/Summary/Keyword: Average model

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Effects of Meteorological Elements in the Production of Food Crops: Focused on Regression Analysis using Panel Data (기상요소가 식량작물 생산량에 미치는 영향: 패널자료를 활용한 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Joong-Woo;Jang, Young Jae;Ko, Kwang-Kun;Park, Jong-Kil
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2013
  • Recent climate change has led to fluctuations in agricultural production, and as a result national food supply has become an important strategic factor in economic policy. As such, in this study, panel data was collected to analyze the effects of seven meteorological elements and using the Lagrange multipliers method, the fixed-effects model for the production of five types of food crop and the seven meteorological elements were analyzed. Results showed that the key factors effecting increases in production of rice grains were average temperature, average relative humidity and average ground surface temperature, while wheat and barley were found to have positive correlations with average temperature and average humidity. The implications of this study are as follow. First, it was confirmed that the meteorological elements have profound effects on the production of food crops. Second, when compared to existing studies, the study was not limited to one food crop but encompassed all five types, and went beyond other studies that were limited to temperature and rainfall to include various meterological elements.

Research on Mobile Malicious Code Prediction Modeling Techniques Using Markov Chain (마코프 체인을 이용한 모바일 악성코드 예측 모델링 기법 연구)

  • Kim, JongMin;Kim, MinSu;Kim, Kuinam J.
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2014
  • Mobile malicious code is typically spread by the worm, and although modeling techniques to analyze the dispersion characteristics of the worms have been proposed, only macroscopic analysis was possible while there are limitations in predicting on certain viruses and malicious code. In this paper, prediction methods have been proposed which was based on Markov chain and is able to predict the occurrence of future malicious code by utilizing the past malicious code data. The average value of the malicious code to be applied to the prediction model of Markov chain model was applied by classifying into three categories of the total average, the last year average, and the recent average (6 months), and it was verified that malicious code prediction possibility could be increased by comparing the predicted values obtained through applying, and applying the recent average (6 months).

Average Mean Square Error of Prediction for a Multiple Functional Relationship Model

  • Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 1984
  • In a linear regression model the idependent variables are frequently subject to measurement errors. For this case, the problem of estimating unknown parameters has been extensively discussed in the literature while very few has been concerned with the effect of measurement errors on prediction. This paper investigates the behavior of the predicted values of the dependent variable in terms of the average mean square error of prediction (AMSEP). AMSEP may be used as a criterion for selecting an appropriate estimation method, for designing an estimation experiment, and for developing cost-effective future sampling schemes.

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A Study on Estimating Techniques of Road Traffic Capacity (가로교통용량 산정기법에 관한 연구)

  • 김대웅;임영길
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 1988
  • This study is to find the proper method of estimating urban road traffic capacity. To estimate road traffic capacity, the following methods are chosen ; 1) crossing point of Q-V and S-V, 2) critical velocity and density of Q-V-K model, 3) V-K model with density parameter. The density estimated through S-V relation is 174 veh./km. The methods used in this paper yields more stable values with 2286 veh./h/ in average. The estimated average capacity by three methods are 2272 veh./h. in multilane road. 2411 veh./h in three lane road and 2185 veh./h. in two lane road.

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Minimax Average MSE Designs for Estimating Mean Responses

  • Joong-Yang Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1996
  • The unknown response function is usually approximated by a low order polynomial model. Such an approximation always accompanies bias due to model departure. The minimax Average MSE (AMSE) designs are suggested for estimating mean responses. A class of first order minimax AMSE designs is derived and a specific first order minimax AMSE design is selected from the class by optimizing the secondary criterion related to the power of the lack of fit test.

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AVERAGE LIQUID LEVEL AND PRESSURE DROP FOR COUNTERCURRENT STRATIFIED TWO-PHASE FLOW

  • Kim, Yang-Seok;Yu, Seon-Oh;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.301-306
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    • 1996
  • To predict the average liquid level under the condition of the countercurrent stratified two-phase flow in a pipe, an analytical model has been suggested. This is made by introducing the interfacial level gradient into the liquid-phase and the gas-phase momentum equations. The analytical method for the gas-phase pressure drop calculation with f$_i$ $\neq$ f$_G$ has also been described using the liquid level prediction model developed in the present study.

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A simulation system for distributed database design

  • Rho, Sangkyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.09a
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    • pp.46-58
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    • 1995
  • Although numerous distributed database design models and solution algorithms have been developed, very few have been validated. Validation is critical to the successful application of such models to distributed database design. In this paper, we develop a simulation system for distributed database design. We then analyze and validate an average response time model using simulation. The simulation results demonstrate that the average response time model is reasonably accurate.

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Sliding Mode Control for Attitude Tracking of Thruster-Controlled Spacecraft

  • Cheon, Yee-Jin
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.257-261
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    • 2001
  • Nonlinear pulse width modulation (PWM) controlled system is considered to achieve control performance of thruster controlled spacecraft. The actual PWM controlled motions occur, very closely, around the average model trajectory. Furthermore nonlinear PWM controller design can be directly applied to thruster controlled spacecraft to determine thruster on-time. Sliding mode control for attitude tracking of three-axis thruster-controlled spacecraft is presented. Simulation results are shown which use modified Rodrigues parameters and sliding mode control law to achieve attitude tracking of a three-axis spacecraft with thrusters.

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Flow Control with Hysteresis effect in ATM Network (ATM망의 히스테리시스 특성을 이용한 흐름제어기법)

  • 정상국;진용옥
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.31A no.9
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, a priority schedling and a flow control algorithm with hysteresis effect are proposed for high-speed networks. A mathematical model for the flow control is proposed and a cell transition probability from this model is found. And the performance of the proposed algorithm is analyzed by a computer simulation. According to the simulation results, it can be shown that the priority scheduling and the flow control with hysteresis effect get the cell loss probability 0.061 better and the average delay 100ms better and the average delay 100ms beter than those of single threshold.

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Some Computational Contribution on the Estimation Procedure of a First Order Moving Average

  • Kim, Dai-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 1973
  • In the first-order moving average model, we present the exact likelihood equations as function of variance, correlation and parameters of coefficients in the orthogonally transformed model. Existence of maximum likelihood estimates for these unknowns are studied and a computational method is provided. (Because of the limited space Ive do not present the computer program which is written in FORTRAN.) 40 sets of generated data and economic data are used to demonstrate, and few of them are presented in the Appendix. A numerical comparison of MLE with the efficient estimate proposed by Durbin is presented in the particular case.

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