• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.48 no.4
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• pp.410-418
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• 1999

This paper describes the use of residual and parameter identification methods for fault detection in an air handling unit. Faults can be detected by comparing expected condition with the measured faulty data using residuals. Faults can also be detected by examining unmeasurable parameter changes in a model of a controlled system using a system identification technique. In this study, AutoRegressive Moving Average with seXtrnal input(ARMAX) and AutoRegressive with eXternal input(ARX) models with both single-input/single-input and multi-input/single-input structures are examined. Model parameters are determined using the Kalman filter recursive identification method. Regression equations are calculated from normal experimental data and are used to compute expected operating variables. These approaches are tested using experimental data from a laboratory's variable-air-volume air-handling-unit.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.86-94
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• 2002

The initial alignment of inertial platform for navigation system was considered. An adaptive filtering technique is developed for the system with unknown and varying sway disturbance. It is assumed that the random sway motion is the second order ARMA(Auto Regressive Moving Average) model and performed parameter identification for unknown parameters. Designed adaptive filter contain both a Kalman filter and a self-tuning filter. This filtering system can automatically adapt to varying environmental conditions. To verify the robustness of the filtering system, the computer simulation was performed with unknown and varying sway disturbance.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.413-421
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• 2010

In this study, we considered bivariate conditional auto-regressive model taking into account spatial association as well as correlation between the two dependent variables, which are the counts of murder and burglary. We conducted likelihood ratio test for checking over-dispersion issues prior to applying spatial poisson models. For the real application, we used the annual counts of violent crimes at 25 districts of Seoul in 2007. The statistical results are visually illustrated by geographical information system.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.180-188
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• 2017

Recently, as the strength of winds and waves increases due to the climate change, abnormal waves such as swells have been also increased, which results in the increase of downtime events of loading/unloading in a harbour. To reduce the downtime events, breakwaters were constructed in a harbour to improve the tranquility. However, it is also important and useful for efficient port operation by predicting accurately and also quickly the downtime events when the harbour operation is in a limiting condition. In this study, numerical simulations were carried out to calculate the wave conditions based on the forecasted wind data in offshore area/outside harbour and also the long-term observation was carried out to obtain the wave data in a harbour. A forecasting method was designed using an auto-regressive (AR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) models in order to establish the relationship between the wave conditions calculated by wave model (SWAN) in offshore area and observed ones in a harbour. To evaluate the applicability of the proposed method, this method was applied to predict wave heights in a harbour and to forecast the downtime events in Pohang New Harbour with highly complex topography were compared. From the verification study, it was observed that the ANN model was more accurate than the AR model.

• Advances in Energy Research
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.131-143
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• 2019

Global Solar Radiation (GSR) is the key element for performance estimation of any Solar Power Plant (SPP). Its forecasting may help in estimation of power production from a SPP well in advance, and may also render help in optimal use of this power. Seasonal Auto-Regressive Moving Average (SARMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are combined in order to develop a hybrid model (SARMA-ANN) conceiving the characteristics of both linear and non-linear prediction models. This developed model has been used for prediction of GSR at Gorakhpur, situated in the northern region of India. The proposed model is beneficial for the univariate forecasting. Along with this model, we have also used Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), SARMA, ANN based models for 1 - 6 day-ahead forecasting of GSR on hourly basis. It has been found that the proposed model presents least RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and produces best forecasting results among all the models considered in the present study. As an application, the comparison between the forecasted one and the energy produced by the grid connected PV plant installed on the parking stands of the University shows the superiority of the proposed model.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.252-258
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• 2007

There has been a lot of research done in scheme guaranteeing user's mobility and effective resources management to satisfy the requested by users in the wireless/mobile networks. In this paper, we propose a predictive resource allocation scheme based on ARMA(Auto Regressive Moving Average) prediction model to meet QoS requirements(handoff dropping rate) for guaranteeing users' mobility. The proposed scheme predicts the demanded amount of resource in the future time by ARMA time series prediction model, and then reserves it. The ARMA model can be used to take into account the correlation of future handoff resource demands with present and past handoff demands for provision of targeted handoff dropping rate. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme outperforms the existing RCS(Reserved channel scheme) in terms of handoff connection dropping rate and resource utilization.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.34 no.6C
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• pp.561-570
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• 2009

Ultra-wideband communication systems based on impulse radio have merits that are possible for the high data rate transmission, high resolution ranging are positioning system. Conventionally, in order to accomplish these features, the high-speed ADC (Analog to Digital Convertor) is necessary to apply radio determination system operating in time domain. However, considering low rate - wireless personal area network (LR-WPAN) aims to low-cost hardware implementation, the expensive ADC converting GHz sampling per second is not appropriate. So, this paper introduces a low complex AR (Auto Regressive) model based non-coherent ranging scheme operating in frequency domain with using low-speed ADC utilizing analog Voltage Control Oscillator (VCO) mode for the frequency domain transformation. To verify the superiority of the proposed ranging and location algorithm working in frequency domain, the suggested IEEE 802.15.4a TG channel model is used to exploit affirmative features of the proposed algorithm with conducting the simulation results.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11c
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• pp.84-86
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• 2001

A new navigation method is developed and implemented for mobile robot. The mobile robot navigation problem has traditionally been decomposed into the path planning and path following. Unlike tracking-based system, which minimize intercept time and moved mobile robot distance for optimal rendezvous point selection. To research of random moving object uses algorithm of Adaptive Control using Auto-regressive Model. A fine motion tracking object's trajectory is predicted of Auto-regressive Algorithm. Thus, the mobile robot can travel faster than the target wi thin the robot's workspace. The can select optimal rendezvous point of various intercept time.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.145-148
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• 2010

항만 구조물의 건전성 평가 기술의 개발을 위한 기초 연구로서, 강제진동해석을 통하여 케이슨 구조-지반 경계부의 손상에 대한 진동응답을 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 세 단계의 연구를 수행하였다. 첫째, 케이슨 구조물의 진동특성 분석을 위해 시간영역기반의 AR(auto-regressive)모델을 선정하였다. 둘째, 모형 케이슨 구조물을 대상으로 진동응답 계측실험을 수행하였으며, AR-모델을 통해 진동특징을 실험적으로 분석하였다. 셋째, 대상 케이슨 시스템의 유한요소모델을 구성하고, 구조-지반 경계부의 손상에 따른 동적응답 특성의 변화를 수치적으로 분석하였다. 이를 위해 강제진동을 모사 하였으며, 구조-지반 경계부의 강성변화에 따른 케이슨 구조물의 진동응답의 변화를 분석하였다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.451-457
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• 1998

This paper describes a modelling method for SCR(selective catalystic reduction) system in refuse incineration plant. We consider the SCR system as a single input and single output system. For modelling the SCR system, an auto regressive exogeneous(ARX) modelling method is used. In this case, we should design the white noise input for modelling and put it on the system as an input$(NH_3)$, and take an outlet NOx as an output. From these two relations, we design the ARX model with 45 second delay time and transform to a discrete system with sampling time of 0.5 second. Using the obtained SCR model, we verify that the outlet NOx is deeply related with stoker`s moving in boiler of refuse incineration plant.