• 한국관개배수논문집
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.97-105
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• 2012

This study aimed to evaluate the vulnerability to different natural hazards such as flood, drought, and abnormal climate, and to classify the vulnerability patterns in Gyeongsangnam-do. The damage records and annual budgets during 2000 to 2009 were collected and were ranked for all twelve si-guns. Sancheong-gun and Hamyang-gun resulted in the most vulnerable to flood and drought damages, and Hadong-gun and Yangsan-si were most damaged from abnormal climate such as heavy snow and heavy wind. In addition, three clusters were classified by using Ward's method, and were interpreted. The results showed that the western areas of Gyeongsangnam-do might be more vulnerable to flood damage while drought might threaten the eastern si-guns.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.217-228
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 9.12 경주지진이 발생한 경주시를 대상으로 AHP와 GIS를 사용하여 지진취약성지도를 작성하고 이를 평가하였다. 지질공학적, 물리적, 사회적, 구조적, 수용적 요인을 주요지표로 선정하였으며, 이와 관련된 18개의 하위지표를 선정하여 공간데이터베이스로 구축하였다. AHP를 사용하여 도출된 가중치는 18개 하위 지표에 적용되었으며, 이를 기반으로 5가지 주요지표의 취약성 지도를 생성하였다. 생성된 5개의 지도에 가중치를 부여한 후, 이를 중첩하여 최종 결과물인 지진취약성지도를 생성하였다. 취약성 지도는 5개의 범주(safe, low, moderate, high, very high)로 분류하였으며, 경주시 전체 면적 중 3%가 아주 높음(very high), 19%가 안전(safe) 지역으로 나타났다. 행정동 기준으로는 중부동, 황오동, 황성동, 성건동, 동천동이 위험지역으로, 보덕동, 강동면, 양북면, 양남면, 외동읍이 안전지역으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 작성된 지진취약성지도는 사전에 취약지역을 파악함으로써 지진 재해로 인한 피해를 최소화하고, 지진 재해 관련 정책 수립 시 중요한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 전산구조공학
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.85-91
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• 1999

• 환경영향평가
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.891-905
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• 2011

Climate vulnerability index is usually defined as a function of the climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, which requires adequate selection of proxy variables of each variable. We selected and used 9 proxy variables related to climate exposure in the literature, and diagnosed the adequacy of them for application in Korean peninsula. The selected proxy variables are: four variables from temperature, three from precipitation, one from wind speed, and one from relative humidity. We collected climate data over both previous year (1981~2010) and future climate scenario (A1B scenario of IPCC SERES) for 2020, 2050, and 2100. We introduced the spatial and temporal diagnostic statistical parameters, and evaluated both spatial and time variabilities in the relative scale. Of 9 proxy variables, effective humidity indicated the most sensitive to climate change temporally with the biggest spatial variability, implying a good proxy variable in diagnostics of climate change vulnerability in Korea. The second most sensitive variable is the frequency of strong wind speed with a decreasing trend, suggesting that it should be used carefully or may not be of broad utility as a proxy variable in Korea. The A1B scenario of future climate in 2020, 2050 and 2100 matches well with the extension of linear trend of observed variables during 1981~2010, indicating that, except for strong wind speed, the selected proxy variables can be effectively used in calculating the vulnerability index for both past and future climate over Korea. Other local variabilities for the past and future climate in association with climate exposure variables are also discussed here.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.371-386
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• 2016

During the last decades, many destructive earthquakes occurred in Algeria, particularly in the northern part of the country (Chlef (1980), Constantine (1985), Tipaza (1989), Mascara (1994), Ain-Benian (1996), Ain Temouchent (1999), Beni Ourtilane (2000), and recently $Boumerd{\acute{e}}s$ (2003), causing enormous losses in human lives, buildings and equipments. In order to reduce this risk and avoid serious damages to the strategic existing buildings, the authorities of the country, aware of this risk and in order to have the necessary elements that let them to know and estimate the potential losses in advance, with an acceptable error, and to take the necessary countermeasures, decided to invest into seismic upgrade, strengthening and retrofitting of those buildings. To do so, seismic vulnerability study of this category of buildings has been considered. Structural analysis is performed based on the site investigation (inspection of the building, collecting data, materials characteristics, general conditions of the building, etc.), and existing drawings (architectural plans, structural design, etc.). The aim of these seismic vulnerability studies is to develop guidelines and a methodology for rehabilitation of existing buildings. This paper presents the methodology, based on non linear and seismic analysis of existing buildings, followed in this study and summarizes the vulnerability assessment and strengthening of one of the strategic buildings according to the new Algerian code RPA 99/version 2003. As a direct application of this methodology, both, static equivalent method and non linear dynamic analysis, of composite concrete masonry existing building in the city of "CONSTANTINE", located in the east side of ALGERIA, are presented in this paper.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.677-693
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• 2013

IPCC showed that calculation of climate vulnerability index requires standardization process of various proxy variables for the estimation of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. In this study, four different methodologies of standardization methods: Z-score, Rescaling, Ranking, and Distance to the reference country, are employed to evaluate climate vulnerability-VRI (Vulnerability-Resilience Indicator) over Korean peninsula, and the error ranges of VRI, arising from employing the different standardization are estimated. All of proxy variables are provided by CCGIS (Climate Change adaptation toolkit based on GIS) which hosts information on both past and current socio-economic data and climate and environmental IPCC SRES (A2, B1, A1B, A1T, A1FI, and A1 scenarios) climate data for the decades of 2000s, 2020s, 2050s, and 2100s. The results showed that Z-score and Rescaling methods showed statistically undistinguishable results with minor differences of spatial distribution, while Ranking and Distance to the reference country methods showed some possibility to lead the different ranking of VRI among South Korean provinces, depending on the local characteristics and reference province. The resultant VRIs calculated from different standardization methods showed Cronbach's alpha of more than 0.84, indicating that all of different methodologies were overall consistent. Similar horizontal distributions were shown with the same trends: VRI increases as province is close to the coastal region and/or it close toward lower latitude, and decreases as it is close to urbanization area. Other characteristics of the four different standardization are discussed in this study.

• 농촌계획
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.77-87
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• 2015

In this study, we try to quantify resident's conflict by rural development project based on previous researches about community capacities required for residents and social networks in rural village for suggesting efficient project model. we analyzed conflict elements in six category such as 'conflict in residents', 'conflict in residents and leaders', 'conflict in leaders', 'conflict in villages', 'conflict in development fund', 'conflict in village by common income project'. These results also analyzed by personal background(age, role, education, income) of respondent in questionary survey. Results show that 'conflict in residents and leaders', 'conflict in leaders', 'conflict in development fund' are perceived differently by age, role, education, and income in 5% significance level. Especially, relatively young age(below 40 years old) expressed clearly about conflict and high scored in item of 'residents and leaders'. Regression model show statistical significance(F=39.807, P=0.000) in influence relation analysis of conflict, network, leadership, and project fund. In this model, network ${\beta}=-0.237$, leadership ${\beta}=-0.375$, project fund ${\beta}=-0.000$ show network and leadership have negative relation to conflict but project fund is difficult to find relation with conflict. In this study, we defined social vulnerability using conflict, network, and leadership and verified the vulnerability of rural village applying regional community capacity in analysis results; vulnerability increased by the size of region and show inverse correlation to future vision of residents.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.204-204
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• 2016

Thailand had set the National Water Management Strategy which covered main six areas in the next 12 years, i.e., by priority: (1) water for household, (2) water for agricultural and industrial production, (3) water for flood and drought management, (4) water for quality issue, (5) water from forest conservation and soil erosion protection, (6) water resources management. However due to the climate change impact, there is a question for all strategies is whether to complete this mission under future climate change. If the impact affects our target, we have to clarify how to mitigate or to adapt with it. Vulnerability assessment was conducted under the framework of ADB's (with the parameters of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) and the assessments were classified into groups due to their different characteristic and the framework of the National Water Management Strategy, i.e., water supply (rural and urban), water for development (agriculture and others), water disasters (floods (flash, overflow), drought, water quality). The assessments identified the parameters concerned and weight factors used for each groups via expert group discussions and by using GIS mapping technology, the vulnerability maps were produced. The maps were verified with present water situation data (floods, drought, water quality). From the analysis result of this water resources management strategy, we found that 30% of all projects face the big impacts, 40% with low impact, and 30% for no impact. It is clear that water-related agencies have to carefully take care approximately 70% of future projects to meet water resources management strategy. It is recommended that additional issues should be addressed to mitigate the impact from climate risk on water resource management of the country, i.e., water resources management under new risk based on development scenarios, relationship with area-based problems, priority definition by viewpoints of risk, vulnerability (impact and occurrence probability in past and future), water management system in emergency case and water reserve system, use of information, knowledge and technology in management, network cooperation and exchange of experiences, knowledge, technique for sustainable development with mitigation and adaptation, education and communication systems in risk, new impact, and emergency-reserve system. These issues will be described and discussed.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.11-21
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• 2022

국과연은 물자표적에 대한 취약성 해석 모델인 AVEAM-MT(ADD Vulnerability and Effectiveness Assessment Model for Materiel Target)를 개발하고 있다. 이 모델에는 성형작약제트와 표적 간 상호작용을 해석하기 위해 두 가지 방법이 적용되었다. 그중 한 방법은 표적 부품으로 침투를 신속하게 계산하기 위해 Fireman-Pugh 방법을 개량한 경험적 모델이다. 다른 하나는 Walker-Anderson 침투모델을 성형작약제트에 적용할 수 있도록 개량한 물리기반 모델인 ADD-TSC(ADD Tandem Shaped Charge)이다. 이 논문에서는 이 두 방법을 간략히 기술하고, 경험식 방법과 물리기반 모델의 잔류침투성능 예측 결과를 비교한다. 또한 물리기반 모델이 예측한 침투성능과 문헌에서 찾은 실험 결과를 비교한다. 비교 결과는 두 방법 모두 AVEAM-MT와 같은 짧은 시간에 상당한 양의 반복적인 피해해석 시뮬레이션 수행이 요구되는 취약성 해석 모델에 탑재되어 고속 계산 또는 상대적으로 높은 충실도 계산에 유용하게 사용될 수 있음을 보인다.

• 정보보호학회논문지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.281-293
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• 2023

산업제어시스템의 특성에 대한 공격자들의 이해 증가와 더불어 정보 기술과의 연결성이 확대되면서 산업제어시스템을 대상으로 하는 보안사고가 증가하고 있다. 이와 관련된 취약점의 수는 매년 급증하고 있지만, 모든 취약점에 대해 적시의 패치를 수행하는 것은 어렵다. 현재 취약점 패치의 기준으로 여겨지는 공통 취약점 평가체계는 취약점이 발견된 후의 무기화를 고려하고 있지않다는 한계점을 지니고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 운영 기술 및 산업제어시스템 내 발생 취약점 정보가 포함된 공개 정보를 기반으로 시간의 흐름에 따라 변화하는 공격자의 기술 수준을 분류하기 위한 기준을 정의한다. 또한 해당 속성을 기존 심각도 점수 산출에 반영하여 취약점의 실제 위험성과 긴급성이 반영된 심각도를 평가하는 방안을 제안하고자 한다. 해당 평가 방안의 시계열적 특성 반영 및 운영기술 및 산업제어시스템 환경에서의 유효성을 확인하기 위해 실제 사고에 활용된 취약점에 기반한 사례연구를 수행하였다.