• 제목/요약/키워드: Assessment Vulnerability

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시흥시 기후변화 취약성 평가 연구 (A Study on Vulnerability Assessment to Climate Change in Siheung-si)

  • 윤성권;최봉석;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 시흥시의 기후변화에 대한 영향을 최소화하고, 시흥시 기후변화 대응계획을 수립하기 위한 연구로 시흥시 15개 동을 대상으로 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 본 연구에서는 기후노출, 민감도, 적응능력 3가지 지표를 활용하여 지자체의 기후변화 취약성을 분석하였으며, 각각 지표별로 선정된 대리변수들을 활용하였다. 기후노출 지표 값 계산을 위해 기상청 기후변화정보센터에서 제공하는 전자기후도의 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 남한상세 시나리오를 활용해서 시흥시의 기상자료를 활용하였고, 미래에도 이러한 추세가 지속할 것이라는 가정을 통해 분석하였다. 시흥시 취약성 평가결과, 시흥시는 풍수해 및 집중호우 시 도로와 농경지의 침수에 취약하고, 여름철 폭염으로 인한 건강 영향에 주의가 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화 영향은 도시의 대응능력에 따라 피해규모와 크기가 다른 만큼 영향 파악과 취약성 분석을 통해, 대책을 마련하는 연구가 필요하다. 본 시흥시 취약성 평가 연구는 시흥시의 기후변화 대응계획에 활용하고, 그에 따른 정책의 우선순위를 판단할 때 참고자료로 활용할 수 있고, 전국 228개 기초지자체에서 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 취약성 평가 연구를 진행하는 데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대한다.

Physical protection system vulnerability assessment of a small nuclear research reactor due to TNT-shaped charge impact on its reinforced concrete wall

  • Moo, Jee Hoon;Chirayath, Sunil S.;Cho, Sung Gook
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.2135-2146
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    • 2022
  • A nuclear energy facility is one of the most critical facilities to be safely protected during and after operation because the physical destruction of its barriers by an external attack could release radioactivity into the environment and can cause harmful effects. The barrier walls of nuclear energy facilities should be sufficiently robust to protect essential facilities from external attack or sabotage. Physical protection system (PPS) vulnerability assessment of a typical small nuclear research reactor was carried out by simulating an external attack with a tri-nitro toluene (TNT) shaped charge and results are presented. The reinforced concrete (RC) barrier wall of the research reactor located at a distance of 50 m from a TNT-shaped charge was the target of external attack. For the purpose of the impact assessment of the RC barrier wall, a finite element method (FEM) is utilized to simulate the destruction condition. The study results showed that a hole-size of diameter 342 mm at the front side and 364 mm at the back side was created on the RC barrier wall as a result of a 143.35 kg TNT-shaped charge. This aperture would be large enough to let at least one person can pass through at a time. For the purpose of the PPS vulnerability assessment, an Estimate of Adversary Sequence Interruption (EASI) model was used, which enabled the determination of most vulnerable path to the target with a probability of interruption equal to 0.43. The study showed that the RC barrier wall is vulnerable to a TNT-shaped charge impact, which could in turn reduce the effectiveness of the PPS.

수리시설물 및 농경지 가뭄대응능력 중심의 농업가뭄 취약성 평가 - 태안 지역을 중심으로 - (Assessment of Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Focus on Drought Response Capability in Irrigation Facilities and Paddy Fields)

  • 문영식;남원호;하태현;조영준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권5호
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2023
  • Due to recent climate change, the amount of rainfall during the summer season in South Korea has been decreasing, leading to an increase in areas affected by frequent droughts. Droughts have the characteristic of occurring over a wide area and being unpredictable in terms of their onset and end, necessitating proactive research to cope with them. In this study, we conducted an assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability in Taean-gun, Chungcheongnam-do, focusing on irrigation facilities and paddy fields. The assessment criteria were meteorological impact, drought occurrence status, supplementary water supply capacity, and drought response capability, with nine specific indicators selected. The drought response capability was analyzed by applying a scoring system as a key component of the agricultural drought vulnerability assessment, while the other indicators were quantified using an entropy weighting technique. The results of the assessment showed that Anmyeon-eup and Taean-eup were the safest areas, while Wonbuk-myeon, Nam-myeon, and Gonam-myeon were the most vulnerable. It is expected that the findings can be utilized to enhance understanding and proactive measures for coping with agricultural drought, and to determine the priority of drought response in different regions.

금융기관 공개용 홈페이지 취약점 분석평가에 대한 효율적인 대처방안 (Effective Countermeasures against Vulnerability Assessment for the Public Website of Financial Institution)

  • 박현진;김인석
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.885-895
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    • 2017
  • 급변하는 IT환경만큼 다양한 형태의 외부 침입에 의한 보안이슈가 발생하고 있다. 웹 어플리케이션에 대한 취약점을 이용한 공격은 갈수록 늘어나고 있고, 각 기업은 취약점 발생의 원인을 찾아서 조치하여 외부 침입을 막고 자사의 시스템 및 주요 정보를 보호하기 위해 노력하고 있다. 특별히 감독규정에 의하여 각 금융기관 및 전자금융업자는 6개월에 한번 씩 공개용 홈페이지에 대한 취약점 분석평가를 실시하고 그 결과를 금융위원회에 보고하도록 되어있다. 본 연구에서는 감독규정에서 정의하는 웹 취약점 항목을 기준으로 실제 금융기관의 점검 사례를 바탕으로 발생빈도가 높은 항목을 분석하고 이에 대한 효율적인 대처방안과 발생을 미리 예방할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

취약면적 기반의 함정 취약성 간이 평가 방법에 관한 연구 (Simplified Vulnerability Assessment Procedure for the Warship Based on the Vulnerable Area Approach)

  • 김광식;이장현;황세윤
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.404-413
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    • 2011
  • It is important to assess and improve the warship survivability for the weapon threats which have a critical effect on warship. The survivability of the warship is defined as the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a man-made hostile environment. The survivability of the warship consists of three categories (Susceptibility, Vulnerability and Recoverability). Firstly, the susceptibility is defined as the inability of a warship to avoid radars, guns, missiles and etc. Secondly, the vulnerability is defined as the inability of a warship to withstand the man-made hostile environment. Finally, the recoverability is defined as the ability of a warship to recover the damaged components and systems. Among them, this paper has described the vulnerability assessment for the hypothetical system which is composed of critical components. Also, the procedure which is suggested to calculate the vulnerable probability of the damaged warship is based on the Vulnerable Area Method.

Intensity measure-based probabilistic seismic evaluation and vulnerability assessment of ageing bridges

  • Yazdani, Mahdi;Jahangiri, Vahid
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.379-393
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to first evaluate the seismic behavior of ageing arch bridges by using the Intensity Measure - based demand and DCFD format, which is referred to as the fragility-hazard format. Then, an investigation is performed for their seismic vulnerability. Analytical models are created for bridges concerning different features and these models are subjected to Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) analysis using a set of 22 earthquake records. The hazard curve and results of IDA analysis are employed to evaluate the return period of exceeding the limit states in the IM-based probabilistic performance-based context. Subsequently, the fragility-hazard format is used to assess factored demand, factored capacity, and the ratio of the factored demand to the factored capacity of the models with respect to different performance objectives. Finally, the vulnerability curves are obtained for the investigated bridges in terms of the loss ratio. The results revealed that decreasing the span length of the unreinforced arch bridges leads to the increase in the return period of exceeding various limit states and factored capacity and decrease in the displacement demand, the probability of failure, the factored demand, as well as the factored demand to factored capacity ratios, loss ratio, and seismic vulnerability. Finally, it is derived that the probability of the need for rehabilitation increases by an increase in the span length of the models.

VESTAP을 활용한 기후변화에 따른 제주도 산불 취약성 평가 연구 (The Vulnerability Assessment Forest Fire in Jeju to Climate Change using the VESTAP)

  • 임채현
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 한국환경정책평가연구원에서 가장 최근에 배포한 기후변화 취약성 평가 프로그램인 VESTAP을 활용하여 RCP 8.5 시나리오를 기반으로 2000년대에서 2040년대까지 제주시 및 서귀포시에 대한 산불 취약성을 평가하였다. 평가된 취약성 지수는 표준화 작업을 통해 제주시 및 서귀포시를 종합한 제주도 전체 읍면동의 산불 취약성 평가에 활용하였는데, 취약성이 높은 상위 10개 읍면동으로 제주시는 도서지역인 추자면과 우도면 그리고 2개의 동지역이, 서귀포시는 대정읍과 5개의 동지역이 산불에 대한 취약성이 상대적으로 높게 평가되었다.

RCP 시나리오를 적용한 한국 연근해어업의 기후변화 취약성 평가: 남해안 지역을 대상으로 (Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries of Korea under the RCP Scenarios: for the South Coast Region)

  • 김봉태;이준수;서영상
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the climate change vulnerability of coastal and offshore fisheries in the South Sea of Korea using the RCP scenarios. Based on the vulnerability defined by IPCC, the indicator-based method was applied. Exposure indicator was calculated through weighted sum of the sea temperature and salinity forecasted by National Institute of Fisheries Science, and the weights were obtained from the time-space distribution of each fisheries. Sensitivity indicator was determined by applying the catch proportion of fisheries to the sensitivity of fish species. The adaptive capacity was measured by survey of fisheries which represent the ability of the fishermen well. As a result of summarizing the above indicators, vulnerability of coastal fisheries is higher than offshore fisheries. This shows that measures against coastal fisheries are needed. In addition, the results of each scenario are somewhat different, so it is considered that accurate prediction of climate change is important for adaptation measures.

정성적 위험 분석을 위한 버디 시스템의 구조 분석 (The Architectural Analysis of the Buddy System for Qualitative Risk Analysis)

  • Jeongwon Yoon;Kim, Hong-Keun
    • 한국정보보호학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보보호학회 1995년도 종합학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1995
  • The importance of the risk analysis tool has been recognized and its use also has been emphasized by a number of researchers recently The methodology were examined but neither algorithms nor practical applications have been implemented or practiced in Korea. In this paper, the architecture of the Buddy System, one of the automated risk assessment tools. is analyzed in depth to provide the algorithmic understanding and to promote the development of the risk analysis methodology. The Buddy System mainly uses three main factors of vulnerability, threat and countermeasures as a nucleus of the qualatative analysis with the modified loss expectancy value. These factors are identified and assessed by the separation of duties between the end user and security analyst. The Buddy System uses five axioms as its bases of assessment algorithm and the assessed vulnerability level is strictly within these axioms. Since the In-place countermeasures reduce the vulnerability level up to a certain level. the security analyst may use "what if " model to examine the impact of additional countermeasures by proposing each to reduce the vulnerability level further to within the acceptable range. The emphasis on the qualitative approach on vulnerability leveling is very well balanced with the quantitative analysis that the system performance is prominent.prominent.

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COVID-19 팬데믹 기간 중 학령초기 자녀를 가진 여성의 스트레스 취약성, 부모소진이 정신건강에 미치는 영향: 영성의 매개효과 (The Effects of Stress Vulnerability and Parental Burnout on Mental Health in Women with Early School-Age Children during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Mediating Effect of Spirituality)

  • 염미정;권민
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.106-117
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study examined the effects of stress vulnerability and parental burnout on the mental health of women with early school-aged children, with a focus on the mediating role of spirituality. Methods: A survey was conducted among 171 women with early schoolaged children in Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province, and Seoul. Data were collected from September to December 2022 using the Korean-Symptom Check List 95, the Parental Burnout Assessment, and the Spirituality Assessment Scale. The data were analyzed using structural equation modeling with SPSS/WIN 22.0 and AMOS 20.0. Results: The study model demonstrated a good fit, explaining 40.5% of the variance in mental health through stress vulnerability, parental burnout, and spirituality. Spirituality had a significant direct impact on mental health. Additionally, participants' spirituality directly influenced their mental health, while stress vulnerability and parental burnout indirectly affected their mental health and were mediated through spirituality. Conclusion: Stress vulnerability and parental burnout are negatively associated with mental health, while spirituality partially mediates these effects. Implementing a program to promote spirituality is suggested to assist mothers in recognizing the value and meaning of parenting activities during nursing interventions for mental health.