• Title/Summary/Keyword: Asian Economic Crisis

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A Study on the Impact of the Financial Crises on Container Throughput of Busan Port (금융위기로 인한 부산항 컨테이너물동량 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Suhyun;Shin, Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2016
  • The economy of South Korea has experienced two financial crises: the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis. These crises had a significant impact on the nation's macro-economic indicators. Furthermore, they had a profound influence on container traffic in container ports in Busan, which is the largest port in South Korea in terms of TEUs handled. However, the impact of the Asian financial crisis on container throughput is not clear. In this study, we assume that the two financial crises are independent and different, and then analyze how each of them impacted container throughput in Busan ports. To perform this analysis, we use an intervention model that is a special type of ARIMA model with input series. Intervention models can be used to model and forecast a response series and to analyze the impact of an intervention or event on the series. This study focuses on the latter case, and our results show that the impacts of the financial crises vary considerably.

Japan and the 'Flying Geese' Pattern of East Asian Integration

  • Furuoka, Fumitaka
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • In this paper uses Kaname Akamatsu's 'Flying Geese' model to analyse Japan's role in East Asian integration. Japan made the first attempt to lead Asian countries before the Second World War. At that time, the Japanese Government embarked on a brutally expansionist policy the result of which was creation of the first gaggle of 'flying geese' under the name of the 'Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere.' During the 'flight' Japan was forcefully imposing its own ideals and values on the rest of the 'gaggle.' At the same time, the Japanese Government assumed hostile attitude toward Western countries. Japan's defeat in the Second World War signified the end of flight for the first 'flying geese' gaggle. After the war, Japan made another attempt at regional integration. This time it was done through establishing a production network in East Asia. Thus the second gaggle of 'flying geese' came into existence. During the flight of the 'second gaggle' of geese, Japan was fostering good ties with Western countries as well, especially the United States. However, some leaders of the 'second gaggle's' member-countries emboldened by their countries' economic success proclaimed that future belongs to Asia and put forward the 'Asian values' argument. The Asian economic crisis of 1997 interrupted the flight of the 'second gaggle' and effectively put an end to the 'Asian values' debate. It is interesting to note that some elements of the 'Asian values' argument resembled ultranationalist discourse that had been dominant in Japan before and during the Second World War. This paper compares historical patterns of East Asian regional integration and highlights future challenges for Japan's Asia policy.

A study on the Optimal Economic Vessel in the South-East Asian Trade Route (동남아 항로의 최적 경제선박에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Gon
    • 한국기계연구소 소보
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    • s.14
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 1985
  • The recent trend in shipbuilding technology is toward development of highly economical vessels of which construction and operation costs are minimized, whereas cargo transport capacity is maximized. But, most of the vessel which are now operated by some of the nation's shipping companies are uneconomical ones built before oil crisis and consequently the companies are suffering from long-lasted deficit problem. In this paper, derivation study of optimum vessel for multi purpose cargo vessel on south-East Asian trade route is carried out to solve this problem. The Required Freight Rate is used as a measure of merits.

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The Ebb and Flow of Regional Integration Vision in Asia-Pacific: From a Lens of Leaders' Declarations over 30 Years

  • Jeongmeen Suh
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.303-325
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    • 2023
  • This paper examines how APEC has transformed itself into an international forum for the vision of regional integration. It aims to quantify the documentation produced by the international organization and provide quantifiable evidence that aligns with prior knowledge rather than relying solely on intuition. For this purpose, I use various text mining techniques to extract multi-dimensional features from the text of APEC Leaders' Declarations from 1993 to 2023. In terms of interest and expectations for APEC as a forum, it is found that members have experienced two major peaks and troughs over the last three decades. It is found that the change point coincides with the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and the tensions between the United States and China since 2017. To explore more various aspects of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region, this study also considers how consistently APEC has been an international forum for addressing issues, which members are active, and how members have clustered based on their views of APEC.

Recent Developments and Policy Directions in Fisheries Finance in Korea (IMF 이후 한국수산금융의 현황과 정책방향)

  • 김경호
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2001
  • In recent years Korea fisheries have been much more influenced than ever before by domestic and foreign environmental changes such as market liberalization, sustainability, efficiency and effectiveness of domestic fisheries, fisher's welfare etc. Under the wide range of environmental changes, government is carrying out various fisheries policies. However, it seems insufficient to accomplish policy goals under the existing policy instruments. The main focus of the paper is to investigate structural changes and policy directions of fisheries finance in Korea after asian economic crisis. The results of the study are as follows; Fisheries sector in whole economy has been lowering in its proportion. To survive in emerging global competition, fisheries sector is needed structural reformation. In particular the strategy that increases operative efficiency and effectiveness on government financial policy in fisheries sector is much expected. Also, it is necessary to minimize costs, to reform institution and management for increasing efficiency and effectiveness.

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Business Cycle Synchronization between the European Union and Korea

  • Jiyoun An;In Huh
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.327-346
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    • 2023
  • In the recent 20 years, the capital flows between Korea and European Union have increased and diversified. In particular, the business cycles of two economies have shown similar patterns since the Global Financial Crisis. This study examines both trends and investigates the roles of finance and trade on business cycle co-movements between two economies. The empirical results show that the business cycles can diverge due to either the common shocks or the country-specific shocks. Furthermore, financial integration increases the business cycle co-movements driven by both the country-specific shocks and the common shocks between two economies.

Determinants of Commercial Banks' Efficiency in Bangladesh: Does Crisis Matter?

  • Banna, Hasanul;Ahmad, Rubi;Koh, Eric H.Y.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2017
  • Banks play a crucial role in bringing stability and economic development through their expected contribution in proper financial resource mobilisation across the economy. Despite the importance, there is little focus in recent literature which provided the empirical evidence how the global financial crisis affect the bank efficiency in Bangladesh. Thus, this paper aims to examine the effect of the global financial crisis and other factors on the efficiency of Bangladesh commercial banks. By employing the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method, we computed the technical efficiency of individual banks operating in the Bangladesh banking sector during 2000 to 2013. The empirical findings indicate that the Bangladesh banking sector has exhibited the highest efficiency level during 2001, while efficiency seems to be at the lowest level during 2010. The study finds that crisis along with bank size, capital adequacy ratio, return on average equity and real interest rate have a significant effect on bank efficiency in Bangladesh. In order to keep the sound financial development of Bangladesh, banks operating in the Bangladesh banking sector have to consider all the potential technologies which could improve their profit efficiency levels, since the main motive of banks is to maximise shareholders' value or wealth through profit maximisation.

SME Profitability of Trade Credit during and after a Financial Crisis: Evidence from Korea

  • KWON, Ohsung;HAN, Seung Hun;LEE, Duk Hee
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2020
  • An economic downturn can occurred through unexpected events in various fields, such as the subprime mortgage crisis and the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19). Trade credit is important for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), especially during a monetary contraction, as it is the last option for firms that lack bank credit. This study aims to determine whether trade credit is profitable for the buyer and supplier firms during and after a financial crisis. We use panel data consisting of all trade credit transactions and financial statements of 5,751 Korean firms during the period 2008-2012. It shows that trade credit is more profitable for both buyers and suppliers in the post-crisis period than during the crisis. Moreover, trade payable is more effective for unconstrained buyers than for constrained buyers. Finally, a mixed strategy is superior to an aggressive or passive strategy of SMEs. The results suggest less profitability of trade credit during a period of contraction and greater sensitivity of the buyer SMEs, emphasizing the idiosyncratic liquidity strategy of each firm. This study can be helpful to develop a strategy of profitable trade credit for SMEs and to establish a policy of managing liquidity for the authority.

Predicting Recessions Using Yield Spread in Emerging Economies: Regime Switch vs. Probit Analysis (금리스프레드를 이용한 신흥경제 국가의 불황 예측: 국면 전환 모형 vs. 프로빗 모형)

  • Park, Kihyun;Mohsin, Mohammed
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 2012
  • In this study we investigate the ability of the yield spread to predict economic recessions in two Asian economies. For our purpose we use the data from two emerging economies (South Korea and Thailand) that are also known for their openness in terms of exports and imports. We employ both two-regime Markov-Switching model (MS) and three-regime MS model to estimate the probability of recessions during Asian crisis. We found that the yield spread is confirmed to be a reliable recession predictor for Thailand but not for South Korea. The three-regime MS model is better for capturing the Asian financial crisis than two-regime MS model. We also tried to find the duration of economic expansions and recessions. We tested the hypothesis of asymmetric movements of business cycles. The MS results are also compared with that of the standard probit model for comparison. The MS model does not significantly improve the forecasting ability of the yield spread in forecasting business cycles.

An Empirical Study on Employment during Crises in Korea (금융위기의 고용파급효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Shin, Sukha;Cho, Dongchul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.91-116
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes how the adverse impacts of the global financial crisis on Korea's employment could be mitigated in comparison with the Asian crisis period. The results from error-correction models suggest that the less severe impacts during the global financial crisis could be attributed to (i) smaller GDP reduction, (ii) better maintenance of domestic demand despite a sharp fall of export, (iii) less serious over-employment during the run-up to the crisis, and (iv) less severe credit crunch. Analyses of OECD cross-country data provide corroborating evidence. In order to mitigate adverse impacts on employment, therefore, priority should be given to expansionary macroeconomic policies to keep aggregate domestic demand from collapsing once a crisis is triggered. Also crucial, however, is to maintain sound economic structures such as flexible labor market and adequately supervised financial market.

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