• Title/Summary/Keyword: Artificial Neural Network Model

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Convergence of Artificial Intelligence Techniques and Domain Specific Knowledge for Generating Super-Resolution Meteorological Data (기상 자료 초해상화를 위한 인공지능 기술과 기상 전문 지식의 융합)

  • Ha, Ji-Hun;Park, Kun-Woo;Im, Hyo-Hyuk;Cho, Dong-Hee;Kim, Yong-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2021
  • Generating a super-resolution meteological data by using a high-resolution deep neural network can provide precise research and useful real-life services. We propose a new technique of generating improved training data for super-resolution deep neural networks. To generate high-resolution meteorological data with domain specific knowledge, Lambert conformal conic projection and objective analysis were applied based on observation data and ERA5 reanalysis field data of specialized institutions. As a result, temperature and humidity analysis data based on domain specific knowledge showed improved RMSE by up to 42% and 46%, respectively. Next, a super-resolution generative adversarial network (SRGAN) which is one of the aritifial intelligence techniques was used to automate the manual data generation technique using damain specific techniques as described above. Experiments were conducted to generate high-resolution data with 1 km resolution from global model data with 10 km resolution. Finally, the results generated with SRGAN have a higher resoltuion than the global model input data, and showed a similar analysis pattern to the manually generated high-resolution analysis data, but also showed a smooth boundary.

Comparison of Effective Soil Depth Classification Methods Using Topographic Information (지형정보를 이용한 유효토심 분류방법비교)

  • Byung-Soo Kim;Ju-Sung Choi;Ja-Kyung Lee;Na-Young Jung;Tae-Hyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2023
  • Research on the causes of landslides and prediction of vulnerable areas is being conducted globally. This study aims to predict the effective soil depth, a critical element in analyzing and forecasting landslide disasters, using topographic information. Topographic data from various institutions were collected and assigned as attribute information to a 100 m × 100 m grid, which was then reduced through data grading. The study predicted effective soil depth for two cases: three depths (shallow, normal, deep) and five depths (very shallow, shallow, normal, deep, very deep). Three classification models, including K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, and Deep Artificial Neural Network, were used, and their performance was evaluated by calculating accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Results showed that the performance was in the high 50% to early 70% range, with the accuracy of the three classification criteria being about 5% higher than the five criteria. Although the grading criteria and classification model's performance presented in this study are still insufficient, the application of the classification model is possible in predicting the effective soil depth. This study suggests the possibility of predicting more reliable values than the current effective soil depth, which assumes a large area uniformly.

Development of Free Flow Speed Estimation Model by Artificial Neural Networks for Freeway Basic Sections (인공신경망을 이용한 고속도로 기본구간 자유속도 추정모형개발)

  • Kang, Jin-Gu;Chang, Myung-Soon;Kim, Jin-Tae;Kim, Eung-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.109-125
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    • 2004
  • In recent decades, microscopic simulation models have become powerful tools to analyze traffic flow on highways and to assist the investigation of level of service. The existing microscopic simulation models simulate an individual vehicle's speed based on a constant free-flow speed dominantly specified by users and driver's behavior models reflecting vehicle interactions, such as car following and lane changing. They set a single free-flow speed for a single vehicle on a given link and neglect to consider the effects of highway design elements to it in their internal simulation. Due to this, the existing models are limitted to provide with identical simulation results on both curved and tangent sections of highways. This paper presents a model developed to estimate the change of free-flow speeds based on highway design elements. Nine neural network models were trained based on the field data collected from seven different freeway curve sections and three different locations at each section to capture the percent changes of free-flow speeds: 100 m upstream of the point of curve (PC) and the middle of the curve. The model employing seven highway design elements as its input variables was selected as the best : radius of curve, length of curve, superelevation, the number of lanes, grade variations, and the approaching free-flow speed on 100 m upstream of PC. Tests showed that the free-flow speeds estimated by the proposed model were statistically identical to the ones from the field at 95% confidence level at each three different locations described above. The root mean square errors at the starting and the middle of curve section were 6.68 and 10.06, and the R-squares at these points were 0.77 and 0.65, respectively. It was concluded from the study that the proposed model would be one of the potential tools introducing the effects of highway design elements to free-flow speeds in simulation.

A deep learning analysis of the Chinese Yuan's volatility in the onshore and offshore markets (딥러닝 분석을 이용한 중국 역내·외 위안화 변동성 예측)

  • Lee, Woosik;Chun, Heuiju
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2016
  • The People's Republic of China has vigorously been pursuing the internationalization of the Chinese Yuan or Renminbi after the financial crisis of 2008. In this view, an abrupt increase of use of the Chinese Yuan in the onshore and offshore markets are important milestones to be one of important currencies. One of the most frequently used methods to forecast volatility is GARCH model. Since a prediction error of the GARCH model has been reported quite high, a lot of efforts have been made to improve forecasting capability of the GARCH model. In this paper, we have proposed MLP-GARCH and a DL-GARCH by employing Artificial Neural Network to the GARCH. In an application to forecasting Chinese Yuan volatility, we have successfully shown their overall outperformance in forecasting over the GARCH.

Web Attack Classification Model Based on Payload Embedding Pre-Training (페이로드 임베딩 사전학습 기반의 웹 공격 분류 모델)

  • Kim, Yeonsu;Ko, Younghun;Euom, Ieckchae;Kim, Kyungbaek
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.669-677
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    • 2020
  • As the number of Internet users exploded, attacks on the web increased. In addition, the attack patterns have been diversified to bypass existing defense techniques. Traditional web firewalls are difficult to detect attacks of unknown patterns.Therefore, the method of detecting abnormal behavior by artificial intelligence has been studied as an alternative. Specifically, attempts have been made to apply natural language processing techniques because the type of script or query being exploited consists of text. However, because there are many unknown words in scripts and queries, natural language processing requires a different approach. In this paper, we propose a new classification model which uses byte pair encoding (BPE) technology to learn the embedding vector, that is often used for web attack payloads, and uses an attention mechanism-based Bi-GRU neural network to extract a set of tokens that learn their order and importance. For major web attacks such as SQL injection, cross-site scripting, and command injection attacks, the accuracy of the proposed classification method is about 0.9990 and its accuracy outperforms the model suggested in the previous study.

Photovoltaic Generation Forecasting Using Weather Forecast and Predictive Sunshine and Radiation (일기 예보와 예측 일사 및 일조를 이용한 태양광 발전 예측)

  • Shin, Dong-Ha;Park, Jun-Ho;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.643-650
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    • 2017
  • Photovoltaic generation which has unlimited energy sources are very intermittent because they depend on the weather. Therefore, it is necessary to get accurate generation prediction with reducing the uncertainty of photovoltaic generation and improvement of the economics. The Meteorological Agency predicts weather factors for three days, but doesn't predict the sunshine and solar radiation that are most correlated with the prediction of photovoltaic generation. In this study, we predict sunshine and solar radiation using weather, precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, humidity, and cloudiness which is forecasted for three days at Meteorological Agency. The photovoltaic generation forecasting model is proposed by using predicted solar radiation and sunshine. As a result, the proposed model showed better results in the error rate indexes such as MAE, RMSE, and MAPE than the model that predicts photovoltaic generation without radiation and sunshine. In addition, DNN showed a lower error rate index than using SVM, which is a type of machine learning.

A Study on Determination of Weight Coefficients of Coordinated Multi-reservoir Operating Model Using an Artificial Neural Network Model (인공 신경망 기법을 활용한 댐 군 최적 연계 운영모형 (CoMOM)의 가중치 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Sheung-Kown;Lee, Jae-Sung;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.400-404
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    • 2008
  • 댐 군 연계운영을 위한 기존의 많은 최적화 모형은 경제성에 기반을 둔 단일 목적 함수를 가정함으로써 현실과는 동떨어진 결과를 도출하곤 하였다. 따라서 보다 현실적인 최적화 모형이 되기 위해서는 실제 운영과정을 모사할 수 있도록 적절한 초기 가중치를 부여하여 모형을 구축하고, 상충되는 목적간의 절충안으로 파레토 프런티어(Pareto-frontier)를 제시할 수 있는 다중목적 의사결정 기법이 요구된다. 본 연구의 목적은 댐 군 연계 운영을 위한 최적화 모형으로 소개된 CoMOM(Coordinated Multi-reservoir Operating Model)의 다중목적함수에 적합한 초기 가중치를 도출할 수 있는 시스템을 제안하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 최적화 모형에 적합한 가중치를 결정함에 있어 댐의 초기저수량과 미래의 예상 유입량과 같은 수문 조건을 감안할 필요가 있음에 주목하였다. 이것은 초기저수량과 미래에 예상되는 유입량이 작을 경우 가급적 저수에 중점을 두고, 그 반대일 경우는 발전방류에 주안점을 두는 것이 바람직하다는 사실에서 추정해 볼 수 있는 가정이다. 따라서 댐의 초기 저수량 조건과 유입량 시나리오의 다양한 수문 조건별로 가장 적합한 가중치를 찾아본 후, 수문 조건을 입력요소로, 최적 가중치를 출력요소로 갖는 신경망 모형을 활용해서 수문 조건에 적합한 가중치를 예측할 수 있는 절차를 제안한다. 이 과정에서 최적 가중치를 도출하는 것이 관건이 될 수 있는데, 이를 위해 전승목 (2008)등이 제안한 DEA기반 순위결정 절차를 활용해서 최선의 파레토 최적해와 이에 대응되는 가중치를 찾아 이를 신경망 모형의 출력요소 값으로 활용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 신경망 모형은 임의의 수문 상황에 대해 이에 적합한 CoMOM의 초기 가중치를 결정해 줌으로써 CoMOM과 같은 최적화 모형의 가중치 선정에 따르는 어려움을 극복하는 데 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Decision-Making of Private Banker's in Recommending Hedge Fund among Financial Goods (은행 금융상품에서 프라이빗 뱅커의 전문투자형 사모펀드 추천 의사결정)

  • Yu, Hwan;Lee, Young-Jai
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.333-358
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    • 2019
  • Purpose The study aims to develop a data-based decision model for private bankers when recommending hedge funds to their customers in financial institutions. Design/methodology/approach The independent variables are set in two groups. The independent variables of the first group are aggressive investors, active investors, and risk-neutral type investors. In the second group, variables considered by private bankers include customer propensity to invest, reliability, product subscription experience, professionalism, intimacy, and product understanding. A decision-making variable for a private banker is in recommending a first-rate general private fund composed of foreign and domestic FinTech products. These contain dependent variables that include target return rate(%), fund period (months), safeguard existence, underlying asset, and hedge fund name. Findings Based on the research results, there is a 94.4% accuracy in decision-making when the independent variables (customer rating, reliability, intimacy, product subscription experience, professionalism and product understanding) are used according to the following order of relevant dependent variables: step 1 on safeguard existence, step 2 on target return rate, step 3 on fund period, and step 4 on hedge fund name. Next, a 93.7% accuracy is expected when decision-making uses the following order of dependent variables: step 1 on safeguard existence, step 2 on target return rate, step 3 on underlying asset, and step 4 on fund period. In conclusion, a private banker conducts a decision making stage when recommending hedge funds to their customers. When examining a private banker's recommendations of hedge funds to a customer, independent variables influencing dependent variables are intimacy, product comprehension, and product subscription experience according to a categorical regression model and artificial neural network analysis model.

Projection of the Climate Change Effects on the Vertical Thermal Structure of Juam Reservoir (기후변화가 주암호 수온성층구조에 미치는 영향 예측)

  • Yoon, Sung Wan;Park, Gwan Yeong;Chung, Se Woong;Kang, Boo Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As meteorology is the driving force for lake thermodynamics and mixing processes, the effects of climate change on the physical limnology and associated ecosystem are emerging issues. The potential impacts of climate change on the physical features of a reservoir include the heat budget and thermodynamic balance across the air-water interface, formation and stability of the thermal stratification, and the timing of turn over. In addition, the changed physical processes may result in alteration of materials and energy flow because the biogeochemical processes of a stratified waterbody is strongly associated with the thermal stability. In this study, a novel modeling framework that consists of an artificial neural network (ANN), a watershed model (SWAT), a reservoir operation model(HEC-ResSim) and a hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) is developed for projecting the effects of climate change on the reservoir water temperature and thermal stability. The results showed that increasing air temperature will cause higher epilimnion temperatures, earlier and more persistent thermal stratification, and increased thermal stability in the future. The Schmidt stability index used to evaluate the stratification strength showed tendency to increase, implying that the climate change may have considerable impacts on the water quality and ecosystem through changing the vertical mixing characteristics of the reservoir.

Tolerance Optimization of Lower Arm Used in Automobile Parts Considering Six Sigma Constraints (식스시그마 제약조건을 고려한 로워암의 공차 최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ki;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.10
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    • pp.1323-1328
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    • 2011
  • In the current design process for the lower arm used in automobile parts, an optimal solution of its various design variables should be found through exploration of the design space approximated using the response surface model formulated with a first- or second-order polynomial equation. In this study, a multi-level computational DOE (design of experiment) was carried out to explore the design space showing nonlinear behavior, in terms of factors such as the total weight and applied stress of the lower arm, where a fractional-factorial orthogonal array based on the artificial neural network model was introduced. In addition, the tolerance robustness of the optimal solution was estimated using a tolerance optimization with six sigma constraints, taking into account the tolerances occurring in the design variables.