• Title/Summary/Keyword: Application of prediction techniques

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Application of RS and GIS in Extraction of Building Damage Caused by Earthquake

  • Wang, X.Q.;Ding, X.;Dou, A.X.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1206-1208
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    • 2003
  • The extraction of earthquake damage from remote sensed imagery requires high spatial resolution and temporal effectiveness of acquisition of imagery. The analog photographs and visual interpretation were taken traditionally. Now it is possible to acquire damage information from many commercial high resolution RS satellites. The key techniques are processing velocity and precision. The authors developed the automatic / semiautomatic image process techniques including feature enhancement, and classification, designed the emergency Earthquake Damage and Losses Evaluate System based on Remote Sensing (RSEDLES). The paper introduced the functions of RSEDLES as well as its application to the earthquakes occurred recently.

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Development of the Expert Seasonal Prediction System: an Application for the Seasonal Outlook in Korea

  • Kim, WonMoo;Yeo, Sae-Rim;Kim, Yoojin
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.563-573
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    • 2018
  • An Expert Seasonal Prediction System for operational Seasonal Outlook (ESPreSSO) is developed based on the APEC Climate Center (APCC) Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) dynamical prediction and expert-guided statistical downscaling techniques. Dynamical models have improved to provide meaningful seasonal prediction, and their prediction skills are further improved by various ensemble and downscaling techniques. However, experienced scientists and forecasters make subjective correction for the operational seasonal outlook due to limited prediction skills and biases of dynamical models. Here, a hybrid seasonal prediction system that grafts experts' knowledge and understanding onto dynamical MME prediction is developed to guide operational seasonal outlook in Korea. The basis dynamical prediction is based on the APCC MME, which are statistically mapped onto the station-based observations by experienced experts. Their subjective selection undergoes objective screening and quality control to generate final seasonal outlook products after physical ensemble averaging. The prediction system is constructed based on 23-year training period of 1983-2005, and its performance and stability are assessed for the independent 11-year prediction period of 2006-2016. The results show that the ESPreSSO has reliable and stable prediction skill suitable for operational use.

CFD Application for Design and Development of Centrifugal Compressors (원심압축기의 설계 개발을 위한 CFD의 응용과 전망)

  • Kang Shin-Hyoung
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.12-28
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    • 1995
  • CFD techniques are widely used for the design and development of turbomachinery. The design and performance prediction, evaluation of performace and analysis are all important for the successful development of the machinery. The characteristics of the sturcture and performace of the centrifugal compressor are reviewed for the effective application of CFD techniques. The examples of flow calculations through an impeller and a channel diffuser are presented and phenomenological aspects are discussed. The future research topics of CFD area are also suggested.

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Analysis on prediction models of TBM performance: A review (TBM 굴진성능 예측모델 분석: 리뷰)

  • Lee, Hang-Lo;Song, Ki-Il;Cho, Gye-Chun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2016
  • Prediction of TBM performance is very important for machine selection, and for reliable estimation of construction cost and period. The purpose of this research is to analyze the evaluation process of various prediction models for TBM performance and applied methodology. Based on the solid literature review since 2000, a classification system of TBM performance prediction model is proposed in this study. Classification system suggested in this study can be divided into two stages: selection of input parameter and application of prediction techniques. We also analyzed input and output parameters for prediction model and frequency of use. Lastly, the future research and development trend of TBM performance prediction is suggested.

Comparative Application of Various Machine Learning Techniques for Lithology Predictions (다양한 기계학습 기법의 암상예측 적용성 비교 분석)

  • Jeong, Jina;Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2016
  • In the present study, we applied various machine learning techniques comparatively for prediction of subsurface structures based on multiple secondary information (i.e., well-logging data). The machine learning techniques employed in this study are Naive Bayes classification (NB), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM) and logistic regression classification (LR). As an alternative model, conventional hidden Markov model (HMM) and modified hidden Markov model (mHMM) are used where additional information of transition probability between primary properties is incorporated in the predictions. In the comparisons, 16 boreholes consisted with four different materials are synthesized, which show directional non-stationarity in upward and downward directions. Futhermore, two types of the secondary information that is statistically related to each material are generated. From the comparative analysis with various case studies, the accuracies of the techniques become degenerated with inclusion of additive errors and small amount of the training data. For HMM predictions, the conventional HMM shows the similar accuracies with the models that does not relies on transition probability. However, the mHMM consistently shows the highest prediction accuracy among the test cases, which can be attributed to the consideration of geological nature in the training of the model.

Analyzing Machine Learning Techniques for Fault Prediction Using Web Applications

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Sharma, Anjali
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.751-770
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    • 2018
  • Web applications are indispensable in the software industry and continuously evolve either meeting a newer criteria and/or including new functionalities. However, despite assuring quality via testing, what hinders a straightforward development is the presence of defects. Several factors contribute to defects and are often minimized at high expense in terms of man-hours. Thus, detection of fault proneness in early phases of software development is important. Therefore, a fault prediction model for identifying fault-prone classes in a web application is highly desired. In this work, we compare 14 machine learning techniques to analyse the relationship between object oriented metrics and fault prediction in web applications. The study is carried out using various releases of Apache Click and Apache Rave datasets. En-route to the predictive analysis, the input basis set for each release is first optimized using filter based correlation feature selection (CFS) method. It is found that the LCOM3, WMC, NPM and DAM metrics are the most significant predictors. The statistical analysis of these metrics also finds good conformity with the CFS evaluation and affirms the role of these metrics in the defect prediction of web applications. The overall predictive ability of different fault prediction models is first ranked using Friedman technique and then statistically compared using Nemenyi post-hoc analysis. The results not only upholds the predictive capability of machine learning models for faulty classes using web applications, but also finds that ensemble algorithms are most appropriate for defect prediction in Apache datasets. Further, we also derive a consensus between the metrics selected by the CFS technique and the statistical analysis of the datasets.

Current approaches of artificial intelligence in breakwaters - A review

  • Kundapura, Suman;Hegde, Arkal Vittal
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2017
  • A breakwater has always been an ideal option to prevent shoreline erosion due to wave action as well as to maintain the tranquility in the lagoon area. The effects of the impinging wave on the structure could be analyzed and evaluated by several physical and numerical methods. An alternate approach to the numerical methods in the prediction of performance of a breakwater is Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools. In the recent decade many researchers have implemented several Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the prediction of performance, stability number and scour of breakwaters. This paper is a comprehensive review which serves as a guide to the current state of the art knowledge in application of soft computing techniques in breakwaters. This study aims to provide a detailed review of different soft computing techniques used in the prediction of performance of different breakwaters considering various combinations of input and response variables.

PREDICTION MODELS FOR SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS: Application to landslide hazard mapping and mineral exploration

  • Chung, Chang-Jo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.9-9
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    • 2000
  • For the planning of future land use for economic activities, an essential component is the identification of the vulnerable areas for natural hazard and environmental impacts from the activities. Also, exploration for mineral and energy resources is carried out by a step by step approach. At each step, a selection of the target area for the next exploration strategy is made based on all the data harnessed from the previous steps. The uncertainty of the selected target area containing undiscovered resources is a critical factor for estimating the exploration risk. We have developed not only spatial prediction models based on adapted artificial intelligence techniques to predict target and vulnerable areas but also validation techniques to estimate the uncertainties associated with the predictions. The prediction models will assist the scientists and decision-makers to make two critical decisions: (i) of the selections of the target or vulnerable areas, and (ii) of estimating the risks associated with the selections.

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Development of an Integrated Forecasting and Warning System for Abrupt Natural Disaster using rainfall prediction data and Ubiquitous Sensor Network(USN) (농촌지역 돌발재해 피해 경감을 위한 USN기반 통합예경보시스템 (ANSIM)의 개발)

  • Bae, Seung-Jong;Bae, Won-Gil;Bae, Yeon-Joung;Kim, Seong-Pil;Kim, Soo-Jin;Seo, Il-Hwan;Seo, Seung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.171-179
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    • 2015
  • The objectives of this research have been focussed on 1) developing prediction techniques for the flash flood and landslide based on rainfall prediction data in agricultural area and 2) developing an integrated forecasting system for the abrupt disasters using USN based real-time disaster sensing techniques. This study contains following steps to achieve the objective; 1) selecting rainfall prediction data, 2) constructing prediction techniques for flash flood and landslide, 3) developing USN and communication network protocol for detecting the abrupt disaster suitable for rural area, & 4) developing mobile application and SMS based early warning service system for local resident and tourist. Local prediction model (LDAPS, UM1.5km) supported by Korean meteorological administration was used for the rainfall prediction by considering spatial and temporal resolution. NRCS TR-20 and infinite slope stability analysis model were used to predict flash flood and landslide. There are limitations in terms of communication distance and cost using Zigbee and CDMA which have been used for existing disaster sensors. Rural suitable sensor-network module for water level and tilting gauge and gateway based on proprietary RF network were developed by consideration of low-cost, low-power, and long-distance for communication suitable for rural condition. SMS & mobile application forecasting & alarming system for local resident and tourist was set up for minimizing damage on the critical regions for abrupt disaster. The developed H/W & S/W for integrated abrupt disaster forecasting & alarming system was verified by field application.

A Multistrategy Learning System to Support Predictive Decision Making

  • Kim, Steven H.;Oh, Heung-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.267-279
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    • 1996
  • The prediction of future demand is a vital task in managing business operations. To this end, traditional approaches often focused on statistical techniques such as exponential smoothing and moving average. The need for better accuracy has led to nonlinear techniques such as neural networks and case based reasoning. In addition, experimental design techniques such as orthogonal arrays may be used to assist in the formulation of an effective methodology. This paper investigates a multistrategy approach involving neural nets, case based reasoning, and orthogonal arrays. Neural nets and case based reasoning are employed both separately and in combination, while orthoarrays are used to determine the best architecture for each approach. The comparative evaluation is performed in the context of an application relating to the prediction of Treasury notes.

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