• 제목/요약/키워드: Anthropogenic climatic change

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최근 60년간 도시 및 농촌 지역의 국지적 기후변화 비교 분석 (A Comparison of the Impact of Regional Anthropogenic Climatic Change in Urban and Rural Areas in South Korea (1955-2016))

  • 윤동현;남원호;홍은미;김태곤;허창회
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권3호
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2018
  • Local climate characteristics for both urban and rural areas can be attributed to multiple factors. Two factors affecting these characteristics include: 1) greenhouse gases related to global warming, and 2) urban heat island (UHI) effects caused by changes in surface land use and energy balances related to rapid urbanization. Because of the unique hydrological and climatological characteristics of cities compared with rural and forested areas, distinguishing the impacts of global warming urbanization is important. In this study, we analyzed anthropogenic climatic changes caused by rapid urbanization. Weather elements (maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation) over the last 60 years (1955-2016) are compared in urban areas (Seoul, Incheon, Pohang, Daegu, Jeonju, Ulsan, Gwangju, Busan) and rural/forested areas (Gangneung, Chupungnyeong, Mokpo, and Yeosu). Temperature differences between these areas reveal the effects of urbanization and global warming. The findings of this study can be used to analyze and forecast the impacts of climate change and urbanization in other urban and non-urban areas.

Exploring the factors responsible for variation in streamflow using different Budyko-base functions

  • Shah, Sabab Ali;Jehanzaib, Muhammad;Kim, Min Ji;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.140-140
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    • 2022
  • Recently an accurate quantification of streamflow under various climatological and anthropogenic factors and separation of their relative contribution remains challenging, because variation in streamflow may result in hydrological disasters. In this study, we evaluated the factors responsible for variation in streamflow in Korean watersheds, quantified separately their contribution using different Budyko-based functions, and identified hydrological breakpoint points. After detecting that the hydrological break point in 1995 and time series were divided into natural period (1966-1995), and disturbed period (1996-2014). During the natural period variation in climate tended to increase change in streamflow. However, in the disturbed period both climate variation and anthropogenic activities tended to increase streamflow variation in the watershed. Subsequently, the findings acquired from different Budyko-based functions were observed sensitive to selection of function. The variation in streamflow was observed in the response of change in climatic parameters ranging 46 to 75% (average 60%). The effects of anthropogenic activities were observed less compared to climate variation accounts 25 to 54% (average 40%). Furthermore, the relative contribution was observed to be sensitive corresponding to Budyko-based functions utilized. Moreover, relative impacts of both factors have capability to enhance uncertainty in the management of water resources. Thus, this knowledge would be essential for the implementation of water management spatial and temporal scale to reduce the risk of hydrological disasters in the watershed.

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기상청 기후자료의 균질성 문제 (I) - 관측지점의 이전 (Inhomogeneities in Korean Climate Data (I): Due to Site Relocation)

  • 류상범;김연희;권태헌;박일수
    • 대기
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2006
  • Among observational, local-environmental, and large-scale factors causing significant changes in climate records, the site relocations and the replacement of the instruments are well-known nonclimatic factors for the analysis of climatic trends, climatic variability, and for the detection of anthropogenic climate change such as heat-island effect and global warming. Using dataset that were contaminated by these nonclimatic factors can affect seriously the assessment of climatic trends and variability, and the detection of the climatic change signal. In this paper, the inhomogeneities, which have been caused by relocation of the observation site, in the climate data of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) were examined using two-phase regression model. The observations of pan evaporation and wind speed are more sensitive to site relocations than those of other meteorological elements, such as daily mean, maximum and minimum temperatures, with regardless to region.

Towards Sustainability of Tropical Forests: Implications for Enhanced Carbon Stock and Climate Change Mitigation

  • Rahman, Mizanur;Islam, Mahmuda;Islam, Rofiqul;Sobuj, Norul Alam
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.281-294
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    • 2017
  • Tropical forests constitute almost half of the global forest cover, account for 35% of the global net primary productivity and thereby have potential to contribute substantially to sequester atmospheric $CO_2$ and offset climate change impact. However, deforestation and degradation lead by unsustainable management of tropical forests contribute to the unprecedented species losses and limit ecosystem services including carbon sequestration. Sustainable forest management (SFM) in the tropics may tackle and rectify such deleterious impacts of anthropogenic disturbances and climatic changes. However, the existing dilemma on the definition of SFM and lack of understanding of how tropical forest sustainability can be achieved lead to increasing debate on whether climate change mitigation initiatives would be successful. We reviewed the available literature with a view to clarify the concept of sustainability and provide with a framework towards the sustainability of tropical forests for enhanced carbon stock and climate change mitigation. We argue that along with securing forest tenure and thereby reducing deforestation, application of reduced impact logging (RIL) and appropriate silvicultural system can enhance tropical forest carbon stock and help mitigate climate change.

Effects of CO2 and Climate on water use efficiency and their linkage with the climate change

  • Umair, Muhammad;Kim, Daeun;Choi, Minha
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.149-149
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    • 2019
  • Gross Primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) are the two critical components of carbon and water cycle respectively, linking the terrestrial surface and ecosystem with the atmosphere. The ratio between GPP to ET is called ecosystem water use efficiency (EWUE) and its quantification at the forest site helps to understand the impact of climate change due to large scale anthropogenic activities such as deforestation and irrigation. This study was conducted at the FLUXNET forest site CN-Qia (2003-2005) using Community land model (CLM 5.0). We simulated carbon and water fluxes including GPP, ecosystem respiration (ER), and ET using climatic variables as forcing dataset for 30 years (1981-2010). Model results were validated with the FLUXNET tower observations. The correlation showed better performance with values of 0.65, 0.77, and 0.63 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. The model underestimated the results with minimum bias of -0.04, -1.67, and -0.40 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. Effect of climate 'CLIM' and '$CO_2$' were analyzed based on EWUE and its trend was evaluated in the study period. The positive trend of EWUE was observed in the whole period from 1981-2010, and the trend showed further increase when simulated with rising $CO_2$. The time period were divided into two parts, from 1981-2000 and from 2001 to 2010, to identify the warming effect on EWUE. The first period showed the similar increasing trend of EWUE, but the second period showed slightly decreasing trend. This might be associated with the increase in ET in the wet temperate forest site due to increase in climate warming. Water use efficiency defined by transpiration (TR) (TWUE), and inherent-TR based WUE (IT-WUE) were also discussed. This research provides the evidence to climate warming and emphasized the importance of long term planning for management of water resources and evaporative demand in irrigation, deforestation and other anthropogenic activities.

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기후변화에 대한 식물의 생태적 반응: 연구동향과 한국에서의 적용가능성 (Ecological Responses of Plants to Climate Change: Research Trends and Its Applicability in Korea)

  • 강혜순
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.319-331
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    • 2013
  • Recent climate change, which is mostly ascribed to anthropogenic activities, is believed to be a major factor leading to biodiversity decreases and ecosystem service deteriorations. I have reviewed recent studies on climate change effects for many ecological processes involved with plants, in order to improve our understanding of the nature of ecological complexity. Plants in general have better growth and productivity under high levels of $CO_2$, although the long term effects of such $CO_2$ fertilizers are still controversial. Over the last 30 years, the Earth has been greening, particularly at higher latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, perhaps due to a relaxation of climatic constraints. Human appropriation of net primary productivity (NPP), which corresponds up to 1/3 of global NPP, is ultimately responsible for climate change and biodiversity decreases. Climate change causes phenological variations in plants, especially in regards to spring flowering and fall leaf coloring. Many plants migrate polewards and towards higher altitudes to seek more appropriate climates. On the other hand, tree mortality and population declines have recently been reported in many continents. Landscape disturbance not only hinders the plant migration, but also makes it difficult to predict the plants' potential habitats. Plant and animal population declines, as well as local extinctions, are largely due to the disruption of species interactions through temporal mismatching. Temperature and $CO_2$ increase rates in Korea are higher than global means. The degree of landscape disturbances is also relatively high. Furthermore, long-term data on individual species responses and species interactions are lacking or quite limited in Korea. This review emphasizes the complex nature of species responses to climate change at both global and local scales. In order to keep pace with the direction and speed of climate change, it is urgently necessary to observe and analyze the patterns of phenology, migration, and trophic interactions of plants and animals in Korea's landscape.

Population structure and regeneration of Himalayan endemic Larix species in three high-altitude valleys in Nepal Himalaya

  • Dhamala, Man Kumar;Aryal, Prakash Chandra;Suwal, Madan Krishna;Bhatta, Sijar;Bhuju, Dinesh Raj
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.196-206
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    • 2020
  • Background: The Himalayan forests are of great importance to sustain the nature and community resource demands. These forests are facing pressures both from anthropogenic activities and ongoing global climatic changes. Poor natural regeneration has been considered a major problem in mountainous forests. To understand the population structure and regeneration status of Larix (Larix griffithiana and Larix himalaica), we conducted systematic vegetation surveys in three high-altitude valleys namely Ghunsa (Kanchenjunga Conservation Area, KCA), Langtang (Langtang National Park, LNP), and Tsum (Manaslu Conservation Area, MCA) in Nepal Himalaya. The average values of diameter at breast height (DBH), height, and sapling height were compared for three sites and two species using Kruskal-Wallis test. Population structure was assessed in terms of proportion of seedlings, saplings, and trees. Regeneration was analyzed using graphical representation of frequencies of seedlings, saplings, and trees in histograms. Results: The results showed that the population structure of Larix in terms of the proportion of seedling, sapling, and tree varied greatly in the three study areas. KCA had the highest record of seedling, sapling, and tree compared to other two sites. Seedlings were the least among three forms and many plots were without seedlings. We found no seedling in MCA study plots. The plot level average DBH variation among sites was significant (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 7.813, df = 2, p = 0.02) as was between species (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 5.9829, df = 1, p = 0.014). Similarly, the variation in average tree height was significant (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 134.23, df = 2, p < 0.001) among sites as well as between species (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 128.01, df = 1, p < 0.001). All the sites showed reverse J-shaped curve but more pronounced for KCA and MCA. In comparing the two species, Larix griffithiana has clear reverse J-shaped diameter distribution but not Larix himalaica. Conclusion: The varied responses of Larix manifested through regeneration status from spatially distinct areas show that regeneration limitations might be more pronounced in the future. In all the three studied valleys, regeneration of Larix is found to be problematic and specifically for Larix griffithiana in MCA and Larix himalaica in LNP. To address the issues of disturbances, especially serious in LNP, management interventions are recommended to sustain the unique Himalayan endemic conifer.

대나무의 시.공간적 분포역 변화 (Spatio-Temporal Distributional Changes of Bamboo)

  • 공우석
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.444-457
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    • 2001
  • 우리 나라 대나무의 시.공간적 분포에 영향을 미친 요인을 분석하였다. 참대속부터 산죽속에 이르는 모든 대나무의 분포 북한계선은 백령도 - 장수산 - 멸악산 - 용문산 - 명지산 - 추애산 - 후탕 - 묘향산 - 명천에 이르는 선 남쪽이다. 화석에 따르면 한반도의 대나무는 지질시대부터 분포하였고, 고문헌에 의하면 대나무는 조선시대에 의식주 등의 생활재료로 널리 사용되었다. 조선 초기부터 일제 때까지의 고문헌들을 기초로 한 왕대와 이대 등 군현별 시대적 분포지 복원에 따르면 대나무는 시대에 따라 분포지가 변화하였다. 대나무의 시.공간적 분포역 변화는 기후변화 등 자연적 요인과 함께 재배와 이식 등 인위적인 영향에 의한 것이다. 최근 국내 죽세산업이 침체되면서 대 나무숲이 다른 용도로 바뀌어 사라지거나, 반대로 방치되어 확산되면서 자연식생을 교란시키므로 농촌경관의 유지를 위하여 관리와 보전 대책이 요구된다.

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Spatio-temporal Dynamic Alteration of Forest Canopy Density based on Site Associated Factor: View from Tropical Forest of Nepal

  • Panta, Menaka;Kim, Kye-Hyun
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.313-323
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    • 2006
  • Forest Canopy Density is a dynamic process mediated by various natural and anthropogenic factors. It can be changed over time and locations in the same forest type and landscape. However, human dimensions are considered as the primary force of landscape change and subsequent forest canopy loss in tropical regions of the world. Many studies have been indicated that roads have a far greater impact on forests than simply allowing access for human use. Similarly, rivers have been used as means of transportation, hence illegal logging and felling further deplete forest canopy density. The main objective of this study was to investigate the spatio-temporal dynamic alterations of Forest Canopy Density (FCD) across with site associated factors such as biophysical, physical and human interferences in tropical region of Nepal from 1988 to 2001. Landsat TM and ETM+ of 1988 and 2001 were used to assess the spatial and temporal dynamic alterations of FCD. This analysis revealed that distance to human settlements at P=<0.01, rivers, human interferences (path and fire) and species composition had a statistically significance at P=<0.05 level. However, other factors did not show any significant relation. So, we concluded that understanding of dynamic alterations of FCD with respect to factors was quite complex phenomena. Other surrounding environment could also playa significant role. A comprehensive analysis could be required to understand such complexities. Therefore, additional factors such as climatic, biophysical, social, and institutional with respect to spatio-temporal variability should be considered for the better understanding of canopy dynamic.

시계열 국가산림자원조사 자료를 이용한 전국 산림의 임상 변화 특성 분석과 미래 전망 (Future Prospects of Forest Type Change Determined from National Forest Inventory Time-series Data)

  • 김은숙;정병헌;배재수;임종환
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제111권4호
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    • pp.461-472
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    • 2022
  • 우리나라 산림의 임상은 자연적·인위적 요인에 의해 지속적으로 변화하고 있다. 임상(침엽수림, 활엽수림, 혼효림)면적의 비율은 국가 산림자원 특성 파악에 중요하게 활용되는 정보이기 때문에 임상 변화에 대한 정확한 이해와 전망이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국가산림자원조사 시계열 자료를 이용하여 임상 변화 발생 특성을 이해하고 이를 기반으로 미래 임상 변화 예측치를 도출하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 제5차, 제7차 국가산림자원조사 자료의 10년 기간 임상 변화정보와 임상 변화에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 변수(기후, 지형, 임분, 교란 등)를 이용하여 임상 변화 특성을 분석한 결과, 우리나라 산림은 침엽수림이 감소하고 혼효림과 활엽수림이 증가하는 방향으로 변화하고 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 침엽수림에서 혼효림으로, 혼효림에서 활엽수림으로 변화되는 지역은 주로 지형적으로 습윤하고 강수량이 많아서 수분관련 생육환경이 양호하며 주변에 활엽수림이 많은 지역이었다. 또한 기온이 높은 지역, 임분의 임령과 밀도가 낮은 지역, 주변 지역에 비산림이 많은 지역 등 교란 가능성이 높은 지역에서 변화가 많이 발생했다. 이러한 임상의 변화 특성을 반영하여 기계학습 모형(SVM)을 구축하고 기후변화시나리오(RCP 8.5)를 이용하여 미래의 임상 변화를 전망한 결과, 2015년에서 2055년까지 40년 동안 침엽수림은 38.1%에서 28.5%로 감소, 활엽수림은 34.2%에서 38.8%로 증가, 혼효림은 27.7%에서 32.7%로 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 본 미래 임상분포 변화 정보는 향후 산림관리 전략 수립의 기초자료로 활용될 수 있다.