• Title/Summary/Keyword: Antecedent day

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Characteristics of Rainfall Thresholds for the Initiation of Landslides at Chuncheon Province (춘천시에서 발생한 산사태 유발강우의 특성 분석)

  • Sang Ug, Kim;Kyong Oh, Baek
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.148-157
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    • 2022
  • Every year, particularly during the monsoon rainy season, landslides at the Chuncheon province of South Korea cause tremendous damage to lives, properties, and infrastructures. More so, the high rainfall intensity and long rainfall days that occurred in 2020 have increased the water content in the soil, thereby increasing the chances of landslide occurrences. Besides this, the rainfall thresholds and characteristics responsible for the initiation of landslides in this region have not been properly identified. Therefore, this paper addresses the rainfall thresholds responsible for the initiation of landslides at Chuncheon from a regional perspective. Using data obtained from rainfall measurements taken from 2002 to 2011, we identify a threshold relationship between rainfall intensity and rainfall duration for the initiation of landslides. In addition, we identify the relationship between the rainfall intensity using a 3-day, 7-day, and 10-day antecedent rainfall observation. Specifically, we estimate the rainfall data at 8 sites where debris flow occurred in 2011 by kriging. Following this, the estimated data are used to construct the relationship between the intensity (I), duration (D), and frequency (F) of rainfall. The results of the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) analysis show that landslides will occur under a rainfall frequency below a 2-year return period at two areas in Chuncheon. These results will be effectively used to design structures that can prevent the occurrence of landslides in the future.

Estimation of Stream Discharge using Antecedent Precipitation Index Models in a Small Mountainous Forested Catchment: Upper Reach of Yongsucheon Stream, Gyeryongsan Mountain (산악 산림 소유역에서 선행강우지수를 이용한 하천유량 추정: 계룡산 용수천 상류)

  • Jung, Youn-Young;Koh, Dong-Chan;Han, Hye-Sung;Kwon, Hong-Il;Lim, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2016
  • Variability in precipitation due to climate change causes difficulties in securing stable surface water resource, which requires understanding of relation between precipitation and stream discharge. This study simulated stream discharge in a small mountainous forested catchment using antecedent precipitation index (API) models which represent variability of saturation conditions of soil layers depending on rainfall events. During 13 months from May 2015 to May 2016, stream discharge and rainfall were measured at the outlet and in the central part of the watershed, respectively. Several API models with average recession coefficients were applied to predict stream discharge using measured rainfall, which resulted in the best reflection time for API model was 1 day in terms of predictability of stream discharge. This indicates that soil water in riparian zones has fast response to rainfall events and its storage is relatively small. The model can be improved by employing seasonal recession coefficients which can consider seasonal fluctuation of hydrological parameters. These results showed API models can be useful to evaluate variability of streamflow in ungauged small forested watersheds in that stream discharge can be simulated using only rainfall data.

Runoff Reduction Effect of Rainwater Retentive Green roof (저류형 옥상녹화의 우수유출저감에 대한 연구)

  • Baek, So-Young;Kim, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Han, Moo-Young
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.67-71
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: There is a growing interest in rainwater runoff reduction effect of green roof, as flooding caused by increasing impervious surface is becoming more and more frequent in urban areas. This study was conducted to prove runoff reduction and runoff delay effect of the retentive green roof and to investigate its influencing factors to the rainfall events that occurred in the summer of 2013. Method: The experiment intended to monitor the runoff quantity of the retentive green roof($140m^2$) and normal roof($100m^2$) in #35 building in Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea for 75 days in 2013. Result: On analysis of 9 rainfall events, it showed that the retentive green roof has 24.8~100% of runoff reduction ratio, 21.2~100% of peak flow reduction ratio, 0.5~3.75 hours of peak delay, and $1.8{\sim}7.2m^3$ of retaining capacity in an area of $140m^2$. It shows different results depending on rainfall and antecedent dry days. The results show that runoff reduction effect is effective when the rainfall is less than 50 mm and antecedent dry day is longer than five days on average. By installing retentive green roofs on buildings, it can help mitigate urban floods and rehabilitate urban water cycle.

Toddler's Aggressive Behavior (보육시설 영유아의 공격성에 영향을 미치는 변인들 - 성, 연령, 기질 및 어머니의 양육행동과 보육경험을 중심으로 -)

  • Um, Sung-Ai;Park, Sung-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.44 no.6 s.220
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2006
  • This study explored the antecedent variables associated with variability in toddler's aggressive behavior. The subjects were 182 toddlers(101 boys and 81 girls) and their mothers. Data were collected via questionnaires. The main results of this study were as follows ; First, aggression was significantly correlated with toddler age, but not with gender. Mother's parenting was related to boy's aggression, whereas both temperament and parenting were significantly related to girls' aggressive behavior. However, day-care variabes were not the significantly associated with toddler's aggression. Second, regression analyses revealed the interaction effect of child temperament and parenting, after controlling for main effects.

Determination of Suitable Antecedent Rainfall Days for Curve Number Estimation (CN값 산정을 위한 적정 선행강우일수의 결정)

  • Lee Myoung Woo;Choi Seoung An;Kim Hung Soo;Shim Myung Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.553-557
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    • 2005
  • 유역의 강우-유출 분석에서 유효우량의 산정은 매우 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 이러한 유효우량의 산정에서 대상호우에 대한 유출량 자료가 있는 경우는 침투지수법(infiltration index method)중 하나인 $\Phi$-지표법이나 W-지표법을 사용하여 그 양을 산정할 수 있다. 그러나 대상호우에 대한 유출량 자료가 없는 경우는 침투지수법을 이용하여 유효우량을 산정 할 수 없으며, 이러한 경우 유역의 토양 특성과 식생피복 상태에 대한 자료만으로 총우량으로부터 유효우량을 산정할 수 있는 NRCS(Natural Resources Conservation Service)의 유효우량 산정방법이 널리 사용되고 있다. NRCS유효우량 산정 방법은 선행토양함수조건(antecedent moisture condition, AMC)을 이 용하여 유출곡선지수(runoff curve number, CN)를 결정하는데, 이때 AMC의 산정을 위해 선행5일강우량(total 5-day antecedent rainfall)을 그 기준으로 하고 있으나, 이는 미국의 유역을 대상으로 하여 얻어진 결과이므로 이를 국내 유역에 검증 없이 적용하는 데에는 문제가 있을 것으로 예상되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 HEC-HMS모형을 이용하여 선행강우일수을 변화시켜 가면서 실제 유역의 강우-유출에 적용하여 본 뒤 강우-유출을 가장 잘 모의하는 선행강우일수을 결정하였다. 이를 위해, IHP 대상유역인 보청천의 탄부소유역에 대하여 AMC의 산정을 위한 선행강우량을 1일부터 7일까지 변화시키며 적용한 결과 탄부소유역에서는 선행2일강우량이 가장 적합한 결과를 주는 것으로 나타났다. 국내 유역에서 NRCS유효유량 산정방법을 통한 강우-유출모의시 보다 정확한 값을 산정하기 위해서는 대상유역에 적합한 선행 강우일수의 결정이 중요하리라 판단된다.인 분석을 수행하고, 배수갑문 개방에 의한 수질개선효과를 최대화하기 위한 환경관리 방안 제시에 중점을 두어 수행하였다.ncy), 환경성(environmental feasibility) 등을 정성적으로(qualitatively) 파악하여 실현가능한 대안을 선정하였다. 이렇게 선정된 대안들은 중유역별로 검토하여 효과가 있을 것으로 판단되는 대안들을 제시하는 예비타당성(Prefeasibility) 계획을 수립하였다. 이렇게 제시된 계획은 향후 과학적인 분석(세부평가방법)을 통해 대안을 평가하고 구체적인 타당성(feasibility) 계획을 수립하는데 토대가 될 것이다.{0.11R(mm)}(r^2=0.69)$로 나타났다. 이는 토양의 투수특성에 따라 강우량 증가에 비례하여 점증하는 침투수와 구분되는 현상이었다. 경사와 토양이 같은 조건에서 나지의 경우 역시 $Ro_{B10}(mm)=20.3e^{0.08R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌관상동맥-대동맥 이식술로 수술적 교정을 해줌으로써 좋은 성적을 기대할 수 있음을 보여주었다.특히 교사들이 중요하게 인식하는 해방적 행동에 대한 목표를 강조하여 적용할 필요가 있음을 시사하고

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Curve Number for a Small Forested Mountainous Catchment (산지 소유역 유출곡선지수)

  • Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Jun, Byong-Ho;Han, Hyung-Geun;Jung, Sung-Won;Cho, Young-Ho;Park, Soo-Yun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.8 s.157
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, runoff curve numbers (CN's) for a small forested mountainous catchment are estimated using rainfall-runoff data measured at Sulma experimental catchment every 10 minutes and a new guideline for applying the antecedent rainfall conditions (ARC's) for small mountainous watersheds in Korea is proposed. Sulma experimental catchment is a typical natural mountainous basin with $97\%$ of forested land cover and CN's are estimated to be in the range between 51 and 89 with median value of 72. The test hypothesis stating as 1-day ARC is better than 5-day ARC in determining CN's for a small mountainous watershed is shown to be acceptable. Also, linear regression equations for the estimation of CN's for small mountainous catchments are proposed. As there is no significant investigations available on CN's for small mountainous catchments, the newly proposed relationships between CN's and ARC may be used as a preliminary guideline to assign CN's for the estimation of floods from rainfall data on mountainous regions.

Estimation of Precipitation Recharge in the Pyungchang River Basin Using SCS-CN Method (SCS-CN방법을 이용한 평창강 유역의 강수 함양량 선정)

  • Lee Seung Hyun;Bae Sang Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.1033-1039
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    • 2004
  • The methodology developed by Soil Conservation Service for determination of runoff value from precipitation is applied to estimate the precipitation recharge in the Pyungchang river basin. Two small areas of the basin are selected for this study. The CN values are determined by considering the type of soil, soil cover and land use with the digital map of 1:25,000. Forest covers more than $94{\%}$ of the study area.. The CN values for the study area vary between 47 in the forest area and 94 in the bare soil under AMC 2 condition. The precipitation recharge rate is calculated for the year when the precipitation data is available since 1990. To obtain the infiltration rate, the index of CN and five day antecedent moisture conditions are applied to each precipitation event during the study period. As a result of estimation, the value of precipitation recharge ratio in the study area vary between $15.2{\%}\;and\;35.7{\%}$ for the total precipitation of the year. The average annual precipitation recharge rate is $26.4{\%}\;and\;26.8{\%}$, meaning 377.9mm/year and 397.5mm/year in each basin.

Estimation of Soil Moisture Using Multiple Linear Regression Model and COMS Land Surface Temperature Data (다중선형 회귀모형과 천리안 지면온도를 활용한 토양수분 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Yong Gwan;Jung, Chung Gil;Cho, Young Hyun;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2017
  • This study is to estimate the spatial soil moisture using multiple linear regression model (MLRM) and 15 minutes interval Land Surface Temperature (LST) data of Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS). For the modeling, the input data of COMS LST, Terra MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), daily rainfall and sunshine hour were considered and prepared. Using the observed soil moisture data at 9 stations of Automated Agriculture Observing System (AAOS) from January 2013 to May 2015, the MLRMs were developed by twelve scenarios of input components combination. The model results showed that the correlation between observed and modelled soil moisture increased when using antecedent rainfalls before the soil moisture simulation day. In addition, the correlation increased more when the model coefficients were evaluated by seasonal base. This was from the reverse correlation between MODIS NDVI and soil moisture in spring and autumn season.

A Study of Soil Moisture Retention Relation using Weather Radar Image Data

  • Choi, Jeongho;Han, Myoungsun;Lim, Sanghun;Kim, Donggu;Jang, Bong-joo
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2018
  • Potential maximum soil moisture retention (S) is a dominant parameter in the Soil Conservation Service (SCS; now called the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)) runoff Curve Number (CN) method commonly used in hydrologic modeling for event-based flood forecasting (SCS, 1985). Physically, S represents the depth [L] soil could store water through infiltration. The depth of soil moisture retention will vary depending on infiltration from previous rainfall events; an adjustment is usually made using a factor for Antecedent Moisture Conditions (AMCs). Application of the method for continuous simulation of multiple storms has typically involved updating the AMC and S. However, these studies have focused on a time step where S is allowed to vary at daily or longer time scales. While useful for hydrologic events that span multiple days, this temporal resolution is too coarse for short-term applications such as flash flood events. In this study, an approach for deriving a time-variable potential maximum soil moisture retention curve (S-curve) at hourly time-scales is presented. The methodology is applied to the Napa River basin, California. Rainfall events from 2011 to 2012 are used for estimating the event-based S. As a result, we derive an S-curve which is classified into three sections depending on the recovery rate of S for soil moisture conditions ranging from 1) dry, 2) transitional from dry to wet, and 3) wet. The first section is described as gradually increasing recovering S (0.97 mm/hr or 23.28 mm/day), the second section is described as steeply recovering S (2.11 mm/hr or 50.64 mm/day) and the third section is described as gradually decreasing recovery (0.34 mm/hr or 8.16 mm/day). Using the S-curve, we can estimate the hourly change of soil moisture content according to the time duration after rainfall cessation, which is then used to estimate direct runoff for a continuous simulation for flood forecasting.

Guillain-Barré Syndrome Caused by Influenza Virus (인플루엔자 바이러스로 인한 길랭-바레 증후군 1예)

  • Choi, Hyun Gil;Yeon, Gyu-Min
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.236-239
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    • 2016
  • $Guillain-Barr{\acute{e}}$ syndrome (GBS) is caused by antecedent infectious diseases in approximately two-thirds of cases. GBS is considered an autoimmune response. Among reported preceding infections, influenza virus is relatively rare. Several reports have identified antibodies related to GBS pathogenesis. However, no case report has described the detection of influenza virus in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of a patient with GBS by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Here we report the case of a 6-year-old girl who was diagnosed with influenza A 1 week prior and was treated with oseltamivir, after which she visited our hospital for headache and bilateral leg weakness that had persisted for 1 day. We diagnosed her with GBS based on physical and neurologic examination findings, CSF analysis, nerve conduction velocity test results, spinal magnetic resonance imaging, and detection of influenza A virus in her CSF by PCR. She was treated with intravenous immunoglobulin and her symptoms slowly improved. This case report suggests that GBS may be caused by influenza virus through penetration of the CSF.