• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual Load

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Long-Term Maximum Power Demand Forecasting in Consideration of Dry Bulb Temperature (건구온파를 오인한 장기최대전력수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 고희석;정재길
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 1985
  • Recently maximum power demand of our country has become to be under the great in fluence of electric cooling and air conditioning demand which are sensitive to weather conditions. This paper presents the technique and algorithm to forecast the long-term maximum power demand considering the characteristics of electric power and weather variable. By introducing a weather load model for forecasting long-term maximum power demand with the recent statistic data of power demand, annual maximum power demand is separated into two parts such as the base load component, affected little by weather, and the weather sensitive load component by means of multi-regression analysis method. And we derive the growth trend regression equations of above two components and their individual coefficients, the maximum power demand of each forecasting year can be forecasted with the sum of above two components. In this case we use the coincident dry bulb temperature as the weather variable at the occurence of one-day maximum power demand. As the growth trend regression equation we choose an exponential trend curve for the base load component, and real quadratic curve for the weather sensitive load component. The validity of the forecasting technique and algorithm proposed in this paper is proved by the case study for the present Korean power system.

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Development of a Flow Duration Curve with Unit Watershed Flow Data for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (수질오염총량관리 단위유역 유량측정자료를 이용한 유황곡선 작성)

  • Park, Jun Dae;Oh, Seung Young;Choi, Yun Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.224-231
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    • 2012
  • It is necessary to develop flow duration curve (FDC) on each unit watershed in order to analyze flow conditions in the stream for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs). This study investigated a simple method to develop FDC for the general use of the curve. A simple equation for daily flow estimation was derived from the regression analysis between the 8-day interval flow data of a unit watershed and the daily flow monitoring data of an adjacent upstream region. FDC can be prepared with the calculation of daily flow by the equation for each unit watershed. An annual and a full-period FDC were drawn for each unit watershed in Guem river basin. Standard flow such as low and ordinary flow can be obtained from the annual FDC. Major percentile of flow such as 10, 25, 50, 75 or 90% can be obtained from the full-period FDC. It is considered that this simple method of developing FDC can be utilized more widely for the calculation of standard flow and the assessment of water quality in the process of TMDLs.

A Study on the Effective Utilization Plan through Field Investigation and Analysis with Power Transformers in Domestic Areas

  • Shin, Heung-Sik;Lee, Jae-Cheon;Bai, Seok-Myung;Kim, Seon-Gu;Kim, Jin-Tae;Kim, Gi-Hyeon;Jeong, Jong-Wook;Bang, Seon-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2007
  • Korea is highly dependent on foreign countries for energy while at the same time having a high energy-consumption industrial structure. Therefore, logical improvements in energy use efficiency and nationwide energy saving are becoming more and more important in coping with the worldwidehigh oil prices and environmental issues such as listed in the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Consequently, a study was conducted on the average annual load factor in domestic areas to set a reasonable and reliable technology standard plan for high-efficiency transformers. The average annual load factor in Korea was discovered to be 18.4[%] classified by industry. This factor is expected to be used in arranging a domestic standard for a minimum efficiency system for transformers, and in reviewing and supplementing the standard transformers plan for the High Energy-Efficiency Appliance Certification. The expected effect from the establishment of the technology standards plan for highly efficient transformers is the expansion of the manufacturing and distribution of highly efficient transformers that are suitable for domestic use. These will lead to electricity cost savings for users, strengthening the related industries' market competitive powers and the effective reduction of greenhouse gases on a national level by drastically reducing loss from transformers, which accounts for a large portion of the total electric supply losses.

Pollutant Load Characteristics from a Small Mountainous Agricultural Watershed in the North Han River Basin (북한강 중류 산간농업 소하천에서의 오염부하특성분석)

  • Shin, Yong-Chul;Choi, Joong-Dae;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Shim, Hyeok-Ho;Lyou, Chang-Won;Yang, Jae E.;Yoo, Kyung-Yoal
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2005
  • Natural environment of the Wolgokri stream watershed, located in Chuncheon, Gangwon province, Korea, has been well preserved as a traditional agricultural watershed. To analyze characteristics of NPS pollution generated from an mountainous agricultural watershed, the flow and water qualities of the study watershed were monitored and were analyzed to estimate pollution loads. Annual runoff volume ratio was $70.4\%$. Concentrations of T-N, T-p, COD, and TOC were higher when monthly rainfall was between $0\~30mm$ than those when monthly rainfall was between $30\~70mm$. However, the concentrations varied considerably when monthly rainfall was higher than 100mm. The flow weighted mean concentrations(mg/L) of BOD, COD, TOC, $NO_3-N$, T-N, T-P and SS were 1.96, 2.72, 3.32, 1.41, 4.70, 0.187 and 13.36, respectively. The BOD, SS, T-N and T-P loads of July, 2004 were $48\%,\;17\%,\;51\%\;and\;32\%$ of annual load, respectively. The BOD, COD, TOC, $NO_3-N$, T-N, T-p, and SS loads (kg/ha) from Mar. 2004 to Apr. 2005 were 19.09, 26.55, 32.39, 13.85, 45.92, 1.887 and 130.18, respectively. The highest concentrations of BOD, NO3-N, T-N, T-p, SS, COD and TOC were found before the flow reached the peak runoff, possibly due to the first flushing effect. Generally, pollution loads of the Wolgokri watershed were not that significant. Phosphorus load, however, was higher enough to cause eutrophication in the receiving water body It was recommended that best management practices need to be implemented to reduce phosphorus sources.

Evaluation of Effective Rainfall Ratio Method for Estimating Unit Load from Paddy Fields (비우량 방법에 의한 논 오염부하 원단위 산정시 적용성 평가)

  • Jung, Jae-Woon;Yoon, Kwang-Sik;Yoon, Suk-Gun;Choi, Woo-Jung;Choi, Woo-Young;Huh, Yu-Jeong;Cho, Kyeong-Min;Hong, Jung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.849-854
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    • 2009
  • Pollutant unit load (unit-load) reported by Ministry of Environment (MOE) in 1995 has been a useful method for watershed management and environmental policy decision. The unit-load has been estimated using effective rainfall ratio method. However, reliability of unit-load determined by the method has been criticized especially for paddy field and upland conditions. In this paper the unit-load of paddy field estimated by effective rainfall ratio method was compared with continuous monitoring data. Annual loads was simulated by the method choosing 5~6 storm events randomly from whole events collected. Probability distribution of difference between results by the method and measured data was investigated. The results showed that unit-load derived by the method was generally lesser than measured unit-load and showed wide variations. Therefore, unit-load estimation of paddy fields by effective rainfall ratio method need caution.

A Performance Analysis on a Heat pump with Thermal Storage Adopting Load Response Control Method (부하 대응 제어방식을 적용한 축열식 히트펌프시스템의 성능 해석)

  • Kim, Dong Jun;Kang, Byung Ha;Chang, Young Soo
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2018
  • We use heat pumps with thermal storage system to reduce peak usage of electric power during winters and summers. A heat pump stores thermal energy in a thermal storage tank during the night, to meet load requirements during the day. This system stabilizes the supply and demand of electric power; moreover by utilizing the inexpensive midnight electric power, thus making it cost effective. In this study, we propose a system wherein the thermal storage tank and heat pump are modeled using the TRNSYS, whereas the control simulations are performed by (i) conventional control methods (i.e., thermal storage priority method and heat pump priority method); (ii) region control method, which operates at the optimal part load ratio of the heat pump; (iii) load response control method, which minimizes operating cost responding to load; and (iv) dynamic programming method, which runs the system by following the minimum cost path. We observed that the electricity cost using the region control method, load response control approach, and dynamic programing method was lower compared to using conventional control techniques. According to the annual simulation results, the electricity cost utilizing the load response control method is 43% and 4.4% lower than those obtained by the conventional techniques. We can note that the result related to the power cost was similar to that obtained by the dynamic programming method based on the load prediction. We can, therefore, conclude that the load response control method turned out to be more advantageous when compared to the conventional techniques regarding power consumption and electricity costs.

Proposal of Return Period and Basic Wind Speed Map to Estimate Wind Loads for Strength Design in Korea (강도설계용 풍하중 평가를 위한 재현기간과 기본풍속지도의 제안)

  • Ha, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2018
  • Strength design wind loads for the wind resistance design of structures shall be evaluated by the product of wind loads calculated based on the basic wind speed with 100 years return period and the wind load factor 1.3 specified in the provisions of load combinations in Korean Building Code (KBC) 2016. It may be sure that the wind load factor 1.3 in KBC(2016) had not been determined by probabilistic method or empirical method using meteorological wind speed data in Korea. In this paper, wind load factors were evaluated by probabilistic method and empirical method. The annual maximum 10 minutes mean wind speed data at 69 meteorological stations during past 40 years from 1973 to 2012 were selected for this evaluation. From the comparison of the results of those two method, it can be found that the mean values of wind load factors calculated both probability based method and empirical based method were similar at all meteorological stations. When target level of reliability index is set up 2.5, the mean value of wind load factors for all regions should be presented about 1.35. When target level of reliability index is set up 3.0, wind load factor should be presented about 1.46. By using the relationship between importance factor(conversion factor for return period) and wind load factor, the return periods for strength design were estimated and expected wind speeds of all regions accounting for strength design were proposed. It can be found that return period to estimate wind loads for strength design should be 500 years and 800 years in according to target level of reliability index 2.5 and 3.0, respectively. The 500 years basic wind speed map for strength design was suggested and it can be used with a wind load factor 1.0.

Influence of the Operation Modes on the Optimum Refrigerant Charge Amount of a Heat Pump (다양한 운전모드에서 물대물 열펌프의 성능 및 최적충전량 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Boahen, Samuel;Lee, Kwang Ho;Choi, Jong Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2018
  • As heat pump application has been extending to residential, commercial, and industrial fields, the heat pump should have many operation modes. It is required to optimize refrigerant charge amount at all operation modes in order to enhance the annual performance of heat pumps. In this study, the performance analysis of the heat pump which has cooling, heating, cooling-hot water, heating-hot water, and hot water modes was executed with the variation of refrigerant charge amount. As the refrigerant charge amount changed, the maximum COPs of the heat pump at different operation modes were changed within ${\pm}10%$. Therefore, it is highly recommended to select optimum charge amount for the heat pump based on the analysis of annual load for each operation modes.

Economic Comparison of Medium Capacity and Multi Boiler System Applied to Military Officer Housing (군간부 숙소에 적용한 중용량 및 멀티보일러 시스템의 경제성 비교)

  • Kim, Min-yong;Kim, Young Il;Chung, Kwang Seop
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2015
  • In midst of electrical energy consumption on the rise due to the industrial development and the improved quality of living, medium capacity and multi boilers which use gas that is comparatively low cost and can be supplied reliably are simulated for energy consumption using the partial load data obtained from the experiment. Economic analysis that considers initial and operation costs is carried out based on the Annual equal payment method.

A Feasibility Case Study on Net-Zero Energy Daycare Center (어린이집의 넷 에너지 제로화 구현에 관한 사례분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyeon;Lim, Hee-won;Shin, U-cheul
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we, through case studies, formulated a method to implement net-zero energy daycare center at the current insulation and technology level, and calculated its energy expense. The reference model was a medium sized daycare center whose number of children was 99. We analyzed the energy consumption status for the reference model and developed TRNSYS simulation analytical model to realize net-zero energy . We assumed the reference model to be "All Electric Building" where all energy including cooking is supplied by electricity. The result is summarized as follows: First, the annual electricity consumption of daycare center was 53,291kWh. Plug load occupied the largest share of 48% followed by lighting, 10%, cooling, 9%, cooking, 9%, heating, 8%, hot water, 5% and ventilation, 2%. Second, the photovoltaic installation capacity to realize net-zero energy was 40.32kWp and its annual generation was 53,402kWh. Third, the annual energy expense(electricity bill) by realizing net-zero energy was 2,620,390won.