• Title/Summary/Keyword: Almon's Distributed Lag

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Analysis on Time Lag Effect of Firm's R&D Investment (기업 R&D 투자의 시차효과 분석)

  • Lee, Hun-jun;Baek, Chulwoo;Lee, Jeong-dong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2014
  • R&D investment also has a gestation period similar to other investments in economics. The gestation period originates from time lag effect of input and output. Thus it is necessary to consider time lag effects when analyzing the relationship between firms' R&D investment and R&D performance. The main objective of this research is to estimate the length of time lag effect of R&D investment. The Almon distribution lag model was applied to estimate the time lag effect. The firm level panel dataset was established from 2002 to 2009. The net value of R&D investment and the number of patent applications were used to measure R&D input and output, respectively. This method found the estimated time lag to be 1~2 years across all datasets. The same analyses were applied to chemical, metal, electronic, exact science, and machinery industries' data. And we found there were differences among sectors in regard to the time lag effect.

The lag analysis on the impact of patents on profitability of firms in software industry at segment level (특허가 기업의 수익성에 영향을 미치는 시차에 대한 미국 소프트웨어 세분시장 수준 분석)

  • Yi, Joon Hye;Jung, Won Kyo;Park, Sang Sung;Jang, Dong Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2012
  • There have been studies to evaluate valuation of firms by using patents in various ways. Also, the theory that value of patents helps enterprise's growth is valid in economics. However, when evaluating the value of the company, through the patent evaluation has not been used. Because of previous studies researched relation between patents and firms only at certain points. To solve this problem, this study intends to analyze lag between patent and profitability of the firms. In this study, we classified top 100 software firms in the United States through PBR, PER and value of intangible assets by using cluster analysis. And we applied Almon's distributed lag model to each cluster to find out lag between patent and profitability of the firms. As a result, in the cluster of more valuable companies, patents have an effect on profitability of the firms at regular lags. This study indicates that the patents are an important indicator to assess companies.