• Title/Summary/Keyword: Allocation of risk

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Risk-Based Allocation of Demand Response Resources Using Conditional Value-at Risk (CVaR) Assessment

  • Kim, Ji-Hui;Lee, Jaehee;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.789-795
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    • 2014
  • In a demand response (DR) market run by independent system operators (ISOs), load aggregators are important market participants who aggregate small retail customers through various DR programs. A load aggregator can minimize the allocation cost by efficiently allocating its demand response resources (DRRs) considering retail customers' characteristics. However, the uncertain response behaviors of retail customers can influence the allocation strategy of its DRRs, increasing the economic risk of DRR allocation. This paper presents a risk-based DRR allocation method for the load aggregator that takes into account not only the physical characteristics of retail customers but also the risk due to the associated response uncertainties. In the paper, a conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is applied to deal with the risk due to response uncertainties. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Diversification, performance and optimal business mix of insurance portfolios

  • Kim, Hyun Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1503-1520
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    • 2013
  • For multi-line insurance companies, allocating the risk capital to each line is a widely-accepted risk management exercise. In this article we consider several applications of the Euler capital allocation. First, we propose visual tools to present the diversification and the line-wise performance for a given loss portfolio so that the risk managers can understand the interactions among the lines. Secondly, on theoretical side, we prove that the Euler allocation is the directional derivative of the marginal or incremental allocation method, an alternative capital allocation rule in the literature. Lastly, we establish the equivalence between the mean-shortfall optimization and the RORAC optimization when the risk adjusted capital is the expected shortfall, and show how to construct the optimal insurance business mix that maximizes the portfolio RORAC. An actual loss sample of an insurance portfolio is used for numerical illustrations.

APPLICATION OF CONTRACTORS' RISK PREFERENCE ON THE EVALUATION OF THE PHILIPPINE GOVERNMENT STANDARD CONTRACT

  • Visuth Chovichien;Joel Cesarius V. Reyes
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2009
  • Construction contracts involve the allocation or distribution of the risks inherent to a construction project between or among contracting parties. However, it has been a common practice that only one party drafts the contract due to practical reasons and particular policies of various organizations. Interviews were conducted on some local contractors to gain their meaningful insights and standpoints on the allocation of each risk. These results were compared with the actual risk allocation using the Philippine government standard contract and risk principles from the literature to determine if their considered opinions provide a plausible alternative. A sample application of this evaluation is presented for construction-related risks and risk allocation recommendations are provided in the end.

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International Construction Joint Ventures with Developing Countries: Singapore's Case for Risk Assessment and Allocation

  • Hwang, Bon-Gang;Zhao, Xianbo;Chin, Eileen Wei Yan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.435-439
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    • 2015
  • It is important for Singaporean companies to manage the multifaceted risks when forming international construction joint ventures (ICJVs) with developing countries. The objectives of this study are to assess the risks associated with Singaporean ICJVs with developing countries, and investigate the risk allocation preferences in these ICJVs. To fulfill these objectives, a literature review was carried out and a questionnaire survey was performed with 38 professionals. The survey results reported "political instability" as the most critical risk, and market level risks were less critical than country and project level risks. Additionally, the results showed agreement on the risk ranking between building and infrastructure ICJVs, despite significant differences in the criticalities of five risks. Furthermore, five risks were preferably allocated to host and foreign partners, respectively, while 13 risks could be shared among partners. As few studies have explored the risk allocation preferences in ICJVs, this study expands the literature. Also, the identification of the risks allows other companies to customize their own lists of critical risks, while the preferred risk allocation provides valuable information for companies from various countries that intend to form ICJVs with developing countries. Thus, this study contributes to the global body of knowledge relating to ICJVs.

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Quantitative Risk Reduction Model according to SIL allocated by Risk Graph for Railway Platform Door System (Risk Graph에 의해 할당된 SIL에 따른 철도 승강장 도어 시스템의 정량적 Risk 저감 모델)

  • Song, Ki Tae;Lee, Sung Ill
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2016
  • There exists required safety integrity level (SIL) to assure safety in accordance with international standards for every electrical / electronics / control equipment or systems with safety related functions. The SIL is allocated from lowest level (level 0) to highest level (level 4). In order to guarantee certain safety level that is internationally acceptable, application of methodology for SIL allocation and demonstration based on related international standards is required. Especially, in case of the SIL allocation method without determining of quantitative tolerable risk, the additional review is needed to check whether it is suitable or not is required. In this study, the quantitative risk reduction model based on the safety integrity allocation results of railway platform screen door system using Risk Graph method has been examined in order to review the suitability of quantitative risk reduction according to allocated safety integrity level.

Optimal Asset Allocation with Minimum Performance and Inflation Risk (최소 자산제약 및 인플레이션을 고려한 자산 할당에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

Allocation of Safety Integrity Level for Railway Platform Screen Door System based on Consequence Severity and Risk Graph (결과 심각도 및 리스크 그래프에 기반한 철도 승강장 도어시스템의 안전 무결성 수준 할당)

  • Song, Ki Tae;Lee, Sung Ill
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.164-173
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    • 2015
  • There exists required safety integrity level (SIL) to assure safety in accordance with international standards for every electrical / electronics / control equipment or systems with safety related functions. The SIL is allocated from lowest level (level 0) to highest level (level 4). In order to guarantee certain safety level that is internationally acceptable, application of methodology for SIL allocation and demonstration based on related international standards is required. However, application standard differs from every industry in domestic or international for application on mythology for allocation and demonstration of SIL. Application or assessment is not easy since absence on clear criteria or common definition. This research studied not only fundamental concept of SIL required to guarantee safety in accordance with international standards for safety related equipment and system, but different types of methodologies for SIL allocation. Specifically, SIL allocation for Platform Screen Door system of railway is studied applying methodology of severity of accidents and risk graph among different methodologies for SIL allocation.

Risk Allocation of Private Port Development with Hierarchical Fuzzy Process

  • Seong, Yu-Chang;Youn, Myung-Ou
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.317-323
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    • 2007
  • As economic trade between Korea and China has been encouraged with the rapid growth of Chinese economy and port competition in Northeast Asia, Korean government is trying to promote development and consolidation of ports to cope with the lack of facilities. Thus, many projects for port development have been propelled including the enactment the 'Private investment promotion law for social overhead capital 1994.' However, there are still some unsettled issues since considerable part of risk is still allocated to the Government when it has to support the private businesses in these port investments whenever unexpected problems arise. Allocation of risk among the participants - in this case especially - is a very subtle issue, however, it was revealed that not many precedent researches were done on the subject. In my previous research, I classified and analyzed 4 principle risks i.e, construction, management, financial and social risk. This research investigates the reasonable allocation of the risks among the participants using the Hierarchial Fuzzy Process. In the result of analysis, responsibility of private party is the most important and it must put the responsibility before Government' roll concerned. Also, this research displayed and proposed the direction of management method on port development in a view of minimizing risk and maximizing initiative of a private party.

A Study on the Evaluation of Value for Money in Private Provided Infrastructure with a Focus on BTO Projects (BTO 민간투자사업의 화폐적 투자가치 평가)

  • Baek, Seong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2007
  • This study has examined the allocation of risk in Korea's private provided Infrastructure(PPI) with the following contents (1) Developing a quantitative risk allocation model for Korea's PPI and (2) examining the implication of changes in the minimum revenue guarantees (MRG) clause of government legislation using the developed empirical model. The model of this study adopts and extends H. Yamaguchi's model developed in 2002. To investigate Korea's actual risk allocation deals, the author incorporated the MRG framework. The payment related to the MRG is indeterminable. Hence. the average MRG rate was calculated using probabilistic risk analysis. The risk allocation model is applied to the two eases to validate the model and evaluate the project's VFM(Value for Money). As the revenue guarantee rate is lowered, the government subsidies are increased. This in turn worsens VFM. The same relationship is true when the revenue guarantee Period is shortened.

Allocation of Safety Integrity Level for Railway Platform Screen Door System considering Semi-Quantitative Risk Reduction Factor (반 정량적 리스크 저감 요소를 고려한 철도 승강장 스크린 도어시스템의 안전 무결성 수준 할당)

  • Song, Ki Tae;Lee, Sung Ill
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2016
  • There exists required safety integrity level (SIL) to assure safety in accordance with international standards for every electrical / electronics / control equipment or systems with safety related functions. The SIL is allocated from lowest level (level 0) to highest level (level 4). In order to guarantee certain safety level that is internationally acceptable, application of methodology for SIL allocation and demonstration based on related international standards is required. However, the theoretical and practical study for safety integrity level is barely under way in the domestic railway industry. This research studied not only the global process of SIL allocation to guarantee safety in accordance with international standards for safety related equipment and system, but the quantitative methodology based on international standard and the semi-quantitative methodology as alternative way for SIL allocation. Specifically, the systematic SIL allocation for platform screen door system of railway is studied applying the semi-quantitative methodology in order to save much time and effort compared to quantitative method.