• 제목/요약/키워드: Additive risk model

검색결과 67건 처리시간 0.023초

조현병과 제1형 양극성장애의 진단 경계를 넘어선 공통적 후보유전자로서의 CACNA1C에 대한 단일염기다형성 연합 연구 (Association between a Genetic Variant of CACNA1C and the Risk of Schizophrenia and Bipolar I Disorder Across Diagnostic Boundaries)

  • 이보라;백지현;조은영;양소영;최유진;이유상;하규섭;홍경수
    • 대한조현병학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2018
  • Objectives : Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) and meta-analyses indicate that single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the a-1C subunit of the L-type voltage-dependent calcium channel (CACNA1C) gene increase the risk for schizophrenia and bipolar disorders (BDs). We investigated the association between the genetic variants on CACNA1C and schizophrenia and/or BDs in the Korean population. Methods : A total of 582 patients with schizophrenia, 336 patients with BDs consisting of 179 bipolar I disorder (BD-I) and 157 bipolar II disorder (BD-II), and 502 healthy controls were recruited. Based on previous results from other populations, three SNPs (rs10848635, rs1006737, and rs4765905) were selected and genotype-wise association was evaluated using logistic regression analysis under additive, dominant and recessive genetic models. Results : rs10848635 showed a significant association with schizophrenia (p=0.010), the combined schizophrenia and BD group (p=0.018), and the combined schizophrenia and BD-I group (p=0.011). The best fit model was dominant model for all of these phenotypes. The association remained significant after correction for multiple testing in schizophrenia and the combined schizophrenia and BD-I group. Conclusion : We identified a possible role of CACNA1C in the common susceptibility of schizophrenia and BD-I. However no association trend was observed for BD-II. Further efforts are needed to identify a specific phenotype associated with this gene crossing the current diagnostic categories.

XPD Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn Polymorphisms and Gastric Cancer Susceptibility: A Meta-analysis of Case-control Studies

  • Yin, Qing-Hua;Liu, Chuan;Hu, Jian-Bing;Meng, Rong-Rong;Li, Lian;Wang, Ya-Jie
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.231-236
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    • 2013
  • Background: Published data regarding the association between xeroderma pigmentosum group D (XPD) Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn polymorphisms and gastric cancer susceptibility havew been inconclusive. This meta-analysis was therefore performed toobtain a more precise estimation of any relationship. Materials and Methods: A comprehensive literature search was conducted to identify all case-control studies of Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn polymorphisms and susceptibility to gastric cancer. Summary odds ratios (ORs) and its 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model with the software STATA (version10.0). Results: A total of 12 case-control studies including 3,147 cases and 4,736 controls were included. Overall, no significant associations were found in some models (for Lys751Gln: Lys/Gln vs Lys/Lys: OR=1.144, 95% CI=0.851-1.541, Gln/Gln vs Lys/Lys: OR=1.215, 95% CI = 0.740-1.955, dominant model: OR=1.137, 95% CI=0.818-1.582; recessive model: OR=1.123, 95% CI=0.765-1.650; for Asp312Asn: Asp/Asn vs Asp/Asp: OR=1.180, 95% CI=0.646-2.154, dominant model: OR=1.380, 95% CI = 0.812-2.346), but significantly elevated susceptibility was found for Asp312Asn polymorphism in some models (Asn/Asn vs Asp/Asp: OR=2.045, 95% CI=1.254-3.335, recessive model: OR=1.805, 95% CI =1.219-2.672), for the additive model, the XPD Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn polymorphisms were not significantly associated with gastric cancer susceptibility. In stratified analyses, significantly elevated susceptibility was found for some models in the Chinese population. Conclusion: This meta-analysis suggested the XPD Asp312Asn polymorphism might be a potential biomarker of gastric cancer susceptibility in overall population, while both XPD Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn polymorphisms might be risk factors of gastric cancer susceptibility in Chinese.

차원축소를 활용한 해외제조업체 대상 사전점검 예측 모형에 관한 연구 (Preliminary Inspection Prediction Model to select the on-Site Inspected Foreign Food Facility using Multiple Correspondence Analysis)

  • 박혜진;최재석;조상구
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.121-142
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    • 2023
  • 수입식품의 수입 건수와 수입 중량이 꾸준히 증가함에 따라 식품안전사고 방지를 위한 수입식품의 안전관리가 더욱 중요해지고 있다. 식품의약품안전처는 통관단계의 수입검사와 더불어 통관 전 단계인 해외제조업소에 대한 현지실사를 시행하고 있지만 시간과 비용이 많이 소요되고 한정된 자원 등의 제약으로 데이터 기반의 수입식품 안전관리 방안이 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 현지실사 전 부적합이 예상되는 업체를 사전에 선별하는 기계학습 예측 모형을 마련하여 현지실사의 효율성을 높이고자 하였다. 이를 위해 통합식품안전정보망에 수집된 총 303,272건의 해외제조가공업소 기본정보와 2019년도부터 2022년 4월까지의 현지실사 점검정보 데이터 1,689건을 수집하였다. 해외제조가공업소의 데이터 전처리 후 해외 제조업소_코드를 활용하여 현지실사 대상 데이터만 추출하였고, 총 1,689건의 데이터와 103개의 변수로 구성되었다. 103개의 변수를 테일유(Theil-U) 지표를 기준으로 '0'인 변수들을 제거하였고, 다중대응분석(Multiple Correspondence Analysis)을 적용해 축소 후 최종적으로 49개의 특성변수를 도출하였다. 서로 다른 8개의 모델을 생성하고, 모델 학습 과정에서는 5겹 교차검증으로 과적합을 방지하고, 하이퍼파라미터를 조정하여 비교 평가하였다. 현지실사 대상업체 선별의 연구목적은 부적합 업체를 부적합이라고 판정하는 확률인 검측률(recall)을 최대화하는 것이다. 머신러닝의 다양한 알고리즘을 적용한 결과 Recall_macro, AUROC, Average PR, F1-score, 균형정확도(Balanced Accuracy)가 가장 높은 랜덤포레스트(Random Forest)모델이 가장 우수한 모형으로 평가되었다. 마지막으로 모델에 의해서 평가된 개별 인스턴스의 부적합 업체 선정 근거를 제시하기 위해 SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations)을 적용하고 현지실사 업체 선정 시스템에의 적용 가능성을 제시하였다. 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 데이터에 기반한 과학적 위험관리 모델을 통해 수입식품 관리체계의 구축으로 인력·예산 등 한정된 자원의 효율적 운영방안 마련에 기여하길 기대한다.

서울지역 겨울철 기온과 노인의 사망률간의 관련성 연구(1992년~2007년) (Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007)

  • 이정원;전형진;조용성;이철민;김기연;김윤신
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.747-755
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    • 2011
  • This study was investigated the relationship between the temperature and the mortality of aged (${\geq}65$ yr) during the winter seasons from 1992 to 2007 in Seoul, Korea by utilizing climate data and death records. The study also estimated the future risks by employing the projections of the population in Seoul, Korea and climate change scenario of Korea from 2011 to 2030. The limitation of this study was the impossibility in the prediction of daily mortality counts. Therefore, daily death numbers could be predicted based on the future population projection for Korea and the death records of 2005. The result indicated that risks increased by 0.27%, 0.52%, 0.32% and 0.41% in association with the $1^{\circ}C$ decrease in daily minimum temperature from the mortality counts of total, respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory in the past date while 0.31%, 0.42%, 0.59% and 0.66% in the future. Based on the results obtained from this study, it is concluded that the risk in the future will be higher than the past date although there is an uncertainty in estimating death counts in the future.

사회경제수준에 따른 오존과 소아천식 관련 입원의 상관성 연구 (Relationship between the Exposure to Ozone in Seoul and the Childhood Asthma-related Hospital Admissions according to the Socioeconomic Status)

  • 손지영;김호;김선영;이종태
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2006
  • Background: A number of studies have reported associations between the ambient air pollution concentrations and various health outcomes. Especially, ozone is well known for primary risk factor of asthma attacks. The results of a recent study indicate that the size of the effect on health outcomes due to air pollution varied according to several conditions, including age, gender, race and the socioeconomic status. Therefore, this study was conducted to examine the associations of ozone with the childhood asthma hospitalizations as stratified by the socioeconomic status (SES) at the community level in Seoul, Korea, 2002. Methods: SES at aggregated levels was measured on the basis of average regional health-insurance rate per citizen in the area. We applied the generalized additive model to analyze the effect of ozone on asthma after controlling for the potential confounding variables that were capable of influencing the results. Results: Our analysis showed that the number of children who were hospitalized for asthma increased as the SES of the residence area decreased. The estimated relative risks of hospitalization for asthma, as stratified by the SES of the community level, were 1.12 (95% confidence interval 1.00-1.25) in districts with the highest SES levels, 1.24 (95% CI=1.08-1.43) within the moderate SES levels, and 1.32 (95% CI=1.11-1.58) in the districts with the lowest SES levels. Conclusions: Our analysis showed that exposure to air pollution did not equally affect the health status of individuals. This suggests that not only the biological-sensitivity markers, but also the SES of the subjects should be considered as potentially confounding factors.

레닌-안지오텐신계에 작용하는 항고혈압 약제의 단독요법과 병용요법의 안전성 및 유효성에 대한 체계적 문헌고찰 (Systematic Review : Comparative Safety and Efficacy of Mono- and Combination Therapy of Anti-hypertensive Agents Acting on the Renin-Angiotensin System)

  • 최경업;김현경
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.364-375
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    • 2011
  • Given that single blockade with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) can achieve only partial and undurable suppression of the Renin Angiotensin System (RAS), it has been hypothesized that dual blockage would be more beneficial in the management of blood pressure (BP) reduction and prevention of progressive chronic kidney disease (CKD) than either agent alone. Thus, it has been suggested that the combination of an ACEI and an ARB might provide renal benefits to hypertensive patients over and above BP reduction. However, this might also expose patients to additive or synergistic side effects. We attempted to conduct a systematic review to evaluate the benefits and harms of combination therapy in hypertensive patients with or without kidney diseases. MEDLINE and KoreaMed were searched for relevant randomized clinical trials in adult hypertensive patients with or without diabetes (restricted to 1997, limited to trials published in English). Results were summarized using the random-effects model, and between-studies heterogeneity was estimated with $I^2$. A final analysis of ten trials (23,928 patients) revealed that the combination of an ACEI and an ARB reduced blood pressure (SBP/DBP) by 3.95/2.02 mmHg (95% confidence interval [CI], -4.38 to -3.53/-2.33 to -1.71) compared with ACEI monotherapy, and 2.83/2.64 mmHg (95% CI, -3.25 to -2.41/-4.95 to -0.33) compared with ARB monotherapy. Eight trials (391 patients) demonstrated a significant reduction in 24h-proteinuria (weighted mean difference, 0.16 g/day, 95% CI, -0.26-0.05), but they did not translate into an improvement in GFR. Tests for heterogeneity showed no difference in effect among the studies. The combination therapy reduced proteinuria by 30% (95% CI, 23% to 37%) and 39% (95% CI, 31% to 48%) compared with ACEI monotherapy and ARB monotherapy, respectively. However, in patients who had proteinuria more than 0.5 g/day, the combination therapy failed to show significant reduction in urinary protein excretion. The current cumulative evidence suggests that diabetic patients with proteinuria on dual RAS blockade have an increase risk of adverse events such as hyperkalemia, hypotension, and so on, compared with ACEI or ARB alone. It is, therefore, proposed that the combination therapy should not be routinely used for the treatment of hypertension with or without compelling indications.

소아의 열성경련에 날씨가 미치는 영향 (Impact of Weather on Prevalence of Febrile Seizures in Children)

  • 우정희;오석빈;임정혁;변정혜;은백린
    • 대한소아신경학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2018
  • 목적: 열성 경련은 생후 6개월부터 만 5세 사이 발생하는 가장 흔한 유형의 경련으로 직계 가족에서 가족력이 존재할 때 더 발생률이 높다. 열성 경련의 발생률과 외부 환경과의 영향에 대하여 아직 정확히 알려진 바가 없다. 본 연구는 열성 경련의 발생과 날씨의 연관성을 파악하기 위해 시행되었다. 방법: 본 연구는 건강보험심사평가원 자료를 바탕으로 진행되었다. 2009년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 서울 소재 병원에서 첫 번째 열성경련으로 내원하여 진단받은 29,240명의 환아들을 대상으로 시행하였다. 동일기간 동안 기상청에서 수집한 4개의 기상인자(해면기압, 강수량, 습도, 기온) 들과의 연관성을 알아보았다. 포아송 일반화 부가모형(Poisson Generalized Addictive Model)을 이용하였다. 바이러스 감염이 열성 경련의 발생률에 기여하는 영향도 논의되었다. 결과: 강수량은 두 가지 그룹(5 mm 미만과 5 mm 이상)으로 나뉘어 분석되었다. 포아송 분석 결과 열성경련의 발생률은 강수량이 적을수록 증가하였다. 해면기압, 습도, 기온 등 3가지 변수들을 분석하는데 있어서 평활 함수가 사용되었고 그 결과 열성 경련 발생률은 해면기압이 낮을수록, 습도가 낮을수록 증가하였고, 기온이 $-7--1^{\circ}C$$18-21^{\circ}C$ 일 때 높았다. 결론: 본 연구는 열성경련과 날씨와의 연관성을 파악하기 위하여 시행되었고, 그 결과 강수량이 적을수록, 해면기압이 낮을수록, 습도가 낮을수록 열성경련의 발생률이 증가하였다. 그러므로, 날씨는 열성경련 발생에 영향을 주는 요인 중 하나이다.