• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accuracy Bayes' theorem

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ACCURACY CURVES: AN ALTERNATIVE GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF PROBABILITY DATA

  • Detrano Robert
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02b
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    • pp.150-153
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    • 1994
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves have been frequently used to compare probability models applied to medical problems. Though the curves are a measure of the discriminatory power of a model. they do not reflect the model's accuracy. A supplementary accuracy curve is derived which will be coincident with the ROC curve if the model is reliable. will be above the ROC curve if the model's probabilities are too high or below if they are too low. A clinical example of this new graphical presentation is given.

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Recognition of Korean Vowels using Bayesian Classification with Mouth Shape (베이지안 분류 기반의 입 모양을 이용한 한글 모음 인식 시스템)

  • Kim, Seong-Woo;Cha, Kyung-Ae;Park, Se-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.852-859
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    • 2019
  • With the development of IT technology and smart devices, various applications utilizing image information are being developed. In order to provide an intuitive interface for pronunciation recognition, there is a growing need for research on pronunciation recognition using mouth feature values. In this paper, we propose a system to distinguish Korean vowel pronunciations by detecting feature points of lips region in images and applying Bayesian based learning model. The proposed system implements the recognition system based on Bayes' theorem, so that it is possible to improve the accuracy of speech recognition by accumulating input data regardless of whether it is speaker independent or dependent on small amount of learning data. Experimental results show that it is possible to effectively distinguish Korean vowels as a result of applying probability based Bayesian classification using only visual information such as mouth shape features.

Emotion Classification Using EEG Spectrum Analysis and Bayesian Approach (뇌파 스펙트럼 분석과 베이지안 접근법을 이용한 정서 분류)

  • Chung, Seong Youb;Yoon, Hyun Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes an emotion classifier from EEG signals based on Bayes' theorem and a machine learning using a perceptron convergence algorithm. The emotions are represented on the valence and arousal dimensions. The fast Fourier transform spectrum analysis is used to extract features from the EEG signals. To verify the proposed method, we use an open database for emotion analysis using physiological signal (DEAP) and compare it with C-SVC which is one of the support vector machines. An emotion is defined as two-level class and three-level class in both valence and arousal dimensions. For the two-level class case, the accuracy of the valence and arousal estimation is 67% and 66%, respectively. For the three-level class case, the accuracy is 53% and 51%, respectively. Compared with the best case of the C-SVC, the proposed classifier gave 4% and 8% more accurate estimations of valence and arousal for the two-level class. In estimation of three-level class, the proposed method showed a similar performance to the best case of the C-SVC.

A Korean Homonym Disambiguation System Based on Statistical, Model Using weights

  • Kim, Jun-Su;Lee, Wang-Woo;Kim, Chang-Hwan;Ock, Cheol-young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Language and Information Conference
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    • 2002.02a
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    • pp.166-176
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    • 2002
  • A homonym could be disambiguated by another words in the context as nouns, predicates used with the homonym. This paper using semantic information (co-occurrence data) obtained from definitions of part of speech (POS) tagged UMRD-S$^1$), In this research, we have analyzed the result of an experiment on a homonym disambiguation system based on statistical model, to which Bayes'theorem is applied, and suggested a model established of the weight of sense rate and the weight of distance to the adjacent words to improve the accuracy. The result of applying the homonym disambiguation system using semantic information to disambiguating homonyms appearing on the dictionary definition sentences showed average accuracy of 98.32% with regard to the most frequent 200 homonyms. We selected 49 (31 substantives and 18 predicates) out of the 200 homonyms that were used in the experiment, and performed an experiment on 50,703 sentences extracted from Sejong Project tagged corpus (i.e. a corpus of morphologically analyzed words) of 3.5 million words that includes one of the 49 homonyms. The result of experimenting by assigning the weight of sense rate(prior probability) and the weight of distance concerning the 5 words at the front/behind the homonym to be disambiguated showed better accuracy than disambiguation systems based on existing statistical models by 2.93%,

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Estimating the Likelihood of Malignancy in Solitary Pulmonary Nodules by Bayesian Approach (Bayes식 접근법에 의한 고립성 폐결절의 악성도 예측)

  • Shin, Kyeong-Cheol;Chung, Jin-Hong;Lee, Kwan-Ho;Kim, Chang-Ho;Park, Jae-Yong;Jung, Tae-Hoon;Han, Sung-Beom;Jeon, Young-Jun
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.498-506
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    • 1999
  • Background : The causes of solitary pulmonary nodule are many, but the main concern is whether the nodule is benign or malignant. Because a solitary pulmonary nodule is the initial manifestation of the majority of lung cancer, accurate clinical and radiologic interpretation is important. Bayes' theorem is a simple method of combining clinical and radiologic findings to estimate the probability that a nodule in an individual patients is malignant. We estimated the probability of malignancy of solitary pulmonary nodules with a specific combination of features by Bayesian approach. Method : One hundred and eighty patients with solitary pulmonary nodules were identified from multi-center analysis. The hospital records of these patients were reviewed and patient age, smoking history, original radiologic findings, and diagnosis of the solitary pulmonary nodules were recorded. The diagnosis of solitary pulmonary nodule was established pathologically in all patients. We used to Bayes' theorem to devise a simple scheme for estimating the likelihood that a solitary pulmonary nodule is malignant based on radiological and clinical characteristics. Results : In patients characteristics, the probability of malignancy increases with advancing age, peaking in patients older than 66 year of age(LR : 3.64), and higher in patients with smoking history more than 46 pack years(LR : 8.38). In radiological features, the likelihood ratios were increased with increasing size of the nodule and nodule with lobulated or spiculated margin. Conclusion : In conclusion, the likelihood ratios of malignancy may improve the accuracy of the probability of malignancy, and can be a guide of management of solitary pulmonary nodule.

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