• Title/Summary/Keyword: Absolute error

Search Result 1,021, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

The Bus Arrival Time Prediction Using Bus Delay Time (버스지체시간을 활용한 버스도착시간 예측)

  • Lee, Seung-Hun;Mun, Byeong-Seop;Park, Beom-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.125-134
    • /
    • 2010
  • It is occurred bus arrival time errors when a bus arrives at a bus stop because of a variety of traffic condition such as traffic signal cycle, the time to get on and off a bus, a bus-only lane and so on. In this paper, bus delay time which is occurred as the result of traffic condition was estimated with Markov Chain process and bus arrival time at each bus stop was predicted with it. As the result of the study, it is confirmed to improve accuracy than the method of bus arrival time prediction with existing method (weighed moving average method) in case predicting bus arrival time using 7 by 7 and 9 by 9 matrixes.

Auto-calibration for the SWAT Model Hydrological Parameters Using Multi-objective Optimization Method (다중목적 최적화기 법을 이용한 SWAT 모형 수분매개변수의 자동보정)

  • Kim, Hak-Kwan;Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Seung-Woo;Choi, Ji-Yong;Yang, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.51 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2009
  • The objective of this paper was to evaluate the auto-calibration with multi-objective optimization method to calibrate the parameters of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The model was calibrated and validated by using nine years (1996-2004) of measured data for the 384-ha Baran reservoir subwatershed located in central Korea. Multi-objective optimization was performed for sixteen parameters related to runoff. The parameters were modified by the replacement or addition of an absolute change. The root mean square error (RMSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency index (EI), determination coefficient ($R^2$) were used to evaluate the results of calibration and validation. The statistics of RMSE, RMAE, EI, and $R^2$ were 4.66 mm/day, 0.53 mm/day 0.86, and 0.89 for the calibration period and 3.98 mm/day, 0.51 mm/day, 0.83, and 0.84 for the validation period respectively. The statistical parameters indicated that the model provided a reasonable estimation of the runoff at the study watershed. This result was illustrated with a multi-objective optimization for the flow at an observation site within the Baran reservoir watershed.

Localization of Mobile Robot Based on Radio Frequency Identification Devices (RFID를 이용한 이동로봇의 위치인식기술)

  • Lee Hyun-Jeong;Choi Kyu-Cheon;Lee Min-Cheol;Lee Jang-Myung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-46
    • /
    • 2006
  • Ubiquitous location based services, offer helpful services anytime and anywhere by using real-time location information of objects based on ubiquitous network. Particularly, autonomous mobile robots can be a solution for various applications related to ubiquitous location based services, e.g. in hospitals, for cleaning, at airports or railway stations. However, a meaningful and still unsolved problem for most applications is to develop a robust and cheap positioning system. A typical example of position measurements is dead reckoning that is well known for providing a good short-term accuracy, being inexpensive and allowing very high sampling rates. However, the measurement always has some accumulated errors because the fundamental idea of dead reckoning is the integration of incremental motion information over time. The other hand, a localization system using RFID offers absolute position of robots regardless of elapsed time. We construct an absolute positioning system based on RFID and investigate how localization technique can be enhanced by RFID through experiment to measure the location of a mobile robot. Tags are placed on the floor at 5cm intervals in the shape of square in an arbitrary space and the accuracy of position measurement is investigated . To reduce the error and the variation of error, a weighting function based on Gaussian function is used. Different weighting values are applied to position data of tags since weighting values follow Gaussian function.

Functional Forecasting of Seasonality (계절변동의 함수적 예측)

  • Lee, Geung-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.885-893
    • /
    • 2015
  • It is important to improve the forecasting accuracy of one-year-ahead seasonal factors in order to produce seasonally adjusted series of the following year. In this paper, seasonal factors of 8 monthly Korean economic time series are examined and forecast based on the functional principal component regression. One-year-ahead forecasts of seasonal factors from the functional principal component regression are compared with other forecasting methods based on mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Forecasting seasonal factors via the functional principal component regression performs better than other comparable methods.

SQUIRREL SEARCH PID CONTROLLER ALGORITHM BASED ACTIVE QUEUE MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUE FOR TCP COMMUNICATION NETWORKS

  • Keerthipati.Kumar;R.A. KARTHIKA
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.123-133
    • /
    • 2023
  • Active queue management (AQM) is a leading congestion control system, which can keep smaller queuing delay, less packet loss with better network utilization and throughput by intentionally dropping the packets at the intermediate hubs in TCP/IP (transmission control protocol/Internet protocol) networks. To accelerate the responsiveness of AQM framework, proportional-integral-differential (PID) controllers are utilized. In spite of its simplicity, it can effectively take care of a range of complex problems; however it is a lot complicated to track down optimal PID parameters with conventional procedures. A few new strategies have been grown as of late to adjust the PID controller parameters. Therefore, in this paper, we have developed a Squirrel search based PID controller to dynamically find its controller gain parameters for AQM. The controller gain parameters are decided based on minimizing the integrated-absolute error (IAE) in order to ensure less packet loss, high link utilization and a stable queue length in favor of TCP networks.

MAGRU: Multi-layer Attention with GRU for Logistics Warehousing Demand Prediction

  • Ran Tian;Bo Wang;Chu Wang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.528-550
    • /
    • 2024
  • Warehousing demand prediction is an essential part of the supply chain, providing a fundamental basis for product manufacturing, replenishment, warehouse planning, etc. Existing forecasting methods cannot produce accurate forecasts since warehouse demand is affected by external factors such as holidays and seasons. Some aspects, such as consumer psychology and producer reputation, are challenging to quantify. The data can fluctuate widely or do not show obvious trend cycles. We introduce a new model for warehouse demand prediction called MAGRU, which stands for Multi-layer Attention with GRU. In the model, firstly, we perform the embedding operation on the input sequence to quantify the external influences; after that, we implement an encoder using GRU and the attention mechanism. The hidden state of GRU captures essential time series. In the decoder, we use attention again to select the key hidden states among all-time slices as the data to be fed into the GRU network. Experimental results show that this model has higher accuracy than RNN, LSTM, GRU, Prophet, XGboost, and DARNN. Using mean absolute error (MAE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error(SMAPE) to evaluate the experimental results, MAGRU's MAE, RMSE, and SMAPE decreased by 7.65%, 10.03%, and 8.87% over GRU-LSTM, the current best model for solving this type of problem.

Fast Black Matching Algorithm Using The Lower and Upper Bound of Mean Absolute Difference (블록 평균 절대치 오차의 최소 및 최대 범위를 이용한 고속 블록 정합 알고리듬)

  • 이법기;정원식;이경환;최정현;김경규;김덕규
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.24 no.9A
    • /
    • pp.1401-1410
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose a fast block matching algorithm using the lower and upper bound of mean absolute difference (MAD) which is calculated at the search region overlapped with neighbor blocks. At first, we calculate the lower bound of MAD and reduce the search point by using this lower bound. In this method, we can get good prediction error performance close to full search block matching algorithm (FSBMA), but there exists some computational complexity that has to be reduced. Therefore, we further reduce the computational complexity by using pixel subsampling besides the lower and upper bound of MAD. Experimental results show that we can remarkably reduce the computational complexity with good prediction error performance close to FSBMA.

  • PDF

자가 치아 이식술에 사용되는 Computer Aided Rapid Prototyping model(CARP model)의 실제 치아에 대한 오차

  • Lee, Seong-Jae;Kim, Ui-Seong;Kim, Gi-Deok;Lee, Seung-Jong
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
    • /
    • v.44 no.2 s.441
    • /
    • pp.115-122
    • /
    • 2006
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to evaluate the dimensional errors between real tooth, 3D CT image and CARP model. Materials and Methods : Two maxilla and two mandible block bones with intact teeth were taken from two cadavers. Computed tomography was taken either in dry state and in wet state. After then, all teeth were extracted and the dimensions of the real teeth were measured using a digital caliper at mesio-distal and bucco-lingual width both in crown and cervical portion. 3D CT image was generated using the V-works $4.0^{TM}$ (Cybemed Inc., Seoul, Korea) software. Twelve teeth were randomly selected for CARP model fabrication. All the measurements of 3D Ct images and CARP models were made in the same manner of the real tooth group. Dimensional errors between real tooth, 3D CT image model and CARP model was calculated. Results : 1) Average of absolute error was 0.199 mm between real teeth and 3D CT image model, 0.169 mm between 3D CT image model and CARP model and 0.291 mm between real teeth and CARP model, respectively. 2) Average size of 3D CT image was smaller than real teeth by 0.149 mm and that of CARP model was smalier than 3D CT image model by 0.067mm. Conclusion : Within the scope of this study, CARP model with the 0.291 mm average of absolute eror can aid to enhance the success rate cf autogenous tooth transplantation due to the increased accuracy of recipient bone and donor tooth.

  • PDF

Integrated Position Estimation Using the Aerial Image Sequence (항공영상을 이용한 통합된 위치 추정)

  • Sim, Dong-Gyu;Park, Rae-Hong;Kim, Rin-Chul;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
    • /
    • v.36S no.12
    • /
    • pp.76-84
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper presents an integrated method for aircraft position estimation using sequential aerial images. The proposed integrated system for position estimation is composed of two parts: relative position estimation and absolute position estimation. Relative position estimation recursively computes the current position of an aircraft by accumulating relative displacement estimates extracted from two successive aerial images. Simple accumulation of parameter values decreases reliability of the extracted parameter estimates as an aircraft goes on navigating, resulting in large position error. Therefore absolute position estimation is required to compensate for the position error generated in relative position estimation. Absolute position estimation algorithms by image matching or digital elevation model (DEM) matching are presented. In image matching, a robust oriented Hausdorff measure (ROHM) is employed whereas in DEM matching an algorithm using multiple image pairs is used. Computer simulation with four real aerial image sequences shows the effectiveness of the proposed integrated position estimation algorithm.

  • PDF

A Study on Multi-hop Positioning Error in Indoor Positioning System (실내 위치 추정 시스템에서의 멀티 홉 위치 오차에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jongtaek
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-129
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently indoor positioning technologies have been studied using the acoustic signal from a smart phone. Also multi-hop indoor positioning system in which the equipments measure their relative position successively has been proposed. As the total positioning error is prone to increase due to the successively accumulated positioning error for the multi-hop system, the error analysis is required for the system design. In this paper, the absolute positioning error for the multi-hop indoor positioning equipments successively installed is analyzed, and it is verified by computer simulation. According to the results, the accumulated positioning error is linearly increased as the number of the multi-hop increases.