• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal weather

Search Result 203, Processing Time 0.12 seconds

패널분석-확률효과모형에 의한 등숙기 이상기상이 쌀 단수에 미치는 영향 분석 (Impacts of Abnormal Weather Factors on Rice Production)

  • 정학균;김창길;문동현
    • 한국기후변화학회지
    • /
    • 제4권4호
    • /
    • pp.317-330
    • /
    • 2013
  • 홍수와 가뭄, 고온 등 이상기상의 영향으로 쌀 단수가 감소할 수 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 등숙기 이상기상이 쌀 단수에 미치는 영향을 파악하는 것이며, 이를 위하여 횡단면 자료와 시계열 자료를 모두 이용할 수 있는 패널모형을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상요소의 평균값을 기준으로 ${\pm}2{\sigma}$의 범위를 벗어날 때를 이상기상으로 정의하였다. 분석결과를 보면, 이상고온이 발생하였을 때 쌀 단수가 5.8~16.3% 감소, 이상고온과 폭우가 동시에 발생하였을 때 8.8~20.8% 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 이상기상으로 인한 쌀 생산량 감소를 최소화하고, 농가의 소득안정을 위하여 고온과 폭우에 강한 신품종 개발, 농업용 수리시설의 현대화, 농작물보험 채택 등의 적응전략이 필요하다.

최근 우리나라의 이상기상 발생횟수의 변화 (Recent Changes in the Frequency of Occurrence of Extreme Weather Events in South Korea)

  • 심교문;김용석;정명표;김지원;박미선;홍수학;강기경
    • 한국기후변화학회지
    • /
    • 제9권4호
    • /
    • pp.461-470
    • /
    • 2018
  • The frequency of extreme weather events was analyzed using meteorological data (air temperature, precipitation, and duration of sunshine) collected from 61 stations over a 36-year span (1981-2016). The 10-day meteorological data were used as a basic unit for this analysis. On average, the frequency of occurrence of abnormal weather was 9.88 per year and has increased significantly during this 36-year period. According to the type of abnormal weather, the frequencies of occurrence of abnormally high air temperature and short duration of sunshine have increased by 0.50 and 0.41 per 10 years, respectively; however, that for abnormally low air temperature has decreased by 0.31 per 10 years and the trend was statistically significant. The highest frequency of abnormal weather appeared in 2007, with a frequency of 14.31. Abnormal weather was the most frequent at Yeongdeok station with an average frequency of 11.78 per year over this 36-year span.

이상기후에 따른 농작물의 수확량 및 재해발생 확률의 추정 (Simulating Crop Yield and Probable Damage From Abnormal Weather Conditions)

  • 임상준;박승우;강문성
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제39권6호
    • /
    • pp.31-40
    • /
    • 1997
  • Potential impacts for unfavourable weather conditions and the assessment of the magnitudes of their adverse effects on crop yields were studied. EPIC model was investigated for its capability on crop yield predictions for rice and soybean. Weather generationmodel was used to generate long-term climatic data. The model was verified with ohserved climate data of Suwon city. Fifty years weather data including abnormal conditions were generated and used for crop yield simulation by EPIC model. Crop yield probability function was derived from simulated crop yield data, which followed normal distribution. Probable crop yield reductions due to abnormal weather conditions were also analyzed.

  • PDF

이상저온 발생 시점 확인을 위한 알고리즘 패턴 개발 (Development of Algorithm Patterns for Identifying the Time of Abnormal Low Temperature Generation)

  • 이정원;이충호
    • 산업융합연구
    • /
    • 제21권8호
    • /
    • pp.43-49
    • /
    • 2023
  • 2018년부터 기후변화에 따른 폭염과 한파에 의해 사회기반시설에 점증적으로 많은 피해를 미치고 있다. 최근 4년간 기후변화에 따른 영향 중에 냉해에 대한 피해가 매년 증가하여 특정 지역에 국한되었던 피해가 이제는 전국에 걸쳐서 나타나고 있으며, 이를 최소화하기 위한 각계각층의 전문가들에 의한 노력이 집중되고 있다. 그러나 불연속적으로 측정되는 데이터들 속에서 지역 특색을 반영하고자 하는 기존 연구들에서는 갑작스럽게 발생하는 이상 저온에 대한 실시간 관측 연구는 쉽지 않은 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 냉해 발생에 영향을 미치는 기상 데이터를 기준으로 냉해 피해가 발생하였던 시점의 기상 패턴을 탐색한 후 이상저온 발생 시점을 확인할 수 있는 알고리즘 패턴 개발을 하였다. 본 연구의 결과물은 과거의 데이터에 의존하지 않고 실시간으로 발생하는 데이터에 의한 이상저온이 발생한 시점을 시간 시점에서 확인할 수 있다는 점에서 지역적 기상 편차를 의식하지 않고 확인이 가능하다는 점에서, 이상저온 발생 시점 데이터를 확보할 수 있다는 점에서 관련 분야에 많은 도움이 될 것으로 기대할 수 있다.

Analysis of Changes in Extreme Weather Events Using Extreme Indices

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Yoon, Young-Han;Lee, Hyun-Dong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.175-183
    • /
    • 2011
  • The climate of the $21^{st}$ century is likely to be significantly different from that of the 20th century because of human-induced climate change. An extreme weather event is defined as a climate phenomenon that has not been observed for the past 30 years and that may have occurred by climate change and climate variability. The abnormal climate change can induce natural disasters such as floods, droughts, typhoons, heavy snow, etc. How will the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events be affected by the global warming change in the $21^{st}$ century? This could be a quite interesting matter of concern to the hydrologists who will forecast the extreme weather events for preventing future natural disasters. In this study, we establish the extreme indices and analyze the trend of extreme weather events using extreme indices estimated from the observed data of 66 stations controlled by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in Korea. These analyses showed that spatially coherent and statistically significant changes in the extreme events of temperature and rainfall have occurred. Under the global climate change, Korea, unlike in the past, is now being affected by extreme weather events such as heavy rain and abnormal temperatures in addition to changes in climate phenomena.

하추기 이상 저온하에서 뽕나무 발육부진요인과 추비에 의한 생육증진 (Mulberry Growth Promotion by Nitrogen Application under Abnormally Wet and Cool Weather Conditions)

  • 이원주;윤명근
    • 한국잠사곤충학회지
    • /
    • 제36권2호
    • /
    • pp.110-114
    • /
    • 1994
  • 93년 뽕나무 생육기에 내습한 이상저온 현상에 대한 감수정도와 요인을 분석하는 한편, 경감대책을 마련하기 위해 수원 잠업시험장과 충남 공주군에 소재한 충남도 잠업사업소 등 2개 장소에서 방임구를 대조로 요소엽면시비구 (요소 0.7%), 잠시비료 8호구 (요수 0.7%와 미량요소 함유), 그리고 질소질 6kg/10a를 황산암모늄으로 덧거름한 4개처리구를 설치하여 시험결과 다음과 같았다. 1. 여름베기후 뽕나무 생육기간 중인 6월 하순-9월 상순사이에 전국적으로 평년대비 평균기온은 1.4$^{\circ}C$ 낮았으며, 강우량은 83mm나 많았으며, 그 결과 가을뽕 수량은 평년대비 16.4% 감수되었는데, 뽕잎의 감수에 더 크게 영향하는 요인은 기온의 저하보다는 강우량의 과다에서 오는 질소질의 용탈에 원인하는 것으로 판단되었다. 2. 이상저온 내습시 생육부진을 막기 위해 요소 및 잠시비료 8호를 각각 엽면시비한 구보다는, 질소질 6kg/10a를 덧거름으로 시비한 구에서 5% 수준에서 통계적인 유의차가 인정될 정도로 증수되었다. 3. 뽕잎분석 결과 전질소 함량은 요소살포구와 질소질 덧거름구에서 방임구 3.53% 대비 0.53% 높았다.

  • PDF

이상기상에 의한 국내외 배전설비 재해 분석 (Disaster of the distribution facilities in home and foreign based on the abnormal weather)

  • 김동명;이남우;권태호;최선규
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
    • /
    • pp.488-489
    • /
    • 2006
  • We investigated the trouble and the influence by weather in the distribution facilities of the home and foreign and analyzed the damage of power system, in domestic and japan, which is related to the latest typhoon and damage from sea wind. The interruption of distribution system is occurred by abnormal weather is cause of the rainstorm, lightning within the country, a tree contact by strong wind in the US and an earthquake, typhoon, damage from sea wind in japan.

  • PDF

조선 세조대 기후특성과 재해 경감 노력 (Weather Characteristics and Efforts to Reduce Disasters during the Reign of King Sejo in the Chosun Dynasty)

  • 이욱;홍윤
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.199-208
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study was conducted in order to analyze weather characteristics during the reign of King Sejo in the Chosun Dynasty based on The Annals of the Chosun Dynasty. For this purpose, first of all, we need to determine whether The Annals of the Chosun Dynasty is a reliable material for research on weather characteristics. Thus, we compared weather phenomena during the reign of King Sejo with those in China and Japan in the same period. From the results, it was found that The Annals of the Chosun Dynasty is a useful material at least to grasp macroscopic trends in weather phenomena. Based on this assumption, we analyzed weather characteristics during the reign of King Sejo using data from The Annals of the Chosun Dynasty. During the days of King Sejo, the climate was not changed violently and there were not many disasters caused by abnormal climate such as bad harvests. This suggests that the climate was relatively stable during the period of King Sejo. As a consequence of stable weather, famine decreased markedly. However, this was not only because of stable climate but also because of the government's active efforts to reduce disasters. As droughts and floods were not frequent, social costs for recovery from disasters also decreased considerably and the saved money could be invested in the construction of social safety nets for the prevention of disasters. One of factors supporting the enthronement of King Sejo was a series of heavily damaging bad harvests during the reign of Kings Munjong and Danjong. The prevention of bad harvests was a historical mission given to the regime of King Sejo. During his reign, King Sejo promoted various policies in order to stop bad harvests. Such efforts included the government's active construction of embankments, introduction of seeds suitable for reclaimed lands, and inspiration of the consciousness of forceful farming enduring natural disasters such as floods. As a result, abnormal weathers such as floods and droughts did not lead directly to bad harvests.

기존선에서 이상기후 발생시 열차안전운행 확보 방안 (The Measure of Safety Operation of Train under Abnormal Climate in Conventional line)

  • 김치태;이성욱;정도원;주창훈
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.130-137
    • /
    • 2006
  • In these days abnormal climate occurs frequently because of global warming and earthshock. So it is necessary to prepare for the abnormal conditions like gale, rainfall, heavy snow and high temperature. Fortunately, Korea high speed rail(KTX) have a safety climate detection system for the abnormal weather by using CTC. So the safety is guaranteed in most aspect. But in convention line there isn't any alarm system for the abnormal condition and the train runs until the railroad loss occurred. So convention line need additional regulation same as KTX for the abnormal climate and in the near future passenger safety must be protected by new alarm system.

  • PDF