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Comparative Evaluation of Reproducibility for Spatio-temporal Rainfall Distribution Downscaled Using Different Statistical Methods (통계적 공간상세화 기법의 시공간적 강우분포 재현성 비교평가)

  • Jung, Imgook;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.

Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios (RCP시나리오 기반 CMIP5 GCMs을 이용한 동북아시아 미래 기후변화 불확실성 평가)

  • Shin, Yonghee;Jung, Huicheul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2015
  • The CMIP5 climate change scenarios from 34 GCMs were analyzed to quantitatively assess future changes in temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation against the global region and the Northeast Asia region with a focus on South Korea, North Korea, or Japan. The resulting projection revealed that the Northeast Asia region is subjected to more increase in temperature and precipitation than the global means for both. In particular, temperature and precipitation in North Korea were projected to increase about $5.1^{\circ}C$ and 18%, respectively under the RCP 8.5 scenario, as compared to the historical means for 30 years (1971-2000), although a large uncertainty still exists among GCMs. For solar radiation, global mean solar radiation was predicted to decrease with time in all RCP scenarios except for the RCP 2.6 scenario. On the contrary, it was predicted that the amount of solar radiation in the Northeast Asia increases in the future period.

Assessing Applicability of SWAT Calibrated at Multiple Spatial Scales from Field to Stream (다단계 수문과정을 고려하여 보정된 SWAT모형의 적용성 검토)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Her, Younggu;Bosch, David
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.21-39
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    • 2015
  • 유역 내부의 수문과정에 대한 관측치를 이용한 모형의 보정은 분산형 수문수질 모형의 적용성을 높이는 방법으로 권장되지만, 관측치가 충분하지 않은 경우가 많아 적용사례가 드문 실정이다. 본 연구는 경지에서 유역의 출구까지 여러 단계의 수문과정을 고려하여 분산형 수문수질모형을 보정하는 방법을 제시하고, 이와 같은 방법으로 보정된 모형의 적용성을 검토하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 미국 조지아의 South Atlantic Coastal Plain에 있는 한 농업유역의 수문과정을 모의하였다. 또한, 유사와 영양물질의 구체적인 하천운송과정을 모의하기 위해 SWAT모형의 QUAL2E 모듈을 이용하였다. 모형보정은 유역의 유출량 및 유사와 영양물질의 양 뿐만 아니라 경지에서 관측된 바이오매스, 토양 침식량 및 영양물질 발생량, 수변지역 (riparian buffer)에서 발생하는 유사와 영양물질 감소, 하천운송과정 등을 고려하여 수행되었다. 모형의 보정 및 검증기간은 자료기간과 토양보전농법의 시행기간을 고려하여 선정되었으며, 보정된 모형의 적용성은 복수의 통계치 (NSE, RE, RSR 등)를 이용하여 분석되었다. 보정된 모형은 유역의 출구에서 하천유량과 총질소량을 각각 NSE 0.93 및 0.59의 정확도로 모의하였다. 그러나 유사 (NSE: 0.40)와 총인량 (NSE: 0.45)모의에서는 상대적으로 낮은 정확도를 보였다. SWAT의 QUAL2E 모듈을 이용하여 하천에서의 유사 및 영양물질 운송과정을 고려하는 것은 총인과 총질소 모의결과의 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 다단계 수문과정을 고려하여 보정된 SWAT모형은 유역 내부에서 발생하는 수문과정을 모의하는데 적용성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만, 계측방법 및 계측된 자료의 분석방법의 변화에 따른 오차와 토지이용의 시공간적 변화를 모의에서 고려하지 못해서 발생한 오차를 감안하더라도, 보정된 모형은 유역출구에서 관측되는 유사와 영양물질 양을 정확하게 모의하는데 실패 (NSE < 0.5)하였다고 평가할 수 있으며, 이는 SWAT 모형의 보정에서 다단계 또는 유역내부의 수문과정을 고려하는 것이 유역출구에서 높은 모의 정확도를 얻는데 기여하지 못할 수도 있음을 보여주었다.

Outbreaks of Yuzu Dieback in Goheung Area: Possible Causes Deduced from Weather Extremes

  • Kim, Kwang-Hyung;Kim, Gyoung Hee;Son, Kyeong In;Koh, Young Jin
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.290-298
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    • 2015
  • Starting in 2012, severe diebacks usually accompanied by abundant gum exudation have occurred on yuzu trees in Goheung-gun, Jeonnam Province, where severely affected trees were occasionally killed. On-farm surveys were conducted at 30 randomly-selected orchards located at Pungyang-myeon, Goheung-gun, and the resulting disease incidences were 18.5% and 39.6% for dieback and gumming symptoms, respectively. Black spots on branches and leaves also appeared on infected trees showing a typical dieback symptom. Morphological and molecular identifications of the isolated fungal organisms from lesions on the symptomatic leaves and branches revealed that they are identical to Phomopsis citri, known to cause gummosis. In order to find the reason for this sudden epidemic, we investigated the weather conditions that are exclusively distinct from previous years, hypothesizing that certain weather extremes might have caused the severe induction of pre-existing disease for yuzu. There were two extreme temperature drops beyond the yuzu's cold hardiness limit right after an abnormally-warm-temperature-rise during the winter of 2011-12, which could cause severe frost damage resulting in mechanical injuries and physiological weakness to the affected trees. Furthermore, there was an increased frequency of strong wind events, seven times in 2012 compared to only a few times in the previous years, that could also lead to extensive injuries on branches. In conclusion, we estimated that the possible damages by severe frost and frequent strong wind events during 2012 could cause the yuzu trees to be vulnerable to subsequent fungal infection by providing physical entries and increasing plant susceptibility to infections.

Simulation and analysis of urban inundation using the integrated 1D-2D urban flood model (1D-2D 통합 도시 침수 해석 모형을 이용한 침수 원인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seungsoo;Noh, Seong Jin;Jang, Cheolhee;Rhee, Dong Sop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.263-275
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    • 2017
  • Integrated numerical approaches with physically-based conceptualization are required for accurate urban inundation simulation. In this study, we described, applied and analyzed an integrated 1-dimensional (1D) sewerage system and 2-dimensional (2D) surface flow model, which was suggested by Lee et al. (2015). This model was developed based on dual-drainage concept, and uses storm drains as an discharge exchange spot rather than manholes so that interaction phenomena between surface flow and sewer pipe flow are physically reproduced. In addition, the building block concept which prevents inflows from outside structures is applied in order to consider building effects. The capability of the model is demonstrated via reproducing the past flooding event at the Sadang-cheon River catchment, Seoul, South Korea. The results show the plausible causes of the inundation could be analysed in detail by integrated 1D-2D modeling.

Preference of undergraduate students after first experience on nickel-titanium endodontic instruments

  • Kwak, Sang Won;Cheung, Gary Shun-Pan;Ha, Jung-Hong;Kim, Sung Kyo;Lee, Hyojin;Kim, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: This study aimed to compare two nickel-titanium systems (rotary vs. reciprocating) for their acceptance by undergraduate students who experienced nickel-titanium (NiTi) instruments for the first time. Materials and Methods: Eighty-one sophomore dental students were first taught on manual root canal preparation with stainless-steel files. After that, they were instructed on the use of ProTaper Universal system (PTU, Dentsply Maillefer), then the WaveOne (WO, Dentsply Maillefer). They practiced with each system on 2 extracted molars, before using those files to shape the buccal or mesial canals of additional first molars. A questionnaire was completed after using each file system, seeking students' perception about 'Ease of use', 'Flexibility', 'Cutting-efficiency', 'Screwing-effect', 'Feeling-safety', and 'Instrumentation-time' of the NiTi files, relative to stainless-steel instrumentation, on a 5-point Likert-type scale. They were also requested to indicate their preference between the two systems. Data was compared between groups using t-test, and with Chi-square test for correlation of each perception value with the preferred choice (p = 0.05). Results: Among the 81 students, 55 indicated their preferred file system as WO and 22 as PTU. All scores were greater than 4 (better) for both systems, compared with stainless-steel files, except for 'Screwing-effect' for PTU. The scores for WO in the categories of 'Flexibility', 'Screwing-effect', and 'Feeling-safety' were significantly higher scores than those of PTU. A significant association between the 'Screwing-effect' and students' preference for WO was observed. Conclusions: Novice operators preferred nickel-titanium instruments to stainless-steel, and majority of them opted for reciprocating file instead of continuous rotating system.

Generation of radar rainfall data for hydrological and meteorological application (II) : radar rainfall ensemble (수문기상학적 활용을 위한 레이더 강우자료 생산(II) : 레이더 강우앙상블)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Jang, Sang-Min;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • A recent increase in extreme weather events and flash floods associated with the enhanced climate variability results in an increase in climate-related disasters. For these reasons, various studies based on a high resolution weather radar system have been carried out. The weather radar can provide estimates of precipitation in real-time over a wide area, while ground-based rain gauges only provides a point estimate in space. Weather radar is thus capable of identifying changes in rainfall structure as it moves through an ungauged basin. However, the advantage of the weather radar rainfall estimates has been limited by a variety of sources of uncertainty in the radar reflectivity process, including systematic and random errors. In this study, we developed an ensemble radar rainfall estimation scheme using the multivariate copula method. The results presented in this study confirmed that the proposed ensemble technique can effectively reproduce the rainfall statistics such as mean, variance and skewness (more importantly the extremes) as well as the spatio-temporal structure of rainfall fields.

Generation of radar rainfall data for hydrological and meteorological application (I) : bias correction and estimation of error distribution (수문기상학적 활용을 위한 레이더 강우자료 생산(I) : 편의보정 및 오차분포 산정)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Jang, Sang-Min;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2017
  • Information on radar rainfall with high spatio-temporal resolution over large areas has been used to mitigate climate-related disasters such as flash floods. On the other hand, a well-known problem associated with the radar rainfall using the Marshall-Palmer relationship is the underestimation. In this study, we develop a new bias correction scheme based on the quantile regression method. This study employed a bivariate copula function method for the joint simulation between radar and ground gauge rainfall data to better characterize the error distribution. The proposed quantile regression based bias corrected rainfall showed a good agreement with that of observed. Moreover, the results of our case studies suggest that the copula function approach was useful to functionalize the error distribution of radar rainfall in an effective way.

Smart Plant Disease Management Using Agrometeorological Big Data (농업기상 빅데이터를 활용한 스마트 식물병 관리)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hyung;Lee, Junhyuk
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2020
  • Climate change, increased extreme weather and climate events, and rapidly changing socio-economic environment threaten agriculture and thus food security of our society. Therefore, it is urgent to shift from conventional farming to smart agriculture using big data and artificial intelligence to secure sustainable growth. In order to efficiently manage plant diseases through smart agriculture, agricultural big data that can be utilized with various advanced technologies must be secured first. In this review, we will first learn about agrometeorological big data consisted of meteorological, environmental, and agricultural data that the plant pathology communities can contribute for smart plant disease management. We will then present each sequential components of the smart plant disease management, which are prediction, monitoring and diagnosis, control, prevention and risk management of plant diseases. This review will give us an appraisal of where we are at the moment, what has been prepared so far, what is lacking, and how to move forward for the preparation of smart plant disease management.

발명하는 사람들-제51호

  • Han, Mi-Yeong
    • The Inventors News
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    • no.51
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2006
  • 함께 즐기는 '여성 발명인 축제'열린다/이 가을을 여성 발명의 계절로/빠진 영구치, 임플란트 기술로 대신한다/국내 의약품 특허출원 외국 기업이 주도/웰빙 붐 타고 기능성 베개 출원 늘어나/토양오염 복원기술, 관심 높아져/기업 CI교체 따른 상표출원 급증/여성경제단체, 오세훈 서울 시장 초청 간담회 가져/'2006대한민국 발명특허대전' 개최/특허청, 중소기업 특허경영 지원단 발족/한국특허문헌, WIPO로 전세계 서비스 실시/APEC 여성지도자네트워크 회의 개최/'2006 특허기술 사업화 성공사례발표회'/세계최초 신개념 CTF기술 상용화/특허청, 제4회 발명 장학생 선발/김치, 러시아 모스크바에 진출한다/고속 주행 틸팅열차 특허로 인정/현직 공무원, 다양한 발명품으로 특허와 되다/자신만의 'TV채널' 선택 가능하다/전지산업, 이온성 액체 관련 특허로 안전하게/명확한 의견 제출로 효율적인 심판 진행/치매예방물질 2배인 김치 개발됐다/한국과학기술연구원 논문 특허심의제도 도입/'한국 오시면 KISS로 맞이합니다'/삼성전자, 중국 특허 마쓰시타 아성 깨다/싱가포르 수출 인큐베이터로 중소기업 해외시장 공략/특허청, 영남대와 지식재산역량 강화 위한 약정 체결/깎는 횟수 줄인 잔디, 세계최초 개발/순창군, 웰빙 고추장 특허출원/역사 속의 발명품/하루 10분 발명교실/특허Q&A/케이제이알텍(주)문승자 대표/한.일 변리사회 업무협정체결 25주년 기념식 개최/중소기업청, 하반기 18조원 신용보증 공급 계획/'2006 대만 국제발명품 전시회'서 한국 참가자 수상/'불났을 때' 긴급 대피 요령은?/아이디어 착상 및 발명 기법/창의성과 도전정신이 성공한 사업가 만든다/사탕을 탄생시킨 사람들/'휴대폰 특허료 1.3억불 내라' 중재 결정/'신발깔창 휴대폰 충전기'/휴대폰으로 광고 받고 무료 문자 이용 가능/아파트 저작권.특허 열풍 거세게 불어/'골다공증 예방 요구르트' 나왔다/갈증 느끼지 않아도 '물' 자주 마셔라/10월 '지재권 및 여성발명 창의교실' 개최안내/한국여성발명협회 회원사 발명품 가이드/함씨네토종콩종합식품, 특선 수상/

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