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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Waimea Plains, New Zealand Case Example

  • Zemansky, Gil;Hong, Yoon-Seeok Timothy;Rose, Jennifer;Song, Sung-Ho;Thomas, Joseph
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.18-18
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    • 2011
  • Climate change is impacting and will increasingly impact both the quantity and quality of the world's water resources in a variety of ways. In some areas warming climate results in increased rainfall, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge while in others there may be declines in all of these. Water quality is described by a number of variables. Some are directly impacted by climate change. Temperature is an obvious example. Notably, increased atmospheric concentrations of $CO_2$ triggering climate change increase the $CO_2$ dissolving into water. This has manifold consequences including decreased pH and increased alkalinity, with resultant increases in dissolved concentrations of the minerals in geologic materials contacted by such water. Climate change is also expected to increase the number and intensity of extreme climate events, with related hydrologic changes. A simple framework has been developed in New Zealand for assessing and predicting climate change impacts on water resources. Assessment is largely based on trend analysis of historic data using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method. Trend analysis requires long-term, regular monitoring data for both climate and hydrologic variables. Data quality is of primary importance and data gaps must be avoided. Quantitative prediction of climate change impacts on the quantity of water resources can be accomplished by computer modelling. This requires the serial coupling of various models. For example, regional downscaling of results from a world-wide general circulation model (GCM) can be used to forecast temperatures and precipitation for various emissions scenarios in specific catchments. Mechanistic or artificial intelligence modelling can then be used with these inputs to simulate climate change impacts over time, such as changes in streamflow, groundwater-surface water interactions, and changes in groundwater levels. The Waimea Plains catchment in New Zealand was selected for a test application of these assessment and prediction methods. This catchment is predicted to undergo relatively minor impacts due to climate change. All available climate and hydrologic databases were obtained and analyzed. These included climate (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and sunshine hours, evapotranspiration, humidity, and cloud cover) and hydrologic (streamflow and quality and groundwater levels and quality) records. Results varied but there were indications of atmospheric temperature increasing, rainfall decreasing, streamflow decreasing, and groundwater level decreasing trends. Artificial intelligence modelling was applied to predict water usage, rainfall recharge of groundwater, and upstream flow for two regionally downscaled climate change scenarios (A1B and A2). The AI methods used were multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with extended Kalman filtering (EKF), genetic programming (GP), and a dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modelling system (DNFLMS), respectively. These were then used as inputs to a mechanistic groundwater flow-surface water interaction model (MODFLOW). A DNFLMS was also used to simulate downstream flow and groundwater levels for comparison with MODFLOW outputs. MODFLOW and DNFLMS outputs were consistent. They indicated declines in streamflow on the order of 21 to 23% for MODFLOW and DNFLMS (A1B scenario), respectively, and 27% in both cases for the A2 scenario under severe drought conditions by 2058-2059, with little if any change in groundwater levels.

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인공지능 분야 국방 미래 신기술 예측에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Prediction of Future New Defense Technologies in Artificial Intelligence)

  • 안진우;노상우;김태환
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.458-465
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    • 2020
  • 인공지능의 기술적 진보는 통신·물류·보안·의료 등 다양한 산업분야에 영향을 미치고 있으며, 경제성·효율화·상용기술과의 연계방안과 관련된 연구개발이 중점적으로 이루어지고 있다. 국방 분야에서도 다차원 동시 통합전, 유·무인 복합전, 국지성 비대칭전 등 전쟁수행 개념이 발전함에 따라 전장인식·지휘통제·전력운용·의사결정 지원 등의 분야에 인공지능 역량을 적용하기 위한 개념설계와 실적용을 위한 과제 기획을 지속 추진 중이다. 전략적 관점에서 미래 전장 환경 및 전쟁 수행 방식의 변화를 예측하고, 선도적 대응을 위해 군사력 발전 방향을 설계·기획하는 것은 포괄적 미래 위협에 대비하기 위한 기본요소일 뿐만 아니라, 한정된 예산/시간 대비 최적의 효율을 도출할 수 있다는 점에서 필수불가결한 요소이다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구는 국방 분야의 활용 가능성이 높은 잠재력 있는 미래기술을 발굴하고 연구개발에 적용하기 위한 기술주도형 기획의 일환으로 수행되었다. 본 연구에서는 국방 미래기술 조사를 위해 수행되었던 연구 자료를 바탕으로 기존 국방 연구과제들과의 중복성, 기술의 실현가능성 등을 고려하여 후속 연구가 필요한 미래 신기술을 예측하였다. 또한 선정된 인공지능 분야 국방 미래 신기술과 평가지표 간 유의미성을 확인하기 위해 실증연구를 수행하였다.

체질량지수에 따른 여대생의 식이섭취 실태와 혈액성상에 관한 연구 (Food Intake and Clinical Blood Indices of Female College Students by Body Mass Index)

  • 김옥현;김정희
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2006
  • This study was conducted to investigate the relationships among body composition, dietary intake, and clinical blood indices in college students by body mass index (BMI). Their body compositions were determined by means of BIA (Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis) method. Their dietary intake was determined using a 3-day record method and their hematological indices were determined by semi-automated microcell counter (Sysmex F-520). Their serum lipid levels were measured using biochemical analyzer (Spotchem). Subjects were classified as underweight, normal or over-weight groups according to their BMI. The subjects were 69 healthy college students aged 20 to 26 years. The average age, height, weight, and BMI was 21.3 years, 162.6 cm, 54.4 kg, and $20.6cm/m^2$, respectively. Their average consumption of energy was 1693 kcal, 84.7% of RDA and their mean ratio of carbohydrate: protein: fat were 54.5 : 16.4 : 29.0. There was no significant difference in nutrient intake among the groups except ${\beta}$-carotene and vitamin C. The ${\beta}$-carotene intake was significantly higher in the underweight group. Vitamin C intake was significantly higher in the overweight group. The mean intakes of Ca, Fe, Zn and folate of subjects were 74.8% to 83.2% of RDA. Especially, intakes of Ca, Fe, Zn and folate were lower in the abnormal weight groups. The overall mean values of the hematological indices in female college students were within the normal range and there was no significant difference among the groups. However, anemic subjects with hemoglobin (< 12 g/dl) and hematocrit (< 36 g/dl) accounted for about 11% of the subjects. The everall mean values of the serum lipid levels were within the normal range and there was no significant difference among the groups. But serum HDL-cholesterol level of the overweight group was lower than that of the other groups. LDL-/HDL-cholesterol ratio and AI index were significantly higher in the overweight group compared to the other groups. Based upon this study, it is necessary for college women to be educated regarding consuming more Ca, Fe, Zn, folate and less fat and cholesterol in order to have better health promotion.

주민참여형 마을녹화사업의 사회적 자본 형성 모형 - 서울시 생활권녹화사업을 대상으로 - (Social Capital Formation Model in the Resident Participation Greening Projects - For the Greening Project of the Living Area in Seoul -)

  • 이애란;조세환
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2018
  • 급격한 도시화로 인한 사회, 경제 그리고 환경적 문제들이 최근 다양한 시민 참여형사업으로 극복되고 있다. 이는 도시재생에서 마을 사업에 이르기까지 현장중심의 협력적 운영체계를 통한 지역 거버넌스와 주민주도의 파트너십이 성공 요소로 여겨지고 있다. 이 중 거주민에게 직접적으로 영향을 주고 자발성이 필요한 마을녹화사업은 공적 공간과 사적 공간의 공유로 인해 다양한 참여주체들의 역할과 협력이 요구된다. 사회적 자본은 신뢰와 참여, 네트워크와 규범 등을 중심으로 한 관계자본으로 위 사업의 지속가능성과 참여의 활성화에 핵심역할을 담당함에 따라 이에 대한 실증적 연구가 요구되는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 도시의 녹지 체계를 생활권까지 확대하는 참여형 녹화사업에 있어 사회적 자본의 형성 모형을 구축하기 위한 기초연구를 수행하였다. 참여의 주체 유형과 사업 진행의 구성요소, 사회자본 형성의 분석 요소를 문헌조사와 참여 전문가 심층인터뷰를 통해 추출하고 검증하였다. 이는 추후 도시의 참여형 생활권녹화확산에 지속가능성과 활성화전략을 실증적으로 분석하기 위한 사회적 자본 형성 모형의 기초자료를 마련하기 위함이다.

제주지역에서 분리한 감자 줄기검은병균의 유전적 특성 (Genetic Characterization of Potato Blackleg Strains from Jeju Island)

  • 서상태;이승돈;이중섭;한경숙;장한익;임춘근
    • 식물병연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.140-145
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    • 2005
  • 제주지역의 감자 줄기검은병징으로부터 분리한 12균주의 유전적 특성을 분석하기 위해 Eca-specific PCR, PCR-RFLP, ERIC-PCR을 실시하여 그 결과를 E. carotovora대조균들과 비교하였다. Eca-specific PCR 결과 Eca 대조균들은 특이적 밴드를 형성한 반면, 줄기검은병균은 특이적 밴드를 형성하지 않았다. 또한, pel유전자의 RFLP분석 결과 줄기검은병균은 pattern 2를 나타내었으나, Eca 균주는 pattern 3을 나타내어 Eca와는 다른 특성을 보여주었다. 16S rDNA의 RFLP분석결과 이번 실험에 이용된 대부분의 균주가 pattern 1을 나타냈지만, 12개의 줄기검은병균 중 11개의 균이 pattern 2을 나타내어 Ecc와도 다른 특성을 보여주었다. 제주지역의 무름병징과 줄기검은병징을 나타내는 균주들의 유전적 관계를 분석하기 위해 ERIC-PCR을 실시한 결과 줄기검은병균들은 특이적 밴드를 형성하였으며, 서로 높은 유연관계를 보여주었다. 따라서 제주지역의 줄기검은병징으로부터 분리한 균주들은 Eca, Ecc균들과는 다른 특성을 가지고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

유류오염지역에서 분리한 Acinetobacter sp. B2로부터의 Lipase 정제 및 특성 (Purification and Characterization of Lipase from Acinetobacter sp. B2 Isolated from Oil­contaminated Soil)

  • 손성화;박경량
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.320-327
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    • 2004
  • 대전 근교의 유류로 오염된 토양으로부터 유류를 분해하는332개의 세균 콜로니를 분리한 후 이 중 lipase 활성이 우수한 한 균주를 최종 선별하여 생리생화학적 조사와 16S rRNA 염기서열분석 등을 통하여 동정한 결과 Acinetobactor sp. B2로 확인되었다. 최종 선별된 Acinetobactor sp. B2는 trehalose, mannitol을 제외한 다양한 당을 이용하였고, kanamycin, streptomycin, tetracycline, spectinomycin의 항생제에 대해서 약한 내성을, 그리고 Ba, Li, Mn, Al, Cr, Pb 등의 중금속에 대해서는 mg/ml 단위까지 강한 내성을 나타냈고 생장 최적 온도는 $30^{\circ}C$로 확인되었다. Acinetobactor sp. B2에서 정제된 lipase의 분자량은60 kDa이었고, 이 효소의 최적 온도와 PH는 각각 $40^{\circ}C$와 pH 10이었다. 그리고p-nitrophenyl palmitate (pNPP)를 가수분해하는데 필요한 활성에너지는 $4-37{\circ}C$의 범위에서 2.7 kcal/mol 이었고, $60^{\circ}C$ 이상의 온도에서는 불안정한 효소임이 확인되었다. 또 pNPP에 대한 이 효소의 Michaelis constant (Km)와 최대속도상수 $(V_{max})$값은 각각 21.8 ${\mu}M$$270.3\;{\mu}M\;min^{-1}mg^{-1}$ 이었고, 이 효소는 $Cd^{2+},\;Co^{2+},\;Fe^{2+},\;Hg^{2+},$ EDTA, 2-mercaptoethanol에 의해 강하게 억제되었다.

한국 중년성인의 고혈압과 영양환경요인의 관련성 - 1998년과 2001년 국민건강.영양조사 결과에 근거하여 - (Nutritional Environment Influences Hypertension in the Middle-aged Korean Adults - based on 1998 & 2001 National Health and Nutrition Survey -)

  • 이해정;이행신;이윤나;장영애;문재진;김초일
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.272-283
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    • 2007
  • This study was performed to delineate the relationship between lifestyle and nutritional risk factors associated with hypertension in representative middle-aged Korean population. Hypertension in this study is defined as hypertensive ($SBP{\geq}140mmHg\;or\;DBP{\geq}90mmHg$) adults without recognition of a disease state before a health exam. With data from the 1998 and 2001 National Health and Nutritional Survey, nutrient intakes of 6,112 adults, 40-64 years of age were calculated using food composition database and matched with health examination records by individual ID. After excluding those with extreme intake values, the number of final subjects included in the analysis was 5,200 (male 2,458, female 2,742). Using logistic regression method, socio-demographic data, lifestyle factors, and nutrient intakes were analyzed. Risky factors for hypertension revealed in this study were age, sex, BMI over 23, waist circumference, alcohol intake of more than 16g (male) or 8g (female). Regarding nutrient intakes, the intakes of highest quartile for energy (${\geq}2363.0kcal$) and protein (${\geq}90.2g$) were significantly associated with higher risk of hypertension after adjusting for age, sex, and other socio-demographic factors (OR=1.312(1.046-1.711), OR=1.488(1.194-1.854), respectively)). Although high intakes of sodium (${\geq}6604.0mg$) and phosphorus seemed to be risk factors of hypertension also before energy adjustment (OR=1.278(1.034-1.581), OR=1.280(1.024-1.600), respectively), only high intakes of energy and protein remained significant after adjustment. This study revealed that modifying risky lifestyles and dietary patterns, especially high energy intake, high protein intake, and high alcohol drinking, in middle-aged Korean adults could result in a prevalence decrease and/or prevention of hypertension.

AI-Li계 합금의 초소성에 관한 연구 (Study on the Superplasticity in Al-Li Alloy Systems)

  • 진영철;국진선;김양수;홍은성;이민상;이민호;유창영
    • 열처리공학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 1992
  • The effects of alloying elements on the superplastic properties of Al-Li based alloys had been investigated. The intermediate thermo-mechanical treated (ITMT) Al-2.0wt%Li, Al-2.0wt%Li-1.0wt%Mg, Al-2.0wt%Li-0.12wt%Zr and Al-2.0wt%Li-1.2wt%Cu-1.0wt%Mg-0.12wt%Zr alloys were tested in tension at various temperature (400, 450, 500 and $550^{\circ}C$) and strain rate($6.7{\times}10^{-3}$, $1.0{\times}10^{-2}$, $1.6{\times}10^{-2}$ and $5.0{\times}10^{-2}/sec$). The results were as follows : The superplasticity in binary, ternary and pentanary alloys appeared at 500 to $550^{\circ}C$, and good strain rate for superplasticity. $1.6{\times}10^{-2}/sec{\sim}1.0{\times}10^{-2}/sec$ for a binary alloy and $1.0{\times}10^{-2}/sec{\sim}6.7{\times}10^{-3}/sec$ for ternary and pentanary alloys. A Zr-added ternary alloy had best value of elongation (730%) in four alloys at $550^{\circ}C$ of tension temperature and $1.0{\times}10^{-2}/sec$ of strain rate. The strain rate was greatly dependent on tension temperature and true strain rate was more than 1.0 at all test temperature and strain rate. In binary and Mg-added teranry alloys. the necks were slightly formed and their fracture surface had lips shape, but Zr-added ternary and pentanary alloy fractured along the grain boundary without necking. Their dislocations moved to grain boundary during superplasticity deformation and arranged perpendicular to grain boundary. Super plastic deformation was made by grain boundary slip of dislocation slip creep and model of core and mantle.

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저온 및 고전류밀도 조건에서 전기도금된 구리 박막 간의 열-압착 직접 접합 (Thermal Compression of Copper-to-Copper Direct Bonding by Copper films Electrodeposited at Low Temperature and High Current Density)

  • 이채린;이진현;박기문;유봉영
    • 한국표면공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국표면공학회 2018년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.102-102
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    • 2018
  • Electronic industry had required the finer size and the higher performance of the device. Therefore, 3-D die stacking technology such as TSV (through silicon via) and micro-bump had been used. Moreover, by the development of the 3-D die stacking technology, 3-D structure such as chip to chip (c2c) and chip to wafer (c2w) had become practicable. These technologies led to the appearance of HBM (high bandwidth memory). HBM was type of the memory, which is composed of several stacked layers of the memory chips. Each memory chips were connected by TSV and micro-bump. Thus, HBM had lower RC delay and higher performance of data processing than the conventional memory. Moreover, due to the development of the IT industry such as, AI (artificial intelligence), IOT (internet of things), and VR (virtual reality), the lower pitch size and the higher density were required to micro-electronics. Particularly, to obtain the fine pitch, some of the method such as copper pillar, nickel diffusion barrier, and tin-silver or tin-silver-copper based bump had been utillized. TCB (thermal compression bonding) and reflow process (thermal aging) were conventional method to bond between tin-silver or tin-silver-copper caps in the temperature range of 200 to 300 degrees. However, because of tin overflow which caused by higher operating temperature than melting point of Tin ($232^{\circ}C$), there would be the danger of bump bridge failure in fine-pitch bonding. Furthermore, regulating the phase of IMC (intermetallic compound) which was located between nickel diffusion barrier and bump, had a lot of problems. For example, an excess of kirkendall void which provides site of brittle fracture occurs at IMC layer after reflow process. The essential solution to reduce the difficulty of bump bonding process is copper to copper direct bonding below $300^{\circ}C$. In this study, in order to improve the problem of bump bonding process, copper to copper direct bonding was performed below $300^{\circ}C$. The driving force of bonding was the self-annealing properties of electrodeposited Cu with high defect density. The self-annealing property originated in high defect density and non-equilibrium grain boundaries at the triple junction. The electrodeposited Cu at high current density and low bath temperature was fabricated by electroplating on copper deposited silicon wafer. The copper-copper bonding experiments was conducted using thermal pressing machine. The condition of investigation such as thermal parameter and pressure parameter were varied to acquire proper bonded specimens. The bonded interface was characterized by SEM (scanning electron microscope) and OM (optical microscope). The density of grain boundary and defects were examined by TEM (transmission electron microscopy).

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건설사업 관리에 있어서 설계이전단계의 인력투입 적정성 분석 (An Analysis on the Propriety of Labor Input at Design Stage in Construction Management)

  • 안양환;김영애;김용수
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2009
  • 건설사업관리 업무를 수행하는데 있어 설계이전단계인 사업기획단계, 기본설계 및 실시설계단계가 시공단계보다 중요한 비중을 차지하고 있다. 그러나 건설기술관리법상 건설사업관리 대가 기준으로 본 인력투입기준은 설계이전단계의 중요성을 고려하지 않고 있는 실정이다. 이러한 현실적 상황에 따라 본 연구에서는 건설사업관리 업무의 설계이전단계 인력투입 적정성을 분석하여 개선방안을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 건기법의 용역대가기준과 건설사업관리 용역 4곳의 현장을 비교 분석 하였다. 연구결과 사업수행에 있어 개선된 인력투입의 적정성 분석은 다음과 같이 나타났다. 1)실제 건설사업관리 용역의 단계별 대가평균기준의 인력투입현황을 사업기획단계 신설(6.6%), 기본설계단계(3.9%$\rightarrow$5.6%), 실시설계단계(7.6%$\rightarrow$13.5%), 시공단계(88.5%$\rightarrow$64.0%), 유지관리단계 신설(10.3%)로 제안하였다. 제안된 대가평균기준을 총공사비 기준으로 분류하여 개선후의 요율과 단계별로 산정하여 제시하였다. 2) 건설기술관리법 기준인 3단계기준을 사업기획단계, 유지관리단계를 포함하여 단계별 업무를 구분하여 5단계로 제시하였다. 이와 같은 결과는 건설사업관리 용역현장의 대가 표준 산정이 현실적이고 탄력적으로 운용되고 단계별 인력투입에 대한 제도개선이 현실적으로 이루어져야하는 것으로 볼 수 있다.