• 제목/요약/키워드: A1B scenario

검색결과 193건 처리시간 0.029초

Contaminant transport through porous media: An overview of experimental and numerical studies

  • Patil, S.B.;Chore, H.S.
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.45-69
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    • 2014
  • The groundwater has been a major source of water supply throughout the ages. Around 50% of the rural as well as urban population in the developing countries like India depends on groundwater for drinking. The groundwater is also an important source in the agriculture and industrial sector. In many parts of the world, groundwater resources are under increasing threat from growing demands, wasteful use and contamination. A good planning and management practices are needed to face this challenge. A key to the management of groundwater is the ability to model the movement of fluids and contaminants in the subsurface environment. It is obvious that the contaminant source activities cannot be completely eliminated and perhaps our water bodies will continue to serve as receptors of vast quantities of waste. In such a scenario, the goal of water quality protection efforts must necessarily be the control and management of these sources to ensure that released pollutants will be sufficiently attenuated within the region of interest and the quality of water at points of withdrawal is not impaired. In order to understand the behaviour of contaminant transport through different types of media, several researchers are carrying out experimental investigations through laboratory and field studies. Many of them are working on the analytical and numerical studies to simulate the movement of contaminants in soil and groundwater of the contaminant transport. With the advent of high power computers especially, a numerical modelling has gained popularity and is indeed of particular relevance in this regard. This paper provides the state of the art of contaminant transport and reviews the allied research works carried out through experimental investigation or using the analytical solution and numerical method. The review involves the investigation in respect of both, saturated and unsaturated, porous media.

기후변화로 인한 신지도 근해 해양먹이망 변동예측 (Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Sinjido Marine Food Web)

  • 강윤호;주세종;박영규
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2012
  • The food web dynamics in a coastal ecosystem of Korea were predicted with Ecosim, a trophic flow model, under various scenarios of primary productivity due to ocean warming and ocean acidification. Changes in primary productivity were obtained from an earth system model 2.1 under A1B scenario of IPCC $CO_2$ emission and replaced for forcing functions on the phytoplankton group during the period between 2020 and 2100. Impacts of ocean acidification on species were represented in the model for gastropoda, bivalvia, echinodermata, crustacean and cephalopoda groups with effect sizes of conservative, medium and large. The model results show that the total biomass of invertebrate and fish groups decreases 5%, 11~28% and 14~27%, respectively, depending on primary productivity, ocean acidification and combined effects. In particular, the blenny group shows zero biomass at 2080. The zooplankton group shows a sudden increase at the same time, and finally reaches twice the baseline at 2100. On the other hand, the ecosystem attributes of the mean trophic level of the ecosystem, Shannon's H and Kempton's Q indexes show a similar reduction pattern to biomass change, indicating that total biomass, biodiversity and evenness shrink dynamically by impacts of climate change. It is expected from the model results that, after obtaining more information on climate change impacts on the species level, this study will be helpful for further investigation of the food web dynamics in the open seas around Korea.

주문생산 방식의 생산계획 수립을 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 설계 : 판유리 제조 공정을 중심으로 (Simulation Modeling for Production Scheduling under Make-To-Order Production Environment : Focusing on the Flat Glass Production Environment)

  • 최용희;황승준
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.64-73
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    • 2019
  • The manufacturing companies under Make-To-Order (MTO) production environment face highly variable requirements of the customers. It makes them difficult to establish preemptive production strategy through inventory management and demand forecasting. Therefore, the ability to establish an optimal production schedule that incorporates the various requirements of the customers is emphasized as the key success factor. In this study, we suggest a process of designing the simulation model for establishing production schedule and apply this model to the case of a flat glass processing company. The flat glass manufacturing industry is under MTO production environment. Academic research of flat glass industry is focused on minimizing the waste in the cutting process. In addition, in the practical view, the flat glass manufacturing companies tend to establish the production schedule based on the intuition of production manager and it results in failure of meeting the due date. Based on these findings, the case study aims to present the process of drawing up a production schedule through simulation modeling. The actual data of Korean flat glass processing company were used to make a monthly production schedule. To do this, five scenarios based on dispatching rules are considered and each scenario is evaluated by three key performance indicators for delivery compliance. We used B2MML (Business To Manufacturing Markup Language) schema for integrating manufacturing systems and simulations are carried out by using SIMIO simulation software. The results provide the basis for determining a suitable production schedule from the production manager's perspective.

과학위성 1호 탑재체 원자회선분광기 전천탐사 노출시간 분석 (EXPOSURE TIME ANALYSIS FOR FAR-ULTRAVIOLET IMAGING SPECTROGRAPH ALL-SKY SURVEY MISSION)

  • 박장현;선광일;유광선;육인수;진호;이대희;오승한;선종호;남욱원;한원용;이우백;민경욱
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.209-218
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    • 2001
  • 과학위성 1호의 주 과학임무중의 하나인 전천탐사를 통해 얻어지는 천구의 각 지역별 노출시간을 모의 계산하였다. 현재 계획된 위성운용 시나리오에 의하면 노출시간은 친구적도 지역에서 최소가 되고 극 지역으로 갈수록 증가한다. 한편, SAA (South Atlantic Anomaly)와 달에 의한 영향으로 천구 적도지역에서의 노출시간 추가 감소가 불가피하다. SAA에 의한 노출시간 감소는 SAA의 영향이 별로 없는 고층대기 관측과의 궤도교체 등 간단한 관측 스케줄링을 통해 SAA의 영향을 배제할 수 있다. 그러나 현재의 노출시간 분포는 성찬물질의 진화를 구체적으로 연구하기 위해서는 적절치 않다. 친구의 극 지역에 치중된 노출시간의 효율적 분배를 위해서는 능동적인 지역별 노출시간 분배가 필요하고, 따라서 현재보다 진보된 운용 시나리오 및 관측 스케줄링에 대한 추가 연구가 요구된다

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Red AGNs becoming normal AGNs

  • Kim, Dohyeong;Im, Myungshin;Glikman, E.;Woo, Jong-Hak;Urrutia, T.
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.57.2-57.2
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    • 2014
  • Red active galactic nuclei (AGNs) are supposed to be transitional objects becoming normal AGNs in the galaxy evolution scenario. So far, ~200 red AGNs have been found by very red color in optical through NIR wavelength (e.g., r'-K >5 and J-K>1.3; Urrutia et al. 2009). Here, we compare nuclear activities of the red AGNs to those of normal AGNs to verify the evolutionary phase of the red AGNs. In order to study the nuclear activities of the red AGNs, we use broad emission lines of $P{\beta}$ ($1.28{\mu}m$) of which flux is less suppressed by a factor of 100 than the $H{\beta}$ line in the case of the red AGNs with a color excess of E(B-V)=2 mag. We use 16 red AGNs discovered in previous red AGN surveys by using SDSS, 2MASS, and FIRST (Glikman et al. 2007; Urrutia et al. 2009) at z ~0.7 for which $P{\beta}$ lines are redshifted to the sky window at ${\sim}2.2{\mu}m$. The mean Eddington ratio of the 16 red AGNs is 0.562, and that of the normal AGNs is 0.320, which indicates the red AGNs include more active black hole (BH) than the normal AGNs. To test how significantly the nuclear activities of the red AGNs and the normal AGNs are different, we perform a two-dimensional Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (K-S test) on their Eddington ratio distributions. The K-S test shows the maximum deviation between the cumulative distributions, D, is 0.48, and the probability of null hypothesis, p, is even less than 0.001. This result is consistent with a picture of that the red AGNs are in intermediate phase between the stage of merger-driven starburst galaxy and the normal AGN.

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Time Slice 실험으로 모의한 동아시아 여름몬순의 변화 (Possible Changes of East Asian Summer Monsoon by Time Slice Experiment)

  • 문자연;김문현;최다희;부경온;권원태
    • 대기
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2008
  • The global time slice approach is a transient experiment using high resolution atmosphere-only model with boundary condition from the low resolution globally coupled ocean-atmosphere model. The present study employs this "time slice concept" using ECHAM4 atmosphere-only model at a horizontal resolution of T106 with the lower boundary forcing obtained from a lower-resolution (T42) greenhouse gas + aerosol forcing experiment performed using the ECHO-G/S (ECHAM4/HOPE-G) coupled model. In order to assess the impact of horizontal resolution on simulated East Asian summer monsoon climate, the differences in climate response between the time slice experiments of the present and that of IPCC SRES AR4 participating 21 models including coarser (T30) coupled model are compared. The higher resolution model from time slice experiment in the present climate show successful performance in simulating the northward migration and the location of the maximum rainfall during the rainy season over East Asia, although its rainfall amount was somewhat weak compared to the observation. Based on the present climate simulation, the possible change of East Asian summer monsoon rainfall in the future climate by the IPCC SRES A1B scenario, tends to be increased especially over the eastern part of Japan during July and September. The increase of the precipitation over this region seems to be related with the weakening of northwestern part of North Pacific High and the formation of anticyclonic flow over the south of Yangtze River in the future climate.

기후변화를 고려한 소규모 하수처리장 건설에 대한 영향 분석 (Impact Analysis of Construction of Small Wastewater Treatment Plant Under Climate Change)

  • 박경신;정은성;김상욱;이길성
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.268-278
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    • 2010
  • This study derived the effectiveness analysis results of construction of wastewater treatment plant under climate change scenarios. Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM3) was used and A1B and A2 of Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) were selected. Regional climate change data for this application were downscaled by using Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and the flow and BOD concentration durations were obtained by using Hydrological Simulation Program - Fortran (HSPF). The criteria for low flow and water quality were chosen as $Q_{99}$, $Q_{95}$, $Q_{90}$ and $C_{30}$, $C_{10}$, $C_1$. The numbers of days to satisfy the instreamflow requirements and target BOD concentration were also added to the criteria for comparison. As a results, small wastewater treatment plant improved the water cycle due to the increase of low flow and the decrease of BOD concentration. But climate change affected the reduction of effectiveness significantly. Especially in case of construction of small waste water treatment plant in the upstream region, it is necessary to take climate change impact into consideration since it is usually related to the low flow and the water quality of the stream.

Efficacy of two traditionally used potentized homeopathic medicines, Calcarea carbonica and Lycopodium clavatum, used for treating PCOS patients: I. Effects on certain important external guiding symptoms

  • Das, Debarsi;Das, Indira;Das, Jayeeta;Kayal, Saroj Kumar;Khuda-Bukhsh, Anisur Rahman
    • 셀메드
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.6.1-6.6
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    • 2016
  • Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome (PCOS) has now become more common in occurrence in women of reproductive age, particularly in urban and semi-urban population in India. So there is a need to investigate this phenomenon taking into consideration various aspects including possible treatment method to ameliorate/eradicate this syndrome, which has far reaching socio-economic impact and consequences, in view of infertility and irregular menstrual cycles frequently associated with this syndrome. Homeopathy is a branch of traditional alternative medicine which is gaining popularity in India and some other developing countries, as also in some of the developed countries in Europe. With this background scenario, we have made an attempt to treat cases of confirmed PCOS and tried to compare the relative efficacy of two potentized homeopathic drugs, namely, Lycopodium clavatum (Lyco) and Calcarea carbonica (Calc), most frequently used by homeopathic practitioners, selecting different potencies of the drugs, depending on condition/guiding symptom(s) of the patients. While the main focus was pointed on total/partial removal of cysts, data pertaining to different PCOS associated symptoms were also compared for the sake of learning if the two drugs had differential effects on these symptoms also. The study parameters in this investigation included: regularity/irregularity of menstrual cycle, presence/absence of acne, hirsutism, male type alopecia, acanthosis nigricans, body/mass index (BMI) and waist-hip ratio. Overall results provided clear evidences that both these homeopathic drugs had great ameliorating effects on PCOS, although each drug had a little different effect in respect of the individual parameters of this study.

연륜연대학적 접근을 이용한 Yasso 모델의 산림토양탄소 저장량 추정 (Estimation of Forest Soil Carbon Stocks with Yasso using a Dendrochronological Approach)

  • 이아름;노남진;윤태경;이수경;서경원;이우균;조용성;손요환
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제98권6호
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    • pp.791-798
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    • 2009
  • 전 지구적인 기후변화에 따라 산림 및 토양탄소의 역할은 탄소 저장고로서 매우 중요하며, 이들의 동태를 연구하기 위해서는 기존의 현장연구뿐만 아니라 적용 가능한 산림모델 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 산림토양탄 소모델인 Yasso의 주요 입력자료인 과거의 연간 낙엽량 자료를 연륜연대학적 자료구축과정을 통해 생산하고, 위 모델을 이용하여 광릉지역 천연소나무림(Pinus densiflora)의 토양탄소동태를 모의하였다. 연륜연대학적 자료구축과정을 통해 계산된 임분 내 낙엽(침엽, 가지, 줄기, 세근)의 생산량은 1971년부터 2006년까지 지속적으로 증가해왔다. 또한 2006년 낙엽 생산량(침엽, 가지)의 실측값과 추정값을 비교한 결과 유의적인 오차는 없었다. 모의된 30 cm 깊이까지의 토양탄소 저장량의 임분 전체평균은 $46.30{\pm}4.28tCha^{-1}$로 산림의 임목 내 탄소 저장량의 약 53%를 차지했으며, 실측값과 비교하여 유의한 차이 및 오차가 없었다. IPCC A1B 시나리오에 따른 한반도 기후변화추세를 반영한 이 지역의 모의된 토양탄소 추정량은 1971년부터 2041년까지 지속적으로 증가한 후 2100년까지 감소되는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화를 고려하지 않는 시나리오의 결과와 비교하면 2100년에 이르러 최고 7.58%까지 토양탄소량이 감소될 수 있다. 본 연륜연대학적 자료 구축방법과 Yasso 모델을 이용한 모의과정은 천연소나무림의 토양탄소동태를 추정하는데 유용한 것으로 판단되었다. 향후 더욱 신뢰성 있는 결과를 생산할 수 있도록 연륜연대학적 방법 및 Yasso 모델의 개선과 다양한 환경에서의 적용 및 타당성평가와 같은 후속연구가 필요한 것으로 사료된다.

GIS 기반 CA-Markov 기법을 이용한 토지피복 변화에 따른 미래 유출량 전망 분석 (Outlook Analysis of Future Discharge According to Land Cover Change Using CA-Markov Technique Based on GIS)

  • 박진혁;노선희;이근상
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 금강유역 내 용담댐 및 대청댐을 대상으로 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 미래 유출량 전망에 지배적인 인자로 작용하는 토지피복 변화에 따른 유출량 변화를 분석하였다. Landsat TM 위성영상을 이용하여 과거 1990년 및 1995년 토지피복 자료를 관측 자료로 사용하여 CA-Markov 연쇄기법에 의한 2000년 토지피복도를 모의하여 비교 검증을 한 후 향후 2050년과 2100년의 토지피복변화를 모의하였다. 이를 SWAT모형의 입력 자료로 이용하여 A1B 시나리오하에서 토지피복 변화 전 후의 유출량을 비교 분석 하였다. 금강유역에 대한 토지피복에 대한 경년별 추세 분석결과 산림과 논은 꾸준히 감소하고 주거지, 나지, 초지 등은 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 미래 토지피복의 변화를 고려한 유출 변화 분석결과, 토지피복의 변화를 고려한 유출량이 토지피복의 변화를 고려하지 않았을 때보다 전체적으로 1.83~2.87%로 소폭 증가하는 것으로 나타났다.