• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.479-485
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• 2017

This study estimated the non-use values of the Gum river estuary which are not related to the direct or indirect use of the Gum river estuary using the contingent valuation method (CVM). The non-use values of the Gum river estuary were explained and asked to be evaluated in the CVM questionnaire and estimates of the WTPs(willingness-to-pay) were elicited using the Turnbull nonparametric estimation methods on the dichotomous choice CV data. Results found the Turnbull lower bounded mean WTP per year for non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 5,822 won (95% C.I. 5,295 ~ 6,349 won) from single dichotomous CV data, and 6,205 won (95% C.I. 5,701 ~ 6,710 won) from double dichotomous CV data. The mean of two WTP estimates, 6,014 won (95% C.I. 5,498 ~ 6,529 won), was used to calculate the annual total non-use value of the Gum river estuary. Therefore, the non-use value of the Gum river estuary was estimated at 220.3 billion won (95% C.I. 201.4 - 239.2 billion won) annually. This non-use value of the Gum river estuary was composed of the bequest value totaling 68.3 billion won (95% C.I. 62.5 - 74.2 billion won), the existence value of 58.0 billion won (95% C.I. 53.0 - 63.0 billion won), the option value of 57.7 billion won (95% C.I. 52.7 - 62.6 billion won), and the vicarious consumption value totaling 36.3 billion won (95% C.I. 33.1 - 39.4 billion won).

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.702-717
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• 2009

This study estimates the willingness-to-pay(WTP) for conserving Sindu coastal sand dune and asset value of Sindu coastal sand dune by means of contingent valuation method. CV market scenario is designed to elicitate his/her WTP considering use value and nonuse value of Sindu coastal sand dune. The yearly WTP for Sindu coastal sand dune is 3,059 won(95% C.I. 2,591~3,612 won) in the case of a househodl, therefore amounts to 44 billion won(95% C.I. 37~52 billion won) for the whole nation. We estimate the asset value of Sindu coastal sand dune by 7.5% discount rate to be 587 billion won with 95% confidence interval of 497 to 693 billion won. The direct use value which has accounted for 13.4% is 79 billion won(95% C.I. 67~93 billion won), and the indirect use value which has accounted for 30.2% amounts to 177 billion won(95% C.I. 150~209 billion won), and the option value which has accounted for 19.4% is 114 billion won(95% C.I. 97~135 billion won), and the conservation value which has accounted for 37.0% amounts to 217 billion won(95% C.I. 184~256 billion won).

• Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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• v.51 no.6
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• pp.576-583
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• 2008

Purpose : The identification of specific behaviors conducive to overeating or inactivity is the cornerstone of obesity management. The Committee on Nutrition of the Korean Pediatric Society developed parent and self-reporting questionnaires about eating behavior and physical activity in 2006. The aim of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of the questionnaires in assessing modifiable lifestyle factors related to obesity. Methods : A retrospective chart review was performed for 177 children (6-11 years old) and 134 adolescents (12-16 years old) from 10 hospitals between May 2006 and January 2007 who had completed parent or self-reporting questionnaires. Cases were divided into normal and overweight groups at or above the age-gender-specific 85th percentile based on 2007 Korean national growth charts. Results : Compared to children, the adolescents tended to have a significantly more sedentary lifestvle and inappropriate dietary behaviors significantly (P<.05). Overweight mothers were significantly associated with overweight children and adolescents (P<.05). Being overweight was significantly associated with a family history of adult diseases for children and adolescents (P<.05). Inappropriate eating behaviors (strong appetite, eating fast, eating until they were full, binge eating, favoring greasy foods) were associated with being overweight in children and adolescents. Sedentary activity such as TV viewing and using a computer were significantly associated with overweight in children and adolescents (P<.05). Conclusion : Intervention to modify obesity-related lifestyle factors is needed before adolescence. These questionnaires are useful in identifying modifiable lifestyle factors and in individual counseling for overweight children and adolescents in pediatric clinics.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.219-224
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• 1998

통행시간가치에 대한 신뢰구간추정 방법론을 제시하고 서울시 출근통행자의 시간가치 신뢰구간의 추정을 통하여 그 적용사례를 예시하였다. 사례분석을 통하여 서울시 출근통행자의 평균시간가치는 시간당 7,341원으로 추정되었고, 95%신뢰구간의 하한치는 5,454(원/시간), 상한치는 10,806(원/시간)으로 추정되었다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.673-697
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• 2005

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the total damage cost (i.e., individual welfare loss) due to dust-sand storm (DSS) in Korea, using contingent valuation method. CV market scenario is designed to elicit individual WTP for reducing the currently 14 days of average DSS per year by 50 percent. Question about the shares of various types of damage costs are directly asked after the respondent answered about his or her WTP in CV questionnaire. The yearly damage cost due to DSS is 29,510 won(95% C.I. 24,565~35,452won) in the case of an individual, therefore amounts to 444.1 billion won(95% C.I. 407.3~481.0 billion won) for the whole nation. The cost of amenity reduction counted as 33.8% is 150.1 billion won(95% C.I. 137.7~162.6 billion won); the cost of increase in morbidity counted as 36.6% amounts to 162.5 billion won(95% C.I. 149.1~176.0 billion won); the cost of averting behaviors counted as 14.5% is 64.4 billion won(95% C.I. 59.1~69.7 billion won); and the cost of car wash, activity restriction and so on, which was counted as 15.1%, amounts to 67.1 billion won(95% C.I. 61.5~72.6 billion won).

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.199-207
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• 2000

Objectives : This study was peformed to identify the risk factors related to the development of hypertension in a rural area. Method : Total of 3,573 subjects in Chung-Song County were interviewed and examined in 1996. The study cohort comprised 2,580 hypertension-free subjects aged above 20. One-year follow up was completed for 1,781 subjects(69.0%) in 1997. General characteristics(age, gender, education level, economic status, marital status), the family history of hypertension, diet, alcohol, smoking, coffee, stress, past history of oral contraceptive and menopausal status in female, height, weight, waist and hip circumference, baseline blood pressure, and serum total cholesterol were considered as risk factors. Results : Multivariate analysis using logistic regression model indicated that age(RH=1.50, 95% CI; 1.15-1.96), the family history of hypertension(RR=2.11, 95% CI; 1.04-4.26), waist-hip ratio(WHR) (RR=2.09, 95%, CI; 1.15-3.79), and baseline systolic blood pressure(130-139/<120mmHg)(RR=3.34, 95% CI; 1.47-7.60) were significant risk factors associated with the development of hypertension above the borderline level in male. In female, age(RR=1.06, 95% CI; 1.03-1.09), change in menopausal status$(no{\rightarrow}yes/no{\rightarrow}no)$ (RR=3.32, 95% CI; 1.01-10.87), baseline systolic blood pressure(120-129/<120mmHg: RR=2.00, 95% CI; 1.02-3.90)(130-139/<120mmHg: RR=2.64, 95% CI; 1.34-5.20) and baseline diastolic blood pressure(85-89/<80mmHg)(RR=4.09, 95% CI; 1.86-8.96) were identified as risk factors. Conclusions : Age and high normal blood pressure were significant risk factors for the development of hypertension above the borderline level. In addition, the family history of hypertension and WHR in men, and the change of menopausal status in women might be significant risk factors in Korea.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2008.04a
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• pp.461-468
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• 2008

<그림 1>과 <그림 2>, <그림 3>은 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수출입을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, 자료는 2001년도 이후의 관세청 수출입 실적자료를 활용하였다. <그림 1>은 SAENGF는 제조업용 로봇 국내생산의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <그림 2>는 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수출을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, EXPORTF는 제조업용 로봇 수출의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <그림 3>은 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수입을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, IMPORTF는 제조업용 로봇 수출의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <표 1>은 국내 제조업용 로봇의 국내생산, 수출과 수입의 추정치이며, ARIMA모형을 사용하였으며, 자료는 2001년도 이후의 데이터로 관세청 수출입 실적자료를 활용하였다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.431-455
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• 2009

This study estimates the WTP for the plan of solving deforestation due to limestone mining and calculates that damage cost using contingent valuation method. As the results of analysing a dichotomous choice CV data, the yearly mean WTP per household for the plan is 5,045 won(95% confidence interval : 3,729~6,360 won) in single bounded CV model and is 4,361 won(95% confidence interval : 3,710~5,012 won) in double bounded CV model. The damage cost of deforestation due to limestone mining can be estimated as 55.3% of WTP for the plan which is assigned to restoring the deforestation area to the original or similar alternative state. The average yearly deforestation cost of 1 ha due to limestone mining is reached 20.90 million won(95% confidence interval : 16.53~25.27 million won). And the asset value of that 1 ha damage is 160.02 million won(95% confidence interval : 126.56~193.49 million won). The fact is found that the damage cost of deforestation using replacement cost method is likely to be underestimated. The total damage cost of deforestation because of limestone mining in 3 cities (Donghae, Samcheok, Yeongwol) is 204.0 billion won(95% confidence interval : 161.4~246.7 billion won) which is composed of 26.5% for Donghae, 28.9% for Samcheok, and 44.6% for Yeongwol according to the damage size of deforestation due to limestone mining in 3 cities.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.645-653
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• 2014

P-value is the probability of observing a current sample and possibly other samples departing equally or more extremely from the null hypothesis toward postulated alternative hypothesis. When p-value is less than a certain level called ${\alpha}$(= 0:05), researchers claim that the alternative hypothesis is supported empirically. Unfortunately, some findings discovered in that way are not reproducible, partly because the p-value itself is a statistic vulnerable to random variation. Boos and Stefanski (2011) suggests calculating the upper limit of p-value in hypothesis testing, using a bootstrap predictive distribution. To determine the sample size of a replication study, this study proposes thought experiments by simulating boosted bootstrap samples of different sizes from given observations. The method is illustrated for the cases of two-group comparison and multiple linear regression. This study also addresses the reproducibility of the points in the given 95% confidence interval. Numerical examples show that the center point is covered by 95% confidence intervals generated from bootstrap resamples. However, end points are covered with a 50% chance. Hence this study draws the graph of the reproducibility rate for each parameter in the confidence interval.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2005.04a
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• pp.166-169
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• 2005

질적인 속성을 양적인 계열로 전환하여 측정하는 방법으로서 설문의 최소 문항으로서 최대의 효과를 나타내기 위하여 한 항목을 k번 측정하여 평균과 $95\%$ 신뢰구간을 퍼지수로 한 데이터들을 리커트 척도로 활용하여 내분비방법에 의하여 검정을 하였다.