• Magazine of RCR
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.8-13
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• 2023

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.97 no.1
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• pp.45-52
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• 2008

The objectives of this study are to explain a supply plan of domestic softwood log by long-term prospect of MDF production to stably promote industry of MDF. For it, we developed the long supply function as Ordinary Least Squares Method. Between 2005 and 2050, it was estimated that quantity of domestic production of MDF increased from 1,653 thousand $m^3$ to 2,041 thousand $m^3$. In 2050, quantities of domestic softwood log used by raw materials to product MDF of 2,041 thousand $m^3$ were estimated to be used about 1,355 thousand $m^3$. Exampling Pinus rigida used presently by raw materials to product MDF, cutting area of it is estimated to be 10,828 ha per year. And larch is cutted about 9,160 ha per year. This study estimated annual softwood log cutting amount and total afforestation area at 2050 year by 3 scenarios which are 35%, 45% and 55% about use of domestic softwood log for MDF production. If we do a criterion of cutting area, we advantage to plant larch. But the species of trees are use and growth property. We think that the afforestation policy must be performed on the base of those to supply raw materials of MDF. Although government plans hardwood afforestation policy after cutting Pinus rigida, it needs to support and manage certainly afforestation area of softwoods to need to supply raw materials of MDF to stably promote industry of MDF.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.222-237
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• 2022

This study was performed to predict change of forestland area in future to 2050 based on System Dynamics Model which is based on feedback loop by causal relationship. As forestland area change in the future depends on potential forestland conversion demands, each demand type of forestland conversion such as agricultural, industrial, public and residential/commercial use was modeled using annual GDP, population, number of household, household construction permission area (1981~2019). In results, all of conversion demands would have continuously decreased to 2050 while residential and commercial land would be reduced from 2034. Due to such shortage, eventually, total of forestland in South Korea would have decreased to 6.18 million ha when compared to current 6.29 million ha. Moreover, the forestland conversion to other use types must be occurred continuously in future because most of forestland is owned privately in South Korea. Such steady decrement of forestland area in future can contribute to the shortage of carbon sink and encumber achievement of national carbon-neutral goal to 2050. If forestland conversion would be occurred inevitably in future according to such change trends of all types, improved laws and polices related to forestland should be prepared for planned use and rational conservation in terms of whole territory management. Therefore, it is needed to offer sufficient incentive, such as tax reduction and payment of ecosystem service on excellent forestland protection and maintenance, to private owners for minimizing forestland conversion. Moreover, active afforestation policy and practice have to be implemented on idle land for reaching national goal 'Carbon Neutral to 2050' in South Korea.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.52 no.3
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• pp.57-64
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• 2010

The impacts of climate change on yield and evapotranspiration of rice have been modeled using AquaCrop model developed by Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Climate change scenario downscaled by Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) regional model from ECHO-G General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs by Korea Meteorological Research Institute (METRI) was used in this study. Monthly average climate data for baseline (1971-2000) and three time periods (2020s, 2050s and 2080s) were used as inputs to the AquaCrop model. The results showed that the evapotranspiration after transplanting was projected to increase by 4 % (2020s), 8 % (2050s) and 14 % (2080s), respectively, from the baseline value of 464 mm. The potential rice yield was 6.4 t/ha and water productivity was 1.4 kg/$m^3$ for the baseline. The potential rice yield was projected to increase by 23 % (2020s), 55 % (2050s), and 98 % (2080s), respectively, by the increased photosynthesis along with the $CO_2$ concentration increases. The water productivity was projected to increase by 19 % (2020s), 44 % (2050s), and 75 % (2080s), respectively.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.551-555
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• 2015

Dementia of the country due to the aging population of 59 thousand people has reached serious territory. To increase the number of future dementia doubled every 20 years until 2050, in 2020 about 84 thousand people, about 127 thousand people in 2030, 2050 are estimated at 271 thousand people. If you have a gas stove when using dementia patients at home, Voice Support breaker is required in a fire can automatically block the gas valve because of a risk. In this paper, we develop a gas-timer demented patients using S3F8S19 8bit processor to use the gas safely.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.663-667
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• 2020

By 2050, the technologies of the fourth industrial revolution currently being discussed will become highly mature and face a turning point in human civilization. Among them, the most innovative technologies will be artificial intelligence, robots, virtual reality and hyper-connected networks. These technologies will transform not only human life but also the appearance of the battlefield. Therefore, in 2050, the Army should concentrate all its capabilities on developing new concept weapons systems based on superintelligence and hyperconnectivity that converge and integrate these technologies.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.25-25
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• 2015

본 논문의 목적은 전 세계적으로 기후변화로 인한 이상기후에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있으며 이로 인한 부정적 영향에 대한 우려가 증가되고 있다. 우리나라도 기후변화로 연평균 강수량이 1910년대 1,155mm에서 2000년대 1,375mm로 약 19% 증가했으며 21세기말에는 약 17%가 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 정부간협의체(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC)에 따르면 미래에는 지구의 연평균기온은 2050년은 $2.3^{\circ}C$ 2100년엔 $4.8^{\circ}C$가 증가할 것이라고 전망하였고, 우리나라의 경우 2050년에 $3.2^{\circ}C$ 2100년에 $6^{\circ}C$가 증가할 것으로 전망하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 최근 지구적인 문제로 대두되어 온 기후변화 대해 재해취약성 분석을 통하여 효과적인 대응방안을 모색하고자 하였다. 연구대상의 지역은 강원도의 18개 시, 군 지자체로 하였으며 계산의 평가단위는 각 지자체를 하나의 집계구로 정하였다. 재해취약성 분석 지표로는 현재(2000년)와 미래(2020년, 2050년)로 나누어서 분석하였다. 분석 결과 2000년에는 영동지역과 원주시가 가장 취약하였으며, 2020년에는 속초와 강릉, 춘천시가, 2050년에는 강원도 중부지역이 가장 취약할 것으로 전망되었다.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.355-375
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• 2022

In this study, LCA based on EU PAS 2050 and Product Category Rules (PCR) was conducted for steel products with the highest proportion of Korea's exports to the EU among the carbon border adjustment items that were passed by the EU Parliament in June and applied to imports from 2025. Carbon emissions were calculated by (ISO 14040) analysis. As a result of the analysis, the total emission is 394,000 tons, and when converted to the EU ETS weekly price, it is 39,000.000 euros, which is about 5% of the export amount of 734 million dollars. This is the same effect as a 5% tariff increase. This study applies international standards in calculating the carbon footprint and provides information that is closest to the expected amount to be imposed in the future EU CBAM, providing the effect of enabling exporters to establish trade strategies and international competitiveness measures in advance.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.134.2-134.2
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• 2011

정부의 제1차 국가에너지기본계획(국무총리실 외. 2008)과 제4, 5차 전력수급기본계획(지식경제부 2008, 2010)을 바탕으로 장기 에너지 시스템 분석모형인 LEAP(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) 모형을 이용하여 2050년까지 발전 부문에서 재생가능 에너지의 확대를 통한 에너지 전환 시나리오에 대하여 정량적인 분석을 하였다. 기준 시나리오, 정부 정책 시나리오, 지속가능 사회 시나리오에 대한 발전량 및 설비 구성, 수입의존도, 연료 다양성 등 에너지 시스템에 대해 분석하는 한편, 온실가스, 대기오염물질, 온배수, 토지이용 등 환경영향을 검토하고, 시나리오별 총 비용을 분석하였다. 본 연구의 의의는 영국, 독일, 미국, 일본 등 선진국에서 전력 장기 시나리오들을 검토하는 한편, 국내 발전 부문 재생가능 에너지 전환의 가능성과 의미에 대해 화두를 던지고자 함이다.

• Current Optics and Photonics
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• v.5 no.5
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• pp.544-553
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• 2021

A 40-W 200-ns 300-kHz thulium-doped fiber laser at 2050 nm with a master oscillator power amplifier configuration was developed, for application to lithium-isotope separation. The master oscillator generated a 5.35 W continuous-wave beam, which the pulse generator then broke into 200-ns pulses at 300 kHz. Then, the laser beam was amplified by passing through a two-stage amplifier. The output power finally obtained was 42.0 W at 2050 nm, and was stable for a long time, over 2 hours. In spite of this achievement, mode instability was observed in the output beam. This can be solved in the future by using a method such as tight coiling.