• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2001-2010

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Long-term prediction of streamflow for water resource management in Geumho River watershed (중장기 하천유량 관리를 위한 금호강 유역의 유출량 예측)

  • Kim, Han Na;Park, Jung Eun;Kang, Shin Uk;Lee, Eul Rae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.416-416
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화는 미래 강수량 변동을 야기하여 하천유량 관리에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 중장기 하천유량 관리를 위하여 금호강 유역을 대상으로 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 중장기 하천유량을 예측하였다. 임하댐 상류지역의 2008~2012년 유량자료에 대하여 보정 완료된 SWAT 모형을 기반으로, 지역기후모형(RCM)인 HadGEM3-RA모형을 활용한 IPCC 제5차 보고서 RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5 시나리오를 적용하였다. 금호강 표준유역별 기후변화에 의한 영향을 모의하기 위하여 편이보정(Bias Correction)방법을 적용하였으며, 금호강 유역 내 과거 30년(1975~2005년, Baseline) 기상자료와 비교하여 통계적인 유사성을 가지도록 보정을 실시하였다. 기후변화 시나리오 적용결과는 S1(2011~2040년), S2(2041~2070년), S3(2071~2099년)으로 분할하여 월별, 계절별, 연도별 미래 강수량과 기온을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, RCP 4.5 시나리오의 경우 봄철(3~5월)의 강수량은 기준년도에 비해 약 57%가 증가하였으나, 가을철(6~8월)에는 7.9% 감소하였으며, 첨두 강수시기는 8~9월에서 6~7월로 이동하였다. 평균기온은 각 구분 시기별 $0.2^{\circ}C$, $1.1^{\circ}C$, $1.8^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승할 것으로 예측되었다. RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 기준년도 대비 강우량은 봄철에 61% 증가, 가을철에는 14.9% 감소하는 것으로 모의되었다. 평균기온은 약 $0.4^{\circ}C$, $2.1^{\circ}C$, $4.2^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화에 따른 유출량 결과 비교는 2001~2010년을 기준으로 하였으며, RCP 4.5 시나리오에서는 S1, S2, S3 시기별 각각 -10.9%, -7%, -3.6% 감소하였으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 약 -12.3%, 4.9%, -1.2% 변동하는 것으로 나타냈다. 금호강 유역 전반에 걸쳐 유출량이 감소하는 추세를 보였으며, 특히 본류에 비해 지류유역의 건천화가 심해지는 양상을 보였다. 또한 현재에 비해 여름철 유출패턴 시기가 앞당겨져 봄철 유량이 증가하고 겨울철에 감소하는 경향을 보이고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 수문패턴의 변화로 현재 하천유량관리의 변화가 필요할 것으로 판단되며, 향후 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 물수지 분석을 추가하여 유지유량 만족을 위한 해당유역의 이수기 유량관리 방안 연구를 수행할 예정이다.

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Breeding of a Mid Maturing Watermelon Cultivar, 'Hangyeol' with Resistance to Anthracnose Race 3 (수박 탄저병 Race 3 저항성 중생종 수박 '한결' 육성)

  • Huh, Yun-Chan;Hong, Kue-Hyon;Ko, Ho-Cheol;Park, Kyoung-Sub;Park, Dong-Kum;Lee, Joong-Sup;Cho, Myeoung-Cheoul;Lee, Sok-Young;Ko, Kwan-Dal;Lee, Woo-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Breeding Science
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.695-698
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    • 2010
  • The incidence of Anthracnose causing severe damage to the foliage and fruit in watermelon has increased in some major watermelon producing areas in Korea. To develop anthracnose resistant line, 'AU-Producer' having resistant gene to anthracnose was selected from germplasm and crossed with high quality line '920533'. Following the initial cross, backrossing and disease screening were performed to select resistant lines that produced high yields with excellent quality fruit. As a results of these procedure, a mid maturing watermelon line, 'Hangyeol' with resistance to anthracnose (Colletotrichum orbiculare) race 1 and 3 was developed at the National Institute of Horticultural and Herbal Science, Rural Development Administration (RDA). It has red flesh and commonly produces fruit with clear stripes on skin between 5.3 to 10.1 kg. Average soluble solid contents are ranged from 9.8 to 11.8$^{\circ}$Bx. The yield and quality of 'Hangyeol' is comparable to or better than those harvested from the popular commercial cultivars. The achievement of this experiment could contribute to provide the resistant parents in an anthracnose resistance breeding program in watermelon.

Breeding of a Mid-Late Maturing Watermelon Cultivar, 'Hanbit' with Resistant to Anthracnose Race 3 (수박 탄저병 Race 3 저항성 중만생종 수박 '한빛' 육성)

  • Huh, Yun-Chan;Hong, Kue-Hyon;Ko, Ho-Cheol;Park, Kyoung-Sub;Park, Dong-Kum;Lee, Joong-Sup;Cho, Myeoung-Cheoul;Lee, Sok-Young;Ko, Kwan-Dal;Lee, Woo-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Breeding Science
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.699-702
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    • 2010
  • Anthracnose is a major limiting factor of the watermelon production in Korea. A mid-late maturing watermelon line, 'Hanbit' with resistance to anthracnose (Colletotrichum orbiculare) race 1 and 3, was developed by the cross between anthracnose resistant cultivar 'AU-Producer' and high quality inbred line '920533' at the National Institute of Horticultural and Herbal Science, Rural Development Administration (RDA). 'Hanbit' produces 5.4 to 9.5 kg of red flesh fruits with clear stripes on skin. Average soluble solid contents are ranged from 10.4 to 11.2$^{\circ}$Bx. The yield and quality of 'Hanbit' was comparable to or better than those harvested from the popular commercial cultivars. 'Hanbit' can be cultivated in open fields and under the protected green house condition. In addition to the commercial production, it can be used as a resistant material in $F_1$ hybrid breeding program.

An Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Kyoto Protocol on the Greenhouse Gas Emissions (교토의정서의 온실가스 감축 변화로 본 레짐효과 분석)

  • Kim, Yeong Sin;Chon, Chun Hwang;Baek, Hee Jeong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • This study is analyzed based on the statistical data for the effect of Kyoto Protocol which is adopted on 1997. The first greenhouse gas obligation reduction countries such as OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development), and the first non-obligated developing countries such as China and India, the increasing rate of carbon dioxide emission displayed -10.2% and 88.1% in 2005 with respect to 1990, respectively. This increasing rate is not only shows statistically significant differences but also shows significant meanings when we consider the global increasing rate of carbon dioxide is 29.1%. Changes in the carbon dioxide emissions are also analyzed based on the time of the adaptation of Kyoto Protocol, time of the publication of the second and third reports of IPCC, and withdrawal of the Kyoto Protocol of the United States. Withdrawal of the Kyoto Protocol of the United States is the most significantly affected to the differences in the carbon dioxide emission rates rather than the adaptation of Kyoto Protocol, international agreement on the greenhouse gas reduction, and belief on the scientific evidence for the reasons for increasing carbon dioxide concentrations. Therefore, acceptance of the post-Kyoto Protocol in the United States is very important in order to success as a climate regime.

The Comparison of Basic Science Research Capacity of OECD Countries

  • Lim, Yang-Taek;Song, Choong-Han
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.147-176
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    • 2003
  • This Paper Presents a new measurement technique to derive the level of BSRC (Basic Science and Research Capacity) index by use of the factor analysis which is extended with the assumption of the standard normal probability distribution of the selected explanatory variables. The new measurement method is used to forecast the gap of Korea's BSRC level compared with those of major OECD countries in terms of time lag and to make their international comparison during the time period of 1981∼1999, based on the assumption that the BSRC progress function of each country takes the form of the logistic curve. The US BSRC index is estimated to be 0.9878 in 1981, 0.9996 in 1990 and 0.99991 in 1999, taking the 1st place. The US BSRC level has been consistently the top among the 16 selected variables, followed by Japan, Germany, France and the United Kingdom, in order. Korea's BSRC is estimated to be 0.2293 in 1981, taking the lowest place among the 16 OECD countries. However, Korea's BSRC indices are estimated to have been increased to 0.3216 (in 1990) and 0.44652 (in 1999) respectively, taking 10th place. Meanwhile, Korea's BSRC level in 1999 (0.44652) is estimated to reach those of the US and Japan in 2233 and 2101, respectively. This means that Korea falls 234 years behind USA and 102 years behind Japan, respectively. Korea is also estimated to lag 34 years behind Germany, 16 years behind France and the UK, 15 years behind Sweden, 11 years behind Canada, 7 years behind Finland, and 5 years behind the Netherlands. For the period of 1981∼1999, the BSRC development speed of the US is estimated to be 0.29700. Its rank is the top among the selected OECD countries, followed by Japan (0.12800), Korea (0.04443), and Germany (0.04029). the US BSRC development speed (0.2970) is estimated to be 2.3 times higher than that of Japan (0.1280), and 6.7 times higher than that of Korea. German BSRC development speed (0.04029) is estimated to be fastest in Europe, but it is 7.4 times slower than that of the US. The estimated BSRC development speeds of Belgium, Finland, Italy, Denmark and the UK stand between 0.01 and 0.02, which are very slow. Particularly, the BSRC development speed of Spain is estimated to be minus 0.0065, staying at the almost same level of BSRC over time (1981 ∼ 1999). Since Korea shows BSRC development speed much slower than those of the US and Japan but relative]y faster than those of other countries, the gaps in BSRC level between Korea and the other countries may get considerably narrower or even Korea will surpass possibly several countries in BSRC level, as time goes by. Korea's BSRC level had taken 10th place till 1993. However, it is estimated to be 6th place in 2010 by catching up the UK, Sweden, Finland and Holland, and 4th place in 2020 by catching up France and Canada. The empirical results are consistent with OECD (2001a)'s computation that Korea had the highest R&D expenditures growth during 1991∼1999 among all OECD countries ; and the value-added of ICT industries in total business sectors value added is 12% in Korea, but only 8% in Japan. And OECD (2001b) observed that Korea, together with the US, Sweden, and Finland, are already the four most knowledge-based countries. Hence, the rank of the knowledge-based country was measured by investment in knowledge which is defined as public and private spending on higher education, expenditures on R&D and investment in software.

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Retrospective Analysis for Complications of the Central Venous Catheter in Patients with Cancer at a Single Center in Korea (우리나라 일개 병원 암 환자에서 중심정맥관 합병증에 관한 후향적 조사)

  • Kim, Eun-Jung;Kim, Hyun-Jung;Kim, Han-Jo;Kim, Kyoung-Ha;Kim, Se-Hyung;Lee, Sang-Cheol;Bae, Sang-Byung;Kim, Chan-Kyu;Lee, Nam-Su;Lee, Kyu-Taek;Park, Sung-Kyu;Won, Jong-Ho;Park, Hee-Sook;Hong, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: A central venous catheterization (CVC) is frequently used for delivering anti-cancer chemotherapeutic agents, blood products, parenteral nutrition, and other intravenous therapy in patients with cancer. Major complications of CVC use are thrombosis, infection, and mechanical complications. The aim of this study was to evaluate the frequency of CVC complications and related factors. Methods: The records of cancer patients who received a CVC at our university hospital from March 2001 to October 2006 were retrospectively investigated. Chi square test was used to determine whether there was a related factor for thrombosis or infection, and Kaplan-Meier analysis for univariate analysis, or Cox-regression analysis for multivariate analysis was used for catheter life span. Results: Three hundred and ten CVCs (235 nontunneled, 75 tunneled) were inserted in 310 patients (157 males, 153 females). Among them, 104 had hematologic cancers and 206 had solid cancers. The mean age of the patients was 52 years (range, 19~82 years). CVC complications occurred in 60 cases (19%). CVC-related thrombosis occurred frequently in patients with infection (P=0.003), whereas diagnosis, catheter type, transfusion, and TPN history did not affect infection or thrombosis. The mean duration of the catheter was 102 days (range, 2~1,330 days), and the duration was prolonged in patients with tunneled catheters (P=0.000), or without transfusion through CVC (P=0.030). Conclusion: The major complications for long-term use of a CVC were infectionand thrombosis. Tunneled catheter was effective tool for long term use, especially in cases without transfusion through CVC. The studies on the prevention or treatment ofthrombosis and infection are, therefore, warranted by using CVC for an extended period of time.

Statistical Analyses of Long-Term Water Quality Variation in the Geumgang-Reservoir: Focused on the TP Load by Migrating Birds Excrement (금강호의 장기 수질 변화요인 분석: 철새배설물에 의한 TP부하의 중요성)

  • Jeong, Yong-Hoon;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Yang, Jae-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2010
  • Spatio-temporal variations of long-term water qualities (COD, SS, $Chl-{\alpha}$, N-related nutrients (TN, TDN, $NO_3^-$, $NH_4^+$), P-related nutrients (TP, TDP, $PO_4^{3-}$)) at two stations (St. SD, St. GG) in the Geumgang Reservoir were investigated from August 2001 to July 2008. Statistical methods such as t-test, factor analysis, and multi-regression analysis were applied to the water quality data in the reservoir as well as mass balances on TP. From the temporal comparisons of the water qualities between 2002 and 2007, average concentrations of $NH_4^+$, $PO_4^{3-}$, and TDP gradually decreased down by 60%, 24%, 52% in 2007. However, those of TP and $Chl-{\alpha}$ increased to 99% and 423% during the period. From the spatial comparisons between the two stations, St. GG showed higher concentrations for all of the N- and P-related nutrients than in St. SD, while opposite result for the $Chl-{\alpha}$. The factor analysis showed that "the seasonal variations of N- and P-related nutrients" were the two dominant factors occupying 49% of total variances of water qualities. Based on this result, multi-regression analysis executed for the two most influential parameters (TP and $Chl-{\alpha}$) focusing on the seasonal variations of these parameters: SS and $Chl-{\alpha}$ has contributed decisively to the concentrations of TP during the wet and dry season, respectively. On the other hand, COD and TP has been important for the $Chl-{\alpha}$ during the wet and dry season, respectively. From the established mass balances of TP loadings in the Geumgang Reservoir, Other Sources (60%) occupied the greatest contribution and Fluvial Input (38%) and Sediment (1%) during the wet season. However, both Fluvial Water (48%) and Other Sources (47%) supplied comparable amount of inputs and Sediment (5%) showed significantly increased input during the dry seasons. Recently especially during the dry winter seasons, migrating bird's excretion was estimated to contribute up to 8% of total TP input and 21% of Other Sources.

Co-authorship patterns and networks of Korean radiation oncologists

  • Choi, Jin-Hyun;Kang, Jin-Oh;Park, Seo-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Ki
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.164-173
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: This research aimed to analyze the patterns of co-authorship network among the Korean radiation oncologists and to identify attributing factors for the formation of networks. Materials and Methods: A total of 1,447 articles including contents of ‘Radiation Oncology' and 'Therapeutic Radiology' were searched from the KoreaMed database. The co-authorship was assorted by the author's full name, affiliation and specialties. UCINET 6.0 was used to fi gure out the author's network centrality and the cluster analysis, and KeyPlayer 1.44 program was used to get a result of key player index. Sociogram was analyzed with the Netdraw 2.090. The statistical comparison was performed by a t-test and ANOVA using SPSS 16.0 with p-value < 0.05 as the significant value. Results: The number of articles written by a radiation oncologist as the first author was 1,025 out of 1,447. The pattern of coauthorship was classified into five groups. For articles of which the first author was a radiation oncologist, the number of singleauthor articles (type-A) was 81; single-institution articles (type-B) was 687; and multiple-author articles (type-C) was 257. For the articles which radiation oncologists participated in as a co-author, the number of single-institution articles (type-D) was 280 while multiple-institution articles (type-E) were 142. There were 8,895 authors from 1,366 co-authored articles, thus the average number of authors per article was 6.51. It was 5.73 for type-B, 6.44 for type-C, 7.90 for type-D, and 7.67 for type-E (p = 0.000) in the average number of authors per article. The number of authors for articles from the hospitals published more than 100 articles was 7.23 while form others was 5.94 (p = 0.005). Its number was 5.94 and 7.16 for the articles published before and after 2001 (p = 0.000). The articles written by a radiation oncologist as the first author had 5.92 authors while others for 7.82 (p = 0.025). Its number was 5.57 and 7.71 for the Journal of the Korean Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology and others (p = 0.000), respectively. Among the analysis, a significant difference in the average number of author per article was indicated. The out-degree centrality of network among authors was 4.26% (2.03-7.09%) while in-degree centrality was 1.31% (0.53-2.84%). The three significant nodes were classified and listed as following: Choi, Eun Kyung for 1991-1995, Kim, Dae Young for 1998-2001, Park, Won and Lee, Sang Wook for 2003-2010. Choi, Eun Kyung and Kim, Dae Young appeared in two cases, and ranked as the highest degree in centrality. In the key player analysis, Choi, Eun Kyung and Lee, Sang Wook appeared in two cases, and ranked as the highest. From the cluster analysis, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul National University and Yonsei University revealed as the three large clusters when Ulsan University, Chonnam National University, and Korea Institute of Radiological & Medical Science as the medium clusters. Conclusion: The Korean radiation oncologist's society shows a closed network with numerous relationships among the particular clusters, and the result indicates it is different from other institutions in the pattern of co-authorship formation of the major hospitals.

The Optimization of Reconstruction Method Reducing Partial Volume Effect in PET/CT 3D Image Acquisition (PET/CT 3차원 영상 획득에서 부분용적효과 감소를 위한 재구성법의 최적화)

  • Hong, Gun-Chul;Park, Sun-Myung;Kwak, In-Suk;Lee, Hyuk;Choi, Choon-Ki;Seok, Jae-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: Partial volume effect (PVE) is the phenomenon to lower the accuracy of image due to low estimate, which is to occur from PET/CT 3D image acquisition. The more resolution is declined and the lesion is small, the more it causes a big error. So that it can influence the test result. Studied the optimum image reconstruction method by using variation of parameter, which can influence the PVE. Materials and Methods: It acquires the image in each size spheres which is injected $^{18}F$-FDG to hot site and background in the ratio 4:1 for 10 minutes by using NEMA 2001 IEC phantom in GE Discovey STE 16. The iterative reconstruction is used and gives variety to iteration 2-50 times, subset number 1-56. The analysis's fixed region of interest in detail part of image and compute % difference and signal to noise ratio (SNR) using $SUV_{max}$. Results: It's measured that $SUV_{max}$ of 10 mm spheres, which is changed subset number to 2, 5, 8, 20, 56 in fixed iteration to times, SNR is indicated 0.19, 0.30, 0.40, 0.48, 0.45. As well as each sphere's of total SNR is measured 2.73, 3.38, 3.64, 3.63, 3.38. Conclusion: In iteration 6th to 20th, it indicates similar value in % difference and SNR ($3.47{\pm}0.09$). Over 20th, it increases the phenomenon, which is placed low value on $SUV_{max}$ through the influence of noise. In addition, the identical iteration, it indicates that SNR is high value in 8th to 20th in variation of subset number. Therefore, to reduce partial volume effect of small lesion, it can be declined the partial volume effect in iteration 6 times, subset number 8~20 times, considering reconstruction time.

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The Study on Geology and Volcanism in Jeju Island (III): Early Lava Effusion Records in Jeju Island on the Basis of $^{40}Ar/^{39}Ar$ Absolute Ages of Lava Samples (제주도의 지질과 화산활동에 관한 연구 (III): $^{40}Ar/^{39}Ar$ 절대연대자료에 근거한 제주도 형성 초기 용암 분출 기록)

  • Koh, Gi-Won;Park, Jun-Beom
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2010
  • We report twenty data for early lavas erupted during the initial period of formation of Jeju Island on the basis of review on 539 data of whole-rock greochemistry and $^{40}Ar/^{39}Ar$ age dating out of mainly core samples from 69 boreholes drilled in the lower land since 2001 and 66 outcrop sites. Out of 69 boreholes, the early lava flow units are identified from samples collected from Beophocheon (EL 235 m, 210 m deep), Donnaeko (EL 240 m, 230 deep), Donghong-S (EL 187 m, 340 m deep), 05Donghong (EL. 187.6 m, 340 m deep), Dosoon (EL 305 m, 287 m deep), Sangye (EL 230 m, 260 m deep), Mureung-1 (EL 10.2 m, 160 m deep), and Gapa (EL 17.5 m, 92 m deep), which are located in the southern and southwestern portion of Jeju Island. While, the well-known outcrops from Sanbangsan, Wolrabong, Wonmansa, and Kagsubawi are also reconfirmed. $^{40}Ar/^{39}Ar$ age dating results of these lavas range from 1 Ma to 0.7 Ma, indicating that the data can be useful to constrain on age and geochemical characteristics of early lava effusion period in the formation of Jeju Island. Especially, samples with trachybasalt in composition collected from 143 m to 137 m, and from 135 m to 123 m below ground surface at 05Donghong hole have the oldest ages, $992\pm21$ Ka and $988\pm38$ Ka, respectively. This study suggests that in Jeju Island the first lava with trachybasalt in composition may have effused around 1 Ma ago, and the effusion style and chemical compositions of lavas must have changed to the formation of lava domes with trachyte-trachyandesite-basaltic trachyandesite and the eruption of lavas with alkali basalt and trachybasalt intermittently during the period from 0.9 Ma to 0.7 Ma ago. It also indicates that the initial lava flows below the ground are intercalated with or underlain by the Seoguipo Formation except for several exposed domal structure areas such as Sanbangsan and Kagsubawi, implying that the early lava effusion may have intermittently and sporadically occurred with nearby hydrovolcanism and sedimentation.