• Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference
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• 2006.12a
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• pp.193-230
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• 2006

본 논문은 국가별 추계인구와 미래 9개년 인구관련 설명변수들의 추정값을 통하여 적정인구 모형을 구형하고 한국의 적정인구를 추정하는데 목적이 있다. 후생을 고려한 생산함수 확장모형, 세계 176개국의 표본자료 그리고 다중회귀분석을 이용하여 $2000{\sim}2300$년 한국의 적정인구를 추정하고 그 추세곡선을 나타내는 것이다. 모형의 종속변수는 UN에 의한 세계각국의 추계인구이고, 설명변수는 9개 변수 즉 PPP GDP, 인접지역 경제통합율, 교육수준, 영어구사비율, 국토유효면적, 에너지량, 기온, 수자원량, 무역거리이다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. $2000{\sim}2300$년 한국의 적정인구는 $4,350{\sim}4,950$만명으로 추정되며, 2000년${\sim}$2050년은 $4,700{\sim}5,010$만명, 2050년${\sim}2100$년은 $4,770{\sim}4,400$만명이 된다. 2125년 최저점 4,350만명을 통과한 후 점진적으로 2300년의 4,870만명으로 접근해 갈 것으로 추정된다. 연구결과의 시사점은 네 가지이다. 첫째 한국의 적정인구가 2125년을 기준으로 이전은 감소 이후는 증가 추세일 것이므로 정책결정시 적정한 목표인구를 설정해야 한다는 점이다. 둘째 현 추세로 진행되면 2050년 이후 적정인구가 추계인구보다 $500{\sim}600$만명 더 많아진다는 점이다. 셋째 2125년 이전의 적정인구는 좁게 $4,770{\sim}4,545$만명으로서, 출산율 향상을 통한 적정인구의 유지 노력이 필요하다는 점이다. 넷째 적정인구 추세의 기복은 출산기피로 인한 인구감소 때문으로 출산지원과 입양 및 이민 유입의 정책에 따라 변화될 수 있다는 점이다.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.331-350
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• 2011

This paper analyzes balance of goods for a panel data of 56 industry classification in the MTI from 1980 to 2009. This study also develops the equilibrium adjustment process, which is a trade-off between the adjustment costs towards equilibrium costs for balance of goods and the cost of being in disequilibrium. In this framework, the GMM estimation procedure is used to estimate this dynamic panel model consistently. It is found that equilibrium balances of goods in Korean adjust to the speed is very slow to 0.0389. because of this is necessary to adjust the equilibrium goods balance as the cost of goods balance deficit is larger than by the cost. In addition, the real income elasticity for goods balance of resin in Japan and Korea, the real income elasticity 4.38168 and -0.835225, respectively, the marks were consistent with economic theory. The exchange rate elasticity of goods balance in japan to 0.478435 were found in the inelastic.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.89-135
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• 2003

The paper tests the hypothesis that Internet banking reduces cost and ultimately enhances profitability for banks. Our analysis suggests that Internet banking does contribute to cost reduction but does not affect profitability. The implications are that the primary objective of Internet banking has been accomplished, but has not reached the stage in which the benefits overcome the burden of initial investment. The findings also offer the implication that Internet banking probably raises social welfare by passing on the benefit of cost reduction to customers rather than resulting in enhanced profits. In addition, we find that the banking customer's preference for face-to-face transactions may be very low in Korea, which supports the hypothesis that the cost in securing a customer base will be reduced significantly.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.41 no.2
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• pp.229-237
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• 2016

The purpose of this paper is to empirically identify whether unit bias exists or not under the flat rate pricing in the Korean mobile telecommunication market and to give the desirable form of pricing plans for minimizing this irrational behaviors. Our results show that with the flat rate pricing consumers tends to make more voice or data traffic over their optimal consumption level, meaning the existence of unit bias in the Korean mobile market. These results imply that under the current pricing plans subscribers may pay higher monthly fee than their optimal cost which maximizes their utility, for using the telecommunications service. Thus, policy makers need to consider adopting mobile operators' segmentation of the flat rate pricing plans for the reduction of subscribers' telecommunications costs and the improvement of consumer welfare.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.113-126
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• 1990

With the introduction of the national pension, efficient integration of Korea's four public pension schemes has been discussed. The main point of such discussions is whether to have a progressive scheme or an income-proportional one. Under the assumption of a perfect labor market, it has been proved in the income tax literature that the regressive tax scheme with the 0 % tax rate to the most able person (person earning highest income) is pareto efficient, if there is an incentive problem in the labor supply. In this paper, a life-cycle model with a linear benefit schedule, when there is uncertainty about future earning ability, is studied. It is proved that the second best pension scheme is that having a progressive benefit schedule. This result implies that integration into a progressive pension scheme, like the current national pension, is required not only for efficiency but also for equity.