• Title/Summary/Keyword: 효과추정

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Employment Effects of Delayed Mandatory Retirement (정년 연장의 고용효과)

  • Kim, Dae Il
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2021
  • This paper estimates the employment effects among 55~59 years old men of delayed mandatory retirement act between 2016 and 2019. Although the positive employment effects appear to have reclined during the period, they have remained non-trivial and may have encroached youth employment. The results suggest that wages should be flexibly adjusted in the market so that labor demand can sufficiently expand to accommodate the increased labor supply among the old without hurting the young.

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Effects of Raising Farm on Genetic Evaluation for Carcass Traits in Hanwoo Cows (사육농가의 효과가 한우 암소의 도체형질 유전 평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Chang-Woo;Lee, Cheong-Mook;Lee, Sung-Jin;Song, Young-Han;Lee, Jeong-Koo;Kim, Jong-Bok
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2011
  • This research was conducted to analyze the effects of raising farm on the heritability and breeding values of Hanwoo cows for their carcass traits, including cold carcass weight (CWT), back-fat thickness (BFT), eye-muscle area (EMA) and marbling score (MAR). The carcass data and pedigree data were collected from steers raised on Hanwoo farms in Pyeongchang-gun, Gangwon-do, South Korea. Three analytical models were applied for the estimation of heritabilities and breeding values. The first model (model 1) included slaughter house-year-month combination as fixed effects and age at slaughter was fitted as linear and quadratic covariates. The second model (model 2) was similar to model 1, but raising farm was additionally included as random effect. The third model (model 3) was similar to model 1 but farm effects were additionally included as fixed effect. The comparisons between the model 1 and the models including farm effect (model 2 and model 3) revealed that heritability estimates from model 2 or model 3 were smaller to those from model 1 for all carcass traits. Especially, obvious decrease of heritability was observed in CWT where heritability was 0.23 from model 1, 0.15 from model 2 and 0.18 from model 3. The maximum log likelihood of the model 2 and 3 were higher than those of model 1 for all traits. In model 2 that raising farm was included as a random effect, the ratio of farm variance to the total phenotypic variance were ranged from 4% (EMA) to 18% (CWT). Top 10% and bottom 10% of female cows were selected based on the breeding values from model 1, and the Spearman's rank correlation coefficients among models were estimated for each trait within selected group. The correlation coefficients were ranged from 0.57 to 0.95 in top 10% group and from 0.68 to 0.95 in bottom 10% group. These results show that the discrepancies in the rankings of breeding values can be based on the models applied. In conclusion, the results obtained in this study suggest that the herd effect or farm effect should be included in the analytical model when breeding values are estimated with the purpose of improvement of carcass traits of Hanwoo breeding cows.

Voice Source Estimation Using Robust Sequential SVD (견실 순차 특이치분해를 이용한 음원추정)

  • 홍성훈
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 1993
  • 본 논문에서는 변화가 심한 음원파형을 추정하는 새로운 순차처리 알고리듬을 제안한다. 먼저, 1) 기존의 순차처리 분석법중 대표적인 분석법인 RLS(recursive least square)의 문제점들을 검토하고, 2) 이를 개선하기 위해서 관측행렬(observation matrix)을 최적차수의 SVD(reduced-rank singular value decomposition)로 재구성하고, 3) 이에 견실개념(robustness concept)을 적용해서 최적의 성도변수(vocal tract parameter)를 찾아내고 역필터를 적용해서 음원(voice source)을 효과적으로 구분해낸다. 본 논문에서 제안된 방법으로 음원을 추정할 경우, 변화가 심한 음원파형을 잘 추정할 수 있으며, 음원의 특성을 구분해낸 성도 파라미터도 효과적으로 추정할 수 있다. 본 연구내용은 음성합성에서 자연성 개선 및 개인성 구현을 위해서 필수적이며, 다양한 형태의 음성을 표현하기 위해 사용되어질 수 있다. 또한, 음성코딩, 화자인식, 음성인식에서도 사용되어질 수 있다.

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Multiple Light Sources Estimation Using Similar Patches of Reflectance in Outdoor images (실외 영상에서 반사율의 유사 패치를 이용한 복합 광원 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Jong-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2018.06a
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    • pp.18-19
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문에서는 실외 영상에서의 새로운 접근 방식의 복합 조명 알고리즘을 제안한다. 기존의 복합 조명 알고리즘들이 동시에 두 조명을 추정하는 것에 비해 제안 알고리즘은 먼저 단일 조명 기법을 적용하여 첫번째 광원의 색을 추정한 후에 각 영역에서 유사 패치 쌍을 찾아 두번째 광원의 색을 추정하는 방식이다. 일반적인 복합 조명 환경에서는 적용하기 힘들지만 환경을 실외로 제한하여 실외의 광원인 햇빛과 그늘 사이의 관계를 이용하여 효과적으로 유사 패치를 찾아 두 광원의 색을 추정한다. 따라서 실외 환경을 촬영하여 얻은 raw 파일 영상에 제안 알고리즘을 적용하여 효과적으로 광원들의 영향을 제거할 수 있다.

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A study on the Economic Effects of Start-up SME's Social Insurance Costs Reduction (창업 중소기업 4대 보험 경감에 따른 경제적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jumi;Lim, Sungmook;Lee, Jaehoon
    • Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2014
  • This study is about the suggestion of reduction method for social insurance cost of startup SMEs Based on the study abroad and the current status of Korea we suggest several methods such as direct and indirect support, exemption, deferment/loan. For the economic effect analysis, we derived benefits and costs. Employment, value added, and revenue increasing effects are considered as benefits. Costs are analyzed by each method. In case of exemption, the analysis is impossible. Analysis results show that direct and deferment/loan case have an effect of 563,469 jobs creation, added value of 26.82 trillion wons, and increase in tax revenues about 82.4 billion wons. In case of exemption, There are 105,368 jobs creation, 5.02 trillion wons of added value, and 15.4 billion wons of increase in tax revenues. And for each case, there are costs 9.58 trillion won, 5.42 trillion won, 1.79 trillion won.

Estimation of diesel fuel demand function using panel data (시도별 패널데이터를 이용한 경유제품 수요함수 추정)

  • Lim, Chansu
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.80-92
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    • 2017
  • This paper attempts to estimate the diesel fuel demand function in Korea using panel data panel data of 16 major cities or provinces which consist of diesel demands, diesel market prices and gross value added from the year 1998 to 2015. I apply panel GLS(generalized least square) model, fixed effect model, random effect model and dynamic panel model to estimating the parameters of the diesel fuel demand function. The results show that short-run price elasticities of the diesel fuel demand are estimated to be -0.2146(panel GLS), -0.2886(fixed effect), -0.2854(random effect), -0.1905(dynamic panel) respectively. And short-run income elasticities of the diesel fuel demand are estimated to be 0.7379(panel GLS), 0.4119(fixed effect), 0.7260(random effect), 0.4166(dynamic panel) respectively. The short-run price and income elasticities explain that demand for diesel fuel is price- and income-inelastic. The long-run price and income elasticities are estimated to be -0.4784, 1.0461 by dynamic panel model, which means that demand for diesel fuel is price-inelastic but income-elastic in the long run. In addition I apply dummy variable model to estimate the effect of 16 major cities or provinces on diesel demands. The results show that diesel demands is affected 10 regions on the basis of Seoul.

Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis on the Effect of Job Training for Non-Regular Employees (비정규직 직업훈련효과 추정과 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.163-181
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    • 2012
  • This paper studies the effect of job training for non-regular employees in the Korea labor market. Using an economically active population data set of statistics Korea, we apply a non-parametric matching and sensitivity analysis method to measure the effect of the training for non-regular employees and to look for the impact of an unobservable variable or confounding factor in regards to the selection effect and outcome effect. In the our empirical results, we conclude that the effect of the training for non-regular employees has a better employment effect for getting a regular job rather than a wage effect; in addition, the impact of unobservable variables or confounding factors do not exercise a statistically strong influence on the baseline ATT.

Climate Change and Drought: Study on Shadow Price and Damage Cost of Water under Drought (기후변화와 가뭄: 가뭄시 물의 잠재가격 및 피해 추정연구)

  • Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Jang, Seok-Won;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.209-218
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    • 2011
  • This study is to estimate economic damages of water shortage, especially drought. we assume scenarios of water shortage and use water input-output linear programming. The result is that economic damage is about 6.4 trillion won in the case of 10% water shortage. According to water shortage scenarios, the shadow price of water in Korea is increasing from 2,462 won to 76,902 won. This study indicates that water has a significant influence on the industrial production in Korea and provides the necessity of the climate change policy for water management.

Robust ridge regression for nonlinear mixed effects models with applications to quantitative high throughput screening assay data (비선형 혼합효과모형에서의 로버스트 능형회귀 방법과 정량적 고속 대량 스크리닝 자료에의 응용)

  • Yoo, Jiseon;Lim, Changwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2018
  • A nonlinear mixed effects model is mainly used to analyze repeated measurement data in various fields. A nonlinear mixed effects model consists of two stages: the first-stage individual-level model considers intra-individual variation and the second-stage population model considers inter-individual variation. The individual-level model, which is the first stage of the nonlinear mixed effects model, estimates the parameters of the nonlinear regression model. It is the same as the general nonlinear regression model, and usually estimates parameters using the least squares estimation method. However, the least squares estimation method may have a problem that the estimated value of the parameters and standard errors become extremely large if the assumed nonlinear function is not explicitly revealed by the data. In this paper, a new estimation method is proposed to solve this problem by introducing the ridge regression method recently proposed in the nonlinear regression model into the first-stage individual-level model of the nonlinear mixed effects model. The performance of the proposed estimator is compared with the performance with the standard estimator through a simulation study. The proposed methodology is also illustrated using quantitative high throughput screening data obtained from the US National Toxicology Program.

Estimation of the Potential Impacts of COVID-19 on Poverty in ASEAN Countries (코로나19 팬데믹의 아세안 빈곤에 대한 잠재적 영향 추정 및 시사점)

  • Bang, Hokyung;Yang, Eunjeong
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.37-66
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the potential impacts of COVID-19 on poverty in ASEAN countries. The first estimate, adopted from Summer et al. (2020) and Nonvide (2020), configures three scenarios of contractions in per capita household income or consumption; the impact of each scenario on poverty is calculated using poverty lines at different thresholds. In the second estimate, poverty impacts in 2020 and 2021 were projected using regression models controlling for unobserved country effects, unbalanced data, and endogeneity. COVID-19 has been shown to have negative impacts on poverty reduction in the ASEAN Member States. To reduce poverty, concerted efforts are needed to implement policies for reducing income inequality and promoting economic growth. Such efforts will not only speed up the countries' return to pre-pandemic poverty levels but also contribute to further accelerating poverty reduction.