• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀자연자원

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A Modified Logistic Regression Model for Probabilistic Prediction of Debris Flow at the Granitic Rock Area and Its Application; Landslide Prediction Map of Gangreung Area (화강암질암지역 토석류 산사태 예측을 위한 로지스틱 회귀모델의 수정 및 적용 - 강릉지역을 대상으로)

  • Cho, Yong-Chan;Chae, Byung-Gon;Kim, Won-Young;Chang, Tae-Woo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.40 no.1 s.182
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2007
  • This study proposed a modified logistic regression model for a probabilistic prediction of debris flow on natural terrain at the granitic rock area. The modified model dose not contain any categorical factors that were used in the previous model and secured higher reliability of prediction than that of the previous one. The modified model is composed of lithology, two factors of geomorphology, and three factors of soil property. Verification result shows that the prediction reliability is more than 86%. Using the modified regression model, the landslide prediction maps were established. In case of Sacheon area, the prediction map showed that the landslide occurrence was not well corresponded with the model since, even though the forest-fred area was distributed on the center of the model, no factors were considered for the landslide predictions. On the other hand, the prediction model was well corresponded with landslide occurrence at Jumunjin-Yeongok area. The prediction model developed in this study has very high availability to employ in other granitic areas.

Analysis of Sustainable Management Factors in County Parks Based on the Sustainability Evaluation Framework of Korea Nature Parks - Focus on the 11 County Parks in Gyeongsangnam-do - (자연공원 지속가능성평가에 기반한 군립공원 지속가능성 영향요인 분석 - 경남권역 11개소 군립공원을 대상으로 -)

  • Hong, Sukhwan;Ahn, Rosa;Tian, Wanting;Heo, Hagyoung;Pak, Junhou
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.12-21
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to implement the Sustainability Evaluation Framework of Korea Natural Parks to county parks in Gyeongsangnam-do, and to review the performance status of management effectiveness evaluation (MEE) and identify factors that influence the improvement of management effectiveness in protected areas. County park officers evaluated current management using this framework that was developed based on the MEE framework designed by the Korean Ministry of Environment. Among the principal values of county parks, 'natural and ecological' is indicated as the most important, followed by 'cultural and historic value' and 'leisure and recreation'. Natural disasters and climate change, visitor impact-inappropriate visitor behavior are indicated as current threats, and three county parks administrators viewed that there was no particular threat to their park. According to MEE results, the most effective management fields were 'State of cultural and historic value', 'State of leisure and recreational value', 'Current state of principal value'. The comparatively weaker fields were 'Threatened species management', 'Invasive species management', 'Management monitoring and evaluation'. The effects of sustainable management on county parks were analyzed through a regression analysis, and the influence of management factors reveal 'Annual budget', will impact attaining higher management scores. This study presents the current management information about county parks and provides support for the basis for the planning of county parks in Korea, suggesting the influencing factor.

Autoignition Characteristics of Limonene - Expanded Polystyrene Mixture (Limonene - Expanded Polystyrene 혼합물의 자연발화 특성)

  • 송영호;하동명;정국삼
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2004
  • In the reutilization process using limonene, the organic solvent to reduce volume of EPS, the AIT was measured with the variation of concentration and volume of mixture, in order to present the fund-mental data on the fire hazard assessment of limonene - EPS mixture at storage and handling. And ignition zone was compared with non-ignition zone. The equation related to AIT, activation energy and ignition delay time, used by the most scientific basis for predicting AIT values, was suggested using linear regression analysis as ln t = 0.704/T-5.819. And the equation related to concentration of mixture and AIT was also suggested to predict ignition hazard of combustible mixture using nonlinear regression analysis as $T_m/=248.32+69.27X+172.60X^2$. It enabled to predict ignition temperature according to variation of ignition delay time and concentration of mixture by the suggested equations.

Prediction of Seasonal Nitrate Concentration in Springs on the Southern Slope of Jeju Island using Multiple Linear Regression of Geographic Spatial Data (지리 공간 자료의 다중회귀분석을 이용한 제주도 남측사면 용천수의 시기별 질산성 질소 농도 예측)

  • Jung, Youn-Young;Koh, Dong-Chan;Kang, Bong-Rae;Ko, Kyung-Suk;Yu, Yong-Jae
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-152
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    • 2011
  • Nitrate concentrations in springs at the southern slope of Jeju Island were predicted using multiple linear regression (MLR) of spatial variables including hydrogeological parameters and land use characteristics. Springs showed wide range of nitrate concentrations from <0.02 to 86 mg/L with a mean of 20 mg/L. Spatial variables were generated for the circular buffer when the optimal buffer radius was assigned as 400 m. Selected regression models were tested using the p values and Durbin-Watson statistics. Explanatory variables were selected using the adjusted $R^2$, Cp (total squared error) and AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion), and significance. In addition, mutual linear relations between variables were also considered. Small portion of springs, usually <10% of total samples, were identified as outliers indicating limitations of MLR using circular buffers. Adjusted $R^2$ of the proposed models was improved from 0.75 to 0.87 when outliers were eliminated. In particular, the areal proportion of natural area had the greatest influence on the nitrate concentrations in springs. Among anthropogenic land uses, the influence of nitrate contamination is diminishing in the following order of orchard, residential area, and dry farmland. It is apparent quality of springs in the study area is likely to be controlled by land uses instead of hydrogeological parameters. Most of all, it is worth highlighting that the contamination susceptibility of springs is highly sensitive to nearby land uses, in particular, orchard.

지능형 IoT서비스를 위한 기계학습 기반 동작 인식 기술

  • Choe, Dae-Ung;Jo, Hyeon-Jung
    • The Proceeding of the Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2016
  • 최근 RFID와 같은 무선 센싱 네트워크 기술과 객체 추적을 위한 센싱 디바이스 및 다양한 컴퓨팅 자원들이 빠르게 발전함에 따라, 기존 웹의 형태는 소셜 웹에서 유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 웹으로 자연스럽게 진화되고 있다. 유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 웹에서 사물인터넷(IoT)은 기존의 컴퓨터를 대체할 수 있는데, 이것은 곧 한 사람과 주변 사물들 간에 연결되는 네트워크가 확장되는 것과 동시에 네트워크 안에서 생성되는 데이터의 수가 기하급수적으로 증가되는 것을 의미한다. 따라서 보다 지능적인 IoT 서비스를 위해서는, 수많은 미가공 데이터들 사이에서 사람의 의도와 상황을 실시간으로 정확히 파악할 수 있어야 한다. 이때 사물과의 상호작용을 위한 동작 인식 기술(Gesture recognition)은 집적적인 접촉을 필요로 하지 않기 때문에, 미래의 사람-사물 간 상호작용에 응용될 수 있는 잠재력을 갖고 있다. 한편, 기계학습 분야의 최신 알고리즘들은 다양한 문제에서 사람의 인지능력을 종종 뛰어넘는 성능을 보이고 있는데, 그 중에서도 의사결정나무(Decision Tree)를 기반으로 한 Decision Forest는 분류(Classification)와 회귀(Regression)를 포함한 전 영역에 걸쳐 우월한 성능을 보이고 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 지능형 IoT 서비스를 위한 다양한 동작 인식 기술들을 알아보고, 동작 인식을 위한 Decision Forest의 기본 개념과 구현을 위한 학습, 테스팅에 대해 구체적으로 소개한다. 특히 대표적으로 사용되는 3가지 학습방법인 배깅(Bagging), 부스팅(Boosting) 그리고 Random Forest에 대해 소개하고, 이것들이 동작 인식을 위해 어떠한 특징을 갖는지 기존의 연구결과를 토대로 알아보았다.

A Study on Ecology theory and Environment theory Research that is Loocked in Hayao Miyazaki work (미야자키 하야오(宮崎 駿)작품에 투영된 생태론과 환경론 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.44
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    • pp.183-209
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    • 2016
  • Hayao Miyazaki's product, , is evaluated that his work until present that product point of view and commercial point of view are highly filled at the same time. Miyazaki's showed new public entertainment possibility in genre that is animation inventing highest-grossing domestic film in Japan's history until it was taken over by another Miyazaki work. Also, it can high evaluate that not that see for interest simply beam about environment and human who writer has to spectator deep self-examination and way of problem pulling comprehension without burden through resected reflex which is not exigent delivery sympathy form. Analyzing his product, , ,, , , , this research allowed purpose to recognize that he present the alternative after arranges intent subject how and institute problem. And do to study whether his though and ideology met with viewpoints of ecologism and environment(environmentalism) in work how. There are his countenance have theme that is certain in Miyazaki director's works. If summarize had handled subject meantime, it is , , , etc. This subjects are that go first at importance order among problems which we face, it is that human desires essentially. If balance of society system that regulate various economical, moral value system and desire to our society is set, our society is that can become little more near in nature mode of life.

APPROXIMATE ESTIMATION OF RECRUITMENT IN FISH POPULATION UTILIZING STOCK DENSITY AND CATCH (밀도지수와 어획량으로서 수산자원의 가입량을 근사적으로 추정하는 방법)

  • KIM Kee Ju
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 1975
  • For the calculation of population parameter and estimation of recruitment of a fish population, an application of multiple regression method was used with some statistical inferences. Then, the differences between the calculated values and the true parameters were discussed. In addition, this method criticized by applying it to the statistical data of a population of bigeye tuna, Thunnus obesus of the Indian Ocean. The method was also applied to the available data of a population of Pacific saury, Cololabis saira, to estimate its recuitments. A stock at t year and t+1 year is, $N_{0,\;t+1}=N_{0,\;t}(1-m_t)-C_t+R_{t+1}$ where $N_0$ is the initial number of fish in a given year; C, number o: fish caught; R, number of recruitment; and M, rate of natural mortality. The foregoing equation is $$\phi_{t+1}=\frac{(1-\varrho^{-z}{t+1})Z_t}{(1-\varrho^{-z}t)Z_{t+1}}-\frac{1-\varrho^{-z}t+1}{Z_{t+1}}\phi_t-a'\frac{1-\varrho^{-z}t+1}{Z_{t+1}}C_t+a'\frac{1-\varrho^{-z}t+1}{Z_{t+1}}R_{t+1}......(1)$$ where $\phi$ is CPUE; a', CPUE $(\phi)$ to average stock $(\bar{N})$ in number; Z, total mortality coefficient; and M, natural mortality coefficient. In the equation (1) , the term $(1-\varrho^{-z}t+1)/Z_{t+1}$s almost constant to the variation of effort (X) there fore coefficients $\phi$ and $C_t$, can be calculated, when R is a constant, by applying the method of multiple regression, where $\phi_{t+1}$ is a dependent variable; $\phi_t$ and $C_t$ are independent variables. The values of Mand a' are calculated from the coefficients of $\phi_t$ and $C_t$; and total mortality coefficient (Z), where Z is a'X+M. By substituting M, a', $Z_t$, and $Z_{t+1}$ to the equation (1) recruitment $(R_{t+1})$ can be calculated. In this precess $\phi$ can be substituted by index of stock in number (N'). This operational procedures of the method of multiple regression can be applicable to the data which satisfy the above assumptions, even though the data were collected from any chosen year with similar recruitments, though it were not collected from the consecutive years. Under the condition of varying effort the data with such variation can be treated effectively by this method. The calculated values of M and a' include some deviation from the population parameters. Therefore, the estimated recruitment (R) is a relative value instead of all absolute one. This method of multiple regression is also applicable to the stock density and yield in weight instead of in number. For the data of the bigeye tuna of the Indian Ocean, the values of estimated recruitment (R) calculated from the parameter which is obtained by the present multiple regression method is proportional with an identical fluctuation pattern to the values of those derived from the parameters M and a', which were calculated by Suda (1970) for the same data. Estimated recruitments of Pacific saury of the eastern coast of Korea were calculated by the present multiple regression method. Not only spring recruitment $(1965\~1974)$ but also fall recruitment $(1964\~1973)$ was found to fluctuate in accordance with the fluctuations of stock densities (CPUE) of the same spring and fall, respectively.

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Influence of Expectations, Norms and Motives on Perceived Conflict -At a Campground in Chirisan National Park- (휴양객(休養客)의 기대(期待), 규범(規範) 및 휴양동기(休養動機)가 상충인지(相衝認知)에 미치는 영향(影響) -지리산(智異山) 국립공원(國立公園) 야영장(野營場)을 대상(對象)으로-)

  • Kim, Sang-Oh;Shelby, Bo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.85 no.4
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    • pp.647-655
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    • 1996
  • This paper examined the effects of users' expectations, norms and recreation motives on perceived conflict in a recreation setting. The study used data collected at Second Campground in Chirisan National Park, Korea, during the summer of 1994. Of the total 280 questionnaires distributed, 253 questionnaires(90.4%) were usable. About 82% of the respondents perceived conflict by others' late-night-singing. This study supported the notion that perceived conflict occurs when norms, expectations, and recreation motives are interfered with by others' incompatible behaviors. Solitude/nature motive factor was a better predictor of perceived conflict than norm-interference or expectation-interference. However, the relative predictability of each variable on perceived conflict could be various depending on different kinds of recreation motives, specific ways of measuring norms, expectations and conflict. Management implications were discussed.

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The Impact of Understanding Korean Food on Image, Attitude, and Globalization Regarding Korean Food (한식에 대한 인식이 한식에 대한 이미지, 태도, 세계화와의 영향 관계 - 영어권.일본.중화권을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwon, Yong-Ju;Shin, Bong-Kyu
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.136-154
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to suggest theoretical models to examine the composition factors of recognition, image, attitude toward Korean food and its globalization and investigate their relationships, which was analyzed based on the results of a survey. To achieve this research purpose, frequency analysis, exploratory factor analysis and the analysis of Cronbach a values were performed using the SPSS 13.0 program, and multiple regression analysis and simple regression analysis were also performed to analyze their relationships. The results of this study are as follows. First, the recognition of Korean food influenced its image and attitude toward it. Second, image of Korean food had an effect on attitude toward it. Third, both image and attitude regarding Korean food influenced globalization of Korean food. Accordingly, what this study can contribute to in the development of Korean food culture are as follows. First, this study will contribute to making a good image of Korean food and its globalization by changing people's recognition, image, and attitude toward Korean food and making them interested in Korean food suitable for globalization. Second, this study will help to make detailed marketing strategies to globalize Korean products and culture through Korean food. Third, this study will be helpful for improving the image of Korean food and creating economic benefits by attracting Korean food tourism. Moreover, it will help to give Korean people hope and pride of their lives. Fourth, this study will help to promote activation of Korean food tourist resources by connecting Korean food recognized to be LOHAS and well-being foods with Korean cultural tourist resorts. Fifth, this study will make people have right recognition and attitude by developing nature-friendly and healthy Korean food culture. Sixth, this study will be a detonator for more active studies by encouraging researchers to be concerned about and participate in globalization and commercialization of Korean food continually.

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TGC-based Fish Growth Estimation Model using Gaussian Process Regression Approach (가우시안 프로세스 회귀를 통한 열 성장 계수 기반의 어류 성장 예측 모델)

  • Juhyoung Sung;Sungyoon Cho;Da-Eun Jung;Jongwon Kim;Jeonghwan Park;Kiwon Kwon;Young Myoung Ko
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2023
  • Recently, as the fishery resources are depleted, expectations for productivity improvement by 'rearing fishery' in land farms are greatly rising. In the case of land farms, unlike ocean environments, it is easy to control and manage environmental and breeding factors, and has the advantage of being able to adjust production according to the production plan. On the other hand, unlike in the natural environment, there is a disadvantage in that operation costs may significantly increase due to the artificial management for fish growth. Therefore, profit maximization can be pursued by efficiently operating the farm in accordance with the planned target shipment. In order to operate such an efficient farm and nurture fish, an accurate growth prediction model according to the target fish species is absolutely required. Most of the growth prediction models are mainly numerical results based on statistical analysis using farm data. In this paper, we present a growth prediction model from a stochastic point of view to overcome the difficulties in securing data and the difficulty in providing quantitative expected values for inaccuracies that existing growth prediction models from a statistical point of view may have. For a stochastic approach, modeling is performed by introducing a Gaussian process regression method based on water temperature, which is the most important factor in positive growth. From the corresponding results, it is expected that it will be able to provide reference values for more efficient farm operation by simultaneously providing the average value of the predicted growth value at a specific point in time and the confidence interval for that value.