• Title/Summary/Keyword: 환경영향계수

Search Result 1,460, Processing Time 0.055 seconds

A Study on Water Quality Prediction for Climate Change Using Watershed Model in Andong Dam Watershed (유역모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 안동댐 유역의 미래 수질 예측)

  • Noh, Hee-Jin;Kim, Young-Do;Kang, Boo-Sik;Yi, Hye-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.945-945
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 낙동강 수계의 안동댐 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하여 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 댐 유역의 수환경 영향을 예측해 보고자 하였다. 특히 미래기후에 대한 수환경 평가는 기후자료를 입력 값으로 요구하는 강우-유출모형을 이용하거나 유량 이외에 유사, 영양물질과 같은 수질인자를 동시에 모의할 수 있는 유역모형을 이용하여 평가하는 것이 일반적이다. 이를 위해 선행연구로 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 AR4 시나리오의 RCM 자료를 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)기법을 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 총 4개 기상관측소에 대한 과거 20년(1991~2010) 실측자료를 바탕으로 미래 강수 및 습도 그리고 온도에 대해 상세화 하여 미래 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 또한 안동댐 유역 단위의 수질을 예측하기 위해 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 수문-수질 모의가 가능한 유역모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하였다. 과거의 기상자료와 수질자료를 이용하여 유역모델의 검 보정을 실시하였으며 모형의 보정 및 검증결과에 따른 적합성과 상관성을 판단하기 위해 결정계수($R^2$)와 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 사용하였으며, 모형의 효율성 검증으로는 Nash and Sutcliffe(1970)가 제안한 모형효율성계수(NSE)를 사용하였다. 최종적으로 기후 시나리오에 대해서 전망된 지역상세기후를 유역모형의 입력자료로 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 미래수문 및 수질을 예측하고자 하였다.

  • PDF

Development of comprehensive drought risk index for drought risk assessment (가뭄 위험도 평가를 위한 종합적 지수 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jee, Hee Won;Kim, Young-Oh;Kim, Daeho;Kang, Tae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.124-124
    • /
    • 2019
  • 가뭄은 다른 자연재해들과 달리 복잡한 자연의 순환 시스템에 의해 발생하므로 시기가 명확하지 않으며, 사회 전반에 걸친 큰 규모의 피해가 발생한다. 이러한 피해를 저감하기 위해 가뭄에 대한 다양한 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 가뭄에 대한 기존 연구들을 살펴보면, 강수량과 같은 가뭄의 원인을 중점적으로 다룬 가뭄지수 연구가 대다수이다. 한편, 실제 가뭄 피해에 대한 연구들은 위험 혹은 취약성 분석으로 지수를 산정하는 방법으로 연구되고 있으며 농업 가뭄에 집중한 결과를 제시하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄 현상의 원인을 제공하는 기상학적 요인뿐 아니라 피해 대상과 대상의 내부시스템 능력에 따른 영향을 고려한 가뭄위험지수(Drought Risk Index, DRI)을 연구하였다. 또한, 생활용수, 농업용수, 공업용수를 고려하여 농업가뭄과 더불어 사회 경제학적 가뭄의 피해 평가가 가능한 통합 DRI를 산정하였다. 크론바흐 알파 계수를 통하여 지수 구성 요소들 간의 신뢰성과 DRI와 실제 가뭄 피해간의 스피어만 상관 계수를 사용하여 국내 유역에 대한 DRI의 타당성을 확인하였고 이를 통해 지수의 적합성을 분석하였다. 결과적으로 기후변화 시나리오를 사용하여 한반도의 2030, 2050, 2080년대 통합 DRI를 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Investigation of Tensile Strain Rate Effects on Composite Material for Aircraft Structural Survivability Assessment (항공기 구조생존성 평가를 위한 복합재의 변형률 속도 영향성 분석)

  • Seo, Bo-hwi
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.106-111
    • /
    • 2018
  • Hydrodynamic ram phenomenon could be generated by external threats such as impact and blast in the aircraft. High strain rate deformation caused by the hydrodynamic ram phenomenon is one of the main factors to influence structural survivability. Mechanical properties of composite structure change rapidly under conditions of high strain rate. Therefore, it is necessary to experimentally investigate the influence of strain rates for aircraft structural survivability. In this paper, tensile tests of composite material were conducted for low and high strain rates to investigate the influence of the various strain rates. Tensile modulus increases more compared to tensile strength at high strain rate under hydrodynamic ram condition. Regression analysis was conducted to predict tensile modulus at various strain rates because it is one of the main damaging factors for composite structures under high strain rate conditions. Also, the mechanical properties of composite materials were acquired and analyzed under high strain rate conditions. It is hypothesized that the results from this study would be used for designing aircraft composite structures and evaluation considering structural survivability.

The Impacts of Carbon Taxes by Region and Industry in Korea: Focusing on Energy-burning Greenhouse Gas Emissions (탄소세 도입의 지역별 및 산업별 영향 분석: 에너지 연소 온실가스 배출량을 중심으로)

  • Jongwook Park
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-112
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study estimates the regional input-output table and GHG emissions in 2019 and then analyzes the economic effects of carbon taxes by region and industry in Korea. The GHG emission, emission coefficient, and emission induction coefficient are estimated to be higher in manufacturing-oriented metropolitan provinces. The GHG emission coefficient in the same industry varies from region to region, which might reflect the standard of product classification, characteristics of production technology, and the regional differences in input structure. If a carbon tax is imposed, production costs are expected to increase and demand and production will decrease, especially in the manufacturing industry, which emits more GFG. On the other hand, the impact of carbon taxes on each region is not expected to vary significantly from region to region, which might be due to the fact that those differences are mitigated by industry-related effects. Since the impact of carbon taxes is expected to spread to the entire region, close cooperation between local governments is necessary in the process of implementing carbon neutrality in the future.

The Study on Estimating Life Cycle of 2.5 Inch Hard disk base on PC using enviroment (PC 사용 환경에 기반한 2.5 인치 하드 디스크의 수명주기 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Lee, Min-Woo;Kwon, Soon-Mu
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.301-308
    • /
    • 2014
  • The mass storage of data and the importance of storage capacity lately has emerged. In this paper, we suggest the new method which estimate life cycle from acceleration life test about 2.5 inch hard disk driver as mass storage, which minimize the difference between real market annual failure rate and estimated failure rate. we obtain market transfer capacity per hours from returned 2.5inch hard disk drives about 309 numbers and accelerating transfer capacity per hours from acceleration life test. we calculate acceleration factor about duty cycle and estimate annual failure rate from failure rate and acceleration factors: temperature acceleration factor, duty cycle acceleration factor, the transfer capacity per hour represent the 93.4 % of user is 5.8 GB/hour, the transfer capacity per hour from acceleration life test is 81.4 GB/hour. the acceleration factor of duty cycle is 14.1. annual failure rate is stabilized at market one year after, annual failure rate is between 0.3 and 0.378. estimated annual failure rate is 0.4, so it is matched at 75~94 % between estimate annual failure rate and market annual failure rate. This study influence the estimate method of annual failure rate by the result of acceleration life cycle of manufacture.

Effects of Greenhouse Covering Material on Environment Factors and Fruit Yield in Protected Cultivation of Sweet Pepper (파프리카 재배 온실의 피복재 종류에 따른 환경요인과 수량성)

  • Kim, Ho-Cheol;Jung, Sek-Gi;Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Bae, Hyang-Jong
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.253-257
    • /
    • 2009
  • To analysis effect of environment factors on productivity of sweet pepper according to greenhouse covering material (glass, plastic film), this was investigated. In glasshouse, outside light was positively correlated with yield as that $100MJ{\cdot}m^{-2}$ of outside light increased $300{\sim}500g{\cdot}m^{-2}$, also cumulative temperature was same tendency. On possibility of model development for yield estimate cumulative temperature was high than outside light. According to covering material, leaf photosynthesis, productivity per out-side light and term in glasshouse was more high 13%, 46%, and 47% compared with plastic film house, respectively. Result of analysis of effect of light, temperature, and $CO_2$ on yield, relative yield coefficient, yield increment coefficient, and yield reduction coefficient in glasshouse were more high 25%, 73%, and 34% compared with plastic film house, respectively. Hence, sweet pepper's growing in glasshouse compare with plastic film house had more productivity, but that had more sensitivity to charge of environment factors.

A STUDY ON THE STRUCTURAL RELATIONSHIP AMONG TEST ANXIETY, PSYCHOPATHOLOGY, TEMPERAMENT & FAMILY ENVIRONMENT (시험불안과 정신병리, 기질 그리고 가정환경 간의 구조적 관계에 관한 연구 - 시험불안-우울-불안-자기개념-가정환경간의 인과적 관계분석 -)

  • Cho, Soo-Churl;Yoo, Tae-Ik;Shin, Min-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.50-63
    • /
    • 1999
  • Introduction:Test anxiety is a pervasive problem among high school students in Korea. While anxiety in test situations may actually facilitate the performance of some students, more often it is disruptive and leads to performance decrements. Over the past years, many child psychiatrists have become concerned with understanding the nature of test anxiety, but it is not clearly understood yet. In order to understand the nature of test anxiety, the relationship between test anxiety and depression, state anxiety, trait anxiety, temperament and family environment were examined. Methods:The Test Anxiety Inventory, Chidlren's Depression Inventory, State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, Temperamnet and Family Environment Scale Scale were administered to 576 high school students in Seoul. The relationships between test anxiety and other measures were tested using Pearson correlation coefficients and to test the causal relationship among the variables, regression analysis was performed. Results:The correlation coefficients between test anxiety and depression, state anxiety, trait anxiety, temperament and family environment scale were 0.42(p<0.01), 0.34(p<0.05), 0.38(p<0.05), 0.36(p<0.05) and -0.23(p<0.01), respectively. Regression analysis showed that only state and trait anxiety had direct causal relationship with test anxiety. Depression, temperament and family environment were indirecly related with test anxiety. Conclusions:This study indicates that the level of state and trait anxiety are directly related with test anxiety, and other variables such as temperament, family environment and depression are indirectly related with test anxiety. Thus, in order to develop the effective methods for treatment, these psychopathological characteristics should be kept in mind and the most important factors are the levels of state and trait anxiety.

  • PDF

The Estimation and Application of Optimum Design Variables for Road Tunnel Ventilation System Based on Statistical Analysis (통계적 분석을 이용한 터널 환기시스템 적정설계변수의 산정 및 적용에 관한 연구)

  • 이보영;유용호;김진
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.373-380
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this study, the emission rate of pollutant was modified according to the published standards, and the distribution of pollutant concentration was analyzed for each vehicle velocity. This modified emission rate was applied to a model tunnel and it was proved that the required air quantity was reduced to 49%, compared to the PIARC method. From the simulation result, it was proved by using statistics that the most sensitive factor among them is the friction coefficient and it was modified to the value in the range of 0.018 to 0.021. It is also expected that the required air quantity can be decreased form 14.4% to 19.2% according as the coefficient is applied to the domestic model tunnels. In conclusion, it is proposed that the number of jet fans can be reduced and the annual operating cost can be curtailed as well.

Estimation of creep coefficient in reinforced concrete beam (RC 빔 부재에서 크리프 계수 추정)

  • Park, Jong-Bum;Cho, Jae-Yeol;Park, Bong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2008.11a
    • /
    • pp.245-248
    • /
    • 2008
  • Concrete structures show time-dependent behavior due to creep and shrinkage of concrete and the uncertainties of creep and shrinkage are very huge. To reduce uncertainties of creep and shrinkage, it is substantially necessary to perform the long-term creep and shrinkage tests, but actual construction process doesn't allow it due to the limited time. Even though the tests are performed in laboratory, the values obtained from the tests could be different from the actual values in construction site because of the different environment between the laboratory and construction site and the model uncertainty itself. It is difficult to predict the long-term behaviors of concrete structures properly if the assumed creep coefficient obtained from Codes or the results of experiments is different from the real characteristics of concrete creep. In this study, for predicting the long-term behavior, the creep coefficients in reinforced concrete beams are estimated using creep sensitivity analysis from the measured deflections with time. And estimated creep coefficients using creep models of ACI Committee 209 and CEB-FIP MC90 are compared.

  • PDF

Analysis of evapotranspiration in the Imjin River Basin (임진강 유역의 증발산량 분석)

  • Dong Phil Kim;Joo Hun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.323-323
    • /
    • 2023
  • 유역의 증발산량 자료는 물순환 과정을 규명하는 매우 중요한 자료 중의 하나이며, 물순환 성분별 명확한 산정 결과는 수자원 개발과 물환경 보전에 중요한 정보를 제공할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 임진강 유역(유역출구(한강합류점) 기준, 유역면적 8,138.9km2)을 대상으로 5개년(2018~2022) 기상관측자료를 이용하여 증발산량을 산정하였으며, 그 외의 수문관측자료를 통해 물수지 분석도 수행하였다. 증발산량 산정은 세계식량기구(FAO)에서 제시한 Penman-Monteith equation을 적용하여 일별증발산량을 산정하였으며, 작물의 종류에 따른 계수는 잔디의 경우를 채택하였다. 본 방정식을 통해 산정된 증발산량(ETo)은 기준작물에 수분의 공급에 제한이 없는 상황에서 산정된 기준 증발산량(reference evapotranspiration)을 의미하며, 기준 증발산량을 실제 증발산량으로 변환하기 위해서는 작물계수를 고려해야 한다. 작물계수는 식생의 높이, 알베도, 식생의 저항, 토양으로부터의 증발 등의 영향을 받게 되나, 더욱더 명확하게는 식물에서의 증산을 설명하는 기본 작물계수와 토양에서의 증발을 설명하는 토양계수의 합을 통해 계수를 산정하게 된다. 임진강 유역에 공간적으로 분포된 작물계수를 정확히 산정하기에는 한계가 있으므로 잔디의 경우로 한정하여 산정된 기준 증발량은 833.0mm(5개년 평균값)이다. 각 물순환 성분별로 생성된 임진강 유역의 5개년 평균값인 유역평균강우량은 1,412.9mm이며, 하천유출량은 804.9mm(유역평균강우량 대비 57.0%), 실제 증발산량은 442.3mm(유역평균강우량 대비 31.3%, 기준 증발산량 대비 약 53.0%), 유역저류량은 165.7mm(유역평균강우량 대비 11.7%)이다. 유역평균강우량은 8개 관측소(양덕, 원산, 신계, 개성, 평강, 철원, 동두천, 파주) 강우량의 유역평균값이며, 하천유출량은 유역출구의 상류 관측소인 비룡대교 관측소(유역면적 6,784.0km2) 유출량의 유역면적비 적용값이다. 실제 증발산량은 기준 증발산량 산정값에 해당 유역내 존재하는 설마천 유역의 기준 증발산량과 실제 증발산량 비율(약 53.0%)을 적용한 값이며, 유역저류량은 전제적인 물수지 분석을 통해 얻어진 추정값이다. 이와 같이 산정된 물순환 성분별 자료는 유역의 물순환 과정 규명을 위한 기초자료로 매우 유용하게 활용될 수 있으며, 유역 물관리를 위한 의사결정 과정에 중요한 역할을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

  • PDF