• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률적 통행배정모형

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Development of A Dynamic Departure Time Choice Model based on Heterogeneous Transit Passengers (이질적 지하철승객 기반의 동적 출발시간선택모형 개발 (도심을 목적지로 하는 단일 지하철노선을 중심으로))

  • 김현명;임용택;신동호;백승걸
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.119-134
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposed a dynamic transit vehicle simulation model and a dynamic transit passengers simulation model, which can simultaneously simulate the transit vehicles and passengers traveling on a transit network, and also developed an algorithm of dynamic departure time choice model based on individual passenger. The proposed model assumes that each passenger's behavior is heterogeneous based on stochastic process by relaxing the assumption of homogeneity among passengers and travelers have imperfect information and bounded rationality to more actually represent and to simulate each passenger's behavior. The proposed model integrated a inference and preference reforming procedure into the learning and decision making process in order to describe and to analyze the departure time choices of transit passengers. To analyze and evaluate the model an example transit line heading for work place was used. Numerical results indicated that in the model based on heterogeneous passengers the travelers' preference influenced more seriously on the departure time choice behavior, while in the model based on homogeneous passengers it does not. The results based on homogeneous passengers seemed to be unrealistic in the view of rational behavior. These results imply that the aggregated travel demand models such as the traditional network assignment models based on user equilibrium, assuming perfect information on the network, homogeneity and rationality, might be different from the real dynamic travel demand patterns occurred on actual network.

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Day-to-day dynamic combined model on the evaluation of traveller's traffic information for multi-mode and multi-class (다수단 다계층 통행정보제공에 따른 일별동적결합모형 개발 및 평가)

  • 이승재;손의영;김인경
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 1999
  • The Purpose of this Paper is the development of the day-to-day dynamic combined model on the evaluation of traveller's traffic information for multi-mode and multi-class environments. Information is assumed to be provided for multi-mode such as bus and automobile. and multi-class such as a driver with and without route guidance equipment when they depart for their trips. The information provision strategies have been developed in the base of user equilibrium, system optimum and in between them. The Sioux Falls network is used for the evaluation of the model and information provision strategies. In the numerical analysis, a Braess' paradox for the information provision, which is the increase of travel time even though the number of information usage level and user are increased, has been occurred so that these kinds of information strategies should be implemented with special care.

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Generating Multiple Paths by Using Multi-label Vine-building Shortest Path Algorithm (수정형 덩굴망 최단경로 탐색 알고리즘을 이용한 다경로 생성 알고리즘의 개발)

  • Kim, Ik-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.2 s.73
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2004
  • In these days, multiple-path generation method is highly demanded in practice and research areas, which can represents realistically travelers behavior in choosing possible alternative paths. The multiple-path generation algorithm is one of the key components for policy analysis related to ATIS, DRGS and ATMS in ITS. This study suggested a method to generate multiple Possible paths from an origin to a destination. The approach of the suggested method is different from an other existing methods(K-shortest path algorithm) such as link elimination approach, link penalty approach and simulation approach. The result of the multi-label vine-building shortest path algorithm(MVA) by Kim (1998) and Kim(2001) was used to generate multiple reasonable possible paths with the concept of the rational upper boundary. Because the MVA algorithm records the cost, back-node and back-back node of the minimum path from the origin to the concerned node(intersection) for each direction to the node, many potential possible paths can be generated by tracing back. Among such large number of the potential possible paths, the algorithm distinguishes reasonable alternative paths from the unrealistic potential possible paths by using the concept of the rational upper boundary. The study also shows the very simple network examples to help the concept of the suggested path generation algorithm.

A Travel Time Prediction Model under Incidents (돌발상황하의 교통망 통행시간 예측모형)

  • Jang, Won-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2011
  • Traditionally, a dynamic network model is considered as a tool for solving real-time traffic problems. One of useful and practical ways of using such models is to use it to produce and disseminate forecast travel time information so that the travelers can switch their routes from congested to less-congested or uncongested, which can enhance the performance of the network. This approach seems to be promising when the traffic congestion is severe, especially when sudden incidents happen. A consideration that should be given in implementing this method is that travel time information may affect the future traffic condition itself, creating undesirable side effects such as the over-reaction problem. Furthermore incorrect forecast travel time can make the information unreliable. In this paper, a network-wide travel time prediction model under incidents is developed. The model assumes that all drivers have access to detailed traffic information through personalized in-vehicle devices such as car navigation systems. Drivers are assumed to make their own travel choice based on the travel time information provided. A route-based stochastic variational inequality is formulated, which is used as a basic model for the travel time prediction. A diversion function is introduced to account for the motorists' willingness to divert. An inverse function of the diversion curve is derived to develop a variational inequality formulation for the travel time prediction model. Computational results illustrate the characteristics of the proposed model.

Transportation Card Based Optimal M-Similar Paths Searching for Estimating Passengers' Route Choice in Seoul Metropolitan Railway Network (수도권 도시철도망 승객이동경로추정을 위한 교통카드기반 최적 M-유사경로 구축방안)

  • Lee, Mee young
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2017
  • The Seoul metropolitan transportation card's high value lies in its recording of total population movements of the public transit system. In case of recorded information on transit by bus, even though route information utilized by each passenger is accurate, the lack of passenger transfer information of the urban railway makes it difficult to estimate correct routes taken by each passenger. Therefore, pinpointing passenger path selection patterns arising in the metropolitan railway network and using this as part of a path movement estimation model is essential. This research seeks to determine that features of passenger movement routes in the urban railway system is comprised of M-similar routes with increasing number of transfer reflected as additional costs. In order to construct the path finding conditions, an M-similar route searching method is proposed, embedded with non additive path cost which appears through inclusion of the stepwise transportation parameter. As well, sensitivity of the M-similar route method based on transportation card records is evaluated and a stochastic trip assignment model using M-similar path finding is constructed. From these, link trip and transfer trip results between lines of the Seoul metropolitan railway are presented.