• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.224-229
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• 2005

In this paper, we Propose a novel cepstrum normalization method which normalizes the probability density function (pdf) of cepstrum for robust speech recognition in additive noise environments. While the conventional methods normalize the first- and/or second-order statistics such as the mean and/or variance of the cepstrum. the proposed method fully normalizes the statistics of cepstrum by making the pdfs of clean and noisy cepstrum identical to each other For the target Pdf, the generalized Gaussian distribution is selected to consider various densities. In recognition phase, we devise a table lookup method to save computational costs. From the speaker-independent isolated-word recognition experiments, we show that the Proposed method gives improved Performance compared with that of the conventional methods, especially in heavy noise environments.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.83-117
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• 2004

This study investigates the spatial distributions of the ambient levels of air pollutants ($SO_2$, $NO_2$, $O_3$, CO, and PM) in Seoul metropolitan area using the data obtained by the air pollution observation stations. This study estimated a non-parametric kernel density function and two types of inequality indices, Gini and Entropy. Our estimation results show that the degree of inequality in spatial distribution of air pollution, in general, tends to be stable or slightly decreasing for the period of 1990~2001. In addition, we found that there are significant dynamics of air pollution levels in terms of spatial ranking.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.203-211
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• 2023

A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation is proposed for probabilistic full waveform inversion (FWI) in a layered half-space. Dynamic responses on the half-space surface are estimated using the thin-layer method when a harmonic vertical force is applied. Subsequently, a posterior probability distribution function and the corresponding objective function are formulated to minimize the difference between estimations and observed data as well as that of model parameters from prior information. Based on the gradient of the objective function, a proposal distribution and an acceptance probability for MCMC samples are proposed. The proposed MCMC simulation is applied to several layered half-space examples. It is demonstrated that the proposed MCMC simulation for probabilistic FWI can estimate probabilistic material properties such as the shear-wave velocities of a layered half-space.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.425-437
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• 2013

This study performed the bivariate drought frequency analysis for duration and severity of drought, using copula functions which allow considering the correlation structure of joint features of drought. We suggested the confidence intervals of duration-severity-frequency (DSF) curves for the given drought duration using stochastic scheme of monthly rainfall generation for 57 sites in Korea. This study also investigated drought risk via illustrating the largest drought events on record over 50 and 100 consecutive years. It appears that drought risks are much higher in some parts of the Nakdong River basin, southern and east coastal areas. However, such analyses are not always reliable, especially when the frequency analysis is performed based on the data observed over relatively short period of time. To quantify the uncertainty of drought frequency curves, the droughts were filtered by different durations. The 5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% confidence intervals of the drought severity for a given duration were estimated based on the simulated rainfall time series. Finally, it is shown that the growing uncertainties is revealed in the estimation of the joint probability using the two marginal distributions since the correlation coefficient of two variables is relatively low.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1845-1849
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 관측자료에 나타난 Clark 단위도의 매개변수를 검토하고 그 변동성을 평가하였다. 강우-유출과정에 영향을 미치는 유역 및 기상 특성인자들을 확률밀도함수로 정량화하였고, 유역의 집중시간 및 저류상수를 호우사상의 특성 및 유역의 조건을 고려하여 다변량 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 이를 Monte Carlo 모의기법에 적용하여 유역평균 저류상수 및 집중시간에 대한 신뢰구간을 추정하였다. 또한 신뢰구간을 좁히기 위한 방안으로 관측된 집중시간 및 저류상수를 Bootstrap 기법으로 처리하였다. 그 결과 유역을 대표하는 유출특성의 결정에는 관측 강우-유출사상의 수가 어느 정도 확보된다고 하더라도 여전히 높은 불확실성을 피하기 힘들다는 것이다. 집중시간의 경우는 그 분포가 상당히 왜곡된 형태여서 단순한 산술평균은 상당히 왜곡된 추정치를 제시할 가능성이 높다. 단순히 관측치를 이용한 경우보다 Monte Carlo 모의기법에 의한 경우 신뢰구간이 2-3배정도 좁게 나타났다. 어느 정도 신뢰도 있는 집중시간 및 저류상수의 추정을 위해서는 최소 10여개 대략 20개 정도 이상의 호우사상이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 목적은 주어진 유역을 대표할 수 있는 집중시간 및 저류상수를 결정하고자 하는 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서의 방법론을 적용하여 관측자료가 존재하는 다양한 유역에서의 집중시간 및 저류상수를 결정하고, 이를 지형인자 유역특성을 고려하여 회귀분석하는 경우 보다 정도 있는 경험식의 개발도 가능할 것이다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.49 no.6
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• pp.521-528
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• 2021

In order to allocate an appropriate interceptor weapon to an air track for which the threat assessment has been completed, it is necessary to evaluate the suitability of engagement in consideration of the expected point of engagement. In this thesis, a method of calculating the kill probability is proposed according to the position in the engagement space using Bayesian theorem with multivariate attribute information such as relative distance, approach azimuth angle, and altitude of the air track when passing through the engagement space. As a result of the calculation, it was confirmed that the distribution form of the kill probability value for each point in the engagement space follows a multivariate normal distribution based on the optimal predicted intercepting point. It is expected to be applicable to the engagement suitability evaluation of the engagement space.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.16 no.5 s.83
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• pp.581-589
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• 2004

This paper compares the fatigue behaviors of concretes subjected to flexural and split-tensional loadings, and proposes the fatigue reliability models based on experimental results and reliability analysis. The fatigue tests were performed for the specimens of $150 mm{\times}75 mm$ split tensional cylinders and $150 mm{\times}150 mm{\times}550 mm$ flexural beams under constant loadings at three levels (70, 80 and $90\%$) with 0.1 stress ratio, 20 Hz loading speed and sine wave. The reliability analysis on fatigue data was based on Weibull distribution of two-parameters. From fatigue test results, two criteria were proposed to reject the experimental fatigue data because of statistical variation of concrete fatigue data. Two parameters ($\alpha$and u) of Weibull distribution were obtained using graphical method, moment method and maximum likelihood method. The probability density function(P.D.F) and cumulative distribution function(C.D.F) of the Weibull distribution for fatigue life of pavement concrete were derived for various stress levels using parameters, $\alpha$ and u. The goodness-of-fit test by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was acceptable at $5\%$ level of significance. Based on reliability analysis, a fatigue model for pavement concrete was proposed and compared from existing models.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.473-491
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• 1999

세균성 이질은 국내 제1종 법정 전염병으로 분류되어 관리되고 있는 질환으로서 1998년 이후 그 발병 사례가 급속히 증가하고 있다. 본 연구는 1999년 3월 부산시 사상구에서 집단 발병한 세균성 이질을 대상으로 하여, 각 환자들의 발병 시점과 장소의 분포패턴에 대한 지리학적 고찰을 목적으로 한다. 환자분포의 특징적 공간패턴과 그들의 시계열적 확산 양상 등을 탐색하기 위한 방법론은 보건지리학과 지도학 및 공간통계학에 기반을 둔 공간분석기법을 중심으로 설정하였다. 분석자료는 해당 지역의 수치지형도, 지적도, 인구 센서스 자료를 포함한 GIS 데이터베이스로 구축되었다. 인구분포를 감안한 밀도구분도를 바탕으로 개별환자의 위치자료와 동 단위로 집계된 자료를 자료의 형태에 따라 분석기법을 달리하였으며, 환자 발생 밀도, 상대적 위험지수 등을 지도화하여 역학자료의 시각적 통계적 분석을 수행하였다. 환자분포의 공간적 중심위치와 분산의 변화 등 기술적 통계분석과 함께 제1차 공간속성을 커널추정법으로 찾아보았다. 이와 더불어 ‘공간적 의존성’과 관련된 제2차 공간속성은 K-함수와 시뮬레이션을 통해 분석하여 군집성 등이 통계적으로 확인되었다. 본 연구를 통해 역학조사시 GIS의 활용사례가 제시되었으며, 모집단 인구를 고려한 확률지도 작성 기법과 다양한 데이터 가시화 방법, 그리고 시계열별 발생 환자들의 지리적 변이를 분석 하는데 따르는 문제들이 논의되었다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.2B
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• pp.131-139
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• 2009

Recently frequent occurrences of heavy rainfall and increases of rainfall intensity resulted in severe flood damage in Korea. In order to mitigate the vulnerability of flood, it is necessary to estimate proper design rainfalls considering the increasing trend of extreme rainfalls for hydrologic planning and design. This study focused the estimation of design rainfalls in a design target year. Tests of trend indicated that there are 7 sites showing increasing trends among 56 sites which have hourly data more than 30 years in Korea. This study analyzed the relationship between mean of annual maximum rainfalls and parameters of the Gumbel distribution. Based on the relationship, this study estimated the probability density function and design rainfalls in a design target year, and then constructed the rainfall-frequency curve. The proposed method estimated the design rainfalls 6-20% higher than those from the stationary rainfall frequency analysis.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.146-154
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• 2023

In this study, the peak wave period T_p and mean wave period T₀₂ and T_{m-1, 0}, which are major parameters for classifying ocean characteristics, were calculated using water surface elevation data observed from the second west coast oceanographic and meteorological observation tower. In addition, the ratio of abnormal data, correlation analysis, and optimal probability density function were estimated. In the case of T_p among the calculated representative periods, the proportion of abnormal data was 5.73% and 0.67% at each point, and T₀₂ was 4.35% and 0.01%. T_{m-1, 0} was found to be 2.82% and 0.03%. Meanwhile, as a result of analyzing the relationship between T₀₂ and T_p, the relationship was calculated to be 0.53 and 0.63 for each point. The relationship between T_{m-1, 0} and T_p was 1.15 and 1.32, respectively, and T₀₂, T_{m-1, 0} was 1.18 and 1.22. As a result of estimating the optimal probability density function of the calculated representative period, T_p followed the 'Log-normal' and 'Normal' distributions at each point, and T₀₂ was 'Gamma', 'Normal' distribution and T_{m-1, 0} showed that 'Log-normal' and 'Normal' distribution were dominant, respectively. It is decided that these results can be used as basic data for wave analysis conducted on the west coast.