• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률론적 유지관리기법

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Maintenance of the Sea-crossing Bridge for Ship Collision Problems (선박충돌 문제에 대한 해상교량의 유지관리)

  • Bae, Yong-Gwi;Lee, Seong-Lo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2016
  • Damage of sea-crossing bridge by ship collision is related to estimate frequencies of overloading due to impact, and bridge accordingly must be designed to satisfy related acceptance criteria. Another important aspect is the management on increment of collision risk during the service period. In this study, related plan, main span length, air draft clearance and collision risk are analyzed for the interim assessment of Incheon Bridge focusing on the ship collision problem. In particular, for the increment of collision risk, the optimized navigation speed is proposed by reviewing the research findings and navigation guidelines etc. as a temporary expedient. Also basic procedure for reasonable prediction of target vessel and passage is established and probabilistic prediction method to embrace the uncertainty of the prediction is proposed as a fundamental solution. It is necessary to conduct further research on collision risk management and promptly carry out interim assessments of other marine bridges.

Objective Reduction Approach for Efficient Decision Making of Multi-Objective Optimum Service Life Management (다목적 최적화 기반 구조물 수명관리의 효율적 의사결정을 위한 목적감소 기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Sunyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.254-260
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    • 2017
  • The service life of civil infrastructure needs to be maintained or extended through appropriate inspections and maintenance planning, which results from the optimization process. A multi-objective optimization process can lead to more rational and flexible trade-off solutions rather than a single-objective optimization for the service life management of civil infrastructure. Recent investigations on the service life management of civil infrastructure were generally based on minimizing the life-cycle cost analysis and maximizing the structural performance. Various objectives for service life management have been developed using novel probabilistic concepts and methods over the last few decades. On the other hand, an increase in the number of objectives in a multi-objective optimization problem can lead to difficulties in computational efficiency, visualization, and decision making. These difficulties can be overcome using the objective reduction approach to identify the redundant and essential objectives. As a result, the efficiency in computational efforts, visualization, and decision making can be improved. In this paper, the multi-objective optimization using the objective reduction approach was applied to the service life management of concrete bridges. The results showed that four initial objectives can be reduced by two objectives for the optimal service life management.

Probabilistic Estimation of Service Life of Box Culvert for Power Transmission Considering Carbonation and Crack Effect (탄산화와 균열을 고려한 전력구 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 수명 예측)

  • Woo, Sang-Kyun;Lee, Yun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2014
  • The demand of underground structure such as box culvert for electric power transmission is increasing more and more, and the service life extension of these structures is very important. Recent observations in field and experimental evidences show that even steel in concrete can be corroded by carbonation reaction of cover concrete. Carbonation-induced corrosion in concrete may often occur in a high carbon dioxide environment. In this study, the risk of carbonation of box culverts in our nation was evaluated by measuring the carbonation rate and concrete cover depth in field. Then, the service life due to carbonation at the cover depth was calculated by in situ information and the Monte Carlo simulation in a probabilistic way. Additionally, the accelerated carbonation test for the cracked beam specimen was executed and the crack effect owing to the carbonation process on the service life of box culvert was numerically investigated via Monte Carlo simulation based on the experimental results.

Probabilistic Neural Network for Prediction of Compressive Strength of Concrete (콘크리트 압축강도 추정을 위한 확률 신경망)

  • Kim, Doo-Kie;Lee, Jong-Jae;Chang, Seong-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2004
  • The compressive strength of concrete is a criterion to produce concrete. However, the tests on the compressive strength are complicated and time-consuming. More importantly, it is too late to make improvement even if the test result does not satisfy the required strength, since the test is usually performed at the 28th day after the placement of concrete at the construction site. Therefore, strength prediction before the placement of concrete is highly desirable. This study presents the probabilistic technique for predicting the compressive strength of concrete on the basis of concrete mix proportions. The estimation of the strength is based on the probabilistic neural network which is an effective tool for pattern classification problem and gives a probabilistic result, not a deterministic value. In this study, verifications for the applicability of the probabilistic neural networks were performed using the test results of concrete compressive strength. The estimated strengths are also compared with the results of the actual compression tests. It has been found that the present methods are very efficient and reasonable in predicting the compressive strength of concrete probabilistically.

Correlation Effect of Maintenances on Probabilistic Service Life Management (확률론적 구조물 수명관리의 유지보수 상관관계 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Sunyong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2016
  • The assessment and prediction of service life of a structure are usually under uncertainty so that rational probabilistic concepts and methods have to be applied. Based on these rational assessment and prediction, optimum maintenance strategies to minimize the life-cycle cost and/or maximize the structural safety can be established. The service life assessment and prediction considering maintenance actions generally includes effects of maintenance types and times of the structural components on the service life extensions of structural system. Existing researches on the service life management have revealed the appropriate system modeling considering the correlation among the components is required for system reliability analysis and probabilistic service life estimation. However, the study on correlation among the maintenance actions is still required. This paper deals with such a study for more effective and efficient service life management. In this paper, both the preventive and essential maintenances are considered for the extended service life estimation and management.

Estimation of Life Expectancy and Budget Demands based on Maintenance Strategy (도로포장 유지보수 전략에 따른 기대수명과 보수비용산정)

  • Han, Dae-Seok;Do, Myung-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.4D
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2012
  • Road pavement requires repetitive maintenance works to maintain satisfactory service level to the public. However, the repetitive maintenance works upon deteriorated pavement structure make negative effects to deterioration speed. It often leads to inefficient use of limited budget. For that reason, the pavements require reconstruction work to recover their original performance. Recently, construction demands in the Korean national highway have already been reached to maximum level, and the aged pavements start to demand much more reconstruction works. However, in the real world, road agencies have often been confused when they determine maintenance design for such aged road sections due to budget constraint. It is because there is no reliable long-term maintenance strategy that supports their decision making. To support their decision making, this paper aimed to suggest the best maintenance strategy considering changing process of pavement performance by repetitive maintenance works. As an analysis method, probability distribution and hazard function to estimate the life expectancy were adopted, and then the results were used for long-term life cycle cost analysis with deterministic or Monte-Carlo method under various scenarios. As an empirical study, the Korean national highway data that has long-maintenance history data since 1986 has been applied. Last, this paper considered quality assurance of maintenance work to improve maintenance quality. These could be important information as a part of long-term maintenance strategy of pavement.

Proposal of the Modified Management Criteria Value in Earth Retaining Structure using Measured Data (계측자료를 이용한 흙막이 구조물의 수정된 관리기준치 제안)

  • Kim, Jueng-Kyu;Park, Heung-Gyu;Nam, Jin-Won
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2016
  • The absolute value management method is widely used in the most of the earth retaining construction, which evaluates the safety by comparing measurement result and management criteria. Therefore, the management criteria is the standard to evaluate the safety of the site, and in other words, the criteria is a direct factor of the evaluation. That means that the safety of the site can not be acquired if the management criteria is not proper, even though the measurement system is perfectly set. However, many of field technicians do not have rely on the current management criteria, and they even recognize the necessity of the revision. Therefore, in this study, the necessity of the revision was studied. Also, the optimum criteria selection and the application were performed based on the test results of earth retaining deflection and probabilistic theory. The absolute value management method was used for this study. The details are tabulated.

Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Coastal Structures using LHS-based Reliability Analysis Method (LHS기반 신뢰성해석 기법을 이용한 해안구조물의 확률론적 위험도평가)

  • Huh, Jung-Won;Jung, Hong-Woo;Ahn, Jin-Hee;An, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2015
  • An efficient and practical reliability evaluation method is proposed for the coastal structures in this paper. It is capable of evaluating reliability of real complicated coastal structures considering uncertainties in various sources of design parameters, such as wave and current loads, resistance-related design variables including Young's modulus and compressive strength of the reinforced concrete, soil parameters, and boundary conditions. It is developed by intelligently integrating the Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and the finite element method (FEM). The LHS-based MCS is used to significantly reduce the computational effort by limiting the number of simulation cycles required for the reliability evaluation. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method were verified using a caisson-type breakwater structure in the numerical example.

Probabilistic Service Life Analysis of GGBFS Concrete Exposed to Carbonation Cold Joint and Loading Conditions (탄산화에 노출된 GGBFS 콘크리트의 콜드 조인트 및 하중 재하를 고려한 확률론적 내구수명 해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hoon;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2020
  • Carbonation is a deterioration which degrades structural and material performance by permitting CO2 and corrosion of embedded steel. Service life evaluation through deterministic method is conventional, however the researches with probabilistic approach on service life considering loading and cold joint effect on carbonation have been performed very limitedly. In this study, probabilistic service life evaluation was carried out through MCS (Monte Carlo Simulation) which adopted random variables such as cover depth, CO2 diffusion coefficient, exterior CO2 concentration, and internal carbonatable materials. Probabilistic service life was derived by changing mean value and COV (Coefficient of variation) from 100 % to 300 % and 0.1 ~ 0.2, respectively. From the analysis, maximum reduction ratio (47.7%) and minimum reduction ratio (11.4%) of service life were obtained in cover depth and diffusion coefficient, respectively. In the loading conditions of 30~60% for compressive and tensile stress, GGBFS concrete was effective to reduce cold joint effect on carbonation. In the tensile condition, service life decreased linearly regardless of material types. Additionally service life rapidly decreased due to micro crack propagation in the all cases when 60% loading was considered in compressive condition.

Study for Progress Rate of Standard Deviation of Irregularity Based on Track Properties for the Railway Track Maintenance Cycle Analysis (궤도 유지보수 주기 예측을 위한 구간 특성에 따른 궤도틀림 표준편차 진전정도 분석)

  • Jeong, Min Chul;Kim, Jung Hoon;Lee, Jee Ha;Kang, Yun Suk;Kong, Jung Sik
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2012
  • The irregularity of railway track affects not only the comfort of ride such as noise or vibration but also the safety of train operation. For this reason, it is an interesting research area to design a reliable and sustainable railway track system and to analyze the train movement mechanism based on systematic approaches considering reasons of track irregularity possible in a specific local environment. Irregularity data inspected by EM-120, an railway inspection system in Korea includes unavoidable incomplete and erratic information, so it is encountered lots of problem to analyse those data without appropriate pre-data-refining processes. In this research, for the efficient management and maintenance of railway system, progress rate of standard deviation of irregularity is quantified. During the computation, some important components of railways such as rail joint, ballast, roadbed, and fastener have been considered. Probabilistic distributions of irregularity growth with respect to time are computed to predict the remaining service life of railway track and to be adapted for the safety assessment.