• Title/Summary/Keyword: 화재사

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New composite distributions for insurance claim sizes (보험 청구액에 대한 새로운 복합분포)

  • Jung, Daehyeon;Lee, Jiyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.363-376
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    • 2017
  • The insurance market is saturated and its growth engine is exhausted; consequently, the insurance industry is now in a low growth period with insurance companies that face a fierce competitive environment. In such a situation, it will be an important issue to find the probability distributions that can explain the flow of insurance claims, which are the basis of the actuarial calculation of the insurance product. Insurance claims are generally known to be well fitted by lognormal distributions or Pareto distributions biased to the left with a thick tail. In recent years, skew normal distributions or skew t distributions have been considered reasonable distributions for describing insurance claims. Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto distribution that has the advantages of both lognormal and Pareto distributions and they also showed the composite distribution has a higher fitness than single distributions. In this paper, we introduce new composite distributions based on skew normal distributions or skew t distributions and apply them to Danish fire insurance claim data and US indemnity loss data to compare their performance with the other composite distributions and single distributions.

Indications and Estimations of the Needs for Direct Medical Control in the Patients Transported by 119 Rescuers (119 구급대에 의해 이송된 환자들 중 직접적 의료지도가 필요한 범위와 그에 따른 수요 추정)

  • Park, Jae-Young;Jung, Koo-Young;Bae, Hyun-A
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3 s.63
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2006
  • Direct medical control by medical doctors is an essential part of emergency medical services system (EMSS). However, the indications are not specifically defined, even in 119 system with their own medical control team. The Seoul Metropolitan Fire and Disaster Management Department has operated internal medical consultation services on its own since January 2004. Based on the experiences from these services, we reviewed the cases of the direct medical consultation and establish the indications for direct medical control. And we presumed the demand of direct medical control with the established indications. The crews of 119 in Seoul made 793 calls to Medical Control Team during November 2004. We reviewed all of the calls according to the level of consciousness (AVPU), the kinds of emergency care done by crews during transport (10 categories), and the mechanisms of injuries (9 categories). The need for direct medical control was judged by authors with reviewing the records reported by the crews and control teams. Among 23 items, 14 items assigned as the indications, which were abnormal level of consciousness (VPU), 6 kinds of emergency care, and 5 mechanisms of injures. The sum of the three of them, 7,782 cases (45.9%), was in need of direct medical control. In conclusion, about half of the patients transported by 119 crews in Seoul require direct medical control. The need for the direct medical control in Seoul was estimated as many as 260 calls per day. To fulfill the need for direct medical control and to provide a effective medical control, the direct medical control should be accomplished through the communications between the crews and the medical staffs in the local hospitals.

Study on Guideline of Water Supply System for Forest Fire (산불방지 급수시설 설치 기준 마련에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Nam, Song-Hee;Keum, Si-Hoon
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2013
  • Permanent water supply and water sprinkling systems are essential to protect major forests and facilities from forest fire. Back in 2005, Naksan Temple, a valuable cultural asset of Korea, was burned down in a forest fire that took place in Yangyang. This started a series of movements including installing water supply facilities and managing forests near important cultural assets. As for the existing facilities, however, they were installed without any standard guidelines for management and installation according to each constructor's specifications, which were based on the National Fire Safety Code 109. Unfortunately, this is not effective in protecting facilities from forest fires such as they have a small protection area, limited simultaneous sprinkling, and a difficult the movement of fire hose. Against this background, the study examines the condition of water supply facilities currently in use, identifies their deficiencies, and suggests how to improve the criteria for water supply service to effectively prevent forest fire. Specifically, three systems were proposed: Water Sprinkler Tower System for preventing spread of crown fires, and Forest Fire Hydrant System and Portable Water Spray System to be effective for suppressing surface fires. In addition, the standards on the performance and components of water pumps are also suggested.

A Numerical Simulation of the Effect of the Injection Angle and Velocity of the $CO_2$ Agent Nozzle on the Characteristics of $CO_2$ Concentration Distribution ($CO_2$ 소화제 노즐 분사각 및 분사속도가 $CO_2$ 농도분포특성에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치적 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Su
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2 s.62
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2006
  • We have conducted a numerical simulation under two-dimensional unsteady conditions in order to analyze the effect according to the injection angle and velocity of the $CO_2$ agent nozzle which is one of the elements for the fixed type $CO_2$ fire extinguishing system installed in a ship on the characteristics of flow and $CO_2$ concentration distribution. The flow fields and concentration fields were measured and analyzed. We can found that the difference of flow patterns according to the conditions of $CO_2$ agent injection nozzle, and in all the conditions of $CO_2$ agent injection nozzle, the iso-concentration line was expanded from the region at which vortex was generated to the surroundings. We can expected that the intensity of the wall jet on the bottom floor was generated differently and the iso-concentration lines were expanded or shrunk according to the angle of $CO_2$ agent injection nozzle. In case of increasing $CO_2$ agent injection velocity maintaining the flow quantity of the $CO_2$ agent injection equally, the iso-concentration line of $CO_2$ agent on bottom floor can be formed more higher than in case of decreasing $CO_2$ agent injection velocity.

Study on the Effect of Life Safety Awareness and Safety Behaviors of Fire Professional Engineers on Life Safety (소방기술사의 안전의식, 안전행동과 인명안전과의 관계 연구)

  • Kim, Myung-Cheol;Ko, Han-Mog;Park, Jae-Kwan;Seo, Hae-Yeol;Yu, Byoung-Sun;Yoo, Chang-Bum;Youn, Hae-Kwon;Joo, Seung-Ho
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 2018
  • In the present study, a group of subjects consisting of "Fire Professional Engineers" was selected to examine the effects of life safety awareness and safety behaviors of the subjects on life safety through an analyses of the descriptive statistics, factors, reliability, and correlation; simple regression and three-stage regression analyses on mediation were also carried out based on the hypotheses developed. The results showed that the degree of safety behavior increased by 72.1% in accordance with the increased safety awareness of fire professional engineers; the life safety was also increased by 61.5% and 64.5% by the increases in safety awareness and safety behavior of fire professional engineers, respectively. In addition, the safety behaviors demonstrated a partial mediatory effect in the relationship between safety awareness and life safety. All hypotheses (H1, H2, H3, H4), established for the present study, were accepted based on statistical verifications that justified an amendment of the Acts pertinent to firefighting service focusing on life safety; the data are expected to be exploited to reflect significance of life safety.

Factors Affecting the Satisfaction of Simulation Education about Emergency Delivery for Paramedic Students (응급구조학과 학생의 응급분만 시뮬레이션 교육 만족도 영향요인)

  • Baek, Mi-Lye
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2014
  • This study investigated the confidence, satisfaction, and psychological safety and identified factors affecting the satisfaction of 41 paramedic students. Data, which consists of pre and post-confidence items on visual analogue scale, 21 satisfaction items and 10 psychological safety items was analyzed using SPSS WIN 21.0 program. After the simulation education, the students were told to write what they felt about the education. Then the students' comments, which were categorized as effectiveness and difficulty, were analyzed. Satisfaction of general characteristics showed a significant difference in age (t = -2.22, p = 0.03) and psychological safety of general characteristics showed a significant difference in gender (t = 3.70, p = 0.00) and age (t = -3.65, p = 0.00). Pre-confidence is low (4.37); however, post-confidence increased to 6.22. It showed a significant difference in pre and post-confidence (t = -5.878, p = 0.000). Satisfaction was correlated with psychological safety (r = 0.516, p = 0.001). The variables affecting satisfaction were psychological safety (t = 3.021, p = 0.005) and post-confidence (t = 1.936, p = 0.061). These variables accounted for 27.6% of the satisfaction according to a regression analysis. The simulation education may be the new effective paramedic education strategy of emergency childbirth. Repetitive simulation learning with further development of various scenarios, more education time, and more faculties will be able to train field compatible paramedics.

Efficacy and Usability of Patient Isolation Transport Module for CBRN Disaster : A Manikin Simulation Study (특수재난 대응 환자 격리 이송 장비의 효율성 및 편의성 평가: 마네킹시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Hong;Hong, Ki-Jeong;Haam, Seung-Hee;Choi, Jin-Woo
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.116-122
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    • 2018
  • In Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) disaster, integrated and optimized equipment package including stretcher, isolation unit, patient monitoring and treatment equipment is essential to achieve proper treatment and prevent secondary contamination. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the efficiency and ease of use of integrated CBRN disaster equipment package for disaster medical response. This study was a randomized crossover study using a manikin simulation for emergency medical technitian (EMT). All participants used the existing devices and prototype of integrated CBRN disaster equipment package alternately. Efficiency was measured by time from vital sign change to detection or treatment application. Ease was use was measured by questionnaires for each patient monitor, stretcher care and isolation unit. 12 EMTs were enrolled. hypoxia-detection time of integrated equipment group was significantly shorter than existing equipment group (4.9 s (3.8-3.9) vs 3.5 s (2.5-3.9), p < 0.05). There was decreasing tendency of ECG change detection and facial mask oxygen supply but no statistical significance was observed. Overall satisfaction of patient monitoring device in integrated equipment group was significantly higher than existing devices (4(3.5-5) vs 3(3-3), p < 0.05). The use of integrated CBRN disaster equipment package shortened the hypoxia detection time and improved usability of vital sign monitor compared to existing devices.

A study on damage prediction analysis for styrene monomer fire explosion accidents (스티렌 모노머 화재폭발사고 피해예측 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hyung-Su Choi;Min-Je Choi;Guy-Sun Cho
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2024
  • This study selected the worst-case scenario for fireball and vapor cloud explosion (VCE) of a styrene monomer storage tank installed in a petrochemical production plant and performed damage prediction and accident impact analysis. The range of influence of radiant heat and overpressure due to fireball and vapor VCE during the abnormal polymerization reaction of styrene monomer, the main component of the mixed residue oil storage tank, was quantitatively analyzed by applying the e-CA accident damage prediction program. The damage impact areas of radiant heat and explosion overpressure are analyzed to have a maximum radius of 1,150m and 626m, respectively. People within 1,150m of radiant heat of 4kW/m2 may have their skin swell when exposed to it for 20 seconds. In buildings within 626m, where an explosion overpressure of 21kPa is applied, steel structures may be damaged and separated from the foundation, and people may suffer physical injuries. In the event of a fire, explosion or leak, determine the risk standards such as the degree of risk and acceptability to workers in the work place, nearby residents, or surrounding facilities due to radiant heat or overpressure, identify the hazards and risks of the materials handled, and establish an emergency response system. It is expected that it will be helpful in establishing measures to minimize damage to workplaces through improvement and investment activities.

Proposal and Implementation of Emergency Response System of Gas Shut-off in Earthquake (지진시 도시가스 공급정지를 위한 긴급대응시스템의 제안 및 적용)

  • Jung, Hyo-Soon;Kim, Ick-Hyun;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2008
  • Fires that result from the excessive leakage of gas due to earthquakes cause enormous loss of property as well as numerous human casualties. To prevent such disasters, an emergency gas shut-off system is considered to be one of the effective and rational methods. Considering the seismicity, the earthquake frequency and the gas-supply system of Korea, mass gas shut-off by a gas company is determined to be more cost-effective than individual gas shut-off by customers. In this study, an emergency response system was proposed that would shut off the gas supply immediately. Two different reference seismicities were proposed, to specify rapid response according to the measured seismicity. The gas supply area was divided into several gas shut-off blocks in order to facilitate the shut-off of gas supply in damaged blocks. This proposed system was implemented in the actual gas supply area with reference seismicities on the basis of seismic damage analysis.

A Study on the Development of a Dry PFB Method with High Fire Resistance (건식화 P0SCO E&C Fire Board (PFB)공법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Woo-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.953-956
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    • 2008
  • The present study was to develop a dry PFB method similar to the existing gypsum board construction method in order to apply the existing wet PFB method that uses fire.resistant adhesive. It was found that the existing wet method can produce concrete compressive strength of 80MPa and fire resistance of 3 hours with 30mm PF boards. The goal of development in this study was fire resistance of 3 hours through dry construction of 15mm fire.resistant boards.According to the results of fire resistance test, when the dry PF method was applied, the temperature of the main reinforcing bar was 116$^{\circ}$C in 15mm, 103.8$^{\circ}$C in 20mm, and 94$^{\circ}$C in 25mm, and these results satisfied the current standards for fire resistance control presented by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs. When a 3.hour fire resistance test was performed and the external properties of the specimen were examined, the outermost gypsum board hardly remained and internal PF board maintained its form without thermal strain.

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