• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수재해

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Analysis of extreme wind speed and precipitation using copula (코플라함수를 이용한 극단치 강풍과 강수 분석)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.797-810
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    • 2017
  • The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

Study of Benefit Characteristics for Low Impact Development (LID) Facilities demonstrated in Seoul Metropolitan (서울시 저영향개발(LID) 시범 시설에 대한 편익 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Seung Won;Kim, Reeho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.299-308
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    • 2016
  • Seoul metropolitan has established a vision as 'Healthy water-cycle city' to resolve urban water-environmental deterioration. And it established administrative structure to expand Low Impact Development (LID) facilities to recover aggravated water-cycle and water-environment. Therefore, various LID facilities are constructed and operated, however, benefit analytic plans for systematic valuation are insufficient. In this study, to analyze economic, environmental and social benefits of LID facilities, contents for benefit analysis were selected and categorized as water, energy, air quality and climate changes. As a result of quantification and valuation to the beneficial effects, LID facilities showed the total benefit as 1,191~3,292 won/yr. Characteristics of benefit distribution by analysis contents were various reflecting functional characteristics of each LID facility (Water: 30~90%, Energy: 4~44%, Air quality: <1~2%, Climate change: 5~22%). As a result of Triple Bottom Line analysis, economic benefit showed the greatest portion as 75~90%. As further studies, suggested benefit assessment plans for each LID facility should be applied to inter-connected LID systems on complex-scaled area, and synergy effects by various LID systems would be evaluated such as prevention of heat island and flood disasters.

A Critical Review of Waterfront Maintenance Plan for Urban Development - Focused on Waterfront Development - (도시개발에 따른 친수공간 정비계획의 재고찰 - 워터프론트개발 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jin-Do;Park, Sung-Je;Ryu, Si-Saeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.965-969
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    • 2012
  • 도시의 개발을 통한 발전방향은 지역별 기술력을 바탕으로 시대의 흐름과 문화, 경제, 도시정책 등에 따라 다양하다. 특히, 워터프론트는 도시와 가장 근접한 친수공간으로 단어자체에 도시'라는 개념이 포함되어 있다. 즉 도시가 큰 강이나 바다, 호수 등과 접하고 있는 공간을 말한다. 우리나라는 도시계획차원에서 도시 수변공간(urban waterfront)으로 설정하고, 레크레이션, 공원, 경관형성, 환경오염 저감, 정서함양, 생산 등의 다양한 기능을 갖고 있는 매우 공공성이 높은 도시지역의 주요 공간지역으로 의미를 부여하고 있다. 그러나 워터프론트를 개발계획을 수립하는 과정에서 교통계획, 홍수 등의 재해시설, 환경 등에 대한 평가가 제대로 이루어지지 않고 있으며(한국일보, 2011), 개발 계획 추진은 주민 공감대 형성, 사업타당성 검토 없는 '밀어부치기식' 개발 지상주의로 전락하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 국내 워터프론트 개발사업 계획을 추진하고 있는 지역으로 인천 송도지역과 부산의 수산시장으로 유명한 자갈치시장 일대의 개발계획, 마산 도시재생지구의 항만 재개발계획 사례를 분석하여 개발계획의 문제점과 언론상에 비춰지는 개발의 현 실태, 지역개발의 효과 등에 대한 시사점을 도출하였다. 사례지역을 비롯한 대부분의 기존 워터프론트 개발은 경제성을 위해 규모가 큰 상업시설 위주로 개발이 이루어지고 있으며, 주거시설이나 문화시설을 비롯한 다양한 시설의 구성이 부족한 특수성을 갖추어 가고 있다. 또한, 기존의 유휴공간을 재개발하면서 도시와의 관계를 제대로 설정하지 못하여 도시와 분리된 폐쇄공간으로 개발이 이루어지고 있으며, 도시구조에 통합되지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 무엇보다 워터프론트 개발사업에 관계된 여러 집단들, 즉 중앙정부, 지방자치단체, 개발주체, 시민 등 이들 사이에 합의 도출의 어려움이 많아 좋은 계획안이 무산되거나 사업이 지체 혹은 중단되는 사례가 많았다. 워터프론트 개발에 대한 지역민사회의 충분한 공감대가 결코 형성되지 않았음에도 오히려 요식적 여론수렴 절차를 강조하고 있으며, 친환경적 도시개발이라는 사업의 목적과 맞지 않는 계획이 많았다. 특히, 관련 사업 중 항만재개발사업에는 막대한 초기 투자비가 소요되어 재개발사업을 위한 자금의 확보가 어려운 경우가 많이 있었으며, 도시의 장기발전계획과 통합된 장기적인 개발전략이 필요한데 이를 소홀히 하는 경우가 있었다. 본 연구를 통해 기존 워터프론트 개발계획의 문제점과 향후 정비계획이 추구해야 하는 친수구역의 관리방법, 주민참여 방안의 대안제시가 이루어 질 수 있었으며, 이를 바탕으로 국내 친수공간 정비계획을 재 고찰 할 수 있는 기회가 되었으면 한다.

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Economic Analysis of Typhoon Surge Floodplain that Using GIS and MD-FDA from Masan Bay, South Korea (MD-FDA와 GIS를 이용한 마산만의 태풍해일 범람구역 경제성 분석)

  • Choi, Hyun;Ahn, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.724-729
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    • 2008
  • In the case of 'MAEMI', the Typhoon which formed in September, 2003, the largest-scale damage of tidal wave was caused by the co-occurrence of Typhoon surge and full tide. Until now Korea has been focusing on the calculating the amount of damage and its restoration to cope with these sea and harbor disasters. It is essential to establish some systematic counterplans to diminish such damages of large-scale tidal invasion on coastal lowlands considering the recent weather conditions of growing scale of typhoons. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to make the counterplans for prevention against disasters fulfilled effectively based on the data conducted by comparing and analyzing the accuracy between observation values and the results of estimating the greatest overflow area according to abnormal tidal levels centered on Masan area where there was the severest damage from tidal wave at that time. It's necessary utilize data like high-resolution satellite image and LiDAR(etc.) for correct analysis data considering geographical characteristics of dangerous area from the storm surge. And we must make a solution to minimize the damage by making data of dangerous section of flood into GIS Database using those data (as stated above) and drawing correcter damage function.

An Experimental Study on Flow Characteristics Around Culvert According to Blocked Area (차단면적 변화에 따른 암거주변 흐름특성 실험연구)

  • Kim, Sung Joong;Yeo, Hong Koo;Kang, Jun Gu;Jung, Do Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.467-467
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    • 2016
  • 암거는 일반적으로 용수나 배수용의 수로가 도로, 철도, 제방 등의 아래에 매설 된 수로를 지칭한다. 이러한 암거는 산업발전으로 사회기반시설의 신설 및 확충, 재정비 등으로 많이 활용되고 있다. 최근 들어 기후로 인한 재해가 급증하면서 이러한 시설물에 대한 안정성 및 관리에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있는 것이 현실이다. 특히 소하천은 집수면적 및 유로연장이 짧고 하상경사가 급하기 때문에 홍수에 취약하다. 즉, 빨라진 유속으로 인해 구조물 주변의 세굴에 의한 유실, 토사유출로 인한 하상퇴적, 부유물로 인한 차단으로 인해 통수에 지장을 받아 피해가 발생하게 된다. 이러한 암거시설물 피해는 2차 피해로 이어질 수 있으며 사회기반시설 파괴로 도시기능이 마비되고 인근 주변지역에 침수로 인한 재산 및 인명피해까지 발생시킬 수 있는 피해 잠재능력을 보유하고 있다. 그러나 피해에 대한 예방대책은 유지관리를 통해 지속적으로 관리하는 것이 대부분의 지침 등에 소개된 내용들이다. 본 연구에서는 암거를 대상으로 암거의 폐색으로 인해 암거주변에서 변화되는 흐름특성을 축소모형을 통해 검토하고자 하였다. 암거 축소모형실험은 1.5m 폭을 갖는 직선수로에서 수행하였으며, 암거모형은 도로암거표준도(2008)를 참조하여 $3m{\times}3m$ 수로암거를 대상으로 1/10 축소모형을 제작하였다. 암거유입부 퇴적으로 인한 암거의 차단률(차단면적/암거단면적)은 차단이 발생하지 않는 0% 조건에서부터 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50% 조건에 대해 실험을 수행하였다. 실험결과 차단에 따른 암거 상류단의 수위는 차단이 없는 암거의 경우에 비해 차단율이 높아질수록 암거유입부 수위는 20.4% ~ 82.7% 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 암거의 차단률이 40% 이상일 경우 높아진 수위로 인해 암거통로의 윗상면부까지 다다르고 있으며 50%일 경우 암거를 통과하는 흐름이 자유수면흐름이 아닌 오리피스 흐름이 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 암거유입부 차단으로 인한 암거주변의 최대유속은 암거 직하류부에서 주로 발생하여 암거 유출부에서의 최대유속은 차단율이 증가할수록 선형적으로 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며 암거 유출부에서의 유속은 차단전의 조건(0%) 대비 4.2% ~ 35.5% 까지 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 결과를 토대로 고려하였을 때 대부분 산지부에서 설치되는 암거의 경우 유속이 불가피하게 증가하게 됨으로 유속에 따른 유속조절방안(차단 및 우회시설) 및 세굴대책을 세워야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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Study of Local Area Weather Condition Monitoring System in WSN (WSN기반의 국지적 기상모니터링 시스템 고찰)

  • Chung, Wan-Young;Jung, Sang-Joong;Kim, Jong-Jin;Kwon, Tae-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2009
  • An local area weather condition monitoring system to minimize many disasters from the sudden change of weather condition in local and mountain area is proposed. Firstly, the comparison of present state of the related monitoring systems and the possibility of realization with some merits are investigated. Moreover, this paper present direction of local area weather condition monitoring system based on integration of wireless sensor network and CDMA network following some case study. Through the efficient integration of both networks, the measured weather condition data from sensors can be transmitted to the server or mobile to monitor with high reliability. The proposed monitoring system will guide new type of project in wireless sensor network and support alarm service of the sudden change of weather condition to mobile user from central official regulations.

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Correlations of Earthquake Accelerations and LPIs for Liquefaction Risk Mapping in Seoul & Gyeonggi-do Area based on Artificial Scenarios (서울, 경기지역의 시나리오별 액상화 위험지도 작성을 위한 지진가속도와 LPI 상관관계 분석)

  • Baek, Woohyun;Choi, Jaesoon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2019
  • On November 15, 2017, a unpredictable liquefaction damage was occurred at the $M_L=5.4$ Pohang earthquake and after, many researches have been conducted in Korea. In Korea, where there were no cases of earthquake damage, it has been extremely neglectable in preparing earthquake risk maps and building earthquake systems that corresponded to prevention and preparation. Since it is almost impossible to observe signs and symptoms of drought, floods, and typhoons in advance, it is very effective to predict the impacts and magnitudes of seismic events. In this study, 14,040 borehole data were collected in the metropolitan area and liquefaction evaluation was performed using the amplification factor. Based on this data, liquefaction hazard maps were prepared for ground accelerations of 0.06 g, 0.14 g, 0.22 g, and 0.30 g, including 200years return period to 4,800years return period. Also, the correlation analysis between the earthquake acceleration and LPI was carried out to draw a real-time predictable liquefaction hazard map. As a result, 707 correlation equations in every cells in GIS map were proposed. Finally, the simulation for liquefaction risk mapping against artificial earthquake was performed in the metropolitan area using the proposed correlation equations.

The lnfluence of Weighting Value derived by the Regression Equation on the Result of Vulnerability Assessment (회귀식에 의해 도출된 가중치가 취약성 평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Somin;Lee, Woo-kyun;Chae, Yeo-ra;Kwak, Hanbin;Kim, Moon-Il;Jung, Raesun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.331-348
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    • 2013
  • The frequency and intensity of abnormal climate caused by climate change is increasing in Korea. Also, the amount of damage from disaster is increasing rapidly. The research on vulnerability assessment analyzes environmentally, socially and economically vulnerable indicators and is ongoing to reduce the intensity of damage and establish adaptation policies for climate change. Therefore, in this study, we assessed vulnerability using weighting value derived by the regression equation. There are 3 evaluation items : vulnerability assessment for farmland erosion to flood, vulnerability assessment for health to heat wave, vulnerability assessment for forest fire to drought. For this study, indicators for each sectors were selected and spatial data for each sectors were established using GIS program. Results showed that vulnerability to heat wave was more affected by climate factors. On the other hand, vulnerability to flood and drought was more affected by social-economic factors. Then, to analysis efficiency of the regression analysis, vulnerability result was compared between the existing vulnerability research with no weighting applied and the vulnerability research with the influence of weighting value derived by the regression. This study showed that the regression analysis is efficient to provide practical and feasible alternatives in terms of planning climate change adaptation policies and it is expected to be utilized for vulnerability assessment in the future.

A Study on Selection of Standard Scenarios in Korea for Climate Change (기후변화 표준 시나리오 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2010
  • One of the most important issues for projecting future water resources and establishing climate change adaptation strategies is 'uncertainty'. In Korea, climate change research results were very heterogeneous even in a same basin, but there have been few climate change studies dealt with the uncertainty reduction. This is because emission scenarios, GCMs, downscaling, and rainfall-runoff models that were used in the previous studies were almost all different. In this research, fifty one GCM scenarios based A and B emission scenarios were downloaded and then compared with the observed values for a period from January 2001 to December 2008. The downloaded GCM scenarios in general simulated well the observed but did not simulated well the observed precipitation especially for the flood season in Korea. The accuracy of each GCM scenario was measured with the model efficiency, PDF-based, and Relative Entropy methodology. Among the selected GCM scenarios with three methodologies, the four common GCM scenarios(CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, B1), MIROC3.2medress(NIES, B1), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A2), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A1B) were finally selected. Results of the four selected GCMs were heterogeneity and projected increases of precipitation for the Korean Peninsula by from 27.36% to 12.49%, respectively. It seems very risky to rely a water planning or a management policy on use of a single climate change scenario and from this research results. Therefore, the four selected GCM scenarios proposed quantitatively were considered firstly for the water supply in the dry season and the drought management strategy in the Korean Peninsula for the future.

Analysis of Ecological Function and Percent Passing of Erosion Control Dam by Openness (개방형에 따른 사방댐의 투과율 및 생태적 기능 분석)

  • Koo, Gil-Bon;Ma, Ho-Seop
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to analyze the openness of erosion control dams situated near mountain stream. The ecological functions of erosion control dams analyzed by such openness for adequately protect and manage the diversity of species and to prevent disasters. The obtained results were as follows. When structurally modifying or changing non-permeable, gravity type dams with a passing rate of less than 1% into open-type dams, the passing rate increased by about 77 times more from 0.72% to 55.8%. Except for closed, gravity type erosion control dams that are constructed with a special purpose such as creating sand deposits and reservoirs, there is a need to construct and improve the dams into permeable type dams that can relatively satisfactorily perform various functions such as carrying soil and sand to the downstream region and create a ecological corridor upstream and downstream for fish and amphibians. The openness based on the blocking height of the erosion control dam varies depending upon the height of the base part and the depth of the substructural part. It must be designed based on the on-site conditions and the purpose of the construction. The functional types of erosion control dams based on the open form of the cross-section as follows: the fish traffic type, flood control type, reservoir type for forest fire control), non-permeability type for soil and rock blocking, net type for blocking the rock flow and the particle screen type.