• Title/Summary/Keyword: 혼합형 결과값 예측

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데이터 마이닝 기법을 이용한 직무교육 성취집단 예측모형 개발

  • Gwak, Gi-Hyo;Seo, Yong-Mu
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.318-323
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    • 2007
  • 국방부에서 발표한 ‘국방개혁에 관한 법률’ 에 따라 2014년까지 현역병들에 대한 복무기간이 단계적으로 단축될 예정이다. 이에 따라 좀 더 효율적인 직무교육 방안이 필요하게 되어, ‘차등제 교육’을 시행하고 있다. 이 교육의 효과를 향상시키기 위해서는 훈련병들의 예상 학업 성취도를 미리 정확하게 예측하는 것이 필수적이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 입교 초기에 얻을 수 있는 신병들의 제한된 자료들을 이용하여 교육 성취도 예측 모형을 개발하였다. 본 모형의 목적 변수는 ‘일반관리 인원’, ‘집중관리 인원’의 값을 갖는 이진형 성취집단 변수이며, 사용된 기법은 k-means 군집기볍과 Decision Tree 기법을 혼합한 모형, k-means 군집기법과 Neural Network 기법을 혼합한 모형, Decision Tree 모형, Neural Network 모형, Bayesian 모형, 그리고 Logistic 모형 등을 사용하였다. 그 결과 k-means 군집기법과 Decision Tree를 혼합한 모형이 가장 좋은 예측력올 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 교육 성취집단 예측 모형은 향후 군에서 이루어지는 다양한 교육 프로그램에 적극적으로 이용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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The Estimation of Buckling Load of Pressurized Unstiffened Cylindrical Shell Using the Hybrid Vibration Correlation Technique Based on the Experimental and Numerical Approach (실험적/수치적 방법이 혼합된 VCT를 활용한 내부 압력을 받는 원통형 쉘의 좌굴 하중 예측)

  • Lee, Mi-Yeon;Jeon, Min-Hyeok;Cho, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Yeon-Ju;Kim, In-Gul;Park, Jae-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.10
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    • pp.701-708
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    • 2022
  • Since the propellant tank structure of the projectile is mainly subjected to a compressive force, there is a high risk of damage due to buckling. Large and lightweight structures such as propellant tank have a complex manufacturing process. So it requires a non-destructive test method to predict buckling load to use the structure after testing. Many studies have been conducted on Vibration Correlation Technique(VCT), which predicts buckling load using the relationship between compressive load and natural frequency, but it requires a large compressive load to predict the buckling load accurately, and it tends to decrease prediction accuracy with increasing internal pressure in structure. In this paper, we analyzed the causes of the decrease in prediction accuracy when internal pressure increases and proposed a method increasing prediction accuracy under the low compressive load for being usable after testing, through VCT combined testing and FEA result. The prediction value by the proposed method was very consistent with the measured actual buckling load.

An experimental study for the prediction of combustion performance of the Unlike Impinging Quadlet Injector (충돌형 Quadlet 인젝터의 연소성능 예측에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, J.W.;Park, H.H.;Han, J.S.;Kim, S.J.;Kim, Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 1999
  • For the prediction of combustion performance of the Unlike Impinging Quadlet Injector (OOOF type), mixing efficiency, mixing characteristic velocity, and efficiency of mixing characteristic velocity were obtained from the cold test. Water/kerosene were used for simulants, The momentum ratio of oxidizer and fuel were mixing correlating parameter. Orifice discharge coefficient, spray pattern and mass distribution were measured. As a result, invasion-depth had strong effect on mixing efficiency, mixing characteristic velocity, and efficiency of mixing characteristic velocity. Mixing efficiency and efficiency of mixing characteristic velocity showed maximum value for momentum ratio 1.67(TMR = 2.5), and fuel rich state showed larger decreasing ratio than oxidizer rich state.

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Study on Combustion Gas Properties of a Fuel-Rich Gas Generator (연료 과농 가스발생기의 연소 가스 물성치에 관한 연구)

  • Seo Seong-Hyeon;Han Yeoung-Min;Kim Sung-Ku;Choi Hwan-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.118-122
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    • 2006
  • For the development of a gas generator of a liquid rocket engine, the prediction of thermodynamic properties of combustion gas with respect to a propellant mixture ratio becomes critical. The present study focuses on the temperature measurement of exit combustion gas as a function of a mixture ratio through combustion tests of a fuel-rich gas generator propelled by Lox/Jet A-1. The measurement of combustion dynamic and static pressures allowed indirect estimation of thermodynamic properties like specific heat ratio, gas constant, and constant pressure specific heat. Comparing the results with empirical prediction through an interpolation reveals that the interpolation method calibrated using temperature results can be utilized as an effective tool for the design of a fuel-rich gas generator.

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Analysis of solute transport in rivers using a stochastic storage model (확률론적 저장대모형을 이용한 하천에서의 물질혼합거동 해석)

  • Kim, Byunguk;Seo, Il Won;Kwon, Siyoon;Jung, Sung Hyun;Yun, Se Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2021
  • The one-dimensional solute transport models have been developed for recent decades to predict behavior and fate of solutes in rivers. Transient storage model (TSM) is the most popular model because of its simple conceptualization to consider the complexity of natural rivers. However, the TSM is highly dependent on its parameters which cannot be directly measured. In addition, the TSM interprets the late-time behavior of concentration curves in the shape of an exponential function, which has been evaluated as not suitable for actual solute behavior in natural rivers. In this study, we suggested a stochastic approach to the solute transport analysis. We delineated the model development and model application to a natural river, and compared the results of the proposed model to those of the TSM. To validate the proposed model, a tracer test was carried out in the 4.85 km reach of Gam Creek, one of the first-order tributaries of Nakdong River, South Korea. As a result of comparing the power-law slope of the tail of breakthrough curves, the simulation results from the stochastic storage model yielded the average error rate of 0.24, which is more accurate than the 14.03 and 1.87 from advection-dispersion model and TSM, respectively. This study demonstrated the appropriateness of the power-law residence time distribution to the hyporheic zone of the Gam Creek.

A Short-Term Traffic Information Prediction Model Using Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 단기 교통정보 예측모델)

  • Yu, Young-Jung;Cho, Mi-Gyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.765-773
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    • 2009
  • Currently Telematics traffic information services have been various because we can collect real-time traffic information through Intelligent Transport System. In this paper, we proposed and implemented a short-term traffic information prediction model for giving to guarantee the traffic information with high quality in the near future. A Short-term prediction model is for forecasting traffic flows of each segment in the near future. Our prediction model gives an average speed on the each segment from 5 minutes later to 60 minutes later. We designed a Bayesian network for each segment with some casual nodes which makes an impact to the road situation in the future and found out its joint probability density function on the supposition of GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model) using EM(Expectation Maximization) algorithm with training real-time traffic data. To validate the precision of our prediction model we had conducted various experiments with real-time traffic data and computed RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) between a real speed and its prediction speed. As the result, our model gave 4.5, 4.8, 5.2 as an average value of RMSE about 10, 30, 60 minutes later, respectively.

Harmonic Mean Weight by Combining Content Based Filtering and Collaborative Filtering in a Recommender System (내용 기반 여과와 협력적 여과의 병합을 통한 추천 시스템에서 조화 평균 가중치)

  • 정경용;류중경;강운구;이정현
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.30 no.3_4
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2003
  • Recent recommender system user a method of combining collaborative filtering system and content based filtering system in order to slove the problem of the Sparsity and First-Rater in collaborative filtering system. In this paper, to make up for the prediction accuracy in hybrid Recommender system, the harmonic mean weight(CBCF_harmonic_mean) is used for calculating the user similarity weight. After setting up the threshold as 45 considering the performance of content based filtering, we apply significance weight of n/45 to user similarity weight. To estimate the performance of the proposed method, it if compared with that of combing both the existing collaborative filtering system and the content- based filtering system. As a result, it confirms that the suggested method is efficient at improving the prediction accuracy as solving problems of the exiting collaborative filtering system.

Numerical Study of Heat Flux and BOG in C-Type Liquefied Hydrogen Tank under Sloshing Excitation at the Saturated State (포화상태에 놓인 C-Type 액체수소 탱크의 슬로싱이 열 유속과 BOG에 미치는 변화의 수치적 분석)

  • Lee, Jin-Ho;Hwang, Se-Yun;Lee, Sung-Je;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.299-308
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to predict the tendency for heat exchange and boil-off gas (BOG) in a liquefied hydrogen tank under sloshing excitation. First, athe fluid domain excited by sloshing was modeled using a multiphase-thermal flow domain in which liquid hydrogen and hydrogen gas are in the saturated state. Both the the volume of fluid (VOF) and Eulerian-based multi-phase flow methods were applied to validate the accuracy of the pressure prediction. Second, it was indirectly shown that the fluid velocity prediction could be accurate by comparing the free surface and impact pressure from the computational fluid dynamics with those from the experimental results. Thereafter, the heat ingress from the external convective heat flux was reflected on the outer surfaces of the hydrogen tank. Eulerian-based multiphase-heat flow analysis was performed for a two-dimensional Type-C cylindrical hydrogen tank under rotational sloshing motion, and an inflation technique was applied to transform the fluid domain into a computational grid model. The heat exchange and heat flux in the hydrogen liquid-gas mixture were calculated throughout the analysis,, whereas the mass transfer and vaporization models were excluded to account for the pure heat exchange between the liquid and gas in the saturated state. In addition, forced convective heat transfer by sloshing on the inner wall of the tank was not reflected so that the heat exchange in the multiphase flow of liquid and gas could only be considered. Finally, the effect of sloshing on the amount of heat exchange between liquid and gas hydrogen was discussed. Considering the heat ingress into liquid hydrogen according to the presence/absence of a sloshing excitation, the amount of heat flux and BOG were discussed for each filling ratio.

Design of Optical Peramplifier with InGaAs APD/GaAs MESFET (InGaAs APD/GaAs MESFET를 이용한 광 수신 전치증폭기의 설계)

  • 이영철;신철재
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1071-1083
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, we describe the design and realization of optical preamplifier with InGaAs APD and GaAs MESFET. Optical preamplifier which is three stage trans-impedance circuit is analyzed in detail and realized in microstrip circuits. With the kmowledge of the InGaAs, GaAs MESFET and BJT, the performance of the optical is predicted by computer simulation and the theoretical predictions are compared with the experimental results. The designed hybrid MIC optical preamplifier exhibits a bandwith of 380MHz and a receiver sensitivity of -40. 6dBm at $1.55{\mu}m$ wavelength when operating at 565Mb/s with BER of $10^{-9}$.

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Kinetic Studies on Solvolyses of Substituted Cinnamoyl Chlorides in Alcohol-Water Mixture (알코올-물 혼합 용매계에서 치환된 염화신남오일의 가용매분해반응에 관한 속도론적 연구)

  • Koo, In Sun;Kim, Jung Soon;An, Sun Kyoung;Yang, Kyu Il;Lee, Ic Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 1999
  • Solvolyses of para-substituted cinnamoyl chlorides in aqueous binary mixtures of acetone, ethanol, methanol were investigated at 25.0$^{\circ}C$. These data were interpreted using the Grunwald-Winstein relationship, Hammett equation, and quantum mechanical model. Grunwald-Winstein plots of the first-order rate constants for para-substituted cinnamoyl chlorides with $Y_{CI}$ showed marked dispersions into three separate curves for the three aqueous mixtures with a large m vaIue for aqueous alcohol solvents. This study has shown that the potential energy surface and quanturm mechanical model predict transition state variation correctly for $S_N1$ like $S_N2$ reaction mechanism of para-substituted cinnamoyl chlorides.

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