• Title/Summary/Keyword: 해수면 온도의 변화

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Analysis the relationship between Sea Surface Temperature of East Asia and Precipitation in South Korea using Multi-Channel Singular Spectrum Analysis (M-SSA를 이용한 동아시아 해수면 온도와 우리나라 강수량의 변화 상관분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Park, Chan-Hee;HwangBo, Jung-Do
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1117-1120
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    • 2009
  • 최근 이상기후와 같은 기후변화로 인한 기온, 강수 등의 변화는 안정적인 수자원 확보에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 판단되고 수자원을 필요로 하는 사회 모든 분야에 있어 큰 영향을 끼친다. 특히 농업, 공업, 도시의 용수 공급에 있어 변화는 더욱 심해질 것으로 판단되며 기후변화로 인한 기온, 강수 등의 변화의 정확한 분석이 필요로 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 동아시아 해수면 온도와 우리나라 강수량에 대한 MSSA (Multi-channel Singular Spectrum Analysis)를 실시함으로 두 시계열 사이에 공통적으로 나타나는 변화, 즉 특정 상관 주기 변동을 분석함으로 두 변수 사이에 변화 상관 분석을 실시하였다. 우리나라 강수량 자료로는 현재 기상청에서 운영 중인 지상 기상관측소 76개소 중 가용관측소 61개소 자료에 대하여 1973년 1월부터 2008년 12월까지의 자료를 수집하여 월 평균값을 사용하였고 동아시아 해수면 온도 자료로는 한반도 근해 해수면 온도 변화, 남중국해 해수면 온도 변화, 인도양 해수면 온도 변화, 적도 해수면 온도 변화 등을 선택하여 관측시점부터 2008년 12월까지 자료를 수집하여 사용하였다. 분석 자료에 대해 선형 회귀분석을 통한 선형추세 제거와 정규화한 자료를 사용하여 각각의 지수에 대해 MSSA 분석을 실시하였다. 이때 window length는 Vautard 등(1992)이 제시한 N/5$^{\sim}$N/3의 값인 108의 값을 사용하였고 이때 각각의 고유치는 전체 공분산에 대한 각 요소의 비율을 설명한다. 상관분석 결과는 각 지수와 강수자료 사이에 높은 상관성을 가지는 장단주기 변화가 존재함을 보여주었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 우리나라 월강수자료의 전체 변화는 계절변화를 제외하고도 장단 주기를 가지는 시간변화가 자료 전체 변화의 절반에 해당하며 장주기 변화가 나타내는 부분이 미미하다. 이는 계절 주기를 제외한 자료들 사이의 상관변화가 설명할 수 있는 부분이 미미 하며 여러 기상지수들과 국내 강수량사이의 MSSA 분석을 통하여 제시 할 수 있는 변화의 정량적 정도가 매우 제한됨을 보여준다. 그럼에도 불구하고 이러한 접근을 통하여 강수 변화의 불확실성을 줄여나가는 노력이 필요하다고 하겠다.

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Variation of the Sea Surface Height around the Korean Peninsula with the Use of Multi-satellite Data (Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1 , ERS, Envisat) and its Association with Sea Surface Temperature (복합위성자료(Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, ERS, Envisat)를 이용한 한반도 주변해역에서의 해수면 고도 변화와 해수면 온도의 상관성 연구)

  • Jang, Sae-Rom;Jeong, Gi-Yong;Kim, Ki-Young;Ha, Kyung-Ja
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2007
  • 한반도 주변해역에서의 해수면 고도는 1993년부터 2005년까지의 기간 동안 연평균 3.89 mm $yr^{-1}$ 상승하였으며, 이는 전세계 해수면 상승률의 1.3배에 해당한다. 본 연구에서는 AVISO (Archiving, Validation and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic data)에서 제공하는 복합위성자료 (Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, ERS, Envisat)인 DT-MSLA (Delayed Time - Maps of Sea Level Anomalies)를 이용하여 동해와 황해, 남해, 한국해협에서의 해수면 고도 변화를 연구하였다. 해수면 고도의 평균적인 변화는 증가하는 경향을 보임과 동시에, 여름에는 $4{\sim}5$년,겨울에는 3년의 주기성을 가지고 진동하였다. 조화분석을 통하여 해수면 고도와 해수면 온도의 연주기 모드와 반년주기 모드의 진폭과 위상을 나타내었다. 해수면 고도의 연주기 진폭은 한반도 주변해역에서 남동쪽이 높게,북서쪽이 낮게 나타나는 반면, 해수면 온도는 이와는 반대의 분포를 보였다. 월별 해수면 고도와 해수면 온도의 상관을 구한 결과,$6{\sim}8$월에 동해와 남해에서 1 / 2달 시간지연 일 때,상관계수가 0.7정도로 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과를 통해 여름철 동해와 남해가 쿠로시오 해류의 영향을 크게 받고 있음을 짐작할 수 있다.

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Spatial Distribution of Extremely Low Sea-Surface Temperature in the Global Ocean and Analysis of Data Visualization in Earth Science Textbooks (전구 대양의 극저 해수면온도 공간 분포와 지구과학교과서 데이터 시각화 분석)

  • Park, Kyung-Ae;Son, Yu-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.599-616
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    • 2020
  • Sea-surface temperature (SST) is one of the most important oceanic variables for understanding air-sea interactions, heat flux variations, and oceanic circulation in the global ocean. Extremely low SSTs from 0℃ down to -2℃ should be more important than other normal temperatures because of their notable roles in inducing and regulating global climate and environmental changes. To understand the temporal and spatial variability of such extremely low SSTs in the global ocean, the long-term SST climatology was calculated using the daily SST database of satellites observed for the period from 1982 to 2018. In addition, the locations of regions with extremely low surface temperatures of less than 0℃ and monthly variations of isothermal lines of 0℃ were investigated using World Ocean Atlas (WOA) climatology based on in-situ oceanic measurements. As a result, extremely low temperatures occupied considerable areas in polar regions such as the Arctic Ocean and Antarctic Ocean, and marginal seas at high latitudes. Six earth science textbooks were analyzed to investigate how these extremely low temperatures were visualized. In most textbooks, illustrations of SSTs began not from extremely low temperatures below 0℃ but from a relatively high temperature of 0℃ or higher, which prevented students from understanding of concepts and roles of the low SSTs. As data visualization is one of the key elements of data literacy, illustrations of the textbooks should be improved to ensure that SST data are adequately visualized in the textbooks. This study emphasized that oceanic literacy and data literacy could be cultivated and strengthened simultaneously through visualizations of oceanic big data by using satellite SST data and oceanic in-situ measurements.

A Methodology for 3-D Optimally-Interpolated Satellite Sea Surface Temperature Field and Limitation (인공위성 해수면온도 3-D 최적 내삽 합성장 생산 방법과 한계점)

  • Park, Kyung-Ae
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.360-366
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    • 2009
  • AQUA/AMSR-E 인공위성 자료를 활용하여 3차원 최적내삽 해수면온도 합성장을 생산하였고 시간평균장과 비교하여 문제점과 한계점을 기술하였다. 3-D SST 합성장은 북태평양 중앙부에서 전체적으로 $0.05^{\circ}C$ 이하의 작은 오차를 보였으나, 위성 결측이 있는 연안에서는 $0.4^{\circ}C$ 이상의 비교적 큰 오차를 유발하였다. 강한 강수나 구름으로 인한 결측이 있는 부분에서는 $0.1\sim0.15^{\circ}C$에 달하는 오차를 보였다. 시간평균장과 비교한 결과, 구름 부근의 화소에서는 해수면온도를 낮게 계산하는 경향이 있었으며, 해수면온도의 공간적 구배를 감소시키는 평활화가 전체적으로 나타났다. 저위도에서 OI SST는 실제 해수면온도에는 없는 불연속성을 만드는 경향이 있었고, 이는 OI 과정에서 사용한 윈도우의 크기와 해양 현상의 수평 규모가 위도에 따라 변화하는데서 기인하였다. 현상의 공간 규모의 척도인 로스비 내부 변형 반경은 북태평양에서 O(1) 정도로 위도에 따른 공간적 변화가 큰 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 SST 합성장 생산 과정에 위도와 해수의 수직적 밀도 구조와 밀접한 관련이 있는 해양 현상의 수평적 규모의 시공간적 변동 특성을 고려해야 함을 제시한다.

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Variation of the Sea Surface Height around the Korean Peninsula with the Use of Multi-satellite Data (Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, ERS, Envisat) and its Association with Sea Surface Temperature (복합위성자료(Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, ERS, Envisat)를 이용한 한반도 주변해역에서의 해수면 고도 변화와 해수면 온도의 상관성 연구)

  • Ha, Kyung-Ja;Jeong, Gi-Yong;Jang, Sae-Rom;Kim, Ki-Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.519-531
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    • 2006
  • Sea surface height (SSH) around fe Korean Peninsula was investigated as a rising rate of $3.89mm\;yr^{-1}$ on the average from 1993 to 2005, which is 1.3 times higher rising rate, compared to the world ocean. In the present study, to investigate SSH changes in regional sections of the East Sea, the Yellow Sea, the South Sea, and the Korea Strait, DT-MSLA (Delayed Time-Maps of Sea Level Anomalies) with multi-satellite data (Topex/Poseidon, Jason-1, ERS, Envisat), provided by AVISO (Archiving, Validation and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic data), was used. The periodicity in interannual variability was dominant for $4\sim5$ year in summer, and 3 year in winter as well as an increasing trend. The amplitude and phase for the annual and semi-annual mode in SSH and SST were investigated with harmonic analysis. The geographical distribution of amplitudes for comparison of SSH and SST are slightly reverse in southwest-northeast tilted direction. The monthly SST and SSH is highly correlated correlation coefficient about 0.7 with lag of one or two months over the East Sea and the South Sea during June-August. These results suggest that the Kuroshio stream is dominant during summer over these regions.

Relations between Variation of Sea Surface Temperatures in the South Sea of Korea and Intensity of Typhoons (남해 해수면온도 변화와 태풍 세기와의 관계)

  • Seol, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.403-407
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    • 2008
  • Relations between variation of SSTs(sea surface temperatures) in the South Sea of Korea and intensity of typhoons which passed through the South Sea of Korea was analyzed for 36 years from 1970 to 2005. The SSTs in the South Sea show the rising trends continuously. The mean SST of the last 10 years(1996-2005) is higher $1.03^{\circ}C$ than the mean SST during 10 years(1970-1979). The rising trends are especially strong after 1994. The intensity of typhoon can be shown by the minimum sea level pressure. The minimum sea level pressures of typhoons which passed through the South Sea show the descending trends. The mean minimum sea level pressure of the last 10 years(1996-2005) is lower 10.1hPa than that during 10 years(1970-1979). The correlation analysis shows that the rising of SSTs in the South Sea has relations with the strengthening of intensity of typhoons.

The Interdecadal Variation of Relationship between Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature and East Asian Summer Monsoon (인도양 해수면 온도와 동아시아 여름 몬순의 관계에 대한 장주기 변동성)

  • Kim, Won-Mo;Jhun, Jong-Ghap;Moon, Byung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to analyze the interdecadal variation of relationship between Indian Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) during the period of 1948-2005. In the pre-period, which is from 1948 to 1975, the relationship between Indian Ocean SST and East Asian summer rainfall anomaly (EASRA) is very weak. However, in the post-period, which is trom 1980 to 2005, Indian Ocean SST is significantly positively correlated with EASRA. The equatorial Indian Ocean SST has a significantly positive correlation with EASM in spring, while Indian Ocean SST near the bay of Bengal has a positive relationship in summer for the post-period. Also the interdecadal variation of the correlation between Indian Ocean SST and EASRA is significant, but that between EASRA and the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is not. Atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) test results show the pattern of increased precipitation in the zonal belt region including South Korea and Japan and the pattern of decreased precipitation in the northeastern part of Asia, which are similar to the real climate. The increase of the precipitation in August from the model run is also similar to the real climate variation. Model results indicate that the Indian Ocean SST warming could intensify the convection over the vicinity of the Philippines and the Bay of Bengal, which forces to move northward the convection center. This warming strengthens the EASM and weakens the WNPM.

Impacts of Seasonal and Interannual Variabilities of Sea Surface Temperature on its Short-term Deep-learning Prediction Model Around the Southern Coast of Korea (한국 남부 해역 SST의 계절 및 경년 변동이 단기 딥러닝 모델의 SST 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • JU, HO-JEONG;CHAE, JEONG-YEOB;LEE, EUN-JOO;KIM, YOUNG-TAEG;PARK, JAE-HUN
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.49-70
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    • 2022
  • Sea Surface Temperature (SST), one of the ocean features, has a significant impact on climate, marine ecosystem and human activities. Therefore, SST prediction has been always an important issue. Recently, deep learning has drawn much attentions, since it can predict SST by training past SST patterns. Compared to the numerical simulations, deep learning model is highly efficient, since it can estimate nonlinear relationships between input data. With the recent development of Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) in computer, large amounts of data can be calculated repeatedly and rapidly. In this study, Short-term SST will be predicted through Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based U-Net that can handle spatiotemporal data concurrently and overcome the drawbacks of previously existing deep learning-based models. The SST prediction performance depends on the seasonal and interannual SST variabilities around the southern coast of Korea. The predicted SST has a wide range of variance during spring and summer, while it has small range of variance during fall and winter. A wide range of variance also has a significant correlation with the change of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index. These results are found to be affected by the intensity of the seasonal and PDO-related interannual SST fronts and their intensity variations along the southern Korean seas. This study implies that the SST prediction performance using the developed deep learning model can be significantly varied by seasonal and interannual variabilities in SST.

Relation between SSTs in the South Sea and Intensity of Typhoons (남해 해수면온도와 태풍 세기와의 관계)

  • Seol, Dong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2007.12a
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    • pp.198-199
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    • 2007
  • Relation between SSTs(Sea Surface Temperatures) in the South Sea and intensity of typhoons which passed through the South Sea was analyzed for 36 years from 1970 to 2005. The SSTs in the South Sea show the rising trends continuously. The mean SST of the last 6 years(2000-2005) is higher 1.21$^{circ}C$ than the mean SST during 10 years(1970-1979). The rising trends are especially strong after 1994. The intensity of typhoon am be seen by the central pressure. The minimum central pressures of typhoons which passed through the South Sea show the descending trends. The mean minimum central pressure of the last 6 years(2000-2005) is lower 9hPa than t1m during 10 years(1970-1979). The correlation analysis shows that the rising of SSTs in the South Sea has relations with the strengthening of intensity of typhoons.

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Variations of Sea Level and Sea Surface Temperature in the Korea seas Peninsula using Satellite Data(Topex/Poseidon and NOAA) (위성자료(Topex/Poseidon, NOAA)를 이용한 한반도 주변해역의 해수면 및 해수온변화 연구)

  • Yoon Hong-Joo;Cho Han-Keun;Lee Bong-Sic;Jeong Young-Deok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.485-488
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    • 2006
  • SLA and SST is high in summer and fall, it is low in spring and winter. The clearly annual period shows through the power spectrum density. A semi-annual period and seasonal period appeared, In. At sea surface variation of satellite data(Mean Sea Level Anomaly) and in-situ data, coefficient-correlation show 0.323 at Mukho which is located in the coastal. Chujado and Ulleungdo is a 0.685 and 0.780, retentively. A coefficient-correlation of SST show higher than sea surface variation as Mukho-0.920, Chujado-0.894 and Ulleungdo-0.815. A comparison between SST and MSLA show 0.77, SST appeared faster about 1 to 3 months than MSLA.

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