• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
• /
• v.12 no.4
• /
• pp.468-475
• /
• 2012

Construction cost of tunnel is decided on construction area, site conditions, and construction methods. However, there is few research on developing models to estimate early construction costs. Therefore, this paper presents a model for early estimation tool for NATM tunnel using system thinking. The effect factors for tunnel construction cost were defined and the causal map is developed. Then empirical case analysis were performed to identify the cost difference due to tunnel length, excavation volume, and rock quality. The proposed model would be an alternative to estimate early construction cost of NATM tunnel.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
• /
• v.23 no.4
• /
• pp.151-161
• /
• 2014

It is very important to evaluate proper acquisition of military aircraft against future threats in our military defense field. In previous studies, the evaluation has been determined in terms of tasking order or weapon power index. These methods compare the combat-effectiveness index and the number of aircraft. However, this study provides simulation analysis of proper quantity decision based on actual operational senarios of military aircraft using System Dynamics. The method reflects the properties of military aircraft operation concepts and considers the rate of failure of main systems on subsystems, as well as repair and crash rates caused by differentials in peacetime and wartime frame.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
• /
• v.6 no.12
• /
• pp.121-127
• /
• 2006

As information technologies are improving, geographical information system (GIS) technologies are also developing rapidly and demands for spatial analysis with GIS are increasing. Particularly, the spatial analyses with GIS researches have been noted rather than general GIS researches. However, most GIS researches focus on space dimension: a density-based clustering method (DBSCAN) or a DBSCAN algorithm using region expressed as Weight (DBSCAN-W) but the importance of rational decision making based on time dimension has been neglected. This study adopts system dynamics in order to put time dimension in GIS-based optimum allocation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.9-9
• /
• 2019

기후변화로 인한 다년 가뭄은 매년 증가하여, 충청남도에 위치한 보령댐과 보령댐으로부터 용수를 공급받는 지자체의 시민들 또한 2015년부터 2017년까지 지속된 가뭄으로 인해 총 127일 동안의 생 공용수 급수조정으로 인한 불편함을 경험하였다. 지금까지 시행된 국내의 다양한 가뭄 피해 저감 정책 설립 과정은 대부분 일방적인 하향식(top-down) 의사결정 과정을 바탕으로 진행되었고, 이는 이해당사자와 정책결정자간의 갈등을 유발했다. 이로 인한 피해를 방지하기 위해 본 연구에서는 참여형(bottom-up) 의사결정 과정 중 하나인 비전공유계획을 충청남도 기후변화 적응 물관리정책 협의회를 통해 적용하였다. 또한, 비전공유계획의 핵심 요소인 비전공유모형을 시스템 다이내믹스 모형의 특성을 포함하여 개발하고자 STELLA Architect 소프트웨어로 보령댐 및 8개 지자체를 포함한 저수지 운영모형을 구축하였고, 총 3차례의 소위원회를 거쳐 수렴한 이해당사자의 요구사항에 따라 개발한 모형을 보완하였다. 구축한 모형으로는 미래에 발생 가능한 가뭄의 위험을 포함하고 있는 기후변화 시나리오에 대한 모의를 진행하였고, 보령댐과 보령댐으로부터 용수를 공급받는 충청남도 서해수역 지자체의 가뭄으로 인한 취약성을 평균부족횟수, 평균부족기간, 평균부족량으로 표현하였다. 모의 결과, 보령댐은 8개 지자체보다 가뭄에 상대적으로 더 취약하며, 8개 지자체에서는 가뭄 대응 대책이 주로 계획되어 있는 지역과 모의에서 가뭄이 발생하는 지역의 불일치로 인한 피해가 발생할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 또한, 다른 평가지표에 비해 예측하기 어려운 평균회복기간에 대해서는 댐과 지자체에서 이를 고려하는 것이 필요하다. 비전공유모형을 통한 가뭄 취약성 분석 결과를 미래 회의에서 이해당사자와 공유하고, 용수 공급처과 수요처의 입장에서 용수 부족을 해소할 방안을 모형에 적용함으로써 미래 가뭄 대응 정책 수립 과정에는 참여형으로 의사결정을 할 수 있음을 제안하였다.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
• /
• v.16 no.3
• /
• pp.417-424
• /
• 2015

The research of occupational injury for safety and health is a comparatively recent occurrence. As labor activities took place regarding to employee concerns in industrial uprising, human resources health was tried to enhanced as a labor safety subject. Noticing that traditional statistics approach has limitations in learning future forecasting and major factors causing occupational injuries in each industry, Korean Government initiated a quantitative systematic simulation model project to analyze how the annual injury rate has been dropped and stays in a level for recent years. From this motivation and the project, system dynamics models have been developed to explain the mechanisms for reducing annual injury rate, and the mechanisms quantitatively. The main cause effects for the reduction of annual injury rate were due to the government driven investment on safety facilities. In overall viewpoint the gain achievable from these efforts has been reached a saturated level. However, it could reduce the annual injury rate if you chose the industry and size carefully. The model for forecasting, major injury factors, safety budget and allocation are introduced and analyzed, and Analyzing occupational injury related factors can also reduce employee injury and disease related costs, including medical care, quit, and disability assistance costs.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
• /
• v.7 no.10
• /
• pp.202-210
• /
• 2007

Factor analysis, an important research method, has been conducted as a pre-analysis of empirical researches. Sometimes, the researchers expect more information than factor analysis' limitation as well. Therefore, I suggest a method to overcome this problem. This study presents a combined research method which allow to solve the limitation of the factor analysis in social science. The combined research method consist of factor analysis, AHP(analytic hierarchy process) analysis, diffusion theory and system dynamics, which is able to explain causalities.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
• /
• v.29 no.2B
• /
• pp.228-239
• /
• 2004

Information Security industry in Korea is growing rapidly but is confronted with many challenges in business environment. One of the worst hardships is the mismatch in the demand and supply of manpower. Thus the government is developing a manpower policy to relieve the situation. To suggest policy implications, this study analyzes the demand and supply of Information Security manpower in the systematic and behavioral point of views. Using System Dynamics approach, we formulate a model to analyze the demand and supply of Information Security manpower. Finally we simulate the model and interpret the results.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
• /
• v.29 no.5C
• /
• pp.642-653
• /
• 2004

Information Security industry in Korea is growing rapidly but is confronted with many challenges in business environment. One of the worst hardships is the mismatch in the demand and supply of manpower. Thus the government is developing a manpower policy to relieve the situation. To suggest policy implications, this study analyzes the demand and supply of Information Security manpower in the systematic and behavioral point of views. Using System Dynamics approach we formulate a model to analyze the demand and supply of Information Security manpower. Finally we simulate the model and interpret the results.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
• /
• v.11 no.4
• /
• pp.25-59
• /
• 2010

The Korean government has operated various mega-development projects in order to help nation progress into the future. However, many problems and concerns have been raised on the mega-projects' delay and failure in South Korea. Moreover, there are many technical and executive problems; such as trial and error of development work, failure of validity test, complicated decision-making processes, and so on. With these concerns and problems to mega-development projects, finding a sustainable development from mega-projects is becoming a new issue in the field of mega-development projects. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to investigate whether or not most mega-development projects conducted by the government exactly corresponds with sustainable development (such as environmental soundness, economic efficiency and social equity) focusing on Saemangeum project. Using causal loop analysis, this study gives some significant results to us. First, for environmental soundness, both central and local government should ensure water-purity control system for farming, industry, leisure, and others. Second, for economic efficiency, both governments not only have to secure a budget for completion of infrastructure of the Saemangeum project but also support financial assistance to Saemangeum project. Third, for social equity, three local governments (i.e., Gunsan, Gimje, and Buan) should stop debate and conflict with regard to an administrative district of Saemangeum region. Finally, most politicians should not use Saemangeum project for political means. Rather, they should recognize the project as a motive power for economic development of Jeollabukdo.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
• /
• v.12 no.1
• /
• pp.49-58
• /
• 2003

There have been growing recognition on the needs of coordination of diverse activities across cross-functional business areas necessarily involving group decision-making processes. Although many group decision-making support tools and methods have been introduced to enable the collaborative processes of group decision-making, they often lack features supporting the dynamic complexity issues. This study proposes system dynamics modeling approach based on simulation techniques to deal with the group decision-making tasks having properties of dynamic complexity.