• Title/Summary/Keyword: 풍속 데이터

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Prediction model of tourists' interest according to the climate condition (기후요소에 따르는 관광객 관심정보 예측 모델)

  • park, Serin;Lee, Younji;Lee, Jungmin;Lee, Sohee;Lee, Junghoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.477-478
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    • 2021
  • 관광관련 광고, 상품판매 촉진, 추천 등을 위해 제주도 관광객의 관심 정보에 있어 기후요소가 끼치는 영향을 분석하고 이를 토대로 예측모델을 개발한다. 예측모델은 입력으로 기온, 강수량, 풍속, 습도, 일사량 및 전운량, 출력으로 가장 관심도가 높은 관광지 유형을 가지며 TMAP의 검색순위 이력 데이터와 기상청의 기후이력 데이터를 다운로드하여 학습패턴을 생성한다. 예측모델은 Sklearn 인공신경망 라이브러리를 이용하여 구현하였으며, 81.8 %의 정확도를 보인다.

Analyzing Significant Variables from a Linear Regression-Based Prediction Model for Rice Prices (선형 회귀를 이용한 쌀 가격 예측 모델의 유의미한 변수 추출)

  • Seo, Jin-kyeong;Choi, Da-jeong;Ko, Kwang-Ho;Paik, Juryon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2022
  • 쌀을 주식으로 하는 우리나라에서, 쌀의 가격에 영향을 미치는 변수를 찾는 것은 유의미한 연구이다. 본 논문에서는 쌀 가격을 예측하는 모델에 포함되는 여러 변수 가운데 상대적인 중요도가 낮은 변수를 제거하고 유의미한 변수만을 남기고자 한다. 이를 위해 기상, 수확량, 소비자물가의 10년 치 정보를 수집하고 정제한 결과 총 2460일, 7개 지역에서 추출된 17,219개의 데이터를 이용하였다. 모델 평가 결과, 모든 변수를 포함한 모델의 RMSE는 166.0759, 단계적으로 계수가 작은 9개의 변수를 제거한 최종적인 모델의 RMSE는 168.5576으로 유의미한 차이를 보이지 않았다. 최종적으로 남은 변수는 총 10개로 평균 기온, 평균 풍속, 합계 일사, 평균 지면 온도, 0.5M 평균 습도, 4.0M 평균 습도, 10CM 일 토양 수분, 30CM 일 토양 수분, 50CM 일 토양 수분, 전년도 생산량이 포함된다.

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Evaluation and Predicting PM10 Concentration Using Multiple Linear Regression and Machine Learning (다중선형회귀와 기계학습 모델을 이용한 PM10 농도 예측 및 평가)

  • Son, Sanghun;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.6_3
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    • pp.1711-1720
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    • 2020
  • Particulate matter (PM) that has been artificially generated during the recent of rapid industrialization and urbanization moves and disperses according to weather conditions, and adversely affects the human skin and respiratory systems. The purpose of this study is to predict the PM10 concentration in Seoul using meteorological factors as input dataset for multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) models, and compared and evaluated the performance of the models. First, the PM10 concentration data obtained at 39 air quality monitoring sites (AQMS) in Seoul were divided into training and validation dataset (8:2 ratio). The nine meteorological factors (mean, maximum, and minimum temperature, precipitation, average and maximum wind speed, wind direction, yellow dust, and relative humidity), obtained by the automatic weather system (AWS), were composed to input dataset of models. The coefficients of determination (R2) between the observed PM10 concentration and that predicted by the MLR, SVM, and RF models was 0.260, 0.772, and 0.793, respectively, and the RF model best predicted the PM10 concentration. Among the AQMS used for model validation, Gwanak-gu and Gangnam-daero AQMS are relatively close to AWS, and the SVM and RF models were highly accurate according to the model validations. The Jongno-gu AQMS is relatively far from the AWS, but since PM10 concentration for the two adjacent AQMS were used for model training, both models presented high accuracy. By contrast, Yongsan-gu AQMS was relatively far from AQMS and AWS, both models performed poorly.

Comparative Studies on Heating and Cooling Loads' of a Building Varied by Annual Weather Data (연도별 기상데이터를 활용한 건물의 냉.난방부하 특성 비교)

  • Lee, Ji-Hoon;Hwang, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.265-270
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the differences of a building's heating and cooling loads depending on the weather variation. Followings are the results. The temperature, humidity and wind speeds of standard year are bigger than those of 2006~2009. The 2006~2009's total horizontal solar irradiance is greater than that of standard year, and the direct solar irradiance of standard year is bigger in winter and vice versa in summer. As results of simulation on heating and cooling loads, it is difficult to find out the bilateral influences between maximum thermal loads and annual's. The equivalent-time operating ratio(EOR) is defined on this study to estimate the differences between year and year, and the EOR of standard year shows low value comparing to 2006~2009 years'.

Water Temperature Prediction Study Using Feature Extraction and Reconstruction based on LSTM-Autoencoder

  • Gu-Deuk Song;Su-Hyun Park
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a water temperature prediction method using feature extraction and reconstructed data based on LSTM-Autoencoder. We used multivariate time series data such as sea surface water temperature in the Naksan area of the East Sea where the cold water zone phenomenon occurred, and wind direction and wind speed that affect water temperature. Using the LSTM-Autoencoder model, we used three types of data: feature data extracted through dimensionality reduction of the original data combined with multivariate data of the original data, reconstructed data, and original data. The three types of data were trained by the LSTM model to predict sea surface water temperature and evaluated the accuracy. As a result, the sea surface water temperature prediction accuracy using feature extraction of LSTM-Autoencoder confirmed the best performance with MAE 0.3652, RMSE 0.5604, MAPE 3.309%. The result of this study are expected to be able to prevent damage from natural disasters by improving the prediction accuracy of sea surface temperature changes rapidly such as the cold water zone.

Water temperature prediction of Daecheong Reservoir by a process-guided deep learning model (역학적 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 융합한 대청호 수온 예측)

  • Kim, Sung Jin;Park, Hyungseok;Lee, Gun Ho;Chung, Se Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2021
  • 최근 수자원과 수질관리 분야에 자료기반 머신러닝 모델과 딥러닝 모델의 활용이 급증하고 있다. 그러나 딥러닝 모델은 Blackbox 모델의 특성상 고전적인 질량, 운동량, 에너지 보존법칙을 고려하지 않고, 데이터에 내재된 패턴과 관계를 해석하기 때문에 물리적 법칙을 만족하지 않는 예측결과를 가져올 수 있다. 또한, 딥러닝 모델의 예측 성능은 학습데이터의 양과 변수 선정에 크게 영향을 받는 모델이기 때문에 양질의 데이터가 제공되지 않으면 모델의 bias와 variation이 클 수 있으며 정확도 높은 예측이 어렵다. 최근 이러한 자료기반 모델링 방법의 단점을 보완하기 위해 프로세스 기반 수치모델과 딥러닝 모델을 결합하여 두 모델링 방법의 장점을 활용하는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다(Read et al., 2019). Process-Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) 방법은 물리적 법칙을 반영하여 딥러닝 모델을 훈련시킴으로써 순수한 딥러닝 모델의 물리적 법칙 결여성 문제를 해결할 수 있는 대안으로 활용되고 있다. PGDL 모델은 딥러닝 모델에 물리적인 법칙을 해석할 수 있는 추가변수를 도입하며, 딥러닝 모델의 매개변수 최적화 과정에서 Cost 함수에 물리적 법칙을 위반하는 경우 Penalty를 추가하는 알고리즘을 도입하여 물리적 보존법칙을 만족하도록 모델을 훈련시킨다. 본 연구의 목적은 대청호의 수심별 수온을 예측하기 위해 역학적 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 융합한 PGDL 모델을 개발하고 적용성을 평가하는데 있다. 역학적 모델은 2차원 횡방향 평균 수리·수질 모델인 CE-QUAL-W2을 사용하였으며, 대청호를 대상으로 2017년부터 2018년까지 총 2년간 수온과 에너지 수지를 모의하였다. 기상(기온, 이슬점온도, 풍향, 풍속, 운량), 수문(저수위, 유입·유출 유량), 수온자료를 수집하여 CE-QUAL-W2 모델을 구축하고 보정하였으며, 모델은 저수위 변화, 수온의 수심별 시계열 변동 특성을 적절하게 재현하였다. 또한, 동일기간 대청호 수심별 수온 예측을 위한 순환 신경망 모델인 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory)을 개발하였으며, 종속변수는 수온계 체인을 통해 수집한 수심별 고빈도 수온 자료를 사용하고 독립 변수는 기온, 풍속, 상대습도, 강수량, 단파복사에너지, 장파복사에너지를 사용하였다. LSTM 모델의 매개변수 최적화는 지도학습을 통해 예측값과 실측값의 RMSE가 최소화 되로록 훈련하였다. PGDL 모델은 동일 기간 LSTM 모델과 동일 입력 자료를 사용하여 구축하였으며, 역학적 모델에서 얻은 에너지 수지를 만족하지 않는 경우 Cost Function에 Penalty를 추가하여 물리적 보존법칙을 만족하도록 훈련하고 수심별 수온 예측결과를 비교·분석하였다.

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Design of a 1-D CRNN Model for Prediction of Fine Dust Risk Level (미세먼지 위험 단계 예측을 위한 1-D CRNN 모델 설계)

  • Lee, Ki-Hyeok;Hwang, Woo-Sung;Choi, Myung-Ryul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.215-220
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    • 2021
  • In order to reduce the harmful effects on the human body caused by the recent increase in the generation of fine dust in Korea, there is a need for technology to help predict the level of fine dust and take precautions. In this paper, we propose a 1D Convolutional-Recurrent Neural Network (1-D CRNN) model to predict the level of fine dust in Korea. The proposed model is a structure that combines the CNN and the RNN, and uses domestic and foreign fine dust, wind direction, and wind speed data for data prediction. The proposed model achieved an accuracy of about 76%(Partial up to 84%). The proposed model aims to data prediction model for time series data sets that need to consider various data in the future.

Analysis and Prediction of (Ultra) Air Pollution based on Meteorological Data and Atmospheric Environment Data (기상 데이터와 대기 환경 데이터 기반 (초)미세먼지 분석과 예측)

  • Park, Hong-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.328-337
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    • 2021
  • Air pollution, which is a class 1 carcinogen, such as asbestos and benzene, is the cause of various diseases. The spread of ultra-air pollution is one of the important causes of the spread of the corona virus. This paper analyzes and predicts fine dust and ultra-air pollution from 2015 to 2019 based on weather data such as average temperature, precipitation, and average wind speed in Seoul and atmospheric environment data such as SO2, NO2, and O3. Linear regression, SVM, and ensemble models among machine learning models were compared and analyzed to predict fine dust by grasping and analyzing the status of air pollution and ultra-air pollution by season and month. In addition, important features(attributes) that affect the generation of fine dust and ultra-air pollution are identified. The highest ultra-air pollution was found in March, and the lowest ultra-air pollution was observed from August to September. In the case of meteorological data, the data that has the most influence on ultra-air pollution is average temperature, and in the case of meteorological data and atmospheric environment data, NO2 has the greatest effect on ultra-air pollution generation.

Unsupervised Vortex-induced Vibration Detection Using Data Synthesis (합성데이터를 이용한 비지도학습 기반 실시간 와류진동 탐지모델)

  • Sunho Lee;Sunjoong Kim
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.315-321
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    • 2023
  • Long-span bridges are flexible structures with low natural frequencies and damping ratios, making them susceptible to vibrational serviceability problems. However, the current design guideline of South Korea assumes a uniform threshold of wind speed or vibrational amplitude to assess the occurrence of harmful vibrations, potentially overlooking the complex vibrational patterns observed in long-span bridges. In this study, we propose a pointwise vortex-induced vibration (VIV) detection method using a deep-learning-based signalsegmentation model. Departing from conventional supervised methods of data acquisition and manual labeling, we synthesize training data by generating sinusoidal waves with an envelope to accurately represent VIV. A Fourier synchrosqueezed transform is leveraged to extract time-frequency features, which serve as input data for training a bidirectional long short-term memory model. The effectiveness of the model trained on synthetic VIV data is demonstrated through a comparison with its counterpart trained on manually labeled real datasets from an actual cable-supported bridge.

Building of an Navigation Guiding System Using Fuzzy Theory (퍼지이론을 이용한 항해안내시스템의 구축)

  • Park Gyei-Kark;Hong Tae-Ho;Seo Ki-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2005
  • Currently, ECDIS and GPS plotters are much used as equipment providing operators with route information, but they do not have any function of automatic route creation and route explanation, so available for only experienced operators. Especially, the present situation is that no study is made of the automatic route creation and route explanation using ENC for ECDIS, substitution system of paper chart. ENC is the electronic navigation chart that is produced using S-52, 5-57 standard format required by IHO. In this paper, an Navigation Guiding System(NGS) is proposed to generate an optimal route where ENC and GPS data is fusioned including the wind direction and speed of an anemometer. The proposed system was testified by a simulation, and its effectiveness was verified.