• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.64-79
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• 2023

This study reviewed the process of applying the Monte Carlo simulation technique to the traffic allocation problem of metropolitan subways. The analysis applied the assumption of a normal distribution in which the travel time information of the inter-station sample is the basis of the probit model. From this, the average and standard deviation are calculated by separating the traffic between stations. A plan was proposed to apply the simulation with the weights of the in-vehicle time of individual links and the walking and dispatch interval of transfer. Long-distance traffic with a low number of samples of 50 or fewer was evaluated as a way to analyze the characteristics of similar traffic. The research results were reviewed in two directions by applying them to the Seoul Metropolitan Subway Network. The travel time between single stations on the Seolleung-Seongsu route was verified by applying random sampling to the in-vehicle time and transfer time. The assumption of a normal distribution was accepted for sample sizes of more than 50 stations according to the inter-station traffic sample of the entire Seoul Metropolitan Subway. For long-distance traffic with samples numbering less than 50, the minimum distance between stations was 122Km. Therefore, it was judged that the sample deviation equality was achieved and the inter-station mean and standard deviation of the transport card data for stations at this distance could be applied.